Recently Anadarko (APC) has agreed to buy BP's 93% interest in the Wattenberg Plant, located in the northeastern part of Colorado, for about $575 million. Anadarko already owns the remaining interest in the plant.
Anadarko is the largest producer of natural gas in the Wattenberg field and the deal will provide Anadarko with 100% ownership of the plant. The company relies heavily on natural gas, which we estimate accounts for nearly 40% of its stock value. It vies for business with established oil and gas producers like Exxon Mobil, (XOM) ConocoPhillips (COP), Chevron (CVX), BP (BP) and Duke (DUK).
Anadarko Petroleum posts
FeedAnadarko's Acquisition of BP's Wattenberg Adds to Gas Assets
Continue reading Anadarko's Acquisition of BP's Wattenberg Adds to Gas Assets
Anadarko Petroleum Bounces Higher on Buyout Buzz
Shares of Anadarko Petroleum (APC) gapped higher right out of the gate Thursday morning, thanks to a report that BHP Billiton (BHP) may be eyeing the firm as a potential takeover target. According to the U.K.'s Daily Mail, BHP could be prepping an offer worth $90 per share to acquire Anadarko. However, neither company has issued a formal response to the speculation.
After jumping to a new annual high of $76.50 bright and early Thursday morning, APC is on pace to notch a weekly finish atop the $70 level for the first time since April 23. In fact, if the shares can maintain their positive momentum through Friday's close, the shares could stage their first weekly victory north of $75 since June 2008.
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Anadarko: Stopped-Out for Small Gain
They don't all work out. Independent oil/natural gas play Anadarko Petroleum (APC), first discussed here on May 14, 2009 at a price of $43.55, formed a bear hug this spring, which justified a stand-aside view at that time, and was stopped-out at $44 on the way down, netting an inconsequential gain. Anadarko then walked down to about $34.50 before reversing, and the stock has basically doubled since, trading near $70 Tuesday.
Anadarko Petroleum Trades Lower Following Earnings
Shares of oil and gas company Andarko Petroleum Corporation (APC) are trading lower in after hours trading after the company reported lower than expected earnings for its third quarter.
Heading into this afternoon's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the company report earnings of $0.28 per share. Actual earnings were under the mark, at an adjusted $0.21 per share.
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Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500
I have always felt that for all the blabbing we do -- or blogging, in my case -- we should try as best we can to be accountable for our good and bad calls. This report is long overdue, but I will post it anyway since all of my past year's picks and results have been made public.
The market was very harsh in the early part of 2009, filling investors fear and trepidation, and sinking to a March 9, 2009 bottom. Perhaps some of the bleeding has stopped, but the economy has not healed as bears and bulls seem to carry the day, or every other day.
Continue reading Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500
Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil
Until recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.
I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.
Anadarko Petroleum Tops Bullish Volatility Skews; Millipore Tops Bearish
Option investors are pushing call option prices higher in the Independent Oil & Gas industry and are pushing put option prices higher in the Medical Instruments & Supplies industry today.Any time the volatility skews above 1.00, it is an indication that calls are more expensive than puts. Typically, when calls are more expensive than puts, it means the demand for calls is greater than the demand for puts because investors believe the stock is going to rise in the future and they want to take advantage of that movement by buying calls.
The opposite is also true. Any time a volatility skews below 1.00, it is an indication that puts are more expensive than calls.
Continue reading Anadarko Petroleum Tops Bullish Volatility Skews; Millipore Tops Bearish
Serious Money: Tax Savings, Lateral Moves
Stocks have fallen over the past month and certain stocks have fallen considerably. If you have lost equity recently and can find similarly positioned stocks, it may be wise to consider some lateral moves. Selling one stock and buying something comparable allows you to claim a loss while still remaining fully invested.In this way you do not have to observe the 30-day rule where you cannot claim a loss in a stock sold today if you buy it back until after 30 days have past. In 30 days the market opportunity to repurchase the shares of the company you sold at good price may have also past.
Analyst Calls: APC, ODP, IRBT, NFLX, POM, MMSI, NTAP, LULU, LNCE ...
- JPMorgan upgraded Anadarko Petroleum (APC) to overweight from neutral on valuation as it views the recent pullback in shares as excessive. Despite upgrading, the firm lowered its target for shares to $82 from $90.
