ArchCoal posts
FeedPosted Jun 10th 2009 8:40AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) a coal company, closed at $35.68. BTU is expected to report Q2 EPS in late July. BTU June option implied volatility is at 62, July is at 61; below its 26-week average of 74, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE) closed at $24.70. MEE June option implied volatility is at 84; July is at 78; below its 26-week average of 91; according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price fluctuations.
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) closed at $18.82. ACI June and July option implied volatility of 68 is below its 26-week average of 83 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Jan 5th 2009 9:30AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) closed at $18.50 Friday. ACI January and February option implied volatility of 87 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE), a coal miner, closed at $16.19 Friday. MEE is scheduled to report Q4 EPS in the February option cycle. MEE February option implied volatility of 108 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price fluctuations.
Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) closed at $32.15 Friday. CNX has two principle business units: coal and gas. CNX February option implied volatility of 90 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Alpha Natural (NYSE: ANR), an Appalachian coal producer, closed at $18.38 Friday. ANR February option implied volatility of 107 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), a coal company, closed at $25.06 Friday. BTU is expected to report Q4 EPS in late January. January and February option implied volatility of 97 is above its 26-week average of 89, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted May 1st 2008 1:25PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) is fired up from its first quarter earnings; the results were well above analysts expectations," notes Joseph Hargett.
And with 13.5 million shares of the stock sold short, the analyst with Schaeffer's Research explains, "Shorts account for about 9.5% of the stock's float, which could result in a short squeeze." Here is his review.
"Net income nearly tripled to $81.1 million, or 56 cents per share. Revenue for the auarter rose to $699.4 million from $571.3 million. For the year, Arch Coal lifted its earnings estimate to a range of $2.40 to $2.80 per share, versus Wall Street's consensus view for $2.43 per share.
"Digging into the report, the company noted that profit margins were particularly wide in the Central Appalachia region, while higher prices for coal and cost controls also contributed to the results. Arch noted that the average sales price per ton rose 9.7% to $18.49 from $16.85, while the cash cost per ton rose less than 1% to $13.05 from $12.93.
Continue reading Arch Coal (ACI): All fired up
Posted Apr 21st 2008 2:08PM by Eliza Popescu (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, Economic Data, Commodities

Despite a tumbling economy where recession fears gain ground each day, the good times are rolling for coal producer
Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:
ACI) which reported this morning that its
first-quarter profit nearly tripled. For this period, the company counted strong demand and higher fuel prices. Wall Street expressed enthusiasm over its surprising earnings numbers by pushing the stock to a new 52-week high.
The coal producer said its profit increased during the first quarter to $81.1 million. This is a significant jump from the same period of last year when the company reported a profit of $28.7 million. Arch Coal posted quarterly earnings of 56 cents per share, topping analysts' predictions for earnings of 46 cents per share.
Taking a look at the company's quarterly revenue, we see a growth of 22% to $699.4 million as prices have
almost doubled during the past year. The company also said it sold 34.3 million tons of coal in the first quarter compared with 31.4 million tons in the same period a year ago. Analysts had forecast $686.8 million in revenue, according to Thomson Financial.
Continue reading Arch Coal (ACI) profit triples in first-quarter on higher prices
Posted Apr 10th 2008 2:15PM by Larry Schutts (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Technical Analysis, Stocks to Buy
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) is
engaged in mining, processing, and marketing coal. The company produces about 130 million tons a year from more than 20 mines in the western US and central Appalachia. It has proven and probable reserves of about 2.9 billion tons. The low-ash coal used to fire electric utility boilers accounts for most of the company's revenues. The firm provides the fuel for approximately 6% of the electricity generated in the United States. It also supplies steel producers and industrial facilities.
Arch affirmed FY08 earnings guidance, earlier in the week. Management said it expected EPS of $2.00-$2.50, versus Street consensus of $2.42. The CEO noted that U.S. coal requirements are expected to soar this year, ensuring that prices will remain strong.
Continue reading Arch Coal (ACI): Share price consolidates in bullish 'flag'
Posted Feb 15th 2008 10:52AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Whole Foods Market (WFMI)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The coal sector, independent refiners and Alexion Pharmaceuticals were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Goldman downgraded the coal sector to Cautious from Neutral, citing valuations and expectations for lower coal prices. The firm downgraded CONSOL Energy (NYSE: CNX) Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) to Neutral from Buy and Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) to Sell from Neutral.
