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BCE Still a Buy

I have reiterated my buy recommendation on Canadian telecommunications giant BCE Inc. (BCE) in the latest issue of The Canada Report newsletter.

I originally advised buying the stock in December 2008 when it was trading at $17.76 following the collapse of a multi-billion dollar bid to take the company private. At the time, I felt that investors were overreacting to the news and throwing out the baby with the bathwater.

Continue reading BCE Still a Buy

Chasing Value: New Years Quick Takes

Can you hear me now? Well listen closely, Verizon Communications (VZ) is going to get a bounce from the Apple Inc. (AAPL) iPhone in 2011. Nothing you don't already know. Is there a more sure thing in the coming year? Long term it will fade some, but in 2011 the pent up demand has to have a positive impact.

Communications: The telephone companies everywhere are going to have a good year. Verizon is a great stock for Roth IRA's, paying a 5.41% yield. The dilution of the iPhone market may hurt AT&T, Inc. (T) some, as VZ is helped, but it too is a good long term hold and pays an even higher yield at 5.76%.

If you want to diversify internationally there are multiple good choices and they pay even higher yields.

Continue reading Chasing Value: New Years Quick Takes

Investing in Canada Pays Off

Welcome to my new Canada Report blog. Here's where you'll find information about profitable investing in America's northern neighbor.

Why should you care? Start with this fact, which may surprise you. Over the five years to Oct. 28, Canada's benchmark stock index, the S&P/TSX Composite, has gained 21.8% -- and remember this period includes the worst market meltdown since the 1930s. What did the S&P 500 do in that time? It lost 1.2%.

There's more. Those figures are in local currencies. In fact, the Canadian dollar has been steadily appreciating against the U.S. greenback since 2002 and is now up more than 60% since that time. So Americans who put some of their money in Canada not only enjoyed stock market profits but they also benefited from exchange rate gains.

Continue reading Investing in Canada Pays Off

Options Update: DJ US Real Estate Index Fund July Volatility Elevated on Wide Price Movement

DJ US Real Estate Index Fund (IYR) closed at $50.04. IYR July put option implied volatility is at 34, September is at 36, December is at 37, above its 26-week average of 30, according to Track Data suggesting larger price movement.

BCE (BCE) closed at $30.01.BCE overall option implied volatility of 23 is near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

IVX Volatility Monitor: CBOE DJ Industrial Average Index (DJX) at 21.1, NASDAQ (NDX) 24.3, Russell 2000 Index (RUT) 31.1 according to IVolatility.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
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Top Picks for 2010: BCE (BCE)

This post is part of a special report, Top Picks for 2010, the 27th annual survey in which TheStockAdvisors.com asks the nation's leading advisors for their single favorite stock for the new year. See all 80 stocks listed here.

Given her concerns about overall market valuation, global expert Vivian Lewis is selecting her top pick from among stocks she calls "dividend payers and fallen angels."

In her Global Investing newsletter, she explains, "I consider BCE (BCE), with its 6% yield, a great buy." Here's her review of the Canada-based telecom company.

Continue reading Top Picks for 2010: BCE (BCE)

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RIMM, MCD, ORLY, CELG, URBN ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Patriot Coal (NYSE: PCX) to Hold from Sell on easing credit and liquidity concerns following the company's guidance. The firm raised its target on the stock to $7.50 from $4.
  • UBS upgraded Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) to Buy from Neutral and raised their target to $90 from $65 as they expect pent-up replacement demand in enterprise to drive 2010 estimates higher and for the consumer smartphone opportunity to grow in 2009 and 2010.
  • Goldman upgraded Suncor (NYSE: SU) to Conviction Buy from Sell and raised their target to $33 from $25 citing their bullish view on crude oil for 2H09 and 2010 and in the company's ability to lower operating and capital costs in the oil sands region.
  • Canadian National (CNI) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Applied Micro Circuits (NASDAQ: AMCC) was lifted at Oppenheimer to Overweight from Neutral.
  • QLogic (NASDAQ: QLGC) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RIMM, MCD, ORLY, CELG, URBN ...

Canadian markets halted due to a glitch -- can it happen in the U.S.?

You can imagine my surprise when I checked the Canadian markets and saw them totally unchanged. After several refreshes when the zeroes didn't budge, I even panicked. Then I saw the headline (how did I miss it before) that trading was halted on the Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange due to a computer glitch. Not only that, but there's also no estimate when trading will resume.

The exchanges have actually failed to open at the regular time of 9:30 a.m. EST, and as one reporter put it "have been dead in the water since." If this is frustrating and stressful for me, I can't imagine what the mood is like on Bay Street; how traders and other market professionals must feel.

I'm not sure what could be done if there are big swings and news out of the U.S. While it's true the Canadian markets don't totally track their American counterparts, as they're heavily weighted in oil and commodities and react to news from those sectors often, they are still affected by what's going on at Canada's biggest trading partner to the south.

