Analysts have been negative on the agri-business processing sector recently, but the stocks have been shedding value for two months and they may have to reconsider. Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) is delivering 42% growth according to Smart Money.

The stock is down 16% from my original post recommending it for 2008 and it is trading down more this morning. However, I have not changed my opinion about the prospects of the company and my original rational has remained solid despite the wild swings in the stock over the past few months.

Last year when I posted Serious Money: ADM, Bunge, Potash Corp. -- it's a hungry world it looked like there was no downside, and even though it is disappointing to see the stock down now, all I can say is the investment opportunity is even better. As they are a leading producer of soy and soy products, how can one resist this level of growth at a P/E of 8, half the market average?

Continue reading Chasing Value: 40% growth, P/E 8 -- Bunge Ltd.

Chasing Value: 40% growth, P/E 8 -- Bunge Ltd. originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 14 Aug 2008 13:53:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The stock market is in turmoil today and the reasons can be found elsewhere (including in some peoples' imaginations). But if you are a bottom line investor, then here is where you should be looking. Food and energy exploration are the places to be.

Things can change rapidly, but as of right now food related stocks like Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG), the largest company involved with soy based products, and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT), the largest fertilizer company, are up.

In the exploration sector, Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC), the oil, gas and exploration company, Loews Corporation (NYSE: LTR), which is the majority shareholder in Diamond Offshore Drilling and is separating from its tobacco interests, and Precision Drilling TR (NYSE: PDS), the Canadian contract driller that is expanding into the lower 48 states, are all up.

All five stocks have out performed the market this year and that trend does not seem to be in jeopardy yet.

I will update this post with final results after the market close to see how the story ends.

UPDATE: four of the five closed in positive territory when all the major indices were in the red.

• APC finished down to $77.69, -0.54 (-0.69%)
• BG finished up to $122.40, +0.47 (+0.39%)
• LTR finished up to $48.95, +0.45 (+0.93%)
• PDS finished up to $26.95, +0.49 (+1.85%)
• POT finished up to $223.10 +2.54 (+1.15%)

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of APC and PDS.

Serious Money: What's up today? Food & drillers! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Jun 2008 13:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Earlier in the week I posted about finding the market bottom using that age-old handheld calculator, a white paper napkin. So, unfortunately it looks like I may be right again. Not exactly something I was hoping for, but if it has to be, it has to be. I wonder if my old napkin can outperform Wall Street super computers?

Is this an auction to the bottom? Are investors bidding things down instead of up? Looks like it from all the negative sentiment. Consumer sentiment is down, and short sellers are all excited, increasing their negative positions to new highs every day.

And here is the all-telling sign of capitulation: the ever-lying overly optimistic government is starting to admit how bad things are and throwing hundreds of billions of dollars at the problem. When does the turnaround come?

Continue reading Dow below 12,000 -- do I hear 11,000? Yes I do!

Dow below 12,000 -- do I hear 11,000? Yes I do! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 07 Mar 2008 15:02:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Brian and Andrea get up at 4:30 AM so that their customers may get steaming hot bagels and mini-pizzas every morning on their way to work. New York Bagel & Deli (NYBD) is the wake-up call for the Santa Monica neighborhood I work in, and recently we got one heck of a wake-up.

Brian informed me that "in the last two years he has seen his cost for a 50 pound bag of high gluten flour go from $8 to $16". After that huge rise, he recently was hit with a bigger shock to his business -- "the price went from $16 to $32 in just 3 weeks!"

He said "in some places in the country the price has reached as high as $36." Brian is very sensitive to the needs and desires of his loyal customer base and feels terrible about this increase. He is struggling with how to moderate the increases and the sticker shock on the cost of a dozen bagels. This is very difficult for him. This is a major blow to the heart of his business.

Continue reading Bagel & pizza costs skyrocket -- think gas is high, read this!

Bagel & pizza costs skyrocket -- think gas is high, read this! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 05 Mar 2008 12:24:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.