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U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Climbing Oil

U.S. stock futures are higher Monday morning as crude oil futures surged above $106 per barrel. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 37 points to 12,191 and futures on the S&P 500 stock index climbed 4.80 points to 1,325.10. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 12.75 points to 2,372.50.

Positive sentiment ruled the European markets today: STOXX Europe 600 Index has gained 0.61%, London's FTSE 100 Index moved up 0.79%.

Continue reading U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Climbing Oil

ArcelorMittal Results Suggest Slow and Steady Recovery in Steel Industry

ArcelorMittal (MT) is currently the largest steel manufacturer in the world, formed by the merger of two steel giants, Arcelor and Mittal in 2006. The company competes with other international Steel giants like BaoSteel, Posco, Nippon Steel and ThyssenKrupp.

Our price estimate for Arcelor Mittal stands at $40.67, roughly 10% above market price.

Continue reading ArcelorMittal Results Suggest Slow and Steady Recovery in Steel Industry

ArcelorMittal Results Suggest Slow and Steady Recovery in Steel Industry

ArcelorMittal logoArcelorMittal (MT) is currently the largest steel manufacturer in the world, formed by the merger of two steel giants, Arcelor and Mittal in 2006. The company competes with other international Steel giants like BaoSteel, Posco, Nippon Steel and ThyssenKrupp.

Our price estimate for Arcelor Mittal stands at $40.67, roughly 10% above market price.

Continue reading ArcelorMittal Results Suggest Slow and Steady Recovery in Steel Industry

Comfort Zone Investing: Either Prices Are Going Up or Margins Are Going Down

pointing up - inflation - comfort zone investingYou may not have felt it yet, but inflation is running rampant for certain commodities. Prices for some raw materials like cotton, oil, aluminum, tin and many others have skyrocketed in the last year. Manufacturers from electronics to apparel are feeling the pain as they report lower earnings due to higher raw materials costs. That can only mean one thing: prices will be going up on many items in the near future or profit margins will be lower, driving down earnings.

If the first scenario plays out, then inflation will start making a comeback as it will take more dollars to buy the same products. That means a semiconductor chip that cost $2.50 last year may cost $2.75 this year. Same chip, just more expensive. Or an all cotton shirt that cost $50 this year will go to $60. Same shirt, just more expensive.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Either Prices Are Going Up or Margins Are Going Down

Analyst Calls: AET, BMY, DVN, GLW, K, MRK, MT, PETM, SPLS, WY ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Aetna (AET) to buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • Kellogg (K) to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • PetSmart (PETM) to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
  • NetApp (NTAP) and Scripps Networks (SNI) to buy from hold at Wunderlich.
  • Thoratec (THOR) to buy from hold at Auriga.
  • ArcelorMittal (MT) to overweight from neutral at HSBC.
  • Bristol-Myers (BMY) to outperform from neutral at Cowen.
  • Eaton Vance (EV) to neutral from sell at Ticonderoga.
  • Adtran (ADTN) to buy from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AET, BMY, DVN, GLW, K, MRK, MT, PETM, SPLS, WY ...

Analyst Calls: ATW, CIEN, DE, GMCR, GPN, MEE, MT, POT, SNDK, SO, TSO ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • SanDisk (SNDK) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
  • JPMorgan resumed Potash (POT) at overweight, up from neutral.
  • Ariba (ARBA) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Roth Capital.
  • Cirrus Logic (CRUS) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Tesoro (TSO) to overweight from equal weight.
  • Solarfun Power (SOLF) was upgraded to buy from hold at Auriga.
  • Barclays upgraded Ciena (CIEN) to overweight from equal weight.
  • Optimer Pharm (OPTR) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
  • Argo Group (AGII) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded Green Mountain (GMCR) to buy from underperform and Southern Company (SO) to neutral from underperform.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ATW, CIEN, DE, GMCR, GPN, MEE, MT, POT, SNDK, SO, TSO ...

Analyst Calls: AMZN, CAKE, CS, EMC, FCX, GR, HOT, K, MAR, TWC, UNP, USB ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Union Pacific (UNP) and Polycom (PLCM) were upgraded to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
  • Time Warner Cable (TWC) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) was upgraded to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan.
  • LaSalle Hotel (LHO) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
  • Graco (GGG) was upgraded to buy from hold at BB&T.
  • Valley National (VLY) was upgraded to market perform from underperform at Keefe Bruyette.
  • Credit Suisse (CS) was upgraded to hold from sell at RBS.
  • U.S. Bancorp (USB) was upgraded to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.
  • Penn National (PENN) and Riverbed (RVBD) were upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Goodrich (GR) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Cowen.
  • Amazon.com (AMZN) upgraded to buy from average at Caris.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AMZN, CAKE, CS, EMC, FCX, GR, HOT, K, MAR, TWC, UNP, USB ...

