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Take-Two sees a loss in Q2 -- no 'grand' catalyst around

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO), a video-game publisher that competes with Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI), THQ (NASDAQ: THQI), and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS), reported Q2 results on Tuesday after the bell.

Revenues dipped considerably to roughly $230 million. Last year at this time, Take-Two generated $540 million on the top line. Blame it on a very tough comparison. The publisher was basking in the glory of Grand Theft Auto IV in 2008, so that has to be taken into consideration by investors.

Continue reading Take-Two sees a loss in Q2 -- no 'grand' catalyst around

Is Take-Two Interactive a buy?

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO), a video-game company that competes with Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS), hit a 52-week low on Monday. When I saw that the stock hit this level, I immediately began thinking about buying it. But, I must admit, it seems a little scary to be buying in now.

The reason I'm hesitant is that the magic of Grand Theft Auto IV has essentially come and gone. You know how it's fun and inspiring to buy Marvel (NYSE: MVL) ahead of some big movie releases? Trades like that don't always work out, but at least you feel a little more confident about owning the stock.

Then there's the recent earnings report from Take-Two. The publisher disappointed investors, as Zac Bissonnette observed. The numbers weren't great, and you have to wonder how much interest the institutions on Wall Street will have in a company that not only might be susceptible to the slowdown in consumer spending, but which has already used up its major ace.

Continue reading Is Take-Two Interactive a buy?

Did Take-Two make a wise move?

So, Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) has had enough of arbitrage. According to reports, management decided that it will remain an independent entity after all. You'll recall that the software publisher was being courted by Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS). That relationship never panned out. Take-Two said "give us more money, EA." And EA apparently said "no way." It was interesting while it lasted. And if you had sold out of Take-Two when the offer was made oh-so-long ago, you made money. Hopefully you aren't still holding the shares.

I don't know why Take-Two didn't decide to cash out, especially when it was becoming apparent that the economy was headed for a severe downturn. I mean, you would think that executives in a company such as this would have more information than I do and would have known where things may have been headed, or at least have a strong indication. Let's face it: Take-Two is an investment/trading idea based on the notion, in part at least, that it's going to be taken out at some point. Otherwise, you've got one big intellectual property, Grand Theft Auto, to get excited about. Now, truth be told, I know and you know that the company has a little more than just that. There's BioShock, for one thing. But this is the perception on Wall Street, and it's a hard one to fight. And since I already own Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI), I don't think, at this juncture at least, I'd want to invest in a second game-software publisher. I'd be going for a shorter-term trade. That line of thinking kind of makes me wonder why management didn't decide to trade out of Take-Two months ago. Oh, I forgot. Greed. Hey, greed might be good, but it isn't always smart.

I don't think Take-Two will remain independent forever. It'll be bought out sometime in the future. Someone will want Grand Theft Auto. Will EA come back to the table? That's a strong possibility. Maybe Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) or Sony Corporation (NYSE: SNE) will make a bid. Doesn't matter who it is, it'll happen. Just not now, maybe. However, I personally wouldn't consider entering Take-Two's shares until they drop much further from current levels. Below $9 a share would be a cool price.

Disclosure: I own Activision Blizzard; positions can change at any time.

Take-Two demolishes expectations in Q2 -- I'm still not a buyer

Was it any surprise that Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) beat expectations for the second quarter? Not a chance. That's because Grand Theft Auto IV stole a lot of hardcore-gamer hearts when it made its eagerly anticipated debut back in April. Net revenues more than doubled to nearly $540 million in Q2, and adjusted net income came in at $1.52 per share. Briefing.com says that the bottom-line results were $0.39 ahead of analyst expectations. Again, we saw this coming.

Take-Two opened Grand Theft Auto IV on the Sony Corporation (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3 and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 platforms with excellent fanfare and brilliant marketing, taking full advantage of the brand equity intrinsic to the title. An impressive 8.5 million discs of the title have been sold so far. Job well done. Plus, BioShock is coming to PlayStation 3 later this year. That's going to be a major franchise in the years to come.

Yet, I will not buy the stock. With the arbitrage battle surrounding Take-Two and its takeover dance with Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS), I simply am discouraged from stepping in and adding the company to my portfolio. I owned Take-Two at one time, but I'm not interested in getting back in. Besides, the news is out on Grand Theft Auto, so who knows if this would have been much of a trade right now, even if the EA deal wasn't on the table. Great quarter, excellent future guidance, but I just don't see the value of playing the buyout-game here.

Disclosure: I don't own any of these companies, but positions can change at any time.

Take-Two Interactive's BioShock being made into a movie

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) needs to demonstrate the strength of its franchises other than Grand Theft Auto in order to fend off a bid from Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS), and this latest bit of news could help it do just that.

In a press release issued on Friday, the company announced that its 2K Games unit had "reached an agreement for BioShock, the universally acclaimed smash-hit video game, to be developed as a feature film by Universal Pictures." Gore Verbinski, director of the Pirates of the Caribbean trilogy, will produce and direct the film.

In a clear -- and completely justified -- swipe at critics who characterize the company as a one-trick pony, chairman Strauss Zelnick said that " Our ability to attract a major studio and unparalleled creative team speaks volumes about the strength of our BioShock franchise. It also demonstrates how Take-Two is delivering value based on our strategy of creating and owning our industry's most powerful intellectual property. "

This development certainly plays into Take-Two's argument that it can build value as a stand-alone company. As far as I can tell, none of EA's games have been transformed into Hollywood movies.

That said, Bioshock the movie sounds like a surefire flop to me.

Boston Beer profit more than doubles; Take-Two posts narrower-than-estimated loss

The most recent quarter was good for Boston Beer Co. Inc. (NYSE: SAM), which reported that its fourth-quarter profit more than doubled, and not too bad for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO), which posted a narrower-than-expected loss for the first quarter.

For the quarter that ended December 29, Boston Beer's net income jumped to $6.8 million, or 46 cents per share, from $2.5 million, or 17 cents per share, in the prior year quarter. Revenue rose 26% to $92.2 million from the same period of 2006. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had expected earnings of 35 cents per share on revenue of $88.9 million.

The company credited its performance to drinkers trading up to craft beers, as well as increasing retailer and wholesale support for the craft category and for Samuel Adams. The company noted that its Twisted Tea brand also performed well in the quarter.

For the full year, profit grew 24% from a year ago, to $22.5 million, or $1.53 per share, while revenue grew 20% to $341.6 million.

Boston Beer shares rose $2.02, or 6%, to close at $35.81, and continued to rise in after-hours trading.

Continue reading Boston Beer profit more than doubles; Take-Two posts narrower-than-estimated loss

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 12:42 PM

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