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What was Berkshire Hathaway doing with derivatives?

Back in 2003, Warren Buffett said that derivatives posed a "mega-catastrophic risk" to the economy. In a shareholder letter, he compared derivatives to "hell... easy to enter and almost impossible to exit." Buffett has also called derivatives a fool's game and, most famously, likened the contracts to "weapons of mass destruction."

All of this makes it all the more fascinating that Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK.A) first-quarter profits plummeted due to $1.7 billion in losses on, you guessed it, derivatives. Peter Cohan wrote that "This proves that George W. Bush was right and so was Warren Buffett."

It would be like anti-prostitution zealot Elliot Spitzer getting caught with a call-girl. Oh wait ...

So what happened? Here's one possibility: Even after an $9 billion plunge in the company's cash position, Berkshire still had $35.57 billion in cash on its balance sheet. Warren Buffett is the greatest investor of all-time, but it's difficult to find enough undervalued stocks in sleepy industries to put that much money to use.

Given that Buffett may not be at the helm for too many more decades, even value investing disciples -- I consider myself one -- may want to look elsewhere for investors employing a similar style with more manageable assets to deploy. One possibility is Leucadia National (NYSE: LUK), which Aaron Katsman recently compared favorably to Berkshire Hathaway. A year ago, Jim Cramer named Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: BAM) as the next Berkshire Hathaway.

Best Stocks for 2008: Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative stock for 2008 is Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM)," says Peter Slatin, editor of the Forbes/Slatin Real Estate Report.

"Here's a company that has it all: energy, timber and, mostly through its 50% ownership of Brookfield Properties (NYSE: BPO), top-quality commercial real estate in highly desirable markets such as London and New York.

"It also holds assets in emerging markets like Brazil, where it just acquired a major retail portfolio; and stable, well-performing Canada, including Calgary.

"Along with its office buildings in that energy and mineral boom town, BAM, which is traded on the New York and Toronto exchanges, also has a hefty stake in the region's vast oil sands.

"The company, with a market cap of more than $22 billion, is currently trading toward the higher end of its 52-week range, and its extremely professional management and well-balanced exposure to some key markets and industries will continue to make it a rock-steady performer in a very shaky world."

Analyst downgrades: TD, CYT, CRNT, MU and NVT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Toronto Dominion, Cytec Industries, Ceragon Networks, Micron and Navteq were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • CIBC downgraded shares of Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD) to Sector Performer from Outperformer following the Commerce Bancorp (NYSE: CBH) acquisition, as they see integration risks and believes the deal will limit the company's ability to buyback stock.
  • Cytec Industries (NYSE: CYT) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, as they believe near-term risks to demand and margins could bring a better entry point by 1H08. Target lowered to $75 from $79.
  • Collins Stewart downgraded shares of Ceragon Networks (NASDAQ: CRNT) to Underperform from Buy on valuation and uncertainties surrounding the stock, which include the NEC infringement issue and increased competition.
  • Micron Technology (NYSE: MU) was downgraded to Accumulate from Buy at ThinkEquity. The firm is cautious on the sustainability of PC related demand and questions component order levels relative to PC sell through.
  • Banc of America downgraded shares of Navteq Corporation (NYSE: NVT) to Neutral from Buy following Nokia's (NOK) proposed buyout.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Top 20 advisors: Gordon Pape likes Brookfield's 'assets'

Last December, over 100 stocks were featured in our Top Picks for 2007 report. Now, at mid-year, we turn to the 20 advisors whose picks showed the strongest gains to get an update on their previous picks, as well as a new favorite stock for the second half of the year.

Gordon Pape, editor of Internet Wealth Builder, chose Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM) as his top pick for 2007. The stock rose 31%, as of June 1, 2007. Here is Gordon's original recommendation on BAM and his current favorite stock for the rest of 2007.

Updating the stock, Pape now says, "Brookfield is the oldest recommendation still on our active list -- we've been recommending it since 1997 -- and it continues to churn out handsome gains for members. Maybe the company will stumble some day, but I wouldn't bet on it.

"The company holds $50 billion in assets and invests in the property, power, and infrastructure sectors. Its strong stock performance is the result of a combination of continued profit growth and a corporate commitment to enhance shareholder valuation in every possible way.

"For example, the company recently announced that it is spinning off its timber assets and much of its electrical generating business into an infrastructure partnership -- Brookfield Infrastructure Partnership LP -- which will be listed on the NYSE under the symbol BIP.

"It's expected the partnership will be very attractive to investors, and Brookfield could have chosen to bring it out through an IPO. Instead, a majority interest will be distributed to Brookfield shareholders in the form of a dividend and the parent company will retain a 40% interest.

"In addition, the board of directors has approved another share split, the fourth since I recommended the stock. This will be a three for two split, paid as a dividend, which will be effective on June 1 for shareholders of record as of May 24. We continue to rate BAM a buy."

