British Petroleum posts
FeedPosted May 4th 2010 1:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Exxon Mobil (XOM), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Chasing Value™, Oil, Headline News, Stocks to Buy, Transocean Ltd. (RIG)

One of our regular readers, Dan B., asked me Monday morning if I thought British Petroleum p.l.c. ADS (
BP) was a buy, given how much it has collapsed in the wake of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill resulting from an explosion on a Transocean (
RIG) deep water drilling vessel that killed 11 people, who have yet to be found.
The oil spill is certainly a black swan as it was only a short while ago
I recommended Transocean and RIG has been clobbered along with BP.
Dan, no doubt, is aware that the stock market pendulum often over-swings the mark and is wondering if now is the time of opportunity, or will it come later? To buy, or not to buy, that is the question.
Continue reading Chasing Value: BP and Its Shareholders Will Clean Up
Posted Jul 6th 2009 8:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: PepsiCo (PEP), General Motors (GM), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Rio Tinto plc ADS (RIO)
When oil lost almost $3 a barrel, stock futures indicated a lower opening for today. Just shy of 5 AM, S&P 500, Down Jones, and Nasdaq 100 futures were all off 0.9%. The drop in oil to $64 a barrel has called into question any projections of a quick economic recovery -- as if high unemployment weren't enough. The Monday after any long weekend is hard, and this one's going to hurt.
The direction in which futures are pointing continues Thursday's equity declines in the United States, bringing the S&P 500 its third consecutive weekly loss. For the day, it lost 2.91%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.63% of its value, with the Nasdaq Composite Index giving up 2.67%. Year-to-date, the DJIA is down 5.6%, the S&P 500 down 0.8%.
Continue reading Oil down, futures down following holiday weekend
Posted May 21st 2008 12:40PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Industry, BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Options, Technical Analysis, Economic Data, Oil
BP (NYSE: BP) shares are trading higher today after the weekly US inventory report indicated a drop in supplies, while industry analysts expected a slight increase. Crude prices pushed to $132 in response, and the average gasoline prices in the US are currently a record $3.80 per gallon. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on BP.
After hitting a one-year high of $79.77 in November, the stock fell through the winter to hit its one-year low of $57.85 in January before starting to rise again. BP opened this morning at $76.24. So far today the stock has hit a low of $75.86 and a high of $76.78. As of 11:10, BP is trading at $76.66, up $1.73 (2.3%). The chart for BP looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $60 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in just five months as long as BP is above $60 at October expiration. BP would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
Continue reading BP soars on record oil prices, inventory drop
Posted May 7th 2008 1:42PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Industry, BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Options, Technical Analysis, Oil
British Petroleum (NYSE:
BP) shares are falling today after
the US Energy Department reported that domestic gasoline inventories rose unexpectedly last week and crude-oil stockpiles gained more than expected. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on BP.
After hitting a one-year high of $79.77 in November, the stock hit a one-year low of $57.85 in January. This morning, BP opened at $72.73. So far today the stock has hit a low of $72.17 and a high of $72.82. As of 12:00, BP is trading at $72.30, down $0.54 (-0.7%). The chart for BP looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 Stars (out of 5) strong buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $80 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in two and a half months as long as BP is below $80 at July expiration. BP would have to rise by more than 10% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
Continue reading BP falls on gasoline inventory report
Posted Jun 26th 2007 1:18PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Options, Technical Analysis, Oil
BP plc (NYSE:
BP) opened at $71.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $70.71 and a high of $71.30. As of 11:10, BP is trading at $70.86, up $0.75 (1.1%).
After hitting a one year high of $73.28 in August, the stock dipped to a year low of $58.62 in March before shooting up into the high $60s again in late spring. The stock has shown support around 66 over the past several months. Shares are rising this morning after the company announced plans to work with Associated British Foods PLC and
DuPont (NYSE:
DD)
to develop a $400 million bioethanol plant in northern England as BP seeks alternative forms of energy generation. Recent technical indicators for the stock have been bullish with slight deterioration, while
S&P gives BP a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August
bull-put credit spread below the $65 range. BP hasn't been below $65 since March and has shown support around $66 recently. This trade could be risky if crude oil futures take a nosedive, but even if that happens, our position could find support at $66, due to the stock's 200 day moving average, which is currently at $66 and rising..
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in BP or DD.