I have always felt that for all the blabbing we do -- or blogging, in my case -- we should try as best we can to be accountable for our good and bad calls. This report is long overdue, but I will post it anyway since all of my past year's picks and results have been made public.

The market was very harsh in the early part of 2009, filling investors fear and trepidation, and sinking to a March 9, 2009 bottom. Perhaps some of the bleeding has stopped, but the economy has not healed as bears and bulls seem to carry the day, or every other day.

Continue reading Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500

Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 31 Aug 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Some big names set new 52-week highs Tuesday: WAG, ACS, WYE ...

Some big names set new 52-week highs Tuesday: WAG, ACS, WYE ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 30 Sep 2009 08:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last summer we lamented the price of gas. This year, however, there's at least one upside. Retail sales for June were up 0.6% - substantially better than the 0.4% anticipated - with the gas prices leading the charge. A slight tip in the brutalized auto manufacturer sector helped, as well. This was the largest retail sales increase in five months.

Gas stations benefited from the cost of fuel, adding a bit of pep to a beleaguered retail industry: sales were up 5% year over year, after doing the same in May. And, car dealers had their best month since January: the sales of cars and parts climbed 2.3%. Nonetheless, this corner of the retail world is still off 14.5% from last year. It may have helped last month, but we're still pretty far from a cure.

Continue reading Gas prices drive retail sales rebound, coveted brands still struggle

Gas prices drive retail sales rebound, coveted brands still struggle originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 14 Jul 2009 16:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This is not only a US phenomenon. Other countries' mints are reporting strong sales. John Reade of UBS reported large purchases of coins, seen as a safe haven investment.

Continue reading Gold bullion sales hit record

Gold bullion sales hit record originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 17 Feb 2009 13:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Is American Eagle cutting the wrong costs?

Is American Eagle cutting the wrong costs? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 03 Feb 2009 15:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) closed at $7.52 Friday. AEO is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on November 25. RBC Capital Markets lowered its price target to $14 from $15. AEO December option implied volatility of 120 is above its 26-week average of 74 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) closed at $35.28 Friday. DLTR is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on November 25. Deutsche Bank has a Hold rating and a $35 price target on DLTR. DLTR December option implied volatility of 84 is above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) closed at $4.84 Friday. WSM said W. Howard Lester, Chairman & chief executive, sold about 4.2 million shares between October 29 and November 21. Lester also sold WSN shares from October 13 & 14th to cover a margin calls. WSM is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on December 4. Thomas Weisel lowered its 12-month price target from $10 to $8. WSM December option implied volatility of 168 is above its 26-week average of 68 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options Update: Retailers' elevated volatility suggests movement -- AEO, DLTR, WSM originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 Nov 2008 08:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Discount merchants benefit from high sales in June

Discount merchants benefit from high sales in June originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 Jul 2008 15:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Friedman Billings downgraded American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) to Underperform from Market Perform citing slowing top-line growth, difficult macro-environment, and the challenging women's category.
  
• Soleil cut Hologic (NASDAQ: HOLX) to Hold from Buy as it believes the cancellation of the FDA Radiological Devices Panel means a further delay in the tomosynthesis pre-market approval application.
  
• ABN downgraded shares of British Airways (Other OTC: BAIRY) to Sell from Hold as it believes the recent rally in the face of higher oil prices is unjustified. Shares were also lowered at Deutsche Bank to Sell from Buy as it believes the company may not be able to raise ticket prices enough to offset higher fuel costs.

• ArthroCare (NASDAQ: ARTC) was cut to Accumulate from Buy at ThinkPanmure.
  
• ING downgraded J Sainsbury (Other OTC: JSAIY) to Sell from Hold.
  
• RBC Capital downgraded Ceragon Networks (NASDAQ: CRNT) to Sector Perform from outperform.

Analyst downgrades: AEO, HOLX and BAIRY originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 19 May 2008 11:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Merriman believes PhotoChannel Networks (OTC: PNWIF) is positioned to become a leading provider to the digital photofinishing market through its offering of a fully-integrated solution to retailers. The firm started shares with a Buy rating.
  
• Jefferies resumed coverage of BioMarin Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: BMRN) with a Buy rating and $33 target, as they expect strong long-term growth from Aldurazyme and Naglazyme and is optimistic for Kuvan approval and a strong market launch.
  