Still, it may not be the end of the world as the Canadian holidays also don't exactly follow the American ones and there are days when the TSE is closed while the American markets are open. Also, there are four alternative trading systems in Canada, two at least have reported to be functioning and operational. While volumes there were higher than usual for these system, they were hardly normal for the market as a whole. No doubt, though, these systems will get a boost following this fiasco.

Continue reading Canadian markets halted due to a glitch -- can it happen in the U.S.?

Apollo out of the Huntsman noose

It's been the key question for Huntsman Corporation (NYSE: HUN): Deal or no deal?

Now we know. This week, the company reached an agreement with its private equity sponsor, Apollo Management, to end its $6.5 billion buyout transaction.

For the past six months, the parties have been embroiled in heated litigation with Huntsman getting the edge as the Delaware court ruled that Apollo had to use best efforts to close the deal . As a result, Apollo's settlement is not cheap. The fees come to about $1 billion.

Although, it's a good deal for both parties. Apollo could have lost even more money if the merger agreement had been enforced. As seen with the collapse of the BCE (NYSE: BCE) deal, there is no appetite for multi-billion-dollar deals. And since Huntsman is in a highly cyclical business – specialty chemicals -- it would have likely made it difficult to justify a buyout.

The dispute is far from over, though. Huntsman is still pursuing a lawsuit with its bankers -- Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank -- on the deal. In other words, Huntsman may even snag even more money from the broken deal.

Still, Wall Street isn't too thrilled. In today's session, Huntsman's shares are down 44% to $3.27 by midday trading.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Streetsmart Guide to Short Selling: Techniques the Pros Use to Profit in Any Market. He is also the founder of BizEquity, a valuation website.

Stocks in the news: GM, F, BCE, COST, S, PG, LLY, MRK, AIG

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) -- The House finally approved a bill to speed $14 billion in loans to Detroit's automakers. But it still has to pass in the Senate where Republican opposition derail the emergency aid. If the bill passes, Canada will have added pressure to match any assistance for the Big 3. The Swedes have already presented a $3.4 billion package to help their auto industry. While GM and Chrysler may be short of time as Senate debates the issue, Ford's previous decision to leverage assets could be a saving grace as it doesn't need to tap in to the emergency funds ... yet. GM shares are up 1.7% while Ford's down 2.5% in premarket trade. Both GM and Ford are trading down -- 7.6% and 4.6% respectively by 11 am -- as the Senate debate lingers on.

BCE Inc. (NYSE: BCE) -- what should have been the largest LBO in history is no longer. The group of buyers terminated the deal Thursday, saying an audit found the proposed $35 billion deal did not meet solvency requirements. As this been all but expected, the stock is down 1.6% in premarket trading (8:04 am). BCE shares were down 2.6% by 11 am.

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) reported on Thursday that fiscal first-quarter net income rose slightly thanks to strong results from its gas station operations that helped offset weak consumer demand for pretty much everything but the most essential. While it managed to beat estimates, same-store sales were up by only 1%. COST shares were down 1.4% in premarket trade. COST shares were down 3.2% by 11 am.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: GM, F, BCE, COST, S, PG, LLY, MRK, AIG

Closing bell: Stocks retreat after recent rally; GM, MRK, SFD, FDX, DAL all down, NOK, TXN, NSM, ALTR gain

The market sold off, but the activity was not broad and had little conviction. After days of gains, there was no surprise in it.

It ran like this:

DJIA: 8,669.11 (down 2.97%)

NASDAQ: 1,547.43 (down 1.55%)

S&P 500: 887.23 (down 2.47%)

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) lost some ground on fears of a delay in the proposed $15 billion Congressional bailout plan. After this gained so much yesterday, much of this was in the news already.

Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK) traded down after its annual pipeline review. The event included formal guidance out of the company on its drug pipeline for the next year and general commentary about how many drugs are in the pipeline for 2010 to 2012. Financial guidance did not seem to impress the market.

Continue reading Closing bell: Stocks retreat after recent rally; GM, MRK, SFD, FDX, DAL all down, NOK, TXN, NSM, ALTR gain

Closing Bell: Dow rallies nearly 3%; C, GM soar, BCE plunges

If you ever wondered what a quick stealth 1,000 point move in the DJIA looks like, you just have to look at the move from last week's lows. Today's economic reports came out fairly dismal again, although the deterioration in "some" areas was not quite as bad as expected. Enjoy tomorrow's tryptophan laziness after turkey on Thanksgiving.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels.
DJIA: 8,726.61 +247.14 +2.91%
NASDAQ: 1,532.10 +67.37 +4.60%
S&P 500: 887.68 +30.29 +3.53%
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

BCE, Inc. (NYSE: BCE) announced that KPMG found that BCE might not fit within the solvency test at the December 11 closing date on a post-merger basis because of the added debt, which may throw the going-private deal led by the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan in jeopardy. Shares were down before the close.

Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C) shares rallied again today after it was reported last night that Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim bought a stake of over $100 million in Citigroup. Shares were up before the close.

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) rose sharply on rumors and reports that it and the other automakers would outline some sort of formal plan next week. Shares were up before the close.