- Oppenheimer upgraded Office Depot (ODP) to perform from underperform and upped its target for shares to $7 from $3 after raising its estimates for companies in the Office Products Retail space. The firm expects trends to accelerate for the sector due to moderating unemployment pressures. In conjunction with the upgrade, Opco raised its target for OfficeMax (OMX) to $26 from $21 and target for Staples (SPLS) to $30 from $28. Both stocks remain outperform rated.
- C.K. Cooper upgraded iRobot (IRBT) to buy from hold with a $30 price target following the company's analyst day.
- Seadrill (SDRL) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
- Vodafone (VOD) was upgraded to neutral from reduce at Nomura.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: APC, ODP, IRBT, NFLX, POM, MMSI, NTAP, LULU, LNCE ...
Serious Money: The Cost of Pushing Chinese Yuan Higher
"Be careful what you wish for" goes the ancient Chinese proverb. The United States government, pushed and prodded by its industrial leaders to get the Chinese to raise the value of the Yuan, should heed these wise words.The goal, of course, is to make U.S. goods and services cheaper, thereby improving the balance of trade. The problem is that it makes everything cheaper.
It is true that it would support the remaining manufacturing base, software companies, commodities and consulting services. However, this is but a portion of what we have to offer.
What happens if the Yuan increases by 20% against the dollar, and they decide to buy International Business Machines (IBM) the company, not just IBM mainframes? This is not so far fetched. Lenovo bought the ThinkPad notebook computer division from IBM and now it sells Lenovo ThinkPads to us. They would be able to buy IBM 20% cheaper than you or I could buy it.
Continue reading Serious Money: The Cost of Pushing Chinese Yuan Higher
Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple
Is it time to take a bite out of Apple, Inc (AAPL) or leave it on the vine? After reviewing the current list by examining the stock yields and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) we will take a look at Apple for 2010.Yesterday I dropped two stocks, but the list is still too long. In the coming weeks there will be more cuts and if I find anything of more value perhaps there will be something new.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple
Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 Part 8: Making some cuts
Today it's time to do some trimming of the fourteen stocks and four options on the contenders list. This review will prioritize the companies by price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S) and return-on-equity (ROE). This does not preclude more possible stocks being added and the final list will not be done until the end of the month.We will also compare recent stock prices to three-year highs to give us a relative idea where the stock floated in rosier times.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 Part 8: Making some cuts
Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders
The recent issue of Fortune magazine discusses how the best of the best train, guide and nurture top managers to become the leaders that will propel their corporations successfully forward. They list the top 25 companies, which I have used as the basis of a new review to see how they would fair against common metric screens.
In the past few months, many articles have posited that large-cap stocks should excel in the coming year based on their lagging the market behind smaller, more volatile stocks flying out of the March lows. I do not believe this is universally true. Plenty of large-cap stocks did well, such as Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG), while many small caps went nowhere. Even among the large caps included in Fortune's "Leadership 25," some have doubled.
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Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 1
There are only seven weeks left in the year, so it is time to start thinking about 2010. If you have been keeping up with my 2009 picks (see: Chasing Value: 2009 blazing picks -- Q3 review ) than you would be aware that the group is up 40% through the third quarter.This year I bought all of my picks so that I would be riding in the same ship as anyone that might have considered my suggestions.
I will be breaking up my potential picks into three categories; contender, on the fence, and out of the running, until I finalize the list in the last week of the year.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 1
Chasing Value: 2009 blazing picks -- Q3 review
The market continues to befuddle the bears as the third quarter earnings and stock prices continued to move in a positive direction. During this period Washington has taken charge of the auto industry and helped prop it up with the "cash-for-clunkers" program. They continue to subsidize the real estate market with first-time home buyers incentives, and very low interest rates. The banks are being refueled by the Federal Reserve with interest rates as low as zero, while all the time currency stability has been sacrificed. This has driven gold prices to new highs.
This is the third review of my 2009 stock picks through September 30 (see: Chasing Value: 9 picks for 2009 -- APC, GE, ISRG, WFC and more). This years picks have annihilated index comparisons, so much so that I must attribute some of my good fortune to luck. However, I do believe the original reasoning was sound and the outlier nature of the gains certainly a result of an oversold market living in fear.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2009 blazing picks -- Q3 review
Tax Reform in This Election Year: It's Not Likely
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