ArcelorMittal Downgraded to Hold from Buy

ArcelorMittal (MT) was downgraded to hold from buy at ING, which noted that "major price increases imminent for iron ore and coking coal, we believe the steel industry may suffer from cost increases on the order of 35%, as new contract prices are set."

ING believes steel prices will rise 10% to 20%, which would then put the industry under pressure. If this scenario were to come to fruition, MT's costs could increase by roughly 15%. Although these increases are less than MT's peers, ING prefers putting money in "diversified mining shares."

Continue reading ArcelorMittal Downgraded to Hold from Buy

Options Update: Arcelor Mittal volatility low at 69 on banker leverage discussions

Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) closed at $29.87. MT is in advanced discussions with its principle bankers to improve its financial leverage covenant banking facility. MT is expected to report Q2 EPS on July 29. MT August and December option implied volatility of 69 is below its 26-week average of 77, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Regis Corp (NYSE: RGS) closed at $12.23. RGS announced on July 8 a convertible note offering and a common stock offering of 11.5M RGS shares priced at $12.37, with net proceeds of $281M. RGS July option implied volatility is at 62, August and December is at 65; verses its 26-week average of 66, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DTV, LEA, MT, WMT, YHOO

Analyst upgrades:

  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Affiliated Managers Group (NYSE: AMG) to Market Perform from Outperform to reflect the rebound in equity and fixed income markets as well as an attractive risk/reward profile. The firm raised its target on shares to $72 from $61.
  • Jefferies upgraded AGCO Corp. (NYSE: AGCO) to Buy from Hold as it believes equipment sales in Brazil are holding up better than expected and farm stimulus should set a floor in sales. The firm raised its target on shares to $36 from $25.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) to Buy from Hold to reflect reduced balance sheet risk and a more positive view on the steel sector. The raised its target on shares to $42 from $23
  • Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • Synovus (NYSE: SNV) was raised to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust.
  • First American (NYSE: FAF) was lifted to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DTV, LEA, MT, WMT, YHOO

Steel: Six stocks with strong turnaround potential

"The steel stocks tend to go through boom and bust cycles depending on global economic activity; they have been pummeled over the last year, as the global economy slowed," notes turnaround expert George Putnam.

In his The Turnaround Letter, he explains, "But the news about steel is not all bad." Indeed, he believes some steel companies are poised for a turnaround. Here's his review of 6 leading steel production companies.

"Weakness in two big steel consuming industries, autos and construction, has been particularly troublesome for the steelmakers.

"However, there is evidence that steel inventories are gradually being worked off to low levels. There are also signs that economic activity in China, which is a huge consumer of steel, will not fall off as far as some economists initially feared.

Continue reading Steel: Six stocks with strong turnaround potential

Options Update: Intel volatility near eight-month lows into EU fine of $1.45 billion

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) is recently up 17 cents to $15.38 in pre-open trading. INTC was fined $1.45 billion by the European Union for using rebates to impede competition. INTC said orders and billing so far in the June quarters have been better than INTC originally expected. INTC May 15 straddle is priced at 63 cents, June 15 is priced at $1.65. INTC option implied volatility of 44 is below its 26-week average of 52, according to Track Data suggesting decreasing price movement.

Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) closed at $26.23. MT has recently announced it would make layoffs and idle iron-producing operations. MT June option implied volatility of 80 is below its 26-week average of 93, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

ArcelorMittal (MT) might shut down mines to cut costs

MT logoArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT - option chain) shares are headed higher today after the company announced it may close two of its Siberian coal mines temporarily in order to reduce costs during the economic downturn. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MT.

MT opened this morning at $19.41. So far today the stock has hit a low of $18.54 and a high of $19.49. As of 11:30, MT is trading at $19.09, up 1.41 (8.0%). The chart for MT looks neutral.

Continue reading ArcelorMittal (MT) might shut down mines to cut costs

Earnings highlights: Viacom, UBS, RIM, ArcelorMittal, Lions Gate, McAfee and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Viacom, UBS, RIM, ArcelorMittal, Lions Gate, McAfee and others

The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi

It's about that time again: Pepsi vs. Coke. No, not another taste test or another Battle of the Brands. It's time for the next quarterly results from these two soft drink titans.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate that PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP), global beverage and snack food giant, will report fourth-quarter earnings this week that are 9.1% higher that a year ago, or $0.88 per share. Revenue is expected to total $12.8 billion, which is 3.9% higher than last year. For the full year, the profit is expected to be $3.67 per share on revenue of $43.4 billion, up from $3.38 per share on $39.5 billion in 2007. PepsiCo's earnings met or beat estimates in four of the past five quarters, but missed by only two cents per share in the third quarter. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy PEP. The share price fell to a 52-week low in January and is now 24.4% lower than it was a year ago. During the fourth quarter, PepsiCo declared a $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, agreed to acquire a Spitz International, and announced investments in China and Mexico.

Continue reading The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 12, 2012: 04:16 AM

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