We have posted numerous articles about the acquisition of Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) by InBev (NV) and it now looks like the deal has been done at a price of $70 per share. However, what made this deal work for InBev might have been that the dollar has fallen so far.

The exchange rate between the dollar and Euro gives InBev a 30% to 35% discount making the acquisition price seem like a great deal for BUD shareholders but an even better one for InBev shareholders. And if the the currency exchange rates shift back over time then all the shareholders win.

This means that Americans will be answering to the Dutch Belgians. If the dollar had gained against the Euro instead of becoming weaker is it possible that Anheuser-Busch (BUD) would have bought out InBev (NV)? If the dollar stays down or drifts lower as seems likely right now look for more M&A activity from abroad.

In the mean time, since 'my pal Warren', is the largest shareholder of BUD through Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) and supports the deal, will he remain a shareholder of the new company? No doubt this increases the value of Berkshire, but does this set the stage for Buffett to enter the European market in a big way?

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of BRK.B.

It must have been a deeply emotional board meeting for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD). In family control for more than 150 years, the company has become a quintessential American icon.

Despite all this, Anheuser's had no choice in selling out to InBev NV, a giant beer company based in Leuven, Belgium.

Simply put, the offer was too rich: $49.91 billion. After all, over the past few years, Anheuser was a laggard. What's more, the plunging dollar has made it easier for foreign-based buyers to make plays for U.S. companies. It seems that no company is immune.

The Anheuser-InBev merger combination -- which will be called Anheuser-Busch InBev -- will result in the world's largest beer company (the #2 will be SABMiller PLC). In all, revenues will amount to roughly $36 billion.

For InBev the deal carries lots of risk. The valuation for Anheuser comes close to 15X EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization). Furthermore, the deal involves a huge slug of debt. Then again, over the years, InBev has demonstrated savvy M&A skills, wielding a strong cost-cutting knife.

In the end, it's the shareholders who are cheering, with Warren Buffett being particularly joyful. His company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A), owns 5% of Anheuser.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

With all the books that have been written about Warren Buffett, Vahan Janjigian's Even Buffett Isn't Perfect: What You Can -- and Can't -- Learn from the World's Greatest Investor seems like the only one left that could generate any interest. Suggesting that Buffett isn't perfect is similar to accusing Mother Teresa of war crimes.

Unfortunately, the most serious imperfection that Janjigian uncovers is right on the cover: Buffett's complexion is pasty, his eyebrows could use a good waxing, and he could stand to hit up Procter & Gamble for a couple boxes of Crest Whitestrips.

Like most books on Buffett, this one explains his methodology -- buy easy to understand business and hold forever -- and then, somewhat uniquely, tries to poke holes in some of his ideas. The problem is that most of those holes relate to Buffett's philosophies, but most have nothing to do with the way he manges Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A). There's a lengthy discussion of what the author thinks Buffett is wrong about the estate tax, and he also questions Buffett's insistence that stock options should be expensed upon issuance -- but are those really the ideas that people look to Buffett for?

Those pundits who think guru investor Warren Buffett's time has come and his magic faded away are bolstered by a Bloomberg report that says shares in Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) slumped some 19% since mid-December. Buffett has been hurt by large investments in both insurance and banks, industries that have suffered tremendously.

Lest you think this short-term lack of performance has swayed investors into looking elsewhere to park their money, many investors are looking at the fall in Berkshire stock as a buying opportunity.

According to Bloomberg, Frank Betz, a partner at Warren, New Jersey-based Carret Zane Capital Management said he'd "put a new client in Berkshire right now. [...] It's probably the highest-quality collection of individual companies that's ever been assembled. Long slides are not in the Berkshire Hathaway lexicon."

With the stock market drop, many contrarian investors think that stocks have hit bottom and are very cheap. Buffett, who is sitting on such a large cash position, may be able to take large stakes in solidly profitable yet beaten up companies.

If he decides to put his cash to work, he has the ability to get deals that happen only once or twice in a lifetime. He may end up providing returns that make his previous track record look just average. For the Buffett investors, the best may is yet come.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 7/1/08.

Six months of 2008 are now behind us and the stock market has not been a friendly place to most investors. Stability that was once found in household names that were industry giants is gone, and they have now been brought to their knees.

Many of them were the stocks we might have looked to in the past for stability, so you can be sure I put forward my five candidates with a little trepidation, but forward I go anyway. First a little review is in order.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) dropped from around $53 per share last year to around $30 in January and we can buy it today for around $17. Even at that price Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) has downgraded it to a sell and thinks there is more bad news to come. Citigroup was the largest bank in the world. Not any more.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) was the largest car maker in the world. That was before the stock tumbled from $43 to its current $11 range. A crushing blow to long time investors hoping that someone in the company could stop the ship from sinking.

On Friday, the board of Anheuser-Busch Cos. Inc. (NYSE: BUD) met and discussed the $46.3 billion unsolicited bid from rival InBev NV. However, there was nothing announced to its eager shareholders.