• ThinkEquity is positive on Double-Take's (NASDAQ: DBTK) impressive operating leverage and valuation and started shares off with a Buy rating and $28 target.
  
• Needham initiated Leapfrog Enterprises (NYSE: LF) with a Strong Buy rating and $11 target. The firm expects Leapfrog to benefit from its turnaround initiatives in 2008 and for shares to be driven by improving sales and profits.

• UBS started J Crew (NYSE: JCG) and American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) with Neutral ratings and targets of $40 and $25, and Gap (NYSE: GPS) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) with Buy ratings and targets of $23 and $97.
  
• Goldman initiated The9 (NASDAQ: NCTY) with a Neutral rating. Broadpoint initiated Vocus Inc (NASDAQ: VOCS) with a Strong Buy rating.

Analyst initiations: PNWIF, BMRN, DBTK and LF originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 Nov 2007 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Goldman upgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Buy from Neutral and added the company to their pan-Europe Conviction Buy List, as they believe the factors that lead to the October earnings miss will be rectified and the company will report upside to Q4 estimates.
  
• Credit Suisse upgraded Total SA (NYSE: TOT) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation and expectations for a return in upstream volume growth in 2008.
  
• Credit Suisse also upgraded Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) to Outperform from Neutral, citing RIMM's expanding international market share.
  
• MasterCard (NYSE: MA) was raised to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, as they believe the company's margin potential is yet to be fully priced into shares or Street estimates.
  
• Citigroup raised shares of Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) to Buy from Hold to reflect the company's improving product line, restructuring, and share buyback. They find the risk/reward attractive and expect solid Q2 results.

• Goldman added Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) to its Conviction Buy List.
  
• Citigroup upgraded American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) to Hold from Sell.
  
• KeyBanc raised its rating on Comstock Resources (NYSE: CRK) to Buy from Hold.
  
• Millennium Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: MLNM) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Cowen.
  
• Roth Capital upgraded Gevity HR (NASDAQ: GVHR) to Hold from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: ERIC, TOT, RIMM, MA and JAVA originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 Nov 2007 11:02:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• BorgWarner (NYSE: BWA) to give business update at 10am.
• Burger King (NYSE: BKC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10am.

• Merrill Lynch to host conference call discussing Focus Media's (NASDAQ: FMCN) secondary offering at 11am.
• Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) CEO Jerry Yang, Senior VP Michael Callahan & General Counsel to testify before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on how their company gave false information to Congress relating to their role in a human rights case in China which resulted in a journalist being sent to jail for 10 years.

• Symmetry Medical (NYSE: SMA) to give Q3 business update at 8am.
• Fluor (NYSE: FLR) to report Q3 earnings; conference call at 9:30am.
• Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to report October sales at 4pm, American Eagle (NASDAQ: AEO) to report Oct. sales at 5pm.

• Disney (NYSE: DIS) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4:30pm.
• CyberSource (NASDAQ: CYBS) to give 2007 guidance at 4:30pm.
• Gap (NYSE: GPS) and Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) to report Oct. sales at 8am, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to report Oct. sales at 8:15am.

• Halozyme Therapeutics (NASDAQ: HALO) to give business update at 11am.
• Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) to report Q3 earnings; conference call at 1pm.

Market highlights for next week: Yahoo CEO to testify before Congress originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 02 Nov 2007 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• American Eagle Outfitters Inc (NYSE: AEO) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia, as the firm believes momentum from a strong Spring/Summer can carry into the fall/Holiday seasons.
  
• JP Morgan views CVS/Caremark Corporation (NYSE: CVS) as the most sophisticated healthcare offering, the largest PBM, and has first mover advantage. The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral.
  
• JP Morgan also upgraded shares of Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) to Overweight from Neutral based on valuation and potential turnaround.
  
• Morgan Stanley upgraded WPP Group (NASDAQ: WPPGY) to Overweight from Equal Weight as they believe the company can still meet its profit forecasts and margin goals in a slowing global economy.
  
• Jefferies upgraded shares of Pixelworks Inc (NASDAQ: PXLW) to Hold from Underperform on valuation as they no longer believe the risk/reward favors shorting at these levels.

• Stifel upgraded Tempur Pedic International (NYSE: TPX) to Buy from Hold.
  
• Merrill upgraded Tyco Electronics (NYSE: TEL) to Buy from Neutral.
  
