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Franklin Resources: An asset management survivor

The Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) Buy call, issued on July 20, 2009 at a price of $73.88, is panning out, which is why I'm Reiterating my Buy rating for the company' shares. If you bought BEN in July, you're up about 54%.

The advice furnished here is to avoid stand-alone money managers as equity plays, but Franklin is an exception. BEN's double-digit asset growth should continue in FY2010 aided by an improved asset mix, and better fund performance across asset classes. BEN's relatively strong balance sheet and declining debt liabilities fleshes-out the positive story.

Continue reading Franklin Resources: An asset management survivor

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BX, COF, DD, MS, VMC, WM, ZION ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Citigroup upgraded Capital One (NYSE: COF) to Buy from Hold as it believes the credit cycle is starting to recover for U.S. credit cards and an improving economy will support bank credit stabilization. The firm raised its target on shares to $44 from $28.
  • JPMorgan upgraded Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation and believes the stock market recovery will serve as a catalyst.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded F5 Networks (NASDAQ: FFIV) to Buy from Hold after its channel checks indicated a sooner-than-expected order ramp and stabilizing pricing trends. The firm raised its target on shares to $46 from $39.
  • COTT Corp. (NYSE: COT) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
  • Illinois Tool Works (NYSE: ITW) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BX, COF, DD, MS, VMC, WM, ZION ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DIS, CSCO, K, MOT, OMX, RTP ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Morgan Keegan upgraded Motorola (NYSE: MOT) to Outperform from Market Perform due to the increased visibility of Android-based launches, as well as the stock's valuation.
  • OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX) was upgraded to Buy from Hold by Citigroup, which cited the company's stabilizing sales trend, accelerating share gains, and valuation.
  • Kaufman Bros. upgraded iRobot (NASDAQ: IRBT) to Buy from Hold on valuation.
  • Cancaccord upgraded Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Buy from Hold citing the turnaround in the aluminum business and its exposure to copper.
  • Wells Fargo upgraded Smith & Nephew (NYSE: SNN) to Market Perform from Underperform.
  • BT Group (NYSE: BT) was upgraded to Neutral from Reduce by Nomura.
  • Societe Generale raised L'Oreal (OTC: LRLCY) to Buy from Sell.
  • Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) was upgraded to Buy from Hold by Sandler O'Neill.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DIS, CSCO, K, MOT, OMX, RTP ...

Franklin Resources: Considerable upside remains

Experienced investors know that sometimes you have to make an exception. Generally not a fan of stand-alone money managers as equity plays, I've made an exception and issued a Buy recommendation for Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN). Here's why:

Franklin's assets under management increased about 15% in Q2. Further, management fee rates, under pressure for several reasons, show signs of firming in 2009.

Continue reading Franklin Resources: Considerable upside remains

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BT, NVS, NOK, TXI, MTB ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Canaccord upgraded Imperial Oil (NYSE: IMO) to Buy from Speculative Buy following an increase in crude oil forecast.
  • BT Group (NYSE: BT) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein.
  • Novartis (NYSE: NVS) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • CommVault (NASDAQ: CVLT) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman.
  • AvalonBay (NYSE: AVB) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BT, NVS, NOK, TXI, MTB ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LLY, NVLS, OSK, QCOM, RDS.A, RTP ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • JPMorgan upgraded Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) to Overweight from Underweight to reflect performance and sales improvements, as well as benefits from the weakening U.S. dollar. The firm has a $94 target on the stock.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded FormFactor (NASDAQ: FORM) to Outperform from Perform after channel checks indicated orders are recovering. The firm raised its target on shares to $30 from $22.
  • KeyBanc upgraded Oshkosh (NYSE: OSK) to Buy from Hold citing the company's MRAP-ATV contract win, which they view as a "game changer." The firm has a $30 target on the stock.
  • Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.
  • Ternium (NYSE: TX) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Cathay General (NASDAQ: CATY) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LLY, NVLS, OSK, QCOM, RDS.A, RTP ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DAI, GT, DB, FIATY, TXN ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded shares of Daimler (NYSE: DAI) to Buy from Neutral as it believes the company's restructuring and greater visibility on its outlook could be positive for the stock.
  • JP Morgan upgraded shares of Goodyear Tire (NYSE: GT) and Cooper Tire (NYSE: CTB) to Overweight from Neutral on expectations that industry volumes will improve in the coming quarters.
  • Friedman Billings upgraded Websense (NASDAQ: WBSN) following the company's better than expected preliminary Q1 results. The firm maintains a $17 target on shares.
  • Ruby Tuesday (NYSE: RT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at KeyBanc.
  • Portfolio Recovery (NASDAQ: PRAA) was raised to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DAI, GT, DB, FIATY, TXN ...

Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was upgraded at Citigroup to Hold from Sell.
  • Prudential (NYSE: PUK) was lifted to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform and added shares to their Best Ideas List on valuation as they see an attractive risk/reward at current levels.
  • UBS upgraded ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the company remains a market leader.
  • Oppenheimer raised Seattle Genetics (NASDAQ: SGEN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation following the recent weakness as they expect positive clinical news flow beginning in December.
Analyst downgrades:
  • UBS downgraded U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to Sell from Buy and lowered its target to $30 from $60 citing deteriorating U.S. conditions and concerns about the company's high fixed costs in a falling steel price environment.
  • Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Analyst upgrades: BP, THC and BEN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BP Plc, Tenet Healthcare Franklin Resources were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Lehman upgraded shares of BP Plc (NYSE:BP) to Equal Weight from Underweight on valuation and positive benefits from the company's TNK joint venture in Russia.
  • Lehman also upgraded Tenet Healthcare (NYSE:THC) to Overweight from Equal Weight, citing increased confidence the company can meet guidance following the company's analyst day.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe flow trends have improved.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Analyst upgrades: AXP, MET, BK, NYX, PSUN and NVS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Brokers and Asset Managers sector, Pacific Sunwear and Metabasis Therapeutics were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded the Brokers and Asset Management sector to Attractive from Neutral as they believe an inflection point has been reached for stocks with minimal credit exposure, or where exposure is marked to market. Goldman expects the problem to shift to regional banks and specialty finance from brokers. As such, Goldman upgraded American Express (NYSE: AXP), Metlife (NYSE: MET), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN), Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS) and NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Wachovia upgraded Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ: PSUN) to Outperform from Market Perform based on valuation, merchandising improvements, operating efficiencies, favorable product mix, and reductions in underperforming categories.
  • Rodman & Renshaw raised Metabasis (NASDAQ: MBRX) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation given the potential for MB07803.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • HSBC raised Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Neutral from Underweight.
  • UBS (NYSE: UBS) was upgraded at Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight from Underweight.

Haagen-Dazs, Ben & Jerry's: Ice cream as politico?

I love ice cream as much as the next guy. OK, way more than the next guy. I've eaten far more than my fair share of Haagen-Dazs and Ben & Jerry's lux frozen treats. But though I've watched with fascination as Ben & Jerry's exalted hippie icons and the odd politician with its flavors, I've never thought of an ice cream as an icon of political opinion.

No more will I hold such a narrow world view! This weekend, Haagen-Dazs announced a new flavor, Vanilla Honey Bee. The flavor isn't meant for its delicious honey taste, as it is to bring more visibility to the plight of the honey bees (overworked, it seems, from too much travel and forced labor in the almond groves, though cell phone towers have also been suspected). Haagen-Dazs is donating $250,000 to two universities to study Colony Collapse Disorder, and a spokesperson says that 40% of the company's flavors depend (in one way or another) on bees: "We use 100% all natural ingredients like strawberries, raspberries and almonds which we get from California. The bee problem could badly hurt supply from the Pacific Northwest."

