Continue reading Beazer Homes Reports 4Q Loss

Beazer Homes Reports 4Q Loss originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 05 Nov 2010 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

During an earnings season when most stocks have beaten their analyst estimates, Beazer Homes (BZH) came in woefully under expectations with a loss of $27.8 million, or 41 cents per share.

Normally, you would expect news like this, coupled with a housing market that looks shaky at best, to be a major deterrent to investors. But I don't think we should write Beazer off just yet. It could actually be an interesting longer-term buy opportunity. Here's why:

Continue reading Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy

Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Aug 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

After the closing bell sounded Monday, Beazer Homes USA (BZH) reported second-quarter earnings.

The homebuilder recorded a second-quarter profit of 10 cents per diluted share, which includes noncash pretax charges of $10.2 million for inventory impairments. Not a bad quarter when compared to the year-earlier loss of $2.81 per share. Beazer's total revenue checked in at $198.2 million, up from $186.6 million in last year's second quarter.

Continue reading Beazer Homes Falls After Earnings Report

Beazer Homes Falls After Earnings Report originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 May 2010 11:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Many stocks have rallied significantly over the last year. In fact, if you bought almost any stock on March 9, 2009, you would have made a great deal of money. That was the low point for almost all stocks as the market gave in for its final capitulation and beat most of us over the head one last time with the heaviest frying pan it could find.

Stocks like Beazer Homes (BZH) and Ford (F) were selling for 24 cents and $1.65 last year. Other great bargains (in hindsight) were everywhere. It was as if the tree of stocks had been hit by a great gust of wind and all its fruit was lying on the ground. Everywhere you looked there were stocks selling for unbelievable prices. Of course, everywhere else you looked there was doom and gloom, ever increasing arguments that screamed "sell," not "buy." The world was definitely ending; capitalism was dead; there was no hope.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: When to Sell a Stock

Comfort Zone Investing: When to Sell a Stock originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 06 Mar 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last week's Fed Beige Book report and GDP numbers suggested that the economy may be stabilizing, and this coming week will bring plenty of economic data to confirm or deny that suggestion. On the schedule are consumer credit, construction spending, factory orders, and pending home sales for June, the employment situation, the Import Price Index, and new motor vehicle sales for July, as well as the ISM Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing Indexes for July.

The week will also bring quarterly reports from home builders Beazer Homes USA Inc. (NYSE: BZH), D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI), and Pulte Homes Inc. (NYSE: PHM). Yet again, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect all three to have narrowed their losses in the most recent quarter. However, they've all tended to post deeper-than-expected losses in recent quarters as well. Analysts also expect to see their revenue down 45% or more for the past quarter. They forecast long-term EPS growth of 7% or more, but none of these homebuilders has a First Call consensus buy recommendation, not surprisingly. Short interest is falling off for Beazer and D.R. Horton, and D.R. Horton and Pulte have been reporting positive cash flow from operations, but all three of them said they had more long-term debt than cash in hand last time around. Mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. (NYSE: PMI) is likewise expected to report that it narrowed its second-quarter loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Seeking more signs of economic stability

The week in preview: Seeking more signs of economic stability originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 02 Aug 2009 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

On Wednesday, federal investigators filed mortgage and accounting fraud charges against Beazer Homes USA (NYSE: BZH). The homebuilder will be able to escape prosecution because it agreed to pay $50 million to victims and to accept responsibility for its improper actions.

Beazer found itself charged thanks to its participation in a scheme designed to fraudulently increase its profits and sell homes. Reportedly, the company also participated in an accounting scheme that was designed to "smooth earnings." Thanks to these schemes, homebuyers defaulted on their loans and some neighborhoods saw home values plummet thanks to loan defaults. State and federal investigators have scrutinized Beazer since March 2007, finding that the company's "aggressive sales tactics" contributed to an "unusually high foreclosure rate in many of its local starter-home communities."

Continue reading Beazer Homes USA will pay victims $50 million

Beazer Homes USA will pay victims $50 million originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Jul 2009 12:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It's about that time again: Pepsi vs. Coke. No, not another taste test or another Battle of the Brands. It's time for the next quarterly results from these two soft drink titans.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate that PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP), global beverage and snack food giant, will report fourth-quarter earnings this week that are 9.1% higher that a year ago, or $0.88 per share. Revenue is expected to total $12.8 billion, which is 3.9% higher than last year. For the full year, the profit is expected to be $3.67 per share on revenue of $43.4 billion, up from $3.38 per share on $39.5 billion in 2007. PepsiCo's earnings met or beat estimates in four of the past five quarters, but missed by only two cents per share in the third quarter. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy PEP. The share price fell to a 52-week low in January and is now 24.4% lower than it was a year ago. During the fourth quarter, PepsiCo declared a $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, agreed to acquire a Spitz International, and announced investments in China and Mexico.

