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Earnings preview: Buffalo Wild Wings could spark a short-squeeze rally

Casual restaurant chain Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) has been on fire this year, with the stock up more than 63% year-to-date. The company could see its positive price action accelerate after its upcoming turn in the earnings spotlight; BWLD is slated to unveil its first-quarter results on Tuesday, April 28, after the close of trading.

Analysts, on average, are expecting BWLD to report a profit of 46 cents per share, up from 36 cents per share in the first quarter of 2008. The company has a mixed history in the earnings confessional: in its previous four reports, the chain has exceeded analysts' estimates twice, met them once, and fallen short on one other occasion.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Buffalo Wild Wings could spark a short-squeeze rally

The week in preview: High hopes for First Solar, Humana, DreamWorks and more

As the quarterly reports continue to roll out and the market continues to rally, optimism seem to be rising. Analysts certainly have high hopes for some companies reporting earnings this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) to report first-quarter earnings of $1.51 per share, which is 62.3% higher than a year ago. Revenue for the quarter is expected to be 105.6% higher, or $404.9 million. First Solar earnings have topped expectations in the past five quarters, by as much as 47.3%. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 40.6% and the forward PE ratio estimate is 23.0. In the previous quarter, Tempe, Ariz.-based First Solar reported having more cash on hand than debt. The First Call consensus recommendation is to buy FSLR; CNBC recently included it as a stock pick. First Solar has announced that it will build new solar power plants in Nevada and Germany. Its share price has risen 6.9% since the beginning of the year to $147.46.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for First Solar, Humana, DreamWorks and more

Technicians bet on Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)

Two leading advisors -- both known for an expertise in technical analysts -- are bullish on the prospects for Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD), which operates and franchises casual food restaurants in 38 states.

Here's an overview of the stock from Joseph Hargett, an analyst with Schaeffer Investment Research, and Richard Schmidt, editor of The Stellar Stock Alert.

Schmidt explains, "You've got to love the action of Buffalo Wild Wings. Last month, the stock jumped up nearly 25% in one day and continued to move up.

Continue reading Technicians bet on Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)

Earnings highlights: Viacom, UBS, RIM, ArcelorMittal, Lions Gate, McAfee and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Viacom, UBS, RIM, ArcelorMittal, Lions Gate, McAfee and others

Buffalo Wild Wings flying again

When Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) reported a sharp drop in earnings for the third quarter last November, the stock plummeted to a 52-week low of $14.50 during the succeeding two months.

At the time, I suggested that the fundamentals at the company were so strong that the analysts downplaying the stock and the investors driving the price down were mistaken.

BWLD recovered in early December and held on to those gains for the first part of 2009. With the release of the fourth-quarter earnings report yesterday, the stock has added another 30%-plus to its price.

Continue reading Buffalo Wild Wings flying again

Buffalo Wild Wings: Fatten you up?

While customers may not realize how appropriate it is to be picking meat off the bones of chicken wings in hard times (I'll bet many a Depression-era cook made two chicken wings into a whole family's meal), investors are happily cashing in on the meaty prospects of Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) this week. After reporting a shocker of a quarter -- up 28.7% over the year-earlier quarter with $7.7 million, or $0.43 per share, on revenue $121.2 million -- investors were heartened. It was just three months ago that BWLD missed expectations with net income of $4.6 million, or $0.25 per share, on revenues of $106.1 million. Same-store sales at company-owned stores were up 6.8% in the third quarter compared to a 4.5% growth in the fourth quarter.

Continue reading Buffalo Wild Wings: Fatten you up?

Options Update: Chipotle and Buffalo Wild Wings volatility elevated into EPS

Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) closed at $51.31. CMG is scheduled to report Q4 on February 11. CMG February call option implied volatility is at 82, puts are at 91; above its 26-week average of 57, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement. CMG puts are more expensive than puts because CMG is difficult to borrow.

Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) closed at $22.67. BWLD, an operator and franchisor of 564 restaurants, is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on February 11. BWLD February 22 straddle is priced at $3.95, March 22 straddle is priced at $5.20. BWLD February option implied volatility is at 117, March is at 85; above its 26-week average of 80, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi

It's about that time again: Pepsi vs. Coke. No, not another taste test or another Battle of the Brands. It's time for the next quarterly results from these two soft drink titans.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate that PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP), global beverage and snack food giant, will report fourth-quarter earnings this week that are 9.1% higher that a year ago, or $0.88 per share. Revenue is expected to total $12.8 billion, which is 3.9% higher than last year. For the full year, the profit is expected to be $3.67 per share on revenue of $43.4 billion, up from $3.38 per share on $39.5 billion in 2007. PepsiCo's earnings met or beat estimates in four of the past five quarters, but missed by only two cents per share in the third quarter. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy PEP. The share price fell to a 52-week low in January and is now 24.4% lower than it was a year ago. During the fourth quarter, PepsiCo declared a $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, agreed to acquire a Spitz International, and announced investments in China and Mexico.

Continue reading The week in preview: Coke versus Pepsi

Buffalo Wild Wings is a hot deal

The Rosenberg Center Franchise 50 Index, which tracks a diverse set of 50 publicly traded U.S. companies engaged in business format franchising, had good news for investors in Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD).