• BB&T upgraded Celanese Corporation (NYSE: CE) to Buy from Hold.
  
• CIT Group Inc (NYSE: CIT) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.

Analyst upgrades: AEO, CVS, ODP, WPPGY and PXLW originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Sep 2007 10:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Sunco Inc (NYSE: SUN) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America, as the firm believes Sunoco's valuation discount is justified since its net margin/barrel is almost $2.50 below its closest peer due to inferior assets.
  
• Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Primedia Inc (NYSE: PRM) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
  
• Citigroup downgraded shares of WPP Group (NASDAQ: WPPGY) to Hold from Buy and shares of Publicis Groupe (NYSE: PUB) to Sell from Hold to reflect their more cautious view of the advertising sector.
  
• Goldman sees better catalysts at other E&Ps and downgraded Newfield Exploration Company (NYSE: NFX) to Neutral from Buy.

• Jefferies downgraded Macrovision Corporation (NASDAQ: MVSN) to Hold from Buy.
  
• Merrill Lynch downgraded American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) to Sell from Neutral.
  
• Citigroup downgraded Bachoco (NYSE: IBA) to Hold from Buy.
  
• Wimm-Bill-Dan Foods (NYSE: WBD) was downgraded to Sell from Buy at UBS.

Analyst downgrades: SUN, PRM, WPPGY, PUB and NFX originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 12 Sep 2007 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cramer has retail bottom fishing picks originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 27 Aug 2007 19:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Soleil upgraded shares of Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) to Buy from Hold as they believe the new management team has quickly taken multiple steps to address key issues and is refocusing on profitable growth.

• Morgan Keegan raised Greenbrier Cos (NYSE: GBX) to Market Perform from Underperform following the company's Q3 report.

• Citigroup upgraded shares of DirecTV Group Inc (NYSE: DTV) to Buy from Hold as they see a 75% chance that Liberty Media (LCAPA) tenders for DTV within the next 12 months and could offer $30 a share for the company.

• JP Morgan upgraded General Motors Corp (NYSE: GM) to Overweight from Neutral with a $50 target and Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F) to Overweight from Underweight as they see signs that unions will engage in radical changes, which could bring EPS upside. General Motors was also added to JP Morgan's Focus List...

• Jefferies raised Micron Technology (NYSE: MU) to Buy from Hold.

• Cowen added shares of Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) to its Focus List.

• Friedman Billings added Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) to its Top Pick list.

• Buckingham upgraded shares of American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) to Accumulate from Neutral.

• Gabelli upgraded shares of Gemstar-TV Guide International (NASDAQ: GMST) to Buy from Hold.

Analyst upgrades 7-10-07: F, FNM, GILD, GM and TTWO originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 10 Jul 2007 10:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• The Chicago Board of Trade (NYSE: BOT) and Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc (NYSE: CME) to hold a special shareholder meeting in Chicago about merging at 4pm.
• Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) to hold a business update at 4:30pm.
• Alcoa Inc (NYSE: AA) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 5pm.

• Electronic Entertainment Expo, or E3, to be held from July 10-July 13 in Santa Monica, California.
• The Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) to release a 2007 Sales Update at 9am.
• Sealy Corporation (NYSE: ZZ) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 5pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming

Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 06 Jul 2007 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• DA Davidson upgraded Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) to Buy from Neutral, as the firm is no longer concerned the tech giant will acquire Yahoo! (YHOO) following the recent acquisition of aQuantive, Inc (AQNT).

• HSBC upgraded shares of Sony Corp (NYSE: SNE) to Overweight from Neutral to reflect improving profitability at Sony's electronics business.

• Pacific Crest upgraded Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE) to Outperform from Sector Perform to reflect the strong CS3 outlook and growth in new areas such as mobile.

• Citigroup upgraded their cable sector view as they continue believe cap ex will remain at elevated levels at a time when the marginal cable investor is likely more willing to forego near-term FCF growth to achieve robust EBITDA growth. Along with the raised sector view, Citigroup upgraded Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) and Comcast Corp (NASDAQ: CMCSA) to Buy from Hold. The firm believes investors can benefit from owning both EchoStar Communications (DISH) and cable equities...

• Bear Stearns upgraded Tiffany & Co (NYSE: TIF) to Outperform from Peer Perform.

• RBC Capital raised American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) to Outperform from Sector Perform.