But, hey, why speed things up? Might as well keep InBev guessing, right?

And, there's much for the rumor mill to chomp on. For example, Carlos Fernandez said he has resigned from Anheuser's board. He is the CEO of Grupo Modelo, which is half-owned by Anheuser.

One possibility is that Anheuser will buy the rest of Grupo, making it tougher for InBev to pull off its buyout. So, does the resignation mean that Anheuser and Grupo are talking about such an arrangement?

It's really tough to tell. Perhaps Grupo is actually talking to InBev? After all, it looks like Grupo wants to remain independent.

Yet, all this stuff seems more of a sideshow. The fact remains that Anheuser can't ignore InBev and is under lots of pressure to sell out (especially in light of its sluggish operating performance over the past few years).

Actually, Adolphus A. Busch IV sent a letter to Anheuser's board urging negotiation with InBev to get a deal done. He's the uncle of the CEO, August A. Busch IV.

Finally, there is another interesting dynamic: Warren Buffett. His company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A), owns 5% of Anheuser's shares. No doubt, it should be interesting to get his views on the matter.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

There aren't many defenses to InBev's mega $46.3 billion unsolicited bid for Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD).

Though, there are is one interesting option: the "scorched earth" approach. Essentially, this is when a company takes a transformative move -- such as a huge dividend or a major acquisition -- to make itself unattractive. Yes, it's brutal and shareholders don't like it. But, it does happen.

In the case of Anheuser, it may decide to make a bid for Grupo Modelo, which is the largest beer company in Mexico (and controls the Corona brand). In fact, Grupo Modelo Anheuser already owns half the company's shares and it looks like talks are already in progress (according to a report in the Wall Street Journal, which is a paid publication).

The problem: basically, Grupo Modelo might not want to sell out. If anything, the company may see the InBev's mega deal as a way to buy back the 50% stake from Anheuser.

But, interestingly enough, Warren Buffett may be the ultimate power broker. After all, his firm, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) owns 5% of Anheuser. And, according to a report in the Guardian, it looks like Buffett is going to meet with August Busch IV, who is the CEO of Anheuser.

The stock market was down today and the financial sector was hit as hard as anything else. These are the days you want to have your watch-list ready or perhaps your stock alerts triggered. I have been watching Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) for quite some time. Today at $27.00 I received an alert and decided to buy some.

As a value investor I am seeking not to just make a profit but to have as large a margin of safety as possible. That means I do not want to just buy a discounted stock but I want to "steal it". Patience is always in order, and usually is rewarded. That was the case when we watched Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) go from the low $40's to $57 per share and think we had missed the train, only to keep our eyes open as it fell back down to $36 where we pulled the trigger.

Last week TIF did us proud (see: Chasing Value: Tiffany's -- all that glitters) and although I am wrong way too often, I would be greatly surprised to see TIF anywhere near $36 ever again. It has reached $50 since we purchased it in April. The following chart illustrates the recent path of Wells Fargo.

After five months of tracking my 2008 picks, it is rewarding to finally have a breakthrough -- topping the three major stock indices and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) too. It has been painful to have to report each month that I was being bested. However, since I have not seen anything contradicting my original rationale for my eight picks I stood my ground.

This past month saw great improvement. For the first time since I posted the original story Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008, five of the eight stocks are up:

Moving into positive territory by pennies was Loews Corporation (NYSE: LTR). Among its holdings is a 51% stake in Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. (NYSE: DO) that has been doing well as the world remains desperate for more oil and natural gas.

Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) was the other stock to cross the line into the black, while Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO), although improving, remains my worst performer. It is still down almost 28% after five months.

The gap between the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the technology heavy NASDAQ Composite Index narrowed substantially so that the three are tracking each other very closely. Stocks like Apple, Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) continue to gain significantly and their outlooks have not been shaken amid overall pessimistic economic forecasts.

A story yesterday in Business Week, A Mideast Valley of Peace discussed how the development of a $3 billion canal from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea is gaining some traction. There is both Arab and Israeli support for the idea which would bring industry, tourism, and most importantly water through desalination plants to a very thirsty location.

According to the report the ambitious project is being energized by 60-year-old billionaire Itzhak Tshuva, who was born into a poor family of 11 who crammed into a single room after immigrating to Israel from Libya in the 1940s. He went on to build a global real estate empire that includes New York's Plaza Hotel, as well as a recently announced $8 billion luxury hotel, retail, residential, and casino complex on the Las Vegas Strip.

Equally important, the project is getting a warm reception in parts of the Arab world. This so-called Valley of Peace is part of a 520-kilometer (323-mile) corridor being proposed by Israeli President Shimon Peres for regional economic development. Peres says he has received letters of support from both Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Jordan's King Abdullah II. And according to Israeli press reports, Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal -- known for his investments in Western icons such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) -- recently told Tshuva that he will support the project through Jordan.

The financial press is trumpeting the latest pronouncement from the Oracle of Omaha: "I believe that we are already in a recession. Perhaps not in the sense as defined by economists. ... But people are already feeling the effects of a recession. It will be deeper and longer than what many think."

