U.S. long-term interest rates hit a high Wednesday with the yield on 10-year notes at 4%. Yields jumped 4 basis points, the biggest jump since 2003. This was up from 3.6% just one week ago. Mortgage lenders use the benchmark 10-year note to price their mortgage rates.

Four percent is the magic number for traders. When the yield reached 4%, traders moved in to buy. The higher rate also took its toll on the stock market, with the Dow down 24.04 to 8739.02.

There are strange goings on in the markets these days. The latest catch 22 is the rally in junk bonds. Bloomberg reports that "The lowest rated companies that may not be able to afford avoiding bankruptcy and exchanging or buying back debt at the lowest prices on record." That is pushing the prices of junk bonds up in the biggest rally ever. The flip side is that this practice is the higher prices are crowding out some of the neediest companies

Here are some examples:

• The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) owns Freescale Semiconductor Inc. In March, Blackstone wiped away $1.9 billion of Freescale's debt by offering investors 32 cents on the dollar in loans. Since then the securities have tripled to 54.1 cents on the dollar. Now, the chip maker still has $7.5 billion of debt and would need to do it at much higher prices.

During the last eight months, with the market bouncing up and down, there have been times when I did not look too smart buying stocks through it all.

Of course I looked the most foolish on March 9, when I wrote the prophetic Nostradamus was a punk! Have we reached bottom? Some folks were commenting that they were staying in cash until the DJIA dropped to 5,000. Today that looks highly improbable, even if the market gives something back over the next few months.

There must be some readers that also have contrarian instincts and made good money this year. This is a reminder to take something off the table. It's time to book some gains. We all did great in 1999 and 2000 only to give it all back and then some. Don't let that happen to you again!

Wow! Did you know that the the Nasdaq has moved up to or beyond its 200-day moving average? If there's one number that turns traders on it is the 200-day moving average. It creates a new confidence that all is well and it's safe to jump back into the stock market.

We've had two months of steady gains, and now investors who didn't have the courage of buy at the low are in panic mode. They want on board. They want a piece of the action. This is causing more sustained buying. We are just about finishing the mess of bank "stress tests" and this is adding a sigh of relief for the banking sector.

There is an old saying: "never fight the Fed." If you had been short this bond market, you probably could be wiped out in one afternoon. When the Federal Reserve made its announcement a short time ago that they were buying long term securities the futures on the long bond jumped 4.25 basis points, or more that $4000.00 on just one contract. If you were long say 10 contracts you would be sitting on a $40,000 profit this afternoon.

More and more, there are signs that the capital markets are finding equilibrium. For example, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) was able to raise $13.5 billion in debt financing this week. The structure was a five-part issue of notes.

Of course, Pfizer needs the cash to pull off its $64.2 billion acquisition of Wyeth (NYSE: WYE).

In a startling move, the Bank of England cut interest rates to .5% and announced plans to buy 75 billion pounds of gilts (the British equivalent of the U.S. Treasury bond). Gilt prices rose sharply, especially longer term maturities.

This had the effect of changing the slope of the yield curve (longer term maturities gained ground over shorter term ones). The Bank of England initiated these moves in an effort to bring down medium- and long-term rates.

If you are sitting in your office or at home thinking: "What am I going to do next? The economy is getting worse by the day," you are not alone. For the first time in a generation real fear has gripped the nation. This was reflected in the action of the markets since the beginning of the month.

Global markets are at multiyear lows, as is the U.S. Dow Jones Industrial average. The S&P index sank below the psychological 800 level.

This past week, attention was focused on central and eastern Europe, where the recession is gaining momentum on the downside. Now add to this mix the banking crisis. Investors are fearing a lack of solvency among the big international banks. Credit default swaps are rising, with Korea hitting a three-month high. Then you have the crisis in Japan, where GDP is falling by an annualized rate of 12.7% in the past three months.