See all 20 stocks the advisors picked for the second half of 2007.

Top 20 advisors: Gordon Pape picks Precision

Last December, over 100 stocks were featured in our Top Picks for 2007 report. Now, at mid-year, we turn to the 20 advisors whose picks showed the strongest gains to get an update on their previous picks, as well as a new favorite stock for the second half of the year.

Gordon Pape, editor of The Internet Wealth Builder, chose Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM) as his favorite stock for 2007, which rose 31% as of 6/1/07. Here is his original recommendation and his current opinion on Brookfield.

For his new favorite, the advisor looks to Precision Drilling (NYSE: PDS). He explains, "If you like to buy good companies at beaten-down prices, take a good look at this income trust.

"Precision Drilling, which provides services to the Canadian oil patch, has been battered and bruised by a decline in oil exploration activity, distribution cuts, and, of course, the proposed new tax on income trusts which is now working its way through the Parliament of Canada.

"Investors were hit with a second distribution cut in six months when the trust announced on May 18 that it is chopping another 32% off its monthly payment, slicing it to 13 cents. That reduces the annual payment to $1.56 a share, less than half last year's level of $3.24.

"There's no doubt this oilfields service provider is going through a tough period and management hasn't tried to sugar-coat the situation. Despite the gloomy outlook, RBC Capital Markets said in a research report that the firm's dividend cut probably represents the last one for the year.

"The trust's payout ratio should now be marginally below that of other oil service providers and it is generally expected that drilling activity will pick up later this year.

Continue reading Top 20 advisors: Gordon Pape picks Precision

Cramer names the next Berkshire Hathaway, really....

On tonight's MAD MONEY on CNBC, Jim Cramer gave the ultimate recommendation: he called Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: BAM) the next Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A) but on more of an international basis. This stock has risen 744% since 1997 and 54% in the last 12 months. The company manages $70 Billion in property, infrastructure, land, and specialty funds. Cramer really likes the CEO J. Bruce Flatt.

This endorsement is sure to to generate some pretty favorable buzz. Brookfield's is based in Toronto, Canada and has a market cap is $22.25 Billion and its P/E ratio is 19.9. This company has been public since the mid-1980's and its largest run has come after a large drop in 2000. This is an aggressive conglomerate that operates in the US. and abroad. Since it has hardly seen any major pullbacks you could argue that it needs one, but the performance and management are hard to argue with. Shares rose 3% in after-hours trading to $39.41 and the 52-week trading range is $25.70 to $43.82.

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in any of the companies he covers.

Top Picks 2007: And the winner is ... financials

In recent posts, I have reviewed the newsletter advisors' Top Picks from 2007, first highlighting stocks that were in the healthcare, tech, and telecom sectors and then highlighting favorites in the out-of-favor metals and energy areas.

To conclude this review, I'm turning now to the most popular sector in this year's annual Top Picks report -- financial stocks. Of particular note this year is the type of financial stocks that rose to the top of the advisors' buy lists.

In past years, it was routine to see brokerage firms and large cap consumer banks among the Top Picks. This year, only one such company was chosen; Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) was selected as the favorite stock of both Mark Skousen and Kelley Wright.

Outside of Citi, the advisory community looked to an area that has rarely been cited in previous Top Picks reports --specialty finance companies. For example, Gordon Pape selected Brookfield Asset Management, which provides financing to real estate ventures.

Neil George chose a pair of companies spun off from Australia's Macquarie Bank. Both the Macquarie Infrastructure Trust (NYSE:MIC) and the Macquarie Infrastructure Group (OTC:MCORF) provide financing to global road, bridge, and airport development projects.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: And the winner is ... financials

Top Picks 2007: Pape picks Brookfield Asset for growth & income

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: BAM) is the favorite conservative stock from Gordon Pape, editor of Internet Wealth Builder. He explains, "Brookfield is an international conglomerate with interests in real estate, power generation, and infrastructure.

"Although its headquarters are in Toronto, its major holdings are in the U.S. and include such blue-ribbon office properties as the World Financial Center in New York and the Bank of America Plaza in Los Angeles. All told, the office portfolio holds 65 premier properties in North America and Europe. The company also owns some $1 billion in residential assets.

"On the power generation side, Brookfield has 137 hydro-electric stations in North America and Brazil with almost 3,700 megawatts of installed capacity. The company is also involved in the development of several wind power projects in Canada.

"I first recommended Brookfield's predecessor company, Brascan, back in 1997, and since the share price has increased more than five times. That's a great history, but there is much more to come from this well-managed company. Currently the stock pays a quarterly dividend of $0.16 a share. Buy this one for income and long-term growth."

To see Gordon's top speculative idea for 2007, click here.

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DJIA+21.2410,454.95
NASDAQ+5.502,174.68
S&P 500+1.891,107.54

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 10:47 AM

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