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Insurers Ready for Above-Average Hurricane Season

All we can do is wait for Alex.

Hurricane season start June 1, 2010
, with Alex chosen as the first name, and it's expected to be above average. The Colorado State University forecast released on Wednesday predicts 15 named storms in the Atlantic basin, due partly to record warm water. Eight of them are expected to reach hurricane status, with sustained winds of 74 mph, and four are forecasted to become Category 3, 4 or 5 storms, with sustained winds of 111 mph. Typically, there are only 10 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes (two of them major), based on data going back to 1950.

William Gray, a member of the CSU Tropical Meteorology Project, told USA Today, "The probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline is 69%, compared with the last-century average of 52%."

Continue reading Insurers Ready for Above-Average Hurricane Season

Reinsurance Industry Approaches Record Levels

When I started my brief stint in the reinsurance business in late 2007, the words "excess capital" were on everyone's lips. Reinsurers had record capital on hand and were pushing dividends and share buybacks because they couldn't find ways to make it productive. Two years later, we're getting close to those record levels, according to a new report from Aon Benfield (AON), despite everything that's happened in between – the financial crisis, Hurricanes Gustav and Ike and the earthquake in Chile, for example.

If you look at the financials, it's almost like nothing has changed, and let's hope the lessons learned in between aren't obscured by the full pockets that reinsurers can now boast.

Continue reading Reinsurance Industry Approaches Record Levels

State Farm Closes First Cat Bond of Q2

The first catastrophe bond of the quarter closed on opening day ... and it was a big one. State Farm's Merna Re II transaction was good for $350 million in risk capital, upsized from the earlier reported amount of $250 million. Though large, it doesn't compare to the previous Merna Re catastrophe bond, which set a record at $1.2 billion that remains to be beat.

Merna Re II was oversubscribed, but State Farm only wanted to place $350 million, Thomson Reuters reports (registration required). According to one investor who knew about the transaction, "The deal was oversubscribed at +365 basis points and after being upsized to $350 million." The investor added, "The initial price talk was 365 - 405 bp, but the deal got priced at 365 bp. However, Merna was a simple transaction and State Farm only wanted to place 350 million."

Continue reading State Farm Closes First Cat Bond of Q2

Aon Reports Flat Reinsurance Pricing, No Surprises

Like Willis Re (WSH) and Marsh & McLennan's (MMC) Guy Carpenter, reinsurance broker Aon Benfield (AOC) found risk-transfer pricing to have softened at the April 1, 2010 reinsurance renewal. It was the same story around the world: the Q1 catastrophes may do some damage to earnings, but the sector was sufficiently capitalized to absorb the shocks. In fact, Aon Benfield reported that the reinsurance industry had nearly returned to record capital levels. At the beginning 2008, the sector was in the same situation before the financial crisis and Hurricane Gustav and Ike depleted balance sheets on the same weekend in September.

Continue reading Aon Reports Flat Reinsurance Pricing, No Surprises

Twitter May Chirp Its Commercial Accounts Next Month

Twitter's a pretty lucky company. Few get two bytes at the hype apple in rapid succession, but this social media platform has found a way to make up for its disappointing announcement about its advertising model. According to VentureBeat, Twitter might unveil its long-awaited, heavily-hyped and possibly investor-satisfying corporate accounts. Next month, at its inaugural Chirp developer conference, we could finally see what might just be the foundation of Twitter's business model.

Continue reading Twitter May Chirp Its Commercial Accounts Next Month

No Surprise: Chile Leads to Reinsurance Rate Increase Debate

It was only a matter of time. Where there are catastrophe losses, there is talk of reinsurance rate increases.

In light of the high catastrophe losses from the Chilean earthquake, which could reach $8 billion, reinsurers are now signaling that they may try to raise rates at the next renewal. QBE Insurance (QBEIF) believes that rate increases may be necessary, as reinsurers try to recapture capital depleted by quake-related payouts.

Continue reading No Surprise: Chile Leads to Reinsurance Rate Increase Debate

Catastrophe Bond Market Hits Target, Records Possible in 2010

The end of a year means a rush of data from the insurance and reinsurance industries, as treaties are renewed for the coming year. Catastrophe bonds are a part of this annual orgy of data production, as a flurry of activity occurs in December, with the industry's commitment to this form of alternative property-catastrophe risk-transfer setting the tone for the year to come. The cat bond market isn't big enough to push reinsurance rates, but you can generally get a sense of what the coming year will look like for cat bonds based on pricing for traditional reinsurance.

Continue reading Catastrophe Bond Market Hits Target, Records Possible in 2010

Aon Corporation ensures good earnings

Insurance and risk management company Aon Corporation (NYSE: AOC) is posting good returns in all three business units on the three most important quantitative metrics: organic growth, margin expansion, earnings improvement. The stock is worth considering as part of a balanced value-income portfolio. Its P/E multiple is just above industry standard, but its EPS is 50% above industry average. Even with a market cap in excess of $12 billion, AON stock still returns 10% quarterly growth year over year, far in excess of industry standard. The stock has already appreciated in price more than 15%, opening the year trading at $35.39 and closing on June 12 at $41.80.

Aon Corporation recently reported very good 1Q 2007 earnings. Revenue was up 10% for the quarter to $2.4 billion, 5% of which was due to organic growth. Net income increased 8% to $213 million or EPS of $0.66. Net income from continuing operations rose 23% to $212 million. Aon posted these numbers despite a tough North American market in which rising health care costs have put pressure on medical insurance and risk management companies. During this quarter, Aon realized restructuring savings of $46 million and is on track to realize FY 2007 savings of $235 million and FY 2008 savings of $280 million. The company also repurchased $345 million of its stock and has authorization from its board to repurchase up to $2 billion of its stock.

The Risk and Insurance Brokerage Service segment posted an impressive 8% gain in revenue due to new US business and 8% in Asia Pacific. Overall, this unit posted a 6% revenue increase despite soft markets in the UK and Australia. The Consulting unit increased revenue by 7% to $329 million despite the termination of large outsourcing contracts. The Insurance Underwriting unit grew revenue by 16% to $574 million, up $79 million from 1Q 2006. At the same time as it posted organic growth revenues, Aon Corporation also increased policyholder benefits 27% to $323 million. Clearly, Aon Corporation has developed a profitable business strategy even in the midst of a challenging economic and political environment regarding health care insurance costs.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 03:05 AM

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