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Option update: volatility Up as Sheldon Adelson opens Venetian Macao

Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) volatility Elevated into Macao Resort Hotel opening. LVS opened the Venetian Macao Resort Hotel today. Sheldon Adelson, chairman & chief executive officer, said "it is no overstatement to say that the opening of Venetian Macao represents a massive paradigm shift for Macao and the future of tourism development in Asia." Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) says "the scale is enormous and the detail impressive." LVS over all option implied volatility of 44 is above its 26-week average of 39 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Ameristar Casinos (NASDAQ: ASCA) implied volatility Elevated at 43. ASCA, a Las Vegas based gaming and Entertainment Company, is recently down $0.55 to $28.39. ASCA has a market cap of $1.6 billion with long term debt of $878 million. ACSA over all option implied volatility of 43 is above its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

This week's rumor round-up: Will Amazon overpay for Netflix?

Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX)

Amazing. Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN), that big online retailer, sees the flix for the net. The shares keep rising for the online DVD rental company-up about 15%, highest since January-- even if their discs do come a little scratched. More than that though is while new subscribers are coming on; it's not exactly going gangbusters. Still, 6.8M is a whole lot of subscribers. Will Amazon, or someone else, overpay?

Rackable Systems Inc (NASDAQ: RACK)

Which came first: The ongoing takeover rumors or the higher stock price? Or was it that Dell Inc (NASDAQ: DELL) is said to be after Rackable, a provider of servers and storage products for high density data center deployments. Rack it up.

Feldman Mall Properties Inc (NYSE: FMP)

Word is that this real estate investment trust will look for a sale, combo or merger. They said the venerable firm of Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. will help them "explore strategic alternatives." Then the stock went up.

STILL FLYING AROUND

Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc (NASDAQ: TRMP)


Dennis Gomes, whose name surfaced in March, is a one time gaming exec and regulator. He's signed a confidentiality agreement to have a look see at the firm's Atlantic City casinos. Separately, Las Vegas' Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE: BYD) has also been mentioned as a possible contender.

YRC Worldwide Inc (NASDAQ: YRCW)

The CEO of this Kansas-based transportation service provider has been quoted as saying that a takeover is possible. An LBO is likely. This week the shares have actively been trading up.

Dollar Tree Stores Inc (NASDAQ: DLTR)

Imagine a dollar tree where the stock keeps going up, up, up. Well, here it is, once again, a subject of takeover talk.

BUZZ

United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X): Russia's Severstal may be prowling around...Plains Exploration & Production Company (NYSE: PXP): Takeover candidate's stock is sharply higher... Micron Technology Inc (NYSE: MU): Blackstone has interest...Ameristar Casinos Inc (NASDAQ: ASCA): A hot stock and takeover rumors abound...Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA): Remains an LBO candidate...The First Marblehead Corporation (NYSE: FMD): The student loan business is booming and earnings growth is strong, but who would buy it?...Marriott International Inc (NYSE: MAR): A target? But where's the movement?...Oakley Inc (NYSE: OO) as a target has been around and around, and now some say it will be bought by Luxottica Group (NYSE: LUX).

Analyst downgrades 12-22-06: Qualcomm to Underweight

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Casino Stocks and Qualcomm (QCOM) were the notable companies downgraded today:
  • CIBC recommends that investors continue to own casino operators heading into 2007 based on their view that while many stocks are fully valued, drivers could persist into the first-half of 2007;
    • the firm downgraded MGM Mirage (NYSE:MGM), Station Casinos Inc. (NYSE:STN) & Ameristar Casinos Inc (NASDAQ:ASCA) to Sector Performer from Sector Outperformer based on valuation and Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ:WYNN) to Sector Underperformer from Sector Performer based on valuation and increased competition.
  • JP Morgan downgraded shares of Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) to Underweight from Neutral, citing increased legal expenses that could impact margins.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Keefe Bruyette downgraded shares of Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE:WM) to Market Perform from Outperform, citing limited margin expansion due to the inverted yield curve.
  • BB&T downgraded Bassett Furniture Industries Inc. (NASDAQ:BSET) to Hold from Buy, citing weak consumer demand for the move.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded CNOOC Ltd. (NYSE:CEO) to Hold from Buy.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 12-11-06: Research in Motion with Hold

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Research in Motion (RIMM) was the only notable company in today's list of initiations.

  • Lazard initiated Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ:RIMM) with a Hold based on valuation.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

  • Morgan Stanley initiated Labor Ready Inc. (NYSE:LRW) with an Equal Weight rating and $18 target, expecting headwinds from the US "growth recession", which should continue next year.
  • Calyon initiated Ameristar Casinos Inc. (NASDAQ:ASCA) with a Neutral rating citing valuation.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 02:09 AM

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