On the other side of the ice cream aisle, Ben (Cohen) and Jerry (Greenfield), founders and corporate namesakes of Ben & Jerry's, have gone public with their endorsement of Barack Obama for president. They will tour Vermont in Obamamobiles, giving away scoops of "Cherries for Change" ice cream. While fans on Obama's web site seem excited, there's no news as to what sort of flavor "Cherries for Change" is (or is it just Cherry Garcia with a new label?), whether "Baracky Road" or "Yes we Pecan" will follow, or if corporate overlord Unilever (NYSE: UL) is distributing the flavor to grocery store freezer sections near you.

Continue reading Haagen-Dazs, Ben & Jerry's: Ice cream as politico?

Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Southwest, Caterpillar, and others

The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Southwest, Caterpillar, and others

Analyst downgrades: TRID, CMCSA, LVLT, ABK and MBI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Trident Microsystems, Comcast, Level 3 Communications, Ambac Financial and MBIA Inc were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Trident Microsystems Inc (NASDAQ: TRID) to Hold from Buy and lowered their target to $9 from $20 following the company's mixed quarter as they expect TRID to lose share in the TV market and face increasing price pressure. Shares were also downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank. Oppenheimer lowered Trident to Neutral from Buy, citing disappointing December guidance, delay in TV ramp, and expectations that 2008 will be a peak year for TV chip ramp revenues.
  • CIBC downgraded shares of Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA) to Sector Performer from Outperformer following the weak Q3 results to reflect increasing competition in telco video, slower broadband growth and the weakening economy.
  • JP Morgan downgraded Level 3 Communications Inc (NASDAQ: LVLT) to Neutral from Outperform following disappointing Q3 results and guidance.
  • Friedman Billings downgraded shares of Ambac Financial Group Inc (NYSE: ABK) and MBIA Inc (NYSE: MBI) to Market Perform from Outperform citing lack of near-term catalysts and uncertainty surrounding the credit markets.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst initiations 7-13-07: AUY, BLK, DWA and RNOW

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Dreamworks Animation (NYSE: DWA), BlackRock (BLK), Mariner Energy (ME) and Franklin Resources (BEN) and RightNow Technologies (RNOW) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Stifel expects Dreamworks Animation's (NYSE: DWA) fundamental outlook for film to improve given a more accommodating home entertainment market, while next-gen DVD format adoption and the introduction of 3D exhibition in theaters creates incremental opportunities for film studios. The firm started shares off with a Buy rating.
  • Wachovia believes BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) is one of the best-positioned managers in both product and geographic perspectives and initiated shares with an Outperform rating.
  • BMO Capital believes Mariner Energy (NYSE: ME) has a number of catalysts that could push shares higher, but feels current trading levels are not attractive. BMO started shares with a Market Perform rating.
  • William Blair views Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) as a premier global firm with an advantage in many attractive international markets and started shares with an Outperform rating.
  • Cantor believes RightNow Tech's (NASDAQ: RNOW) transition creates significant execution risk, initiated shares with a Hold rating...
OTHER INITIATIONS: Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 6-27-07: BEN, BLK, CMCSA, PHM and RYL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Genesit Energy LP (GEL), EnerNoc (ENOC) and Comcast (CMCSA) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Genesis Energy (AMEX: GEL) was initiated with a Buy rating and $40 target at Stanford, as the firm believes the company's affiliation with Denbury Resources and pending acquisition of petroleum products, terminals, and transportation businesses from the Davison family will drive rapid growth.
  • EnerNoc Inc (NASDAQ: ENOC) was initiated with a Hold rating and $42 target at Jefferies, due to valuation. EnerNoc was also initiated at Morgan Stanley with an Equal Weight rating and $40 target.
  • Stifel expects Comcast (OTC: CMCSA) to benefit from higher penetration levels of DVR and HDTV set-top boxes over the next several years and initiated shares with a Buy rating and $34 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Select asset managers were initiated at Credit Suisse:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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DJIA-17.2410,433.71
NASDAQ-6.832,169.18
S&P 500-0.591,105.65

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:30 AM

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