Here's a shocker: India's central bank just bought 200 tons of gold.

India paid $6.7 billion to the International Monetary Fund for the gold, securing the equivalent of 8% of the world's annual production. India's move is a clear signal that Asia is moving away from the U.S. dollar.

India's finance minister said the reason for the purchase was that the economies of Europe and the US had "collapsed."

Today was one of those up-days that might be a disappointment to many bulls because the gap-ups were not met by follow-on buying throughout the day. A better weekly joblessness report may have been muted by Asian central banks intervening to protect the US Dollar.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,786.79 +61.21 (0.63%)
S&P 500 1,065.31 +7.73 (0.73%)
Nasdaq 2,124.41 +14.08 (0.67%)

Top analyst upgrades and downgrades
Top market rumors
Top day trader alerts

An equity bull? Under these economic conditions? Indeed, they do exist, Fidelity International President Anthony Bolton is one, and he has two words for the future: emerging markets.

"Low growth means low interest rates, and actually that's one of the best environments for stock-market investing," Bolton, who oversees about $141 billion, told Bloomberg News Tuesday. "Anything that can show growth in this low-growth environment is going to be bid up by investors. It's very pro the emerging-market world versus the developed world."

Higher fuel prices and slipping demand for air travel have prompted a change. The International Air Transport Association revised its forecast of global airline losses for the year from $9 billion to $11 billion. Revenues for the air travel industry are expected to fall 15% to $455 billion worldwide. Passenger traffic is anticipated to fall by 4%, with cargo dropping 14% for the year.

Financially, IATA CEO Giovanni Bisignani says the impact of the financial crisis has been more severe than the terror attacks of eight years ago.

Analyst upgrades:

• Thomas Weisel upgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Overweight from Market Weight due to accelerating manufacturing cost declines, potential NAND flash sourcing upside at Toshiba (OTC: TOSBF) and Samsung and an increase in 2H09 demand.
  
• Oppenheimer upgraded Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) to Perform from Underperform to reflect potential benefits from the stimulus package and channel checks that indicated IT budgets are stabilizing. The firm raised its target price on shares to $54 from $40.
  
• RBC Capital upgraded OSI Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: OSIP) to Outperform from Sector Perform following positive Tarceva survey results and cites valuation.
• Marriott (NYSE: MAR) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities.
  
• Grainger (NYSE: GWW) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  
• Duncan Energy Partners (NASDAQ: DEP) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable, global trend as a support. And with the aforementioned in mind, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE: KMB) is worth a review.

In general, analysts expect a sales decline of 4-6% for KMB in FY2009, including a negative foreign currency effect. Kimberly is being hurt by both the recession -- which has prompted widespread belt-tightening by consumers -- and by increased competition. The First Call FY2009/FY2010 EPS estimates for KMB are $4.16 to $4.64.

"The Chinese Dragon strikes again," says small cap expert Jim Oberweis, Jr., adding, "So far in 2009, the MSCI China Index is up 30% and our Oberweis China Opportunities Fund (OBCHX) has gained 62%."

In his The Oberweis Report, he says, "China will be a great place to invest over the medium-to-long term, even if unpredictable in the short term."

Here, the advisor and money manager reveals four stocks that he considers "some of the most interesting Chinese ADRs to buy now: E-House (NYSE: EJ), Asia Info Holdings (NASDAQ: ASIA), New Oriental Education (NYSE: EDU), and Longtop Financial (NYSE: LFT).

You might say that a key investor, one of the exemplars, is no longer bullish on the pure bulls. Or on the unregulated bulls. Or on the totally free market bulls.

Billionaire investor George Soros told Bloomberg News that the current global financial crisis originated during the deregulation of the 1980s, and signals the end of the free market model that has dominated capitalist countries, and indeed much of the developed world, since the the end of the Cold War with the break-up of the Soviet Union in 1991.

In the economic analysis field, there are forecast revisions, and then there are 'gappers,' and Wednesday's IMF revision is definitely a gapper.

The International Monetary Fund now expects 2009 global GDP growth to total a scant 0.5% - - down from the 1.7% GDP growth it forecast in November 2008, as the bad debt-led U.S. recession contracts economies from Germany to Russia to emerging markets in Asia.

Further, the IMF also now sees 2009 bank losses from toxic assets totaling as much as $2.2 trillion, up from its previous $1.4 trillion estimate announced in October 2008.

Oil prices flirted with the psychological $40 barrier today after a report from the U.S. government showed that inventories swelled much more than expected last week.

Going into today's weekly inventory report, analysts had been expecting to see in crude inventories of around 1.9 million barrels. While that would have been a bearish indicator in its own right, the actual figures were a much more bearish reality that U.S. demand is still not picking up as we would like, as actual oil inventories rose by a massive 6.1 million barrels for the week.

It's been a tough day all around for oil, as the market has been hit not only with today's bearish inventory report, but also news earlier in the day that new home construction in December hit an all time low, and that Asian economies have been extremely hard hit with recessions of their own.

Those investors and business executives expecting a return to 'giddy' global growth after the U.S. and global economies start to recover need to pay careful attention to one of the world's leading economists.

