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Week in Preview: Retail Sales, Consumer Credit and Earnings

earnings expectationsSo, the unemployment rate sank below 9% in February, but investors didn't seem to be impressed by that. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all fell on Friday over concerns about how the ongoing unrest in the Middle East might affect energy prices, and thus the economic recovery.

Will this coming week's economic calendar offer anything likely to bring excitement to the markets? Here's what's on tap:

  • Monday: Consumer credit numbers for January
  • Tuesday: Weekly chain store sales, TIPP Economic Optimism Index

Continue reading Week in Preview: Retail Sales, Consumer Credit and Earnings

Boston Beer (SAM): Brewery Breakout

"Boston Beer (SAM) recently broke out from a six-month flat base; the move carried the stock to a new all-time high," says breakout specialist Leo Fasciocco.

The editor of Ticker Tape Digest explains, "SAM produces malt beverages and hard cider products at its breweries and under contract arrangements at other brewery locations.

"Technically, it is one of the strongest stocks in the market having climbed from 20 two years ago to 81 -- a fourfold move.

Continue reading Boston Beer (SAM): Brewery Breakout

Sam Adams May Lose 'Artisan Beer' Label

In the business world, there's rarely a thing as growing too big. But unfortunately for Sam Adams brewer Boston Beer (SAM), the price of success could be higher costs and the loss of its label as an "artisan" craft beer.

That's not to say a cold bottle of Sam Adams Summer Ale will taste any different to consumers. But according to the Brewers Association, "artisan" brewers include small outfits that put out less than two million barrels of suds a year. That means the brewer that almost single-handedly sparked interest in smaller batch brews with more flavor could be pushed into the same category as the big beer vendors like Anheuser Buch Inbev (BUD) and Molson Coors (TAP).

Continue reading Sam Adams May Lose 'Artisan Beer' Label

Boston Beer: The Little Brewery That Could

Boston Beer Samuel Adams logoIn a very interesting interview from The Wall Street Journal with Jim Koch, chairman of Boston Beer (SAM), the entrepreneur was asked about the future of craft breweries.

For those who are not familiar with the story of Jim Koch, he was a consultant in Boston who decided to brew a new beer and sold it to Boston bars. The little brewer that could proved that there was a niche for a smaller beer, and Boston Beer is now a publicly traded company. In fact, as the article points out, Mr. Koch "has helped foster a revolution in small-batch American brewing."

Continue reading Boston Beer: The Little Brewery That Could

7-Eleven Private Label Beer May Drain Big Brewers

Though by some estimates, consumer spending has topped its 2008 peak (really!) there is no denying that many businesses are still offering rock-bottom prices to lure shoppers out of their shells. You can now add convenience store chain 7-Eleven to the list.

The company just announced that it will be offering a lower-priced private label beer in an effort to connect with Americans looking for a cold brew this summer. The label is called "Game Day," and will be produced by City Brewing of Wisconsin -- a facility that joined up with Boston Beer (SAM) in 2007 to craft its flagship Sam Adams lager.

Continue reading 7-Eleven Private Label Beer May Drain Big Brewers

Earnings highlights: Cisco, Ford, Humana, MasterCard, Starbucks, Toyota ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Cisco, Ford, Humana, MasterCard, Starbucks, Toyota ...

Boston Beer blows away 3Q expectations, hikes 2009 forecast

Shares of The Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) surged to a new 52-week high Friday morning, after the brewmaster reported a third-quarter profit of $10.4 million, or 72 cents per share, on revenue of $108.7 million. The company swung to a loss of 2 cents per share in the third quarter of 2008, but attributed its turnaround to strong shipments and decreased advertising expenses.

The results were better than analysts expected, with consensus estimates calling for Boston Beer to bank a profit of 39 cents per share on $107.5 million. Looking forward, Boston Beer now expects full-year earnings of $1.75 per share to $2.05 per share, a marked increased from its prior forecast for a 2009 profit of $1.40 per share to $1.70 per share.

Continue reading Boston Beer blows away 3Q expectations, hikes 2009 forecast

The week in preview: Bernanke, earnings winners, and Raymond James conference

After testifying before a Senate committee about AIG (NYSE: AIG) last week, the Fed's Ben Bernanke participates in a Council of Foreign Relations event Monday evening.

Economic data due to be released this week include wholesale trade and job vacancies for January on Tuesday morning, the U.S. Treasury budget for February on Wednesday, retail sales for February and business inventories for January on Thursday morning, and the U.S. trade balance for January on Friday morning.

Continue reading The week in preview: Bernanke, earnings winners, and Raymond James conference

Earnings highlights: Blackstone, Caterpillar, Kroger, WellPoint, Boston Beer, and others

Here are a few highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Blackstone, Caterpillar, Kroger, WellPoint, Boston Beer, and others

Boston Beer profit more than doubles; Take-Two posts narrower-than-estimated loss

The most recent quarter was good for Boston Beer Co. Inc. (NYSE: SAM), which reported that its fourth-quarter profit more than doubled, and not too bad for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO), which posted a narrower-than-expected loss for the first quarter.