Continue reading The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi

The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 08 Feb 2009 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last week, Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), one of Canada's oldest and largest banks, reported growth in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. But it may be the only one that does, as at least two of the Canadian banks scheduled to report fourth-quarter numbers this week have already released preliminary results that warn of lower earnings due to debt write-downs and trading losses.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Toronto-based Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) to post earnings 42.6% lower than a year ago, or $1.28 per share. CIBC beat estimates by a penny in the third quarter, but missed by a penny in the period before that. The bank faces a class-action lawsuit related to investments in collateralized debt obligations consisting of U.S. subprime mortgages. Shares have climbed 20.7% from a recent 52-week low of $39.52, but are down 37.8% in the past three months.

Toronto Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY) are expected to report more modest earnings declines of $1.01 per share, $0.73 per share, and $0.83 per share, respectively. All three Toronto-based banks topped estimates in the third quarter. Toronto Dominion and RBC have recently announced plans to offer shares in order to raise capital. Toronto Dominion and Scotiabank have been trading near 52-week lows, and their share prices are down around 39% in the past three months. But only Toronto Dominion has a consensus buy recommendation from analysts.

Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers

The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 30 Nov 2008 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• In a move to help cut expenses and save on fuel prices, UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA), parent of United Airlines, will reduce its 460 airplane fleet by 70 jets. Not yet known is how may jobs will be affected, the Wall Street Journal reported.
• In an all stock deal, J.M. Smucker Co. (NYSE: SJM) is expected to buy Folgers coffee from The Proctor & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) for an estimated $2B, according to the Wall Street Journal. Folgers, the best selling ground coffee in the U.S., has annual sales of about $1.6B.
• The Financial Times reported that Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (NYSE: LEH) lost $500M-$700M on some of its hedging positions in Q2, which have contributed to a larger than expected loss that could result in the bank raising more capital by selling a stake to an outside investor. Lehman has begun negotiations with potential investors, including asset managers and Asian banks, sources said.

• According to sources, the Rocky Mountain News reported that troubled home builder Beazer Homes USA Inc (NYSE: BZH) is pulling out of Colorado. Beazer, which is being investigated for mortgage fraud by several government agencies, has built homes in the suburbs of Denver and in Colorado Springs.

Newspaper wrap-up: UAL Corp. to drop 70 more jets originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 04 Jun 2008 08:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Imagine home prices falling for another ten years. Consumer spending could be eroded. The mortgage crisis could get much, much deeper. The chances for a long economic slowdown would increase exponentially.

Robert Shiller, a Yale University economist and co-developer of Standard and Poor's S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, told Reuters that declines in home values in the most vulnerable markets could well double the losses recorded thus far. "Based on the futures market for the S&P Case-Shiller Composite Index, we are looking at home prices down another 5 percent in 2008," Shiller said. And that might be on the low end.

That, of course, would be a catastrophe.

If Schiller is right, companies like Countrywide (NYSE: CFC) and home-builder Beazer (NYSE: BZH) could actually fail due to falling home demand and mortgage defaults. Pools of mortgage-based securities held by Wall Street firms could be decimated.

So, Wall Street should keep its fingers crossed. Almost every sign points to things in the housing market getting worse.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

Home price recession could last 10 more years originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 Nov 2007 04:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

A look at a list of 52-week lows sometimes signals market sentiment about certain sectors or broader financial trends. Here are a few critical bottoms hit last week:

Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT) would seem to be a poster child for the new demand for bandwidth. It has a huge national network covering 48,000 miles and a first-rate customer base including big telcos and cable companies. It also carries a lot of VoIP traffic. The company hit a 52-week low because it has something Wall Street hates right now -- a ton of high-yield debt backed by shaky cash flow. The debt is over $6.8 billion, and LVLT has had negative operating income for each of the past three years. The stock is being sold off just before earnings because any sign of weak earnings is exposure to significant balance sheet problems. Borrowing is not popular these days.

Toyota (NYSE: TM) should be riding high. It has passed General Motors (NYSE: GM) as the world's largest car company and is more profitable than any of its global peers. But, hyper-growth may be catch up with the Japanese company. It slipped from the top spot in the Consumer Reports vehicle reliability survey and had to recall 470,000 cars in its home market. GM's new UAW contract will also make it a rougher competitor.

Continue reading Market signals from 52-week lows

Market signals from 52-week lows originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 21 Oct 2007 13:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November bull-put credit spread below the $7.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in just 5 weeks as long as BZH is above $7.50 at November expiration. Beazer would have to fall by more than 26% before we would start to lose money.

