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AutoZone's Q2: Is the Stock's Fuel Tank Still Full?

AutoZone (AZO), a distributor of replacement items for motorized vehicles, posted a very good second quarter on Tuesday. Net sales increased 4%, and earnings per diluted share went into high gear, rising over 21% to $2.46. According to our earnings preview, the analysts were expecting only $2.34 per share.

Gross margin experienced an expansion, as did the return on invested capital metric (the latter being measured over the trailing four quarters). Both of these developments indicate that execs are skillfully managing the underlying fundamentals of the business. Domestic same-store sales didn't rise as robustly as they did back during the first quarter, moving up only 1%. I would have liked to have seen a better stat on that one, but overall, I'm not going to complain too much, unless I detect a weakening trend in coming months.

Continue reading AutoZone's Q2: Is the Stock's Fuel Tank Still Full?

Japan's New Finance Minister Wants a Stronger Dollar, Weaker Yen

Japan's new Finance Minister Naoto Kan is on record saying he wants to see a weaker yen, CNNMoney.com reported Thursday.

And, as they say in the foreign exchange, 'easier said than done.' The yen has risen to a level versus the dollar that's a concern to Japan's auto makers. Although the yen is roughly unchanged versus the dollar since January 2009, it's strengthened about 15% versus the dollar since the onset of the global financial crisis' acute stage in August/September 2008.

The significance? Japan's automakers must raise prices on cars/vehicles exported to the U.S. to protect profit margins of vehicles priced in dollars: if they don't those margins will shrink.

Continue reading Japan's New Finance Minister Wants a Stronger Dollar, Weaker Yen

Why are GM and Chrysler shutting down dealerships for no reason?

In an almost unprecedented case of federal bureaucratic meddling in what should be business decisions, GM and Chrysler have agreed to set up an "appeals" process to give dumped dealerships a chance to plead their case for retaining their franchises.

GM and Chrysler came under intense pressure from Congress when they announced plans to close dealerships, largely because the National Automobile Dealers Association is one of the most powerful lobbying groups in the country.

Continue reading Why are GM and Chrysler shutting down dealerships for no reason?

Banks subsidizing auto TARP, extra money could be spent

The bailouts of late 2008 and 2009 have cost the American taxpayers $61 billion, according to the Treasury Department, but the banks aren't to blame this time. The auto manufacturer bailout, which includes Chrysler and General Motors (GRM), has cost the country more than $30 billion, with American International Group (AIG) consuming another $30 billion.

Meanwhile, Bank of America (BAC) has already made good with the government, and several banks -- such as Capital One (COF), JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and TCF Financial (TCB) -- only have to clean up situations regarding the warrants they've issued. And interestingly, the losses from the bailouts on AIG and auto manufacturers are being offset by profits from the bank bailouts, which could generate additional funds of up to $19.5 billion.

Continue reading Banks subsidizing auto TARP, extra money could be spent

AutoZone drives through analyst expectations in Q1

AutoZone (AZO) is in the fast lane. The stock has done reasonably well this year, and the first-quarter report, released on Tuesday, shows that the company still knows how to drive earnings growth.

According to the company's earnings report, sales increased well over 7% and earnings per share expanded by better than 26%. Income was pegged at $2.82 per share. That was way above the call. Our earnings preview indicates an expectation of $2.66 per share. Clearly, management is doing something right.

Continue reading AutoZone drives through analyst expectations in Q1

Pep Boys tops estimates by a penny in the second quarter, comps decline

The Pep Boys -- Manny, Moe & Jack (NYSE: PBY) issued Q2 earnings on Tuesday after the bell. The aftermarket service business for automobiles, whose related companies include AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) and AutoNation (NYSE: AN), said net sales fell about 2%, and earnings per share increased 50% to 15 cents. The earnings growth was actually better than that since there were a couple of items in the previous year's quarter that benefited the bottom line.

According to Reuters, the expectation was for 14 cents per share in net income. Yep, we got the beat-by-a-penny cliche in full effect here. Management credited cost containment and service sales as drivers for the quarter.

Continue reading Pep Boys tops estimates by a penny in the second quarter, comps decline

With Cash for Clunkers gone, where does the auto industry go now?

Now that Cash For Clunkers is over, the auto industry has a problem: Where will car sales come from now?

Everyone who had an old car and wanted a new one took advantage of the Cash For Clunkers plan -- who is going to go buy a new car the day after the government stopped paying people $4,500 to buy cars?

J.D. Power and Associates reduced its 2010 sales forecast to 11.5 million units from 11.6 million -- citing the impact of Cash For Clunkers. In other words, a big part of what Cash For Clunkers did was borrow sales from the future and front-load them, and now there's nowhere to go for car sales now.

Continue reading With Cash for Clunkers gone, where does the auto industry go now?