"Those expecting the world to return to 5% growth will be in for quite a surprise," Stephen Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia Ltd. (NYSE: MS) told Bloomberg News Friday. "We're maybe going back to 3% [global] growth but we're not going back to 5% growth for some time. So it's a wake up call. We've gone from boom to bust in one year."

Further, the International Monetary Fund agrees, by and large. The IMF now sees global GDP growth of 2.2% in 2009, which is down from solid 5.0% growth in 2007 and 5.1% in 2006. In 2008, the IMF expects the global economy to grow 3.7%, but only 2.5% on a Q4 2007 to Q4 2008, year-over-year basis.

A major unknown: China's 2009 economy

Economist David H. Wang told BloggingStocks Friday, economist Roach "is wise to both lower expectations and to sound the alarm" because economic fundamentals in all major economic regions of the world have deteriorated in 2008, and will continue to do so in 2009.

Just call it another data point confirming the breadth and depth of the global economic slowdown. Freeport-McMoRan Wednesday suspended its dividend and cut production by 5% in 2009 and 11% in 2010, due to a sharp decline in prices, the company announced (pdf).

Freeport said it will reduce capital spending by $1.2 billion, a gargantuan 50% reduction from its previous estimate for 2009 capital spending. The company also suspended its $2 annual dividend.

Shares of Freeport (NYSE: FCX) Tuesday closed up 91 cents to $21.82 amid a broader market rally, but are declining $4.02, or over 18%, in premarket trading (8:27 am).

For the cutbacks, Freeport cited a large decrease in key commodity prices stemming from declining demand. Copper prices have declined to an average price of $1.69 per pound in November, compared to a nine-month average of $3.61 per pound as of September. Molybdenum prices have decline to $9 per pound as of December, compared to about $30 per pound in mid-October.

While you were sleeping, Asian markets followed the U.S. down. Japan's Nikkei lost 9.6% as a real estate investment trust and an insurance company -- Yamoto Life -- filed for bankruptcy. Markets in Hong Kong, Korea, Australia, Singapore and Thailand fell between 6.5% and 8%. In Europe, markets opened down 10%. Fear is rampant with the volatility index (VIX), a measure of fear, closing at an all time high of 63.92.

By chance, there is a meeting of G7 finance ministers in Washington this weekend, and there will be a push to do something by Sunday night. I think it would be a triumph if everyone in the meeting could agree on a common definition of the key problem: the freezing up of short-term lending markets (the TED Spread, a measure of short-term lending risk, hit a record 4.23%), the lack of capital in the global banking system, or investors fleeing the stock market.

Why would this help? Part of the reason that global efforts so far have failed is that there does not appear to be a common understanding of what is wrong and what it will take to fix it. This has been reflected in uncoordinated tactics -- flooding the markets with liquidity, cutting interest rates, guaranteeing money market funds, injecting capital into banks -- in the UK only -- and our DOA $700 billion reverse auction plan.

I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with Edmund Harriss, investment director of Guinness Atkinson Asset Management, who continues to like Asia despite its big selloff.

Q. Your Asia Focus Fund and China & Hong Kong Fund have stellar three- and five-year returns, but have not been immune from the recent global market slowdown. Many commentators have forecast the end of the China "bubble," cautioning that after the Olympics, China's fortunes may suffer. But you disagree, correct?

A. I believe China's growth prospects still look good in spite of the global slowdown. China's economy has benefited in the past from an export boom, and this will be hit by slowing demand from the US and Europe. But we should not forget that China has a substantial domestic economy which, although linked to external trade, does not depend on it exclusively. The Olympic Games caused production to slow as factories were closed to reduce pollution during the Games, but we now expect that to pick up.

China's prospects can still be heavily influenced by policy decisions which are backed up with significant reserves and budget surpluses. Since last year, the authorities have maintained a tightening bias as inflation rose to a peak of 8.7%. Now, [with inflation] at 6.3% in July and set to fall further, the government has shifted to a pro-growth bias. We expect to see some concrete announcements, which could include energy price adjustments to address the recent supply shortages of electricity and diesel fuel; tax boosts to support exporters; selected easing of bank lending controls, and slower currency appreciation against the US dollar.

Q. What is your near- and long-term forecast for the region?

One wouldn't call it the best week in the world for OPEC.

Once again, the world's best-known cartel has demonstrated that the coalition is not as cohesive or harmonious as a symphony orchestra.

Saudi Arabia, in confidential communications, let it be known that the kingdom would ignore the stated intent of other cartel members and continue to pump plenty of oil, The New York Times reported.

On Wednesday, OPEC announced that members would redouble effort to adhere to production quotas -- not exceed them as some members typically do -- an effort that, if effective, would be tantamount to a roughly 500,000-barrel per day cut in production, The Times reported.

OPEC's hawkish members said lower production is needed to eliminate what it believes is an oversupply in the market, and they cited this as the reason oil's price has fallen about 30% in two months to the $100-range, Bloomberg News reported. Oil closed Friday up 31 cents to $101.18 per barrel.