I'm a huge fan of Warren Buffett for a multitude of reasons; I've read just about every book in print about his methodology and I would list him among my top three heroes (Gabe Kapler and Perry Como being the other two). But I can say with confidence -- and Buffett would agree -- that he has not become the greatest investor in the world ever on the strength of his macroeconomic forecasts. He applies a bottom-up approach to his investments, looking for strong businesses at reasonable prices. In his shareholder letters he's written frequently about the difficulty of predicting the future for the broad economy, and also emphasized that successful investing does not require such prescience.

He's a smart guy and his prediction could turn out to be right, but going to Buffett for macro predictions is a little like going to Albert Einstein for fashion tips. Brilliance in one area may or may not equate to brilliance in others.

Even if you agree with Buffett's prediction, borrow a line from his playbook: Don't run scared. Focus on investing in companies with competitive advantages at good values.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Last December Chemtura Corporation (NYSE: CEM), a specialty chemicals company with a market cap of about $1.9B, said it might sell itself, and now The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) and Apollo Management are in talks to buy the company, the Wall Street Journal reported.
• In part one of a series to help explain the reasons why The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC) collapsed, the Wall Street Journal said that the troubled firm was torn apart by executives who couldn't agree on what course to take, including raising capital and slicing mortgage and related bonds from its inventory. And each of about six attempts to raise capital fell part.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The American investor and Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) chief Warren Buffett said the United States is already in a recession that is deeper and will last longer than the public expects, the Economic Times reported.
• According to the Telegraph, Barclays Plc (NYSE: BCS) is planning to sell Barclays Life Assurance Company, its life assurance arm, which has over GBP7B of funds under management. Sources believe potential bidders for the unit may include Pearl, Swiss Reinsurance Company (OTC: SWCEY), General Re, Canada Life and XL Re. Market commentators believe that on an embedded value basis, the unit is currently valued at around GBP1B.

Good news for shareholders of Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD). Shares of the world's second-largest brewer are surging over 8% to $56.81 on a report that it may receive a bid worth $46 billion from InBev NV.

Just last week I moped about the lack of new developments in the reported talks between Anheuser-Busch and InBev, saying that as the industry is showing signs of consolidation, BUD seems a little lonely. Well, I may have spoken too soon considering today's reports.

According to Alphaville, the Financial Times' blog, InBev, the maker of Stella Artois, is working on a $46 billion bid, worth $65 a share, for Anheuser-Busch. The sources were not identified, but they indicated "that while extensive work had been carried out on the transaction, InBev was 'not about to push the button.'" There were no official comments.

If the deal is carried out, the second-largest shareholder, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK.A), could stand to profit from its 5% stake. Buffett, profit? Nah! Barclay's, by the way, is the biggest stakeholder.

If the companies indeed join forces, they would cover the globe between them, pump out around 350 million hectolitres of beer and other beverages annually. Annual revenues would be around $20 billion and have a market capitalization close to $100 billion.

Since the first approach last October, InBev believes Mr Busch would be more willing to deal as pressure from shareholders have been increasing. And financing, you may ask, in this climate? Well, about $50 billion has been provisionally arranged with JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Banco Santander SA.

Now the question is, do we buy BUD shares at $57, hoping to cash in at $65?

Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK.A) recent high-profile investments in places like Europe and Israel have led many Oracle of Omaha-watchers to speculate that Warren Buffett is bearish on America.

Not so, says Mr. Buffett. Speaking at a business school in Switzerland, he told members of the media that "We buy ... when other people have a reason to sell. We love buying companies in the U.S."

The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that Buffett also said he would consider future investments in Eastern Europe, but that it is difficult to find acquisition targets that are large enough to be meaningful for Berkshire. He also doesn't feel that the weakened U.S. dollar would make investing in Europe difficult.

There's nothing too surprising here. Buffett has generally pursued a bottoms-up investment philosophy throughout his career (with some style-drift in recent years as Berkshire's cash pile has grown). He looks for strong companies with good management and predictable future cash flow, and I don't think he would write off any region where he can find that because of supposed macroeconomic concerns.

This week's Barron's [subscription required] reverses itself -- after panning Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) in December 2007 it has now reversed course -- with a hedge from a short seller. Since panning Berkshire in December -- when it traded for $143,000 a share, the stock has lost 14% so Barron's was right then. Is it right to bet on a rise in Berkshire now? I really don't know because I don't find either the bear or the bull case persuasive.

Why did Barron's pan Berkshire back in December? As I posted, Barron's bear case on Berkshire was simply that it was overvalued on the basis of its book value and earnings growth. Berkshire's ratio of market value to book value was then at 1.8 times its September 30 book value, of $77,800 a share. That was above its average of 1.6 in the past five years.

It was also valued at 23 times estimated 2007 operating profits of $6,300 a share. 2008's profits were then expected to be similar to 2007's. If Berkshire were then valued at 1.7 times book value, a premium to its five-year average, Barron's estimated that stock would trade at $132,000.