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RIM Worth $70 Though Near-Term Concerns Are Warranted

Research In Motion (RIMM) logoResearch In Motion (RIMM) recently announced the fiscal year Q4 2011 earnings, in which it gave a disappointing revenue outlook for FY Q1 2012 quarter. Its shares tumbled by 10% in the after-market hours after the announcement and opened around these levels Friday morning. RIM, which competes with Apple (AAPL), Nokia (NOK) and Motorola Mobility (MMI) in the smartphone market, stands to lose further ground in the near-term as suggested by the weak outlook. However, we still believe there is value for long term holders of the stock despite the disappointing guidance.

We have updated our price estimate for RIM stock to $69.59, which is about 25% higher than market price.

Continue reading RIM Worth $70 Though Near-Term Concerns Are Warranted

Would You Buy RIM on the Dip?

Research In Motion (RIMM) logoThe fast moving world of investing can turn on a dime, especially if you own technology stocks. Research In Motion (RIMM) was a smartphone darling. But then came the iPhone and now the iPad. Then we have Google's (GOOG) Android following on Apple's (AAPL) heels.

RIM suddenly woke up a found that it had fallen off its perch. Now the company is scrambling to do catch up. BlackBerry is losing North American market share and the company expects to ship only 13.5 to 14.5 million Blackberry's this quarter, down from 14.9 million last quarter, according to Reuters.

Continue reading Would You Buy RIM on the Dip?

Research In Motion's Bumpy Uptrend Continues

Research In Motion (RIMM) logoThe shares of Research In Motion (RIMM), which I first wrote about on May 5, 2009, at a price of $77.07, remain a stock that's decidedly not for the squeamish.
RIM's roller-coaster rebound continued during the winter, with the stock rising from $61 to test $70 resistance, before retreating back to $62.

RIM's 2011 revenue will likely jump 35% to 40% on strong sales of BlackBerry wireless email devices -- a device that has become the standard in large corporations and public institutions, and that is gaining traction in the consumer segment. Unit sales and subscriber growth remain adequate, but average selling prices are likely to continue trend lower amid increased competition. Revenue from tablets also should begin to make their presence felt in 2011. In 2010, Research's revenue surged 35%.

Continue reading Research In Motion's Bumpy Uptrend Continues

Nokia Partnership Provides Upside for Microsoft Stock

Microsoft (MSFT) and Nokia (NOK) recently announced a strategic partnership in which Nokia will adopt Windows Phone 7 as the main operating system for its smart phones. Microsoft competes with other tech bellwethers like Google (GOOG), Research In Motion (RIMM) and Apple (AAPL) that make smart phones and tablets, as well as the corresponding operating systems for mobile phones and tablet devices.

We believe the Nokia deal presents upside for Microsoft, as it provides an opportunity to gain share in both the smart phone operating system market and the search advertising market by leveraging Nokia's large global presence.

Continue reading Nokia Partnership Provides Upside for Microsoft Stock

Research In Motion Is on the Mend

The shares of Research In Motion Limited (RIMM), which I first wrote about on May 5, 2009, at a price of $77.07, rebounded last autumn, rising to about $62 from $42, following a 2010 swoon that came within a whisker of the $42 sell/stop loss.

Look for RIMM's 2011 revenue to jump 35% to 40% on strong sales of BlackBerry wireless e-mail devices -- a device that has become the standard in large corporations/public institutions, and that has started to gain traction in the consumer segment. Unit sales and subscriber growth remain adequate, but average selling prices are likely to continue to trend lower amid increased competition.

Continue reading Research In Motion Is on the Mend

Starbucks: New Size, New Payment Method

Starbucks (SBUX)It's not enough to be on every metropolitan street corner; now Starbucks (SBUX) is trying to be even bigger (in one sense of the word) -- and faster, too. Thirsty folks longing for a Big Gulp­-style coffee beverage are in luck as the Seattle-based coffee chain is set to roll out its new "Trenta" size for iced drinks.

The new size, seven ounces bigger than the Venti, will be 31 ounces. Trenta, by the way, means "thirty" in Italian. It's also a valley in Slovenia and a small town in the Italian province of Cosenza. This new size trumps Dunkin Donuts, which offers its iced beverages in 24-ounce serving sizes.

Continue reading Starbucks: New Size, New Payment Method

Research In Motion Tops Earnings, Revenue Estimates

Research In Motion (RIMM) logoThursday, Research In Motion Limited (RIMM) announced that its quarterly earnings came in at $1.46 per share, compared to 83 cents per share a year ago. Not only did the results top those from a year ago, but the results topped analysts' expectations for $1.36 per share.

Turning to revenue, RIM raked in $4.62 billion, 31% better than a year ago as well as better than estimates for $4.49 billion.

During the quarter, the company shipped 12.1 million smartphone units and added 4.5 million new subscribers. While the new subscribers came in short of the expected 5 million, the 12.1 million shipped units was better than the forecast 11.8 million.