- Lehman downgraded independent refiners, including Alon USA Energy (NYSE: ALJ), to Negative from Neutral and continues to believe that 2H07 marked an inflection point for U.S. refiners, which are transitioning from a multiyear up-cycle into a new downtrend.
- Alexion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALXN) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia following the company's Q4 results, as they believe management's revenue guidance represents a best-case scenario.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- Lehman lowered Bayer (OTC: BAYRY) to Equal Weight from Overweight and Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Posted Feb 7th 2008 12:20PM by Larry Schutts (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Technical Analysis, Stocks to Buy
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) is
engaged in mining, processing, and marketing coal. The company produces about 130 million tons a year from more than 20 mines in the western US and central Appalachia. It has proven and probable reserves of about 2.9 billion tons. The low-ash coal used to fire electric utility boilers accounts for most of the firm's revenues. Arch provides the fuel for approximately 6% of the electricity generated in the United States. It also supplies steel producers and industrial facilities.
The company pleased investors last week, when it reported Q4 EPS of 56 cents and revenues of $644.4 million. Analysts had been looking for 47 cents and $641.1 million. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $2.00-$2.50, versus Street consensus of $2.43. Friedman Billings and Lehman Brothers subsequently reiterated "outperform" and "overweight" recommendations, respectively. JP Morgan upgraded the issue to "overweight". Price targets of $70-$72 were declared.
Continue reading Arch Coal (ACI): Shares forming bullish 'flag'
Posted Oct 26th 2007 8:40AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Middle East, Oil, Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer explains why the unique dynamic of oil as a commodity gives alternative fuels a "magic" price point.Boy, that ethanol is cheap. It's cheap if we use corn, and it is even cheaper if we use soy. It doesn't matter how much it costs or how much infrastructure is needed, it's become the low-cost gasoline even with the stupid unnecessary subsidies.
Amazing, isn't it? But that's why
Monsanto (NYSE:
MON) (
Cramer's Take) and
Bunge (NYSE:
BG) (
Cramer's Take) are so cheap and why all of the various "sun" stocks are inexpensive. Oil at $92, going to who knows where, is going to make all of these unnaturally natural alternatives the low-cost fuels.
There are a lot of fuels that are cheaper to produce than oil now, particularly if you read Chris Edmond's unbelievably good series out of the Middle East. It's all demand-on-fire, supply disappearing that is controlling the price. It isn't Nigerian terrorism or Iranian intransigence or Iraqi-Turk tensions.
Those are all just headline terms by writers searching for a reason to write about oil jumping. They have no choice. They can't keep writing "because supply is outstripped by demand," even though that's what is happening.
In a sense, we have a fabulous opportunity as a country to make some headway here on domestic security because of this umbrella. Even coal, which will now never amount to much given the Democrats' desire to stop global warming, becomes too viable to ignore as the rallies in
Peabody Energy (NYSE:
BTU) (
Cramer's Take) and
Arch Coal (NYSE:
ACI) (
Cramer's Take) show.
So, the endless moves up will continue. I have never seen a commodity that has no price at which demand tapers. So anything with a price point of $80 or less is now a go.
Including all crops that will burn.
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RELATED LINKS:
The Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street This Week
The 'Hannah Montana' Stock IndexJim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.
Posted Aug 29th 2007 10:43AM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Bad News, Polo Ralph Lauren'A' (RL), Stocks to Sell
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Papa John's (PZZA), Wynn Resorts (WYNN), SourceForge (LNUX), Cathay Pacific (CPCAY) and Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Matrix downgraded shares of Papa John's (NASDAQ: PZZA) to Hold from Strong Buy to reflect minimal improvement to fundamentals and negative free cash flow trends.
- Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN) was downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform based on valuation as the firm believes shares fully reflect solid Las Vegas & Macau fundamentals and the company's development pipeline.
- SourceForge (NASDAQ: LNUX) was cut to Underperform from Market perform at JMP Securities, with a $3 target, following the disappointing results.
- Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE: AJG) was cut to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns as they believe margin expansion will be lower than expected, softening insurance pricing will impact organic growth, and cites managements acquisition desires over aggressive repurchases...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- Morgan Stanley cut Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) to Underwieght from Overweight.
- JP Morgan downgraded Sonic (NASDAQ: SONC) to Neutral from Overweight.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).Posted Jul 18th 2007 11:13AM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Bad News, Intel (INTC), Novartis AG ADS (NVS)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Novartis AG (NVS), Intel (INTC), Total S.A. (TOT), Syniverse Holdings, Inc (SVR) and Kindred Healthcare (KND) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Merrill cut Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Neutral from Buy based on a lack of near-term catalysts. Credit Suisse downgraded shares of the company to Underperform from Neutral on expectations of slowing sales growth in 2H07.
