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Closing Bell: Blaming Those Greeks (BP, ANN, NBG, GS, CAL, UAUA, AAPL)

Blame the Greeks... Why should today be any different? The fear is that the Greek debt crisis is ready to spread. You have heard it before, and you will continue to hear it again. Maybe this is just the excuse the bears needed to take control. Suddenly, the VIX was back above 25 for the first time since February.

Here were today's closing bell levels:

Dow 10,926.77 -225.06 (-2.02%)
S&P 500 1,173.60 -28.66 (-2.38%)
Nasdaq 2,424.25 -74.49 (-2.98%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Blaming Those Greeks (BP, ANN, NBG, GS, CAL, UAUA, AAPL)

AnnTaylor Soars After Commerce Department Report

ANN logoAnnTaylor (ANN - option chain) shares are rising today after the US Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose 1.6 percent in March, topping forecasts of 1.2 percent growth. If you think this news is a good sign for ANN and that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ANN.

ANN opened this morning at $21.24. So far today the stock has hit a low of $21.43 and a high of $22.77. As of 12:00, ANN is trading at $22.63 up $1.45 (6.8%). The chart for ANN looks bearish and S&P gives ANN a negative 1 STARS (out of 5) strong sell ranking.

Continue reading AnnTaylor Soars After Commerce Department Report

Ann Taylor Goes from Loss to Profit in Q4

Ann Taylor (ANN). Now there's a stock that drives me crazy. If you check out previous articles I've written on the retailer (here's one from November 2009; here's another from August 2009), you'll notice that I didn't have a great handle on where the stock was heading. It's tough sometimes to figure out how the market will judge the fundamentals of a situation, even if the fundamentals seem especially clear.

Anyway, the company reported fourth-quarter numbers earlier today. On an adjusted basis, profit came to 5 cents per share. A year ago, investors had to deal with a loss of $1.03 per share. Analysts thought a loss of a penny per share was in the cards. That's got to be worth a bid, right?

Continue reading Ann Taylor Goes from Loss to Profit in Q4

Ann Taylor out of style with investors after Q3 report

I was wrong about Ann Taylor Stores Corp. (ANN). Thought it might make a possible earnings trade. Well, Q3 earnings are out, and it looks like the market has given a thumbs down to my thesis. At the time of this writing, shares were off by almost 4%.

It's funny, because Ann Taylor has done so well in 2009 as a stock that one could have supposed that a wide earnings beat would serve as a catalyst for capital appreciation. The retailer made 20 cents per share on an adjusted basis. According to my earnings preview, 6 cents was the analyst number. I mean, come on, that's an example of solid performance, correct?

Continue reading Ann Taylor out of style with investors after Q3 report

Ann Taylor upgraded: Ignore the stock or buy ahead of earnings report?

Ann Taylor (ANN) was upgraded Monday, according to TheStreet.com. Jesup & Lamont calls the stock a buy now instead of a hold. You're never far from the analyst game when you trade on Wall Street. Question is, what should you do about this retailer? Should you give it a position in your own portfolio?

I'm not the biggest fan of Ann Taylor. I don't like the fundamentals. I made this amply clear back in August when I discussed the company's second quarter.

Continue reading Ann Taylor upgraded: Ignore the stock or buy ahead of earnings report?

Talbots to post smaller-than-expected Q2 loss?

Talbots Inc. (NYSE: TLB), the fashion retailer that sold its J. Jill brand in the most recent quarter, is scheduled to discuss its second-quarter 2009 results Wednesday in a conference call at 10:00 AM ET, hosted by CEO Trudy Sullivan and other members of the senior management team. You can catch the live webcast of the call on the company's website.

For the three months that ended in July, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the Massachusetts-based company to report that its net loss widened from a year ago to $0.52 per share. Revenue for the quarter is expected to have fallen 39.1% to $309.3 million.

Continue reading Talbots to post smaller-than-expected Q2 loss?

Ann Taylor beats in second quarter -- is it a trade or an investment?

Ann Taylor Stores (NYSE: ANN) reported earnings for the second quarter this past Friday. I didn't think the results were good at all, but the stock did close higher by the end of the trading session. On an adjusted basis, net income dropped like a rock to 6 cents per share from 53 cents per share in the year-ago period. According to Bloomberg, Ann Taylor beat estimates by 3 cents.

Interestingly enough, the market did agree with me early on. That Bloomberg piece mentioned how the shares experienced a decline upon the release. Later on, the shares rebounded as buyers stepped in to partake of a perceived opportunity.

Continue reading Ann Taylor beats in second quarter -- is it a trade or an investment?

Consumer stocks to sell now: #4 -- AnnTaylor (ANN)

Consumer stock to sell: AnnTaylor (ANN)Does it make sense to buy a stock that is up 300%?

If so, I would want to be darn sure about future earnings prospects needed to support a premium valuation.

In the case of AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN), I'm not convinced that future prospects are secure.

Recently, the company announced cautious guidance suggesting that difficulties will persist through the remainder of the year. This comes in the aftermath of announcing a first quarter loss and decline in same-store sales.