Continue reading Research In Motion Tops Earnings, Revenue Estimates

New Smartphone Could Give Nokia's Stock a Boost

Nokia (NOK), the world's largest manufacturer of cell phones, has been hit hard over the past year as Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) ramped up market share in the market for mobile devices. The company, which has a 40% share of the world's cell phone market, has been struggling to develop a smartphone that will let it compete not only with the Android operating system, but also with the iPhone and the BlackBerry, by Research In Motion (RIMM).

While Nokia fumbled, the stock, which traded at more than $15 per share in April, has fallen about 38% and now trades around $9.50.

But things could be about to turn around.

Continue reading New Smartphone Could Give Nokia's Stock a Boost

Closing Bell: Breaking a Six Day Slide (POT, BHP, RIMM, FISV, PEIX, PTV)

It is supposed to be Mondays that are the day of mergers. Three deal announcements this morning offered a large boost in investor confidence and production data allowed traders to put a portion of "The Risk Trade" back on. Depending upon the index, some stock indexes had been down six days.

Here were the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 10,405.85 +103.84 (1.01%)
S&P 500 1,092.55 +13.17 (1.22%)
Nasdaq 2,209.44 +27.57 (1.26%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: Breaking a Six Day Slide (POT, BHP, RIMM, FISV, PEIX, PTV)

Research In Motion Already Cutting BlackBerry Torch Prices

BlackBerry TorchPCWorld reported that Research In Motion Limited (RIMM) is cutting the price for its new BlackBerry Torch, lowering the new handset's price to $99 from $199.

This is not a good sign for the telecommunications company, as it indicates that the latest iteration of its CrackBerry device is already lagging behind its competitors mere weeks into its existence. Complaints abound about the Torch, which some say was basically just like older versions and will not be enough to pull other smartphone users from their devices.

Continue reading Research In Motion Already Cutting BlackBerry Torch Prices

Research In Motion Hopes the Torch Can Reignite the Stock

Research In Motion (RIMM) on Tuesday introduced its new smartphone -- the BlackBerry Torch 9800. The company's latest phone will feature both a touch screen and a slide-out keyboard. RIMM hopes that the Torch will help it reclaim its earlier importance in the smart-phone market.

The Canadian company has lost a great deal of the cell phone market share to competitors Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) -- both of which have introduced wildly popular cellular devices. The Torch will be available on August 12.

Continue reading Research In Motion Hopes the Torch Can Reignite the Stock

Closing Bell: Markets Still Acting Range-Bound (KGC, PG, PFE, DOW, CTSH, RIMM)

Today's stock market could not offer a repeat of triple-digit DJIA gains. Personal income and spending failed to offer a renewed hope that a major upside was coming from Joe Public in new consumer spending. The pending home sales data is also running at historic lows.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 10,636.38 -38.00 (-0.36%)
S&P 500 1,120.46 -5.40 (-0.48%)
Nasdaq 2,283.52 -11.84 (-0.52%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Markets Still Acting Range-Bound (KGC, PG, PFE, DOW, CTSH, RIMM)

Closing Bell: No Double-Dip Recession Here (ASF, BAC, CRL, GENZ, HUM, RIMM)

Today started out strong and ended up even stronger with triple-digit DJIA gains. The reports from ISM showed no manufacturing recession and actually showed more employment improvements. This was on the heels of a strong Chinese auto figure and on all major indexes outside of the US trading higher. The S&P 500 even got back above its 200-day moving average.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell readings:

Dow Jones 10,674.38 +208.44 (1.99%)
S&P 500 1,125.86 +24.26 (2.20%)
Nasdaq 2,295.36 +40.66 (1.80%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: No Double-Dip Recession Here (ASF, BAC, CRL, GENZ, HUM, RIMM)

Service Cuts May Send BlackBerry Users in Middle East to RIM's Competitiors

BlackBerryFirst things first, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia are not banning the BlackBerry device produced by Research in Motion Limited (RIMM). What is being suspended is BlackBerry mobile services like e-mail and text messaging. The supposed ban will start in October.

This ban stems from a dispute between the UAE and RIM concerning RIM's encrypted data system. The system makes government monitoring of data more difficult. The problem for RIM is that such a move could be followed by other countries in the region, as Kuwait and Bahrain have also raised concerns over the data encryption.

Continue reading Service Cuts May Send BlackBerry Users in Middle East to RIM's Competitiors

Options Update: Research in Motion August Volatility at 40, September at 51 as New Device Announced

Research in Motion (RIMM) closed up $1.83 to $57.53. RIMM is expected to launch its Blackpad in November. August put option implied volatility is at 40, September at 51, December is at 46; versus its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger September price movement.

Rambus (RMBS) closed up 30 cents to $19.65. RMBS call option volume of 9K contracts compares to put volume of 1K contracts. August put option implied volatility is at 50, September is at 51, November is at 55, January is at 57; versus its 26-week average of 66 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+28.6112,912.56
NASDAQ+12.502,928.36
S&P 500+3.801,353.76

Last updated: February 09, 2012: 02:12 PM

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