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Barron's sees ethanol stocks poised for a rebound

While many of us may think that ethanol companies are not a reliable investment, Barron's asks us to reconsider our thoughts, pointing out to a bright futures for those stocks. People's worries about ethanol companies came as a result of soaring crude oil prices. Thus, the general tendency was to use corn-based alcohol as a substitute for gasoline. The negative reaction was an immediate consequence, and a top official of the United Nations has named ethanol as a "crime against a great part of humanity" as it lead to higher food costs.

Barron's points out three ethanol producers, VeraSun Energy Corp. (NYSE: VSE), Aventine Renewable Energy (NYSE: AVR), and Pacific Ethanol Inc. (NASDAQ: PEIX), which faced difficult time over the past year, although they saw a nice rebound recently after reporting first-quarter operating profits, and Congress passed a farm bill.

Looking ahead, the companies showed optimism related to their further production based on projected 2009 capacity. This takes into account the completion of plants under construction when talking about Aventine and VeraSun. Thus, VeraSun has a projected production of 1.6 billion gallons, Aventine came with 433 million, while Pacific Ethanol has a projected production of 220 million.

Continue reading Barron's sees ethanol stocks poised for a rebound

Option update: Ethanol producers volatility up as shares at record lows

Pacific Ethanol (NASDAQ: PEIX), the largest West Coast-based marketer and producer of ethanol, closed at $4.64 on Tuesday. Goldman Sachs said on November 27: "We are adding PEIX to the Americas Sell List, as we believe that ethanol equities will continue to lag the energy sector and broader stock market." PEIX overall option implied volatility of 75 is above its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

VeraSun Energy (NYSE: VSE) operates as an ethanol producer. VSE closed at $10.14 on Tuesday. Friedman Billings says: "Sources tell us House staff hope to complete draft energy legislation today with hopes of a Floor vote next week. Proposed RFS increases exceed existing expectations for near-year corn ethanol legislative demand increases." VSE overall option implied volatility of 64 is above its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Aventine Renewable Energy (NYSE: AVR) a producer, marketer and end-to-end distributor of ethanol. Corn futures are down 0.56% to 398.50 and WTI Crude futures are at 94.48 according to Bloomberg. AVR overall option implied volatility of 75 is above its 26-week average of 57 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Cramer says sell alt.energy names, buy CROX

from www.247wallst.com.....

On Jim Cramer's STOP TRADING segment on CNBC at 2:45 PM EST, Cramer was discussing how to play oil prices dropping and a crock of something.

Now that oil has gone to $60, Cramer said he is tired of torture House game because that homebuilder group was the best performer over last month.

Cramer says Sell alternative energy stocks, particularly Ethanol plays. He says even sell solar power. He is discussing the stocks, not the technology. They showed SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ:SPWR), FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL), Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:AVR), Verasun Energy Corporation (NYSE:VSE), Ballard Power Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLDP). He said he is talking about the stocks, not the company.

Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) is up 6% and Cramer thinks they will preannounce upside to the quarter tomorrow at an investor conference presentation. He likes the closed toe cold weather and Disney deals. He says they are hot and go higher. He also noted for the short sellers to watch out.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 05:56 AM

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