Continue reading Consumer stocks to sell now: #4 -- AnnTaylor (ANN)

The consumer confidence con: Five consumer stocks to sell now

five consumer stocks to sell nowWhile consumer confidence might have soared in April, the move seems to be in response to a two-month surge in stocks versus any real strength on the home front.

The jobs market is still poor with stagnant or declining wages. Corporations are still in lay-off mode and oil prices are marching ever higher. In other words, there are still hurdles to overcome before the "all clear" can be given.

I don't mean to rain on the parade of recovery, but let's not get too far ahead of ourselves.

Continue reading The consumer confidence con: Five consumer stocks to sell now

Earnings highlights: HP, Gap, Saks, Hormel, Barnes & Noble and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: HP, Gap, Saks, Hormel, Barnes & Noble and more

AnnTaylor Stores (ANN) options active after earnings

AnnTaylor sale signWomen's apparel retailer AnnTaylor Stores (NYSE: ANN) was the latest retailing name to announce its quarterly earnings results. This morning, the company reported a first-quarter loss of $2.31 million, or four cents per share, as sales slumped 28% during the reporting period. This compares to net income of $25.90 million (43 cents per share) ANN earned in the year-earlier quarter.

On the plus side, the four-cent loss easily topped Wall Street estimates; analysts were expecting a loss of 13 cents per share. Sales, on the other hand, fell 28% to $426.75 million, falling shy of the consensus view of $454.66 million. Same-store sales at the namesake chain were down 42.7% while LOFT sales were off 24.2%. Personally, I prefer LOFT as a cheaper, slightly less conservative option, and evidently my fellow shoppers feel the same way.

Continue reading AnnTaylor Stores (ANN) options active after earnings

Talbots not looking pretty as it posts a bigger loss in Q4

The Talbots, Inc. (NYSE: TLB), a retailer targeted to women and a colleague of businesses such as Macy's (NYSE: M) and Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN), posted Q4 earnings on Monday after the bell. Actually, they weren't earnings, they were losses. And they were worse than last year's numbers. The chain said it lost, on an adjusted basis, $2.40 per share from continuing operations. In the fourth quarter of the previous fiscal year, Talbots lost only $0.13 per share from continuing operations.

In terms of expectations, this source says that the loss was much wider than anticipated. Net sales for the quarter declined 23%. Cash from operations is a fraction of what it once was. And same-store sales simply bombed, diving almost 25%!

Continue reading Talbots not looking pretty as it posts a bigger loss in Q4

Earnings highlights: AIG, HP, AutoZone, Big Lots, MBIA, TiVo and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: AIG, HP, AutoZone, Big Lots, MBIA, TiVo and more

Ann Taylor's awful earnings miss means stock is a sell

Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) is not the darling of Wall Street today. As I write this, the retailer's shares have lost 30% of their value. Trading volume is heavy. The company missed Wall Street's estimates by a pretty wide margin.

The call, was for an adjusted loss of $0.55 per share in the fourth quarter. According to the press release, Ann Taylor lost $1.03 per share on an adjusted basis. Last year at this time, there was a profit of $0.19 per share. What a difference a year makes. By the way, if you include all the GAAP stuff in the current Q4, Ann Taylor lost an amount equal to the mark of the beast. I don't even want to write the evil number out, but it begins with a 6 if you want a hint.

Continue reading Ann Taylor's awful earnings miss means stock is a sell

AnnTaylor: Not a buy

The Dow was up nearly 500 points on Friday. Everything's fine, right? Not on your life. It's going to be a lousy Christmas for mall retailers such as Gap (NYSE: GPS) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), and it might be especially lousy for AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN). What a pathetic story this one is.

AnnTaylor reported earnings for the third quarter yesterday, and it's stock closed down more than 9% on better-than-average volume. Here's why: the bottom line broke even on an adjusted basis, the analysts were calling for a penny earnings per share, and same-store sales plummeted -- I mean plummeted -- more than 19%. Those comps fell like the public approval rating of a CEO's compensation package in the context of the current economic quagmire (well, actually, they didn't fall that badly). The fact that the stock dropped only about 9% is pretty amazing. I think the decline should have gone well into the double digits. After all, management at AnnTaylor really has no idea how its Christmas season will ultimately turn out. Well, they have a little bit of an idea. They know it's going to stink. Badly. I suppose it was the euphoria of the day that kept a check on the stock's decline.

Retail is in the doghouse. Even biggies like Walmart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT) are going to have to hustle more than ever before to keep ahead of their competitors in this dreadful recessionary environment and hope that they can convince their shoppers to pull out as much of the green stuff as possible at their respective points of sale. It won't be easy. And if the big brand names are finding it challenging out there, then a colleague like AnnTaylor might not have much of a chance of bringing traffic out from the cold and onto the sales floor. As far as the shares go, I think they will be heading lower. I mean, I don't think there's much of a mystery there. I can't see what would possibly make the shares go higher from here. Then again, we have been trading on an irrational playfield as of late, so I do suppose anything is possible. For me, I'll stay away from AnnTaylor and make certain that my portfolio has nothing to do with it.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 01:29 PM

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