Continue reading Beazer Homes (BZH) will restate 9 years of earnings

Beazer Homes (BZH) will restate 9 years of earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 11 Oct 2007 11:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR), a Phoenix manufacturer of silicon-free solar-power modules. FSLR is significantly undervalued, by as much as $40 if you believe Bank of America.
• China Medical Technologies (NASDAQ: CMED), which develops cancer treatments in Beijing. CMED is expanding its operations into the rest of Asia, as well as into Russia and Europe.
• After stalling a bit last month, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is pushing higher again, bound for $600.
  

My new book, Ahead of the Curve, is hot off the presses. Here's an excerpt! You can also visit my AOL Coaches site.

StockWatch: Between the bells with business author Hilary Kramer originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 Sep 2007 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With his popularity at an all time low and the very real prospect of the Democrats taking back control of the White House in 2008, President Bush is throwing a lifeline to subprime mortgage holders who are in danger of losing their homes to foreclosure.

The plan would allow homeowners who are 90 days behind in their mortgages to refinance their debt through loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration, a move that will help about 80,000 households. Homeowners also would be able to avoid taxes on forgiven debt under a temporary change Bush is proposing. The President also will call for Congress to raise FHA loan limits to $417,000 in some expensive markets. Interestingly, Bush is rejecting calls to let Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac increase the total value of the mortgages they hold in their portfolio.

Before people talk about the return of compassionate conservatism, it's important to remember that many subprime mortgage holders are speculators or people who bought second or third homes. Nonetheless, the administration had to do something to help people who were hoodwinked by sleazy brokers into mortgages that they couldn't afford.

In a televised address, Bush like Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke stressed that it isn't government's role to bail out speculators. He also argued that the economy "remains strong enough to weather any turbulance."

Regardless, investors took these reports as a positive sign, sending shares of financial stocks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC) and Bear Stearns Cos. (NYSE: BSC) higher. Homebuilders, including Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: HOV), Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) and Beazer Homes USA Inc. (NYSE: BZH) all gave back their gains from earlier today after the speech.

Something has to be done to help the real victims of this crisis, though I'm not sure whether these moves will be enough to address the subprime problem. The government needs to be sure that it's helping the people who deserve to be helped.

President Bush plans to bail out subprime mortgage holders originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 31 Aug 2007 09:58:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cramer's surprising outlook for Toll Bros. (TOL) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Aug 2007 13:16:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cramer still avoiding financials originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 01 Aug 2007 15:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Beazer Homes' SEC probe sends shares lower originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Jul 2007 18:13:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

There were several events during the last week that are almost certainly clues to what is likely to happen in certain industries and the economy in general as Wall Street looks forward to the July through September period. The week was dominated by the launch of Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone and the extended glow for AT&T (NYSE: T), but in the broader picture, the news means very little.

Looking at other news:

Oil closed over $70 for the first time since late last summer. While the news may be good for Exxon (NYSE: XOM) and other big exploration and refinery companies, it will hurt industries from air freight to automotive.

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) hit a 52-week high, a sign that Wall Street believes the PC industry may have a good second half, especially with Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) also trading near its high point.

An unusually broad number of stocks representing several important industries hit 52-week lows. While it would be expected that home builders like Beazer (NYSE: BZH) would struggle in a poor housing market, Blackstone (NYSE: BX), Circuit City (NYSE: CC), and one of the nation's largest banks, Wachovia (NYSE: WB) also touched bottoms.

Continue reading A week of warnings and opportunities for the next quarter

A week of warnings and opportunities for the next quarter originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 01 Jul 2007 13:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Rumors, scandals and investigations at Beazer originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 28 Jun 2007 15:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Volatility Index for S&P 500 Options (VIX) is down 0.52 to 14.44.

Louisiana Pacific (NYSE: LPX) call volume Heavy, volatility Higher on renewed Chatter. LPX is recently up .28 to $20.77. LPX has been frequently mentioned as possibly returning cash to shareholders or as a candidate for private equity LBO bid. LPX had 2006 total revenue of $2.2 billion. LPX has a market cap of $2.1 billion with long term debt of $644 million. LPX call option volume of 6,927 contracts compares to put volume of 164 contracts. LPX April option implied volatility of 32 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Houston Wire & Cable (NASDAQ: HWCC) volatility Flat; call volume heavy on secondary offering. HWCC offers specialty wire & cable. HWCC is recently up .78 to $27.46. HWCC announced a secondary offering of 5.5 million shares to 6.5 million shares. The price of the offering was set at $25. HWCC has a market cap of $569 million with long term debt of $12 million. HWCC reported 2006 total revenue of $323 million. HWCC call option volume of 2,275 contracts compares to put volume of 23 contracts. HWCC May option implied volatility of 47 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risks.

Option volume leaders today are: Beazer Homes (NYSE: BZH), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) and United Therapeutics (NASDAQ: UTHR).

Option update - March 29, 2007 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 Mar 2007 12:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.