If you want a little bear market humor, here is a quick take on some familiar financial terms that have been redefined to fit the new economy.

A sector ETF with yield: Own 44 global telecoms with IXP

The telecom business is definitely not recession-proof, as those that have followed the industry have recently realized, but it is not a field that is going to fade into the horizon any time soon either. Simply put, people need to communicate and the telecom business is poised to continue rolling with the new technology and bringing people what they need. If you see the value of telecom companies and agree that their future is, perhaps not golden, but definitely strong, then an investment in an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is an excellent way to invest in the future of the telecom field without placing all of your trust in one specific company.

iShares S&P Global Telecommunications Sector ETF (NYSE: IXP) let's you own shares in some of the most noted and reliable telecom companies by simply purchasing shares of the one ETF. With IXP you'll find your investment basket is loaded with companies such as Amercia Movil, S.A.B. (NYSE: AMX) a fixed and wireless provider in Latin America, AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) a telecom provider for customers in the U.S. and worldwide, Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) a wireline and domestic wireless provider across the globe, as well as several other highly rated and well known telecom leaders.

iShares charges only a 0.48% fee to maintain IXP using computers rather than money managers. IXP also has typically paid about $1.50 per year in dividends -- IXP is down about (41%) this year so that's about a 4% yield -- and these companies seem to have the cash-generating ability to continue dividends.

Of the 44 stocks in IXP, the top 10 holdings total about 71% of all total assets. Take note of the global exposure you'll get by investing in the future of the telecom industry:
  • 17.19%: AT&T INC(NYSE:T)
  • 10.61%: VODAFONE GROUP PLC(NYSE:VOD)
  • 9.47% : TELEFONICA SA(NYSE:TEF)
  • 9.05%: VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS IN(NYSE:VZ)
  • 5.01%: CHINA MOBILE LTD(NYSE:CHL)
  • 4.94%: FRANCE TELECOM SA(NYSE:FTE)
  • 4.57%: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG-REG(NYSE:DT)
  • 3.98%: NIPPON TELEGRAPH & TELEPHONE(NYSE:NTT)
  • 3.21%: TELSTRA CORP LTD (Other OTC:TLS)
  • 2.71%: BCE INCNYSE:BCE)



Mitch Tuchman is founder of MarketRiders an investment website that teaches individuals how to be their own investment advisors using ETFs

Finally, BCE's buyout is a real deal

This week, we've seen two major buyout deals come undone: the $6.1 transaction for Penn National Gaming Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) and TPG's play for Bradford & Bingley. In fact, according to FactSet Research, about 20% of leveraged buyouts (LBOs) since mid-2007 have been terminated.

Despite all this, some deals are getting done. Perhaps the most notable is the BCE (NYSE: BCE) LBO. BCE has reached an agreement with its private equity sponsors and banks to close its $51 billion LBO. This will represent the biggest buyout in history.

Now, there are some wrinkles. The closing date will be extended to December and there will not be any dividend payments for the rest of the year. The break-up fee was also upped from $1 billion to $1.2 billion.

Yet, the fact is that the price tag will remain unchanged (at $42 per share). No doubt, this is a big feat, especially in light of the credit crunch.

Apparently, there was much discussion about renegotiating the price. Then again, the prospects of massive litigation were daunting, as we have seen in a variety of other deals such as with Clear Channel, SLM (NYSE: SLM) and Huntsman Corp. (NYSE: HUN).

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Before the bell: BCE, HAL, MOT, FSLR, GOOG, AAPL, MO ...

Before the bell: Wall Street set to rebound boosted by deals

BCE Inc. (NYSE: BCE) shares are jumping over 10% in premarket trading after Canada's Supreme Court overturned a Quebec Court decision, clearing the way for the $52 billion leveraged buyout by Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and U.S. private equity firms. The buyers might still negotiate the price down though.

Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) withdrew a $3.6 billion offer for Britain's Expro International after the U.K. oil services firm stuck by a smaller bid from a private-equity consortium.

Some analyst calls this morning:
  • J.C. Penney Co. (NYSE: JCP) was upgraded by Deutsche Bank to Buy from Hold and the price target upped to $46 from $45.
  • Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) was downgraded by Piper Jaffray to Sell from Neutral on continued weakness in North American market. The target price was cut to $7 from $9.75. Shares are down over 2% in premarket trading.
  • First Solar (NYSE: FSLR) price target was upped at Lehman Brothers from $280 to $335. Shares are up over 2.5% in premarket trading.

Continue reading Before the bell: BCE, HAL, MOT, FSLR, GOOG, AAPL, MO ...

Pre-market movers (MOT) (BCE) (BG)

BCE (NYSE:BCE) is up 11% on news that a Canadian court has cleared its LBO.

Bunge (NYSE:BG) is up about 3% on news it will buy Corn Products (NYSE:CPO).

Motorola (NYSE:MOT) is down 3% on news of an analyst downgrade.

Corning (NYSE:GLW) is up 2% on its prediction that its LCD glass sales were strong.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 08:27 PM

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