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Analyst initiations: BMC, SMOD and ENTR

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BMC Software, Smart Modular and Entropic Comm were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Stanford initiated BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) with a Buy rating and $45 target. The firm highlights the company's broad product portfolio and configuration management database leadership and thinks margin expansion should continue.
  • ThinkPanmure assumed Smart Modular (NASDAQ: SMOD) with an Accumulate rating and $5.50 target. The firm expects better DRAM pricing but expects SMOD to experience some headwinds with Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) losing share in the server market.
  • Broadpoint expects Entropic Comm (NASDAQ: ENTR) to benefit from the adoption of applications that allow video through numerous devices, especially high definition and data content. Shares were started with a Buy rating and $6 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Early analyst calls (HOV) (BK)

UBS has upgraded Hovnanian (NYSE:HOV) to "neutral" from "sell," according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that Oppenheimer raised its price target for Verisign (NASDAQ:VRSN) to $42.

Lehman Brothers affirmed it "overweight" rating on Bank of New York (NYSE:BK) ahead of the company's annual meeting with brokers, according to the AP.

BMC Software (NYSE:BMC) started as "neutral" at UBS, according to Briefing.com.

Earnings highlights: Ford, Hormel, Limited Brands, Intuitive Surgical, PetSmart and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Additional earnings highlights:
Home Depot, Gap, Lenovo, Air France, Activision, Suntech and others
Hewlett-Packard, Target, Barnes & Noble, Campbell, Staples and others

Upcoming results to watch for include Borders (NYSE: BGP), Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL), TiVo (NASDAQ: TIVO), Big Lots (NYSE: BIG), Costco (NASDAQ: COST), Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), HJ Heinz (NYSE: HNZ), Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD), Lions Gate (NYSE: LGF), and Tiffany (NYSE: TIF).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

BMC Software (BMC): Shares define bullish 'pennant' consolidation

BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) provides software used by large enterprises to manage computer systems and company services. Among the functions addressed are business process scheduling and integration, application and database performance, and recovery and storage management. Customers include Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM).

The company surprised investors last week, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of 63 cents and revenues of $466.9 million. Analysts had been looking for 51 cents and $460.3 million. In discussing the successful quarter, the CEO noted client interest in the unified architecture of the firm's suite. Management also guided FY09 EPS to $2.10-$2.20, versus consensus of $2.09. Oppenheimer and Lehman Brothers subsequently reiterated "buy" recommendations on the issue and boosted their price targets to $43.

Continue reading BMC Software (BMC): Shares define bullish 'pennant' consolidation

BMC blazes a deal for BladeLogic

In the summer of last year, BladeLogic (NASDAQ: BLOG) launched its IPO, which skyrocketed nearly 50%. It helped that one of its main rivals, Opsware, get a $1.65 billion buyout offer from Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ).

Well, BladeLogic has now agreed to sell out, although at a lower valuation: $800 million. The buyer is tech veteran, BMC Software (NYSE: BMC).

BladeLogic is focused on helping to deal with the mind-numbing complexities of data centers, helping with things like compliance, downtime, speed and so on. Keep in mind that there's about $140 billion spent on data centers per year.

At the same time, over the past few years, BMC has done a good job restructuring its company. Now it's in a position to ramp growth – and BladeLogic will be a nice boost. In fiscal Q1, the company's revenues spiked 68% to $21.4 million.

Although, Wall Street is skeptical. In today's trading, BMC's stock is down 7% to $31.31.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Analyst upgrades: BMC, CYNO and ADCT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BMC Software, Cynosure and ADC Telecomm were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Credit Suisse upgraded BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) to Outperform from Neutral based on an improving pricing environment for mainframe software, growth expectations, and upcoming release of IBM (NYSE: IBM) mainframe hardware.
  • Cynosure (NASDAQ: CYNO) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup. The firm upgraded shares after yesterday's sell-off as their checks suggest no notable reduction in demand in Q4.
  • Merriman upgraded shares of ADC Telecommincations (NASDAQ: ADCT) to Buy from Neutral on the company's strong margin performance in Q4, prospects for growth and attractive valuation.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Before the bell: Futures flat ahead of Fed announcement

Following the Dow's steepest one-day climb in four years, stock futures were flat Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's 2:15 p.m. decision on interest rates. The Fed is expected to maintain its benchmark federal funds rate at 5.25%.

Also Tuesday morning, the Labor Department will report on second-quarter productivity and costs; moderated labor costs and increased productivity are expected.

