"Even with the poor outlook for the economy, there are many investment opportunities being created by high energy prices and the low dollar," notes Jim Powell. In his Global Changes & Opportunities Report, he explains, "American 'rust belt companies' look especially good."
"Surprisingly, rising fuel prices are making some American manufacturers more competitive and I could not be happier about the improved outlook for many efficient U.S. producers.
"U.S. machine tool makers are starting to take back some of the business they lost to Japan 20 years ago. U.S. imports of Chinese steel are declining dramatically, while domestic production is rising at rates not seen in years.
"The list of U.S. businesses that are benefiting from the new trade relationships will lengthen, but it won't happen overnight. It's not just a matter of being loyal to the home team. America will benefit from creating more real wealth instead of the flim-flam financial products that led to the phony boom.
"Having spent a lot of time recently studying the North American transportation industry, my conclusion is that trucking is on the decline while the railroads are poised to increase market share," notes Tom Slee.
"Who would have thought it? Railways are having a good year. They were supposed to be hunkered down, riding out the recession. Instead, the old iron horse is thriving.
"Surging demand for commodities is more than offsetting a slump in building materials shipments. Even higher energy costs are proving a plus for the railroads. Each jump in oil prices gives them a bigger edge over their gas guzzling competitors: trucks.
"Most important, the rails are able to raise rates despite the economic downturn. Their surcharges are sticking. Yet the stocks are out of favour.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says lots of companies now thrive with crude up here.
Oil's not a tax on everything -- it's a tax on the consumer. That's what I come down to when I see the charts this weekend and ponder what's happening in so much of industrial America.
Company after company that I examine -- the new techs, as I call them -- actually benefit from higher oil prices. Or they can pass them on with ease, because of the worldwide demand being so strong.
Take all of the companies involved with making a Boeing (NYSE: BA) (Cramer's Take): Boeing itself, Alcoa (NYSE: AA) (Cramer's Take), Honeywell (NYSE: HON) (Cramer's Take) and Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP) (Cramer's Take) being good examples. Each of these is necessary because the new Dreamliner burns lots less fuel, and with fuel the biggest airline cost, it stands to reason that higher energy prices make the plane more desirable even at a higher price point.
I've received a few chuckles for investment directions I've suggested in the past, but if you care to review a couple of my previous generalities, I believe that my record has held up fairly well.
I submit for approval the following investment angles for the balance of 2008 and possibly beyond:
Have I suggested investments in water holdings? Yes, I do believe that I have. I believe that going long in water stocks could be an investment hedge of the decade. I also suggest a look into the desalination technology from General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE).
I'd think it's a good idea to stick with the railroads, such as Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI). I claim that, with all things given, for now, railroads can't fail. Conversely, I think it's a good time to back away slowly from trucking. I think misery lies ahead there.
When a major, metropolitan U.S. newspaper discovers a investment trend or a hot sector, count on increased share demand for companies in the sector. When that paper is one of the top three dailies, in this case The Washington Post, count on even more demand.
For nearly 30 years, the rails, long neglected in the United States, were considered passé. Then the globalization era dawned, with its exports and demand for commodities. Add a price of oil that's basically risen for 10 years and the results is: the rails are back. And with the above in mind, Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) is worth an evaluation.
With 32,000 miles of track in the western U.S. and two Canadian provinces, Burlington Northern accounts for about 45% of the west's traffic and about 23% of U.S. rail traffic.
Analysts see 2008 revenue growth of about 6-8%, down from double-digit growth a year earlier, but still healthy. Margins should remain solid, with modest pricing power. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for BNI are $5.92/$6.81.
Even better: like the three other major U.S. railroads, BNI is in a relative sweet spot until the United States determines its energy policy for the 21st century. Or should one say 'if the United States determines its energy policy for the 21st century.' Investors will carefully note that the value Wall Street attaches to rail stocks pretty much mirrors the price of oil's ascent, due to the higher truck transportation costs implied by a higher price of oil.
Here, the editor of StreetAuthority Market Advisor explains, "Buffett looks for such factors as intrinsic value, low debt, managerial expertise, a margin of safety and an 'economic moats' that offers some sort of sustainable competitive advantage." Here's a pair of transportation stocks that fit the bill.
"While many investors fret over the current volatility in the stock market, Warren Buffett is likely busy looking for value. Historically, in volatile up and down markets, Buffett has found even more opportunities than in raging bull markets."
"Burlington Northern Santa Fe is the second-largest railroad in the U.S. Berkshire holds an 18.2% stake in BNI, recently boosting that stake by purchasing 11 million shares to bring its total ownership to more than 63 million shares. Buffett has made no secret of his desire to purchase more of the stock.
"The key to discerning competitive advantages between the major railroad firms lies in the strategic location of their networks. Specifically, BNI has the largest network of track in a region of the western U.S. known as the Powder River Basin, which is home to America's largest reserves of coal.
JetBlue reported a narrower-than-expected loss in the fourth quarter, and its first full-year profit in three years. It also announced that it's negotiating a deal with investor Deutsche Lufthansa AG.