In its most recent report, issued Dec. 27, it was noted that the index dipped a mere 0.4% in the third quarter, while the S&P 500 dropped 9% in the same period.

BWLD was the principal contributor to the performance of the index. The company actually saw an increase in value of 62.3% during the quarter. The next best positive contributor to the index performance was McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), with an increase in value of 9%.

The company is in a strong capital position to take the next steps toward its goal of having 1,000 owned or franchised locations. With a current ratio of over 1.5 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08%, compared with an industry average of 208%, BWLD should have little difficulty raising the necessary capital to grow.

Continue reading Buffalo Wild Wings is a hot deal

Analyst calls: BWLD, SNY, NYT, STP, ERIC, RTP, KTOS, ZGEN

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) to Buy from Hold on valuation with the stock down 65% in two months as they believe the company has a "best-in-class fundamental story." The firm lowered its target to $25 from $30.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE: SNY) to Overweight from Equal Weight on valuation and believes near-term cost reductions could provide a positive catalyst.
  • Citigroup upgraded New York Times (NYSE: NYT) to Hold from Sell and lowered its target to $5.50 from $7 on valuation and believes the dividend cut will boost the company's liquidity.
  • Pantry (NASDAQL PTRY) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Friedman Billings.
  • LECG Corp (NASDAQ: XPRT) was raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Thomson Reuters (NYSE: TRI) was upgraded at RBC Capital to Outperform from Sector Perform.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded Suntech (NYSE: STP) to Hold from Buy and lowered its target to $6 from $25 as they believe concerns about a convert refinancing in February 2010 will continue to weigh on the stock.
  • Credit Suisse cut Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Underperform from Outperform due to expectations for a decline in wireless infrastructure spending.
  • ING downgraded shares of Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Hold from Buy as they believe it will be challenging for the company to execute asset sales planned at reducing debt in the current environment.

Continue reading Analyst calls: BWLD, SNY, NYT, STP, ERIC, RTP, KTOS, ZGEN

Option Update: Buffalo Wild Wings put volume & volatility elevated into EPS

Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ:BWLD), an operator and franchisor of 510 restaurants, is expected to report Q2 EPS in late July. BWLD is recently down $2.32 to $27.41. BWLD call option volume of 955 contracts compares to put volume of 4,570 contracts. BWLD July option implied volatility is at 65, August is at 76; above its 26-week average of 56 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement into late July EPS.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Small but beautiful stocks from BusinessWeek

Some investors shy away from small stocks, thinking they are too volatile and risky. But BusinessWeek takes a look at such stocks and finds some that could offer a lot of potential for growth.

It can be hard to find small companies that have great growth potential. Since most Wall Street analysts ignore smaller companies, it is often tough for investors to find the research that they need in their selection process, so they have to rely on their own research in order to find that perfect small cap stock.

One thing to look for when examining small cap stocks is a long and established track record. The downside to this approach is that these stocks are not going to be the next "big thing" and bring you huge profits in the short run. These stocks are the ones that typically serve a niche market, and perform that service successfully. While these will not make you rich overnight, they are fairly reliable companies you can look to for nice and steady returns. If you are the type of investor who likes to buy and hold, these are the small cap stocks for you.

Continue reading Small but beautiful stocks from BusinessWeek

Earnings highlights: Exxon, GM, Time Warner, Starbucks, P&G, ADM and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Exxon, GM, Time Warner, Starbucks, P&G, ADM and others

Analyst initiations: NUVA, BWLD and IVZ

MOST NOTEWORTHY: NuVasive, Buffalo Wild Wings and Invesco were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Merriman believes NuVasive's (NASDAQ:NUVA) expanding product and distribution should continue to drive growth and feels the recent pullback provides a good entry point into shares. Merriman started NuVasive with a Buy rating.
  • Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ:BWLD) was initiated at Jefferies with a Hold rating and $30 target as they believe consensus estimates are aggressive and that shares are approaching fair valuation.
  • William Blair believes Invesco's (NYSE:IVZ) investment capabilities and diversified client base are key differentiators that will drive superior relative growth over the long term; shares were assumed with an Outperform rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Baird initiated XenoPort (NASDAQ:XNPT) with an Outperform rating and $74 target.
  • KeyBanc assumed Felcor Lodging (NYSE:FCH) with a Buy rating and $14 target.
  • Trimble Navigation (NASDAQ:TRMB) was initiated at Thomas Weisel with a Market Weight rating and $30 target.

Option update: 2-4-08; Buffalo Wild Wings put volume & volatility suggests hedging for downside

Buffalo Wild Wings(NASDAQ:BWLD) owns, operates and franchises 495 restaurants featuring chicken wings. BWLD is expected to report Q4 EPS on February 12. BWLD is recently down 61c to $24.74. BWLD call option volume of 740 contracts compares to put volume of 2,847 contracts. BWLD February 25 straddle is priced at $5.40. BWLD March option implied volatility of 80 is above its 26-week average of 56 according to Track Data, suggesting hedging for downside price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 01:43 PM

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