- JMP Securities downgraded Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) to Market Perform from Outperform based on valuation and lower estimates.
- JP Morgan cut Total S.A. (NYSE: TOT) to Neutral from Overweight on valuation.
- Syniverse (NYSE: SVR) was cut to Strong Sell from Sell at Matrix USA as competition in North America is creating a cut in Network Services and Number Portability Services revenue.
- Kindred Healthcare (NYSE: KND) was cut to Underperform from Market Perform at Wachovia based on valuation...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- DaVita (NYSE: DVA) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).Posted Jun 18th 2007 8:11PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Tonight on CNBC's
Mad Money, Jim Cramer said that recent pushes out of Democrats are now backing new coal initiatives for converting coal to fuel. His first two coal producers in the sector are
Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:
ACI) and
CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:
CNX). Arch Coal is riskier because its coal is somewhat uncommitted in 2008 and 2009. Cramer did say that CONSOL could even try to covert to a Master Limited partnership. But Cramer's favorite coal stock is
Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:
BTU). He likes where it is placed and he thinks coal will rise to catch up to oil as far as gains. Peabody can sell to China and India and it's down over $9.00 from its highs. The company is also going to spin off its Appalachian assets to focus on growth, and that will take the stock higher when it occurs. He thinks it has 41 years of production in reserves.
The sad thing is that coal is something we are stuck with. I know coal is filthy and it contributes to global warming or whatever the powers that be want us to call it now. Yet I also know that it is perhaps the cheapest form of energy and that even if the U.S. went 100% to clean coal, China, India, and many other nations have very little chance of getting around the use of coal. The buildouts for power plants and for power-generating facilities in so many parts of the world will just take too long to build and there are too many very new "clean" or "cleaner" coal power plants in the US that will be operating for many years into the future. The gasification of coal is also something that can theoretically be done as an alternative energy as well, so like it or not it's probably a safe bet that we are stuck with coal for a long time to come.
Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.Posted Jun 18th 2007 11:01AM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Bad News, Halliburton (HAL), U.S. Steel (X)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The more noteworthy downgrades today included eFunds Corp (EFD), Halliburton Co (HAL), Coventry Health Care, Inc (CVH), Fording Canadian Coal Trust (FDG) and US Steel Corp (X):
- Citigroup downgraded shares of eFunds Corp (NYSE: EFD) to Sell from Hold to reflect an unfavorable risk/reward as they see little upside if the company sells itself and significant downside due to recent operational issues if the company is not sold.
- Bear Stearns cut Coventry Health (NYSE: CVH) to Peer Perform from Outperform based on valuation.
- UBS cut US Steel Group (NYSE: X) to Reduce from Neutral based on valuation.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- Matrix cut CBRL Group (NASDAQ: CBRL) to Sell from Hold.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).Posted Dec 5th 2006 11:14AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades
MOST NOTEWORTHY:
- General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:GD) was the only noteworthy company initiated today; Caris initiated the military equipment-maker with an Average rating based on valuation.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Merriman initiated Bankrate Inc. (NASDAQ:RATE) with a Buy rating; the firm said Bankrate has a number of attractive assets and competitive strengths that include a high level of direct-to-site traffic, high quality traffic, pricing leverage and strong management.
- Deutsche Bank started Color Kinetics Inc. (NASDAQ:CLRK) with a Buy rating and $23 target, as it believes Color Kinetics is an attractive play on the rapid adoption of LEDs.
- HSBC initiated Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) and Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:ACI) with Overweight ratings.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Posted Sep 27th 2006 2:31PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television
Jim Cramer on today's STOP TRADING segment violated his show's title: he essentially said KEEP TRADING.
Last night he was calling for a "mom-back," essentially a "back up the truck and buy" bias on the entire market. He has been positive, particularly, on techs and drug stocks, as they lead the market higher.
He said it is the most "stealth bull market" he has seen. May 11 was essentially the peak of oil, said Cramer, and it is now bouncing and may go lower. He thinks oil stocks have been trying to find a bottom, and says the market rally has legs.
As for analyst earnings estimates? Too low.
Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ACI) is one that is too far off and he has noted it as a possibility as a buyout target for a big oil company down the road. He also noted Massey Energy Company (NYSE:MEE) might be a target.
Jon Ogg is a partner in
24/7 Wall St.; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.