General Motors goes back to car leasing: A sad day for consumers

Back in August of 2008, General Motors pulled out of car leasing altogether, citing slumping demand, declining resale values, and financing problems. Now the company, in partnership with GMAC, is planning to reenter the leasing market on August 1st of this year.

The Wall Street Journal
reports that the final plan is still being worked out, but the Cadillac CTS, "which competes in a luxury market that is heavily dependent on the availability of lease deals," is likely to be among the models included in the leasing line-up.

Continue reading General Motors goes back to car leasing: A sad day for consumers

15 states now have more than 10% unemployment

Unemployment continues to riseAccording to a report today from the Labor Department, 15 states now have unemployment rates above 10%.

The most recent states to see unemployment above 10% are the southern states of Georgia and Alabama. The worst hit state remains Michigan, where the collapse of America's auto industry is having its biggest impact on jobs. Unemployment in Michigan is now sitting at 15.2%.

Continue reading 15 states now have more than 10% unemployment

Surprisingly, Goldman Sachs raised the auto sector to Attractive

This morning, Goldman Sachs felt it prudent to up its view of the U.S. auto sector to Attractive from Neutral. The brokerage stated that it would use any current weakness as an opportunity to build positions. If, like me, you are questioning Goldman's strategy, the firm explained, "Despite the significant rally in auto shares since the February lows, we think we are still in the middle phase of a cyclical rebound in the auto sector."

In its note to clients, Goldman Sachs predicted, "improved affordability, improving confidence and significant pent-up demand as likely to offset the impact from gas prices and deliver significantly more upside in the space as auto sales gain momentum."

Continue reading Surprisingly, Goldman Sachs raised the auto sector to Attractive

Obama says 'reasonable probability' of getting paid back on auto loans

The average American family of four has, against its will, invested over $900 in the Detroit auto industry so it's fair to ask: Will we be getting our money back?

President Obama's auto task force told lawmakers yesterday that there is a "reasonable probability" that the federal government will be paid back. I don't buy that and here's why: Liquidation analysis of GM suggests that there would be just $10 billion in net proceeds from a liquidation. Given that the government has $80 billion invested in the industry with little collateral, long-time money losers like GM and Chrysler will need to earn spectacular returns on equity to pay back their loans. I just don't see it happening. Do you?

Continue reading Obama says 'reasonable probability' of getting paid back on auto loans

Unemployment continues its rise in April

Jobless claimsThe employment data is in for April, and it is not a pretty picture, as all but 6 states in the country saw increases in the number of jobless claims.

We all hope that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is right, and the economy is going to start to turn around in the latter part of this year, but even the most optimistic forecasters agree that unemployment is going to continue to rise, possibly above 10% before the worst is over.

Continue reading Unemployment continues its rise in April

General Motors tops expectations with a $6 billion loss in the first quarter

The earnings news isn't great for General Motors (NYSE: GM) this morning, but the company did manage to lose less money than expected. The struggling American automaker announced that it lost $6 billion during the quarter and spent $10.2 billion more cash than it received. Excluding items, GM lost $9.78 per share -- far greater than a year ago when the firm lost 67 cents per share.

Despite results being far worse than a year ago, GM managed to top expectations of a loss of $11.39 per share. GM's quarterly revenue dropped 47% to $22.4 billion from $42.4 billion a year ago.

[Update: GM will need another $2.6 billion in U.S. aid in May, CFO Ray Young said on a conference call.]

Continue reading General Motors tops expectations with a $6 billion loss in the first quarter

If recession gallows humor offends you, do not watch this video

The comedic geniuses over at The Onion have come up with a brilliant idea for a reality show: Two teams of autoworkers at two factories competing to keep their jobs in a series of challenges -- complete with a host with an accent.

I realize that the situation facing many autoworkers is tragic, and some people may find this offensive. But I promise that watching this video and even forwarding it on to your friends won't harm the pension fund of a single worker.

Continue reading If recession gallows humor offends you, do not watch this video

Will labor costs kill the Chrysler-Fiat partnership?

Reports have surfaced in London that Italian automaker Fiat is ready to walk away from the Chrysler deal. The bone of contention is high labor costs. The Italian firm has given the U.S. auto firm and Canadian and American labor unions until the end of the month to "significantly reduce labor costs." This revelation was made in an interview of Fiat's CEO Sergio Marchionne in the Canadian newspaper the Globe and Mail. Fiat wants Chrysler to lower the labor costs to Japanese and German plants levels.

The problem facing Chrysler is that the deal with Fiat is its last chance to stay out of bankruptcy. With Fiat ready to walk away from the deal, the North American unions had better agree to the demands or face some job losses. Let's not forget that Chrysler was given 30 days to complete the merger with Fiat or the American firm would be cut off from the government funding it is currently existing on.

Continue reading Will labor costs kill the Chrysler-Fiat partnership?

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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 05:12 PM

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