For the quarter that ended December 29, Boston Beer's net income jumped to $6.8 million, or 46 cents per share, from $2.5 million, or 17 cents per share, in the prior year quarter. Revenue rose 26% to $92.2 million from the same period of 2006. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had expected earnings of 35 cents per share on revenue of $88.9 million.

The company credited its performance to drinkers trading up to craft beers, as well as increasing retailer and wholesale support for the craft category and for Samuel Adams. The company noted that its Twisted Tea brand also performed well in the quarter.

For the full year, profit grew 24% from a year ago, to $22.5 million, or $1.53 per share, while revenue grew 20% to $341.6 million.

Boston Beer shares rose $2.02, or 6%, to close at $35.81, and continued to rise in after-hours trading.

Continue reading Boston Beer profit more than doubles; Take-Two posts narrower-than-estimated loss

Earnings highlights: Ciena, Staples, Intel, Tivo, Trump, Del Monte and others

Here are a few highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Also, Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) struggles to maintain profitability against competitor Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ). See Timothy Sykes's take on Warren Buffett's annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) shareholders. And Zac Bissonnette is interested in where earnings actually come from.

Upcoming results to watch for include Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR), Boston Beer Co. (NYSE: SAM), J. Crew Group Inc. (NYSE: JCG), Jones Soda Co. (NASDAQ: JSDA), Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX), and Men's Wearhouse Inc. (NYSE: MW).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Earnings highlights: Blockbuster, Costco, H&R Block, Walgreen, Saks and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Also, see Timothy Sykes's take on Warren Buffett's annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) shareholders. Zac Bissonnette is interested in where earnings actually come from. And Saks, Costco, and other retailers saw stronger February same-store sales despite recession concerns, but JC Penney Co. (NYSE: JCP) didn't feel the love.

Upcoming results to watch for include Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR), Boston Beer Co. (NYSE: SAM), J. Crew Group Inc. (NYSE: JCG), Jones Soda Co. (NASDAQ: JSDA), Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX), and Men's Wearhouse Inc. (NYSE: MW).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Analyst initiations: GSIT, ARRY and CLR

MOST NOTEWORTHY: GSI Technology, Array Biopharma and Continental Resources were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Merriman believes GSI Technology Inc (NASDAQ: GSIT) is positioned to benefit as growing bandwidth demand and increasingly complex protocols drive the need for faster and higher density memory in networking equipment. The firm started shares with a Buy rating.
  • Array Biopharma Inc (NASDAQ: ARRY) was assumed with an Outperform rating at William Blair. The firm thinks the company's pipeline contains significant value, which will be catalyzed over the next 12-18 months by continued clinical progress and potential partnerships.
  • Continental Resources Inc (NYSE: CLR) was initiated with a Buy rating and $30 target at Jefferies, and points to the company's double-digit growth and strong reserve growth potential.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Earnings previews: Burger King (BKC) and Molson Coors (TAP)

With earnings report rolling out one after another, there's hardly time to pause to enjoy a burger and a beer. Among companies reporting next week are Burger King Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BKC) and Molson Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP), and here are a quickie earnings previews for them.

Burger King has beat Wall Street earnings estimates for the past four quarters. When it reported fourth quarter 2007 results back in August, earnings were 29 cents per share, beating Wall Street estimates by two cents, and 11cents more than in the same period of the previous year. For the full year, earnings were $1.11 per share, again beating expectations by a pair of pennies. For the current quarter, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting 33 cents per share.

The most recent analysts' consensus recommendation is to buy BKC, and has been for the past year. The share price has been climbing since the slump after excitement of the IPO wore off, and it reached a 52-week high of $27.73 at the close on Friday.

For news about Burger King and its rivals that could influence Burger King's results, check out BloggingStocks' Burger King coverage.

Continue reading Earnings previews: Burger King (BKC) and Molson Coors (TAP)

Boston Beer (SAM) posts frothy earnings

Boston Beer (NYSE: SAM) reported earnings after the bell today. While it seems like the stock should be lower because the company missed EPS estimates (reported 46 cents per share vs. 58 cents per share consensus), there's much more to the story than first meets the eye.

First of all, Boston Beer didn't really miss EPS estimates if you exclude capitalized brewery costs related to the Massachusetts brewery project, which essentially serves as a write-off and thus is considered a one-time charge. These costs amounted to 14 cents per share and, when backed out, the EPS figure rises to 60 cents per share -- 2 cents better than consensus.

More importantly for Wall Street, the company raised its full year guidance to $1.42-$1.70 per share -- around the consensus estimate of $1.61 per share and above prior guidance which peaked at $1.55 per share. On all of this news, the stock is up around 2% so far in after-hours trading.

This is a very interesting company. Its primary brands Twisted Tea and Samuel Adams are becoming increasingly popular among consumers who are willing to pay up for quality beer. But at more than $45 per share, with earnings power of roughly $1.60 per share this year, I think the multiple is too high. I'd much rather pay $50 per share for Anheuser Busch (NYSE: BUD), a company that has earnings power of more than $2.80 per share for this year, in my opinion. Even if the growth rate is significantly slower, I believe the spread between the multiples will likely collapse -- either Anheuser Busch is drastically undervalued, Boston Beer is significantly overvalued, or a little bit of both.

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 07:21 PM

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