• Sepracor Inc (NASDAQ: SEPR) was raised to Neutral from Underperform at Cowen.

• ING upgraded BP plc (NYSE: BP) to Buy from Hold.

• Valero Energy Corp (NYSE: VLO) was added to Goldman's Conviction Buy list.

Analyst upgrades 5-21-07: ADBE, CMCSA, MSFT, SNE and TIF originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 21 May 2007 10:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Credit Suisse initiated coverage of the EMS sector with an Underweight. The firm believes the industry is burdened with overcapacity in high-cost manufacturing regions, with hyper competition, allowing for no pricing power.
  
• The analyst initiated Flextronics International Ltd (NASDAQ: FLEX) with an Outperform rating.
  
• Benchmark Electronics, Inc (NYSE: BHE), Jabil Circuit, Inc (NYSE: JBL), Plexus Corp (NASDAQ: PLXS) and Sanmina-SCI Corp (NASDAQ: SANM) were started with Neutral ratings.
• Celestica Inc (NYSE: CLS) and Solectron Corp (NYSE: SLR) were initiated with Underperform ratings.
  

• Nollenberger initiated Chico's FAS, Inc (NYSE: CHS), Cache, Inc (NASDAQ: CACH) and AnnTaylor Stores Corp (NYSE: ANN) with Neutral ratings.
  
• Nollenberger also started coverage of Bebe Stores, Inc (NASDAQ: BEBE) and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) with Buy ratings.

Analyst initiations: AEO, ANN, BEBE, CHS and FLEX originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 May 2007 11:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• UBS upgraded shares of Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) to Buy from Neutral as they expect the company to benefit from increased capital spending by Rexchip, the joint venture of Elpida and Powerchip. After speaking to contacts, UBS believes shipments to Rexchip will total around $640M in 2007.

• Southern Union (NYSE: SUG) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

• Credit Suisse upgraded shares of Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) to Outperform from Neutral on improved earnings visibility and the potential for incremental cost savings.

• SMH Capital upgraded shares of Lamar Advertising (NASDAQ: LAMR) to Buy from Neutral after the conference call indicated the run rate for digital deployment is increasing, while capex per board is declining. The firm thinks the Street may be overlooking the potential for significant earnings acceleration into 2008.

• Nollenberger upgraded shares of Trump Entertainment Resorts (NASDAQ: TRMP) to Neutral from Sell based on valuation and believes fair value is $14/share...

• SunTrust upgraded shares of American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) to Buy from Neutral.

• Raymond James raised Steak n Shake (NYSE: SNS) to Market Perform from Underperform.

• Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) upgraded shares to Buy from Hold.

• Buckingham upgraded Blackrock Inc (NYSE: BLK) to Strong Buy from Neutral.

• RBC Capital upgraded US Auto Parts Network (NASDAQ: PRTS) to Outperform from Sector Perform.

• HSBC raised Chartered Semiconductor (NASDAQ: CHRT) to Neutral from Underweight.

Analyst upgrades 5-11-07: AEO, ALU, AMAT and NVDA originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 May 2007 11:06:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Prudential upgraded shares of Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE: NEM) to Neutral from Underweight citing valuation, higher gold and copper prices and specific mine factors that should lead to an operational turnaround.

• Credit Suisse raised shares of Qwest Communications International Inc (NYSE: Q) to Neutral from Underperform as the firm believes management is less likely to engage in a fiber video build and cites the increase in the company's NOL carry-forwards.

• Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Barrington Research.

• Raymond James upgraded Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) to Outperform from Market Perform. Morgan Keegan also raised shares to Outperform from Market Perform, citing better-than-projected operating fundamentals and growth prospects.

• American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) was upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy at Matrix USA to reflect the company's impressive SSS growth...

• Arris Group, Inc (NASDAQ: ARRS) was upgraded to Sector Performer from Underperformer.

• C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc (NASDAQ: CHRW) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at AG Edwards.

• Merck & Co, Inc (NYSE: MRK) was added to Leerink Swann's Focus List.

• Watson Pharmaceuticals, Inc (NYSE: WPI) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

• Buffalo Wild Winds (NASDAQ: BWLD) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Morgan Keegan.

Analyst upgrades 5-02-07: CMG, MRK, NEM, Q and SIRI originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 02 May 2007 11:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.