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Option update: Assured Guaranty volatility spikes on possible debt downgrade

Assured Guaranty (NYSE: AGO) is recently down $8.77 to $9.95. Moody's said it placed AGO debt under review for possible downgrade. AGO has a triple-A-rated credit rating.

Wilbur Ross announced on Feb. 29 the agreement to invest $1 billion in AGO, a Bermuda-based holding company that provides credit enhancement products. AGO August option implied volatility of 195 is above its 26-week average of 69 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update: Assured Guaranty volatility decreases after Wilbur Ross's investment

Assured Guaranty (NYSE: AGO) closed at $25.65 Friday.

Wilbur Ross announced on Feb. 29 the agreement to purchase $250 million of AGO common stock as well as a commitment to purchase up to $750 million additional shares at AGO's option for one year after the closing of the initial investment at 97% of the volume weighted average price of the common shares for the 15 days prior to the notice of investment.

AGO is a Bermuda-based holding company that provides credit enhancement products.

AGO overall option implied volatility of 54 is below its 26-week average of 64 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing risk.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Wilbur Ross backs up Assured Guaranty

Wilbur Ross may like to invest in distressed companies, but it looks like some of the teetering bond insurers may be too much even for him. According to Forbes.com, today he put an end to speculations about shoring up a troubled insurer by announcing he would be investing nearly $1 billion in the relatively stable Assured Guaranty(NYSE:AGO), a Bermuda-based reinsurer.

Some on Wall Street had hoped Ross could put his cash muscle behind on of the insurers that struggling, such as AMBAC Financial Group(NYSE:ABK). But Ross is playing it safer in these turbulent financial markets.

According to Marketwatch, Ross insists that the first $250 million is not "rescue capital". "The idea is to enhance their position for internal growth." he said. So more deals may be in the future.

The markets like the news as shares of AGO are up today a little over 10%.

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Last updated: December 02, 2008: 10:55 AM

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