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Money winners of 2008: Warren Buffett, briefly the "world's richest man" again

This post is part of our feature on Money Winners of 2008. See all 20.

Well, "my pal Warren" did it again. "The richest man in the world" -- it has a nice ring to it.

Though the moniker did not last throughout the year due to the violent markets, and his significant holdings in insurance, Geico and General RE; banking, US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC); and credit card company American Express (NYSE: AXP), which all dropped, he is still viewed as the top investment guru in the world, deserving his title -- the Oracle of Omaha. These are likely only temporary setbacks and he may very well be back on top soon.

Warren Buffett has been alternating places with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) founder Bill Gates over the past decade. Since Microsoft shares are only down about 35% this year, less than the overall market, and since that remains his largest holding, Gates edged out Buffett at last measure. Although Buffett is notorious for not investing in "tech-stocks," he has stated he did buy 100 shares of Microsoft after he and Gates became friends.

It has been quite a year indeed for Buffett because in all the market turmoil he has remained very active, and he has advised both presidential candidates when asked, though he has supported the Democratic Party and president-elect Barack Obama, who has more actively sought his advice as of late.

Continue reading Money winners of 2008: Warren Buffett, briefly the "world's richest man" again

Newspaper wrap-up: U.S. considering government takeover of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • Rick Wagoner, the CEO of General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM), hit out against allegations that the auto maker may soon file for bankruptcy and said he believes the company's financial position will "remain robust" for the rest of the year. Wagoner also said, the Wall Street Journal reported, that the company has no plans to sell or reduce more of its brands.
  • An independent Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) would be better for the world, Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) CEO Eric Schmidt said and the Financial Times reported. Yahoo! will be able to create more competition in the search market and other advertising markets if it stays independent, Schmidt contended.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to people briefed on the plan, the New York Times reported that senior Bush administration officials are weighing a plan to have the government take over either Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM), or Fannie Mae, or Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: FRE), or Freddie Mac -- or both -- and place them in a conservatorship if their problems continue or worsen.
  • The New York Times also reported that people briefed on the matter said Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc (NYSE: BUD) is in active talks to sell itself to InBev in a friendly deal, despite previous hostility to the idea. One person said InBev indicated it may be willing to pay more than the $65 per share originally offered.

Newspaper wrap-up: Host of factors could stop InBev from bidding for Anheuser

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • In part two of a series to help explain the reasons why The Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC) collapsed, the Wall Street Journal said that executives believed they were about to turn a corner, but fear and rumors sent lenders, trading partners and clients running.
  • The Wall Street Journal also reported that a host of factors could derail InBev NV from bidding for Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc (NYSE: BUD), including the cultural differences between the two, protests by politicians over foreign ownership of a U.S. company during an election year and possible unrest from Anheuser distributors and employees.
  • Following the recent indictment of one of the bank's former senior executives, the Financial Times reported that UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) told members of its former private banking team not to travel to America. The restrictions suggest UBS is concerned investigations by the SEC may widen.
WEB SITES:
  • The latest set of photos that supposedly show parts of Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) 3G iPhone, released by Dutch website iPhoneclub.nl, look identical to the previously released pictures that were supposedly photos of the 3G iPhone, Engadget reported.

Losing weight in 2008? Check into these stocks

Gymnasium With New Year's in a few days, everyone is busy making their resolutions. The most popular of all New Year's resolutions is the need to lose weight. So with that in mind, here are two stocks that could benefit from weight-loss resolutions.

Nike (NYSE: NKE) engages in the design, development, and marketing of footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessory products worldwide. You can't start your exercise program without going out and buying a pair of shoes, and a sweat suit. The stock is trading just off their all time high and with a P/E of about 19 the stock look attractive. With '08 being an Olympic year, Nike is sure to benefit from all the exposure. With its recent 19.9% purchase of the UK Umbro, Nike looks to grow its European business, which has been growing strongly anyway. Expect Nike to continue moving higher in '08.

