I have to hand it to Brady Dougan, CEO of Credit Suisse. He has shown some fiendishly clever imagination in paying bonuses to his managing directors. Instead of giving them multimillion dollar cash bonuses this year, he's paying them in the very thing that has brought Wall Street to its knees -- $5 billion of its leveraged loans and commercial mortgage-backed debt.

This move alone demonstrates that Credit Suisse is using its brain. By doing this, Dougan keeps the future losses of $5 billion worth of its toxic waste from cutting into Credit Suisse's earnings. Since the alternative was giving them no bonus at all, those managing directors will have a chance to share the emotions of all the people to whom they sold that toxic waste.

Not only that, but it will be much harder to get the general public angry at Credit Suisse for paying bonuses in toxic waste than other firms that are actually paying cash to their employees. Credit Suisse took $2.8 billion in losses in October and November, but it has not received any government money, unlike its peers. But the cleverest part of all is the accounting for the $5 billion in bonuses.

Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) believes that the global credit crisis will bottom in a few months. Brady Dougan, the bank's CEO, said in an interview in the Neue Zuercher Zeitung that "he was an optimist and it could take three, four, five months before the crisis bottomed out," according to Reuters. He indicated that an improvement in housing prices in the U.S. would help matters.

Credit Suisse management carries some weight with its predictions. It is one of the few large global banks that has not taken massive write-offs due to the subprime crisis. Its leaders are therefore viewed as being "smart" compared to most of their counterparts at other banks.

The problem with the prediction is that it relies to some significant extent on improvements in the U.S. housing market. This could take some pressure off the subprime lending market. But, many experts believe the real estate problems here could extend well into 2009.

In other words, Mr. Dougan could be off by more than a year.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.