Companies reporting earnings today include Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO), TXU Corp. (NYSE: TXU), and Harrah's Entertainment (NYSE: HET). Cisco is expected to match earnings estimates of 35 cents a share.

Overseas, the Nikkei eked out a 0.04% rise to close at 16,921.77, while the FTSE 100 rallied following Wall Street's gains Monday.

Corporate news

Bear Stearns
(NYSE: BSC) shares advanced overseas on a report from London that CEO Jimmy Cayne called other financial executives to assure them of BSC's fiscal health.

Reporting earnings following Monday's close, software maker BMC (NYSE: BMC) nearly doubled its first-quarter profits from last year and raised estimates for the year.

Also late Monday, Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) said it has enough drugs in development to meet its goal of tripling its portfolio of final-trial phase products by 2009.

Analyst upgrades 7-12-07: ISCA, LMT, MRK and STX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Today's noteworthy upgrades included Lockheed Martin (LMT), Raytheon (RTN), Hartford Financial (HIG), Seagate Technology (STX) and CommScope (CTV):
  • JP Morgan upgraded two defense stocks today: Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight on valuation;
  • Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) was raised to Overweight from Neutral, with expectations for the company to post above average organic growth driven by strong bookings. The firm also raised Raytheon's 2008 EPS estimate to $3.80 from $3.60, well above the consensus estimate.
  • AG Edwards believes Hartford Financial's (NYSE: HIG) recent weakness has created a buying opportunity and upgraded shares to Buy from Hold.
  • Seagate (NYSE: STX) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Brean Murray as checks indicate a healthy seasonal uptick in demand for drives and PCs in 2H07.
  • CommScope (NYSE: CTV) was Upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Morgan Keegan based on higher 2007 and 2008 expectations along with accretion from the Andrew acquisition...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.
  • Friedman Billings raised Kimco Realty (NYSE: KIM) to Outperform from Market Perform.
  • Merck (NYSE: MRK) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at AG Edwards.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Market highlights for next week: Markets closed Monday

Here is a quick look at this upcoming holiday shortened week.

Monday May 28
  • Markets closed for Memorial Day holiday.
  • PDUFA date for MedImmune Inc's (NASDAQ: MEDI) sBLA for CAIV-T.
Tuesday May 29
Wednesday May 30
Thursday May 31
Friday June 1

Analyst upgrades 5-25-07: GSK, LNVGY, RFMD and TWB

MOST NOTEWORTHY: GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK), RF Micro Devices, Inc (RFMD), BMC Software, Inc (BMC) and Tween Brands Inc (TWB) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of RF Micro Devices (NASDAQ: RFMD) to Buy from Hold and raised the target to $9.00 from $7.00 after their channel checks indicated RFMD's business has improved since its last earnings call.
  • Cowen raised BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) to Neutral from Underperform citing valuation and improvements in the cash flow for their upgrade.
  • Susquehanna upgraded Tween Brands (NYSE: TWB) to Positive from Neutral based on Justice's performance and recent buyback activity...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Lenovo Group Ltd (OTC: LNVGY) was upgraded at Credit Suisse to Neutral from Underperform; JP Morgan upgraded Lenovo to Overweight from Neutral.
  • Goldman upgraded CDI Corp (NYSE: CDI) to Buy from Neutral.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Newspaper wrap-up 1-19-07: UPS may cancel Airbus order

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal's (subscription required) "Heard on the Street" column focused on companies that would be hurt the most by the price of oil continuing to fall. The article mentioned Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) and Suncor Energy (NYSE: SU), along with alternative energy companies Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings (NYSE: AVR), Pacific Ethanol (NASDAQ: PEIX) and VeraSun Energy (NYSE: VSE).
OTHER PAPERS:
  • French newspaper Les Echoes reported that United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) may cancel its order for 10 Airbus A380s, which could create an opportunity for Boeing (NYSE: BA).
  • Light Reading reported that Tellab's (NASDAQ: TLAB) CTO Thomas Gruenwald will leave the company at the end of this week.
  • Investor's Business Daily's "New America" column mentioned BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) positively.
  • BusinessWeek's "Inside Wall Street" column mentioned Volcano (NASDAQ: VOLC), UCBH Holdings (NASDAQ: UCBH) and US Airways Group (NYSE: LCC) positively.

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Last updated: December 02, 2008: 10:59 AM

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