Continue reading Losing weight in 2008? Check into these stocks

How many bottles of beer on the wall? Anheuser-Busch looks to go more upscale

Anheuser-Busch (NYSE:BUD), noting the growing premium/boutique beer market share, is taking a new tack in its 2008 marketing. It will emphasize the quality of ingredients and brewing techniques in its core brands, Budweiser and Michelob. The strategy is an attempt to give them some of the cachet that has pushed sales of imports, such as those of its equity partners Grupo Modelo and Tsingtao.

According to the Wall Street Journal (subscription), the company will drop about $30 million on this campaign, while also increasing spending on more of the youth-oriented, humor-infused messages that promote Bud Light.

BUD is reacting to two challenges: declining/flat sales of its mainstream suds, and the competition posed by the recently announced partnership of SABMiller and Molson Coors (NYSE:TAP) to mutually market their products in the U.S. Anheuser-Busch successfully raised prices on its products in 2007, but I wouldn't expect such a move in 2008, in light of this competition.

In a campaign designed to elevate public perception of the quality of a brand, the danger lies in also elevating the public perception of the brand's cost. Too often, companies fail to find the right balance that persuades the public that they are getting a bargain, better quality for the same price. Or, in the words of a current Miller High Life campaign I feel is one of the best I've ever seen, "A tasty beer at a tasty price."

In a flat beer market, BUD's increased spending might just be enough to keep from sliding back, not a result likely to bump the stock price from its doldrums of the past 12 months.

[Photo drrt]

Earnings previews: Burger King (BKC) and Molson Coors (TAP)

With earnings report rolling out one after another, there's hardly time to pause to enjoy a burger and a beer. Among companies reporting next week are Burger King Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BKC) and Molson Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP), and here are a quickie earnings previews for them.

Burger King has beat Wall Street earnings estimates for the past four quarters. When it reported fourth quarter 2007 results back in August, earnings were 29 cents per share, beating Wall Street estimates by two cents, and 11cents more than in the same period of the previous year. For the full year, earnings were $1.11 per share, again beating expectations by a pair of pennies. For the current quarter, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting 33 cents per share.

The most recent analysts' consensus recommendation is to buy BKC, and has been for the past year. The share price has been climbing since the slump after excitement of the IPO wore off, and it reached a 52-week high of $27.73 at the close on Friday.

For news about Burger King and its rivals that could influence Burger King's results, check out BloggingStocks' Burger King coverage.

Continue reading Earnings previews: Burger King (BKC) and Molson Coors (TAP)

Analyst upgrades 9-11-07: U.S. beverage sector, IMCL, HOT and MAR

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The U.S. beverage sector, ImClone, Starwood Hotels and Marriott International were today's noteworthy upgrades:
OTHER UPGRADES:

Newspaper wrap-up 5-18-07: GE nears deal to sell division

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:

Newspaper wrap-up 2-20-07: DaimlerChrysler unit to be auctioned

MAJOR PAPERS:

  • According to the Wall Street Journal (subscription required), Viacom (NYSE: VIA) may announce a licensing deal with new Internet service Joost.
  • Also in this morning's Journal, Airbus owner EADS surprised investors and employees yesterday by postponing a long-awaited announcement of Airbus's big makeover plan, called Power8.
  • And in more airline news in the Journal, JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) is planning to overhaul its procedures after a storm caused the company to cancel a thousand flights and strand thousands of travelers.
  • According to the Financial Times (subscription required), rumors have spread that Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) and InBev are in serious talks.

OTHER PAPERS:

  • The Sunday Edition of the U.K. Times reported that JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) will formally kick off a GBP 7B auction of DaimlerChrysler's (NYSE: DCX) Chrysler unit as early as this week.
  • According to French paper La Tribune, STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM) will supply multimedia microprocessors to Nokia (NOK) for its mobile telephones.