JetBlue lost $4 million, or 2 cents a share, in the quarter ending December 31. It posted a profit of $17 million, or 10 cents a share, in the same quarter of 2006. An increase in traffic and operational improvements helped offset rising fuel costs. Revenue rose 16.6% to $739 million. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected a loss of 5 cents a share on revenue of $731 million.
For the full year, JetBlue earned $18 million, or 10 cents a share, versus a loss of $1 million, break-even on a per-share basis, in 2006. Revenue jumped 20.2 percent to $2.84 billion. Wall Street had expected a 2007 profit of 7 cents per share on revenue of $2.83 billion.
Shares surged 20.24%, or $1.00, to close at $5.94. Shares had fallen to a 52-week low of $4.30 last week.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Molson Coors, Knightsbridge Tankers and the Railroad sector were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Banc of America upgraded shares of Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) to Buy from Neutral as they believe the company's joint venture with SABMiller (OTC: SBMRY) could nearly double North American profits and that risks are largely priced in shares.
Jefferies upgraded shares of Knightsbridge Tankers (NASDAQ: VLCCF) to Buy from Hold on valuation and finds the dividend yield attractive at 12.4%.
Readers of this space know that the preference here is for large cap companies, with demonstrated business models, and favorable long-term factors, that have the resources to ride-out short-term economic downturns, including recessions.
And in this category a railroad stock represent a prudent addition to a portfolio, for investors who can tolerate moderate risk.
Pick a railroad. Virtually any railroad. Odds are, you will do fine, long-term, as the nation continues to re-discover the valuable asset - - the national treasury, really - - of its railroads. (More on that latter topic, in a future blog.)
Here are the railroad plays, ranked by risk, with the top stock, BNI, being the lowest risk. A stop/loss, if one were to buy the stock, is also listed:
To say the bears on Wall Street have gained some momentum in late November 2007 would be an understatement.
The consensus now argues that U.S. GDP growth has slowed substantially, with growth likely to remain sub-par through at least June 2008, and the Dow's 1,400-point drop in about a month reflecting that consensus.
Nearly every sector looks vulnerable. Still, some sectors are faring reasonably well. The rails are one, and among the rails, Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) is worth an evaluation.
For nearly 30 years, the rails -- long neglected in the United States -- were considered passé. Then the globalization era dawned, along with its exports and demand for agricultural products and coal. Add intermodal shipments and a price of oil that's basically risen for ten years and the results is - the rails are back.
Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP), a leading transportation company, closed at $120.92. UNP overall option implied volatility of 33 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.
Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI), an operator of 32,000 railroad route miles, closed at $80.77. BNI overall option implied volatility of 34 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Canadian National (NYSE: CNI) closed at $46.36. CNI overall option implied volatility of 33 is above its 26-week average of 26 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
After learning that Warren Buffett, the value investor's equivalent of A-Rod, was putting his money into U.S. Railroad firm, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI), railroad stocks suddenly became trendy. Driven by increasing consumption for commodities and transportation services, railroads have been targets for value investors for a long time. Buffett's investment put the industry back on the investment map.
So, it wouldn't be surprising to see that hedge funds are playing the same hand. CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX), a large integrated transportation company servicing everything from ports, trucks and rails, has been in the news lately as the target of an activist hedge fund based out of London, named the Children's Investment Fund.
The fund, started in 2003 by Chris Hohn, has been very active and successful in extracting shareholder value from a variety of situations. It forced the resignation of the Deutsche Borse CEO after he refused to abandon his plan to take over the London Stock Exchange.
It seems like the CIF hit a snag with CSX, though.
In response to the Fund's demands, CSX accepted none of them. In a great response sent by the CSX Board to TCI, management makes a strong case. You can read the letter here.
Retailer Kohl's Corporation (NYSE: KSS) is today expected to announce an exclusive multi-year active wear licensing partnership with Fila Luxembourg S.a.r.l., a part of Fila Korea, according to the Wall Street Journal.
According to a senior executive at Telefonica SA (NYSE: TEF), the company's efforts to obtain exclusive control of Vivo have stalled, the Financial Times reported.
News Corp's (NYSE: NWS.A) Rupert Murdoch said the company plans to replace nearly one million paid subscribers of the online Wall Street Journal with 10-15 million "who wouldn't pay a thing." Murdoch's long-term plan is to penetrate developing markets, The Australian reported.
I've received a few chuckles for investment directions I've suggested in the past, but if you care to review a couple of my previous generalities, 
When a major, metropolitan U.S. newspaper discovers a investment trend or a hot sector, count on increased share demand for companies in the sector. When that paper is one of the top three dailies, in this case The Washington Post, count on even more demand.
For nearly 30 years, the rails, long neglected in the United States, were considered passé. Then the globalization era dawned, with its exports and demand for commodities. Add a price of oil that's basically risen for 10 years and the results is: the rails are back. And with the above in mind, 
.gif){kind=logo}
Union Pacific
After learning that Warren Buffett, the value investor's equivalent of A-Rod, was .gif){kind=logo}
For blue chip buyers: 'This too shall pass'
With the Fed Funds rate at 2%, why are mortgage rates so high?
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Banks fail to raise money when they could 