Analyst upgrades 1-11-07: Bernstein raises its glass to the U.S. beverage sector

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The U.S. Beverage Sector topped today's list of upgrades.
  • Bernstein upgraded the U.S. Beverage Sector to Marketweight from Underweight because the group is trading closer to fair value.
    • Bernstein upgraded Anheuser-Busch Cos (NYSE: BUD) to Market Perform from Underperform with a $54 target; the firm expects upside to earnings and valuation support.
    • Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform with a $38 target; the firm believes negative earnings revisions from their third-quarter miss are over and 2007 guidance looks conservative.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • UBS upgraded Cooper Companies (NYSE: COO) to Neutral from Reduce to reflect the possibility of a takeout; they feel likely acquirers are Essilor or Alcon (ACL).
  • Wachovia upgraded Volcom Inc (NASDAQ: VLCM) to Outperform from Market Perform; the firm's analysis indicate Volcom's brand remains strong, footwear is off to a good start and outerwear is not an area of exposure.
  • Lehman Bros. upgraded shares of Vodafone Group ADR (NYSE: VOD) to Overweight from Equal Weight.
  • Citigroup upgraded Nintendo ltd ADS (OTC: NTDOY) to Buy from Hold.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Sears gunning to buy Safeway ... or Home Depot

With Eddie Lampert's Sears Holdings (NYSE: SHLD) being pressured to bring in the profits after the recent merger with Kmart, will the company report stellar earnings and revenues next Thursday when its Q3 numbers are due?

Whatever they may be, rumor has it on The Street today that Sears Holdings Corp. may be interested in acquiring Pleasanton, CA-based Safeway, Inc. (NYSE:SWY) in a merger of department stores and grocery retailers. Say what?

Although financier Lampert is known for purchasing assets he feels are undervalued, a merger between Sears and Safeway would be on odd case study indeed to dissect. Analysts on the Street indicated that a deal like this could be worth $20 billion.

Lampert even went as far as to say "Our strong financial position and cash flow generation provide us with the flexibility to capitalize on a wide range of market opportunities as they arise ... we are prepared to invest substantial amounts of capital if we identify other attractive investment opportunities." Hmm, that smells rather generic but also suspicious. In addition to a possible buyout of Safeway, the Chicago Sun Times reported yesterday that Sears could also be considering San Francisco-based Gap, Inc. (NYSE:GPS), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE:HD) and Anheuser Busch Cos. (NYSE:BUD).

With the grocery business having notoriously thin margins, most likely any company except Safeway would be a better bet. But Sears and Home Depot? Okay, let me close my eyes and imagine that for a second.

Google should buy Starbucks -- NOW!

I have wondered out loud about Google many times, if you have been following my blog posts. In my 10 Reasons I think Google is going down number ten was the Sheldon equivalency test; what could you buy instead? This is a very important basis for valuation. You would do this when deciding between auto insurance policies, beers, or laundry detergent, so why not a stock purchase? It is all about the allocation of capital resources, price and value.

In my example at the time I used the combined value of Anheuser Busch (BUD) $35B + Federal Express (FDX) $34.5B + Starbucks (SBUX) $28B + Harley Davidson (HDI) $14.5B + Black & Decker (BKD) $6.5B and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) $3.5B which were equal in value to Google's capitalization of $122B. As I am writing this, Google is presently valued at $127.5B, so we could add a seventh company, perhaps Cummin's (CMI) at 5.5B or maybe another growth stock American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS) at $5.3B. Buying AEOS would even leave us $200M to buy our own hotel resort in Hawaii or the Bahamas ... now that's "tight," as my 10-year-old likes to exclaim.

I am not trying to be glib here; just wondering what y'all been think'n 'bout. Seems to me if you offered Google management these seven companies plus the resort hotel free and clear in an even trade and they did not take it, they would be quite poor managers, or "resource allocators."  

Continue reading Google should buy Starbucks -- NOW!

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 07:17 PM

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