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The week in preview: It's Beige Book time again

Investors and analysts may be wondering whether the market rally is really over, and whether this signals more trouble ahead for the economy. Well, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to release its next Beige Book report of economic conditions on Wednesday, offering a glimpse of where things stand. The Beige Book report in July suggested that, in some of the 12 Fed districts, the economy appeared to be stabilizing, suggesting that the recession may have reached its bottom, but offering little sign of a recovery. Retail activity remained weak and employment numbers were not good. Yet the minutes of the FOMC August meeting seemed a bit more optimistic about the economy.

In addition to the Beige Book report, the TIPP Economic Optimism Index is scheduled to be released Tuesday, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index comes out Friday. So by the end of the week, we could have a good gauge of the mood about the U.S. economy.

Continue reading The week in preview: It's Beige Book time again

The week in preview: Still seeking good news

Well, last week's Beige Book report and other indicators didn't in fact make it clear whether economic recovery is underway. So what do we have to look forward to this week?

There's Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's testimony at the House Committee Hearing on the Financial Regulation Plan on Wednesday evening. Or how about the bankruptcy filings for the second quarter or Leading Indicators Index for May, scheduled to be released Monday afternoon and Thursday morning, respectively. Will they provide a clear signal about the direction of the economy? Probably not.

Continue reading The week in preview: Still seeking good news

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: URBN, ACAS, CAT, F, A, COF ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded IberiaBank (NASDAQ: IBKC) to Market Perform from Underperform following the company's capital raise, which the firm believes strengthens IberiaBank's balance sheet. Baird upgraded IberiaBank to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation following weakness related to the $100M capital raise.
  • Pali upgraded shares of Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) to Neutral from Sell on valuation as they believe the company's comp slowdown is largely priced in at current levels.
  • Morgan Keegan upgraded Casey's General Store (NASDAQ: CASY) to Outperform from Market Perform based on valuation, healthy SSS, and easing comps.
  • Cabot OIl & Gas (NYSE: COG) and Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) were added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
  • American Capital (NASDAQ: ACAS) was raised to Market Perform from Underperform at Friedman Billings.
  • CIBC lifted Manulife (NYSE: MFC) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Goldman downgraded Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) to Sell from Neutral based on expectations for reduced capex spending by mining and oil & gas companies and the impact from the credit crunch.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded auto companies and suppliers as they believe the failed government bailout increases risks. Ford (NYSE: F), American Axle (NYSE: AXL), Magna International (NYSE: MGA) and Lear (NYSE: LEA) were downgraded to Sell from Hold.
  • SAP (NYSE: SAP) was cut to Hold from Buy at Jefferies to reflect the "deteriorating" corporate IT spend environment.
  • Waters (NYSE: WAT) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
  • Agilent (NYSE: A) was lowered to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays; the firm also downgraded Varian (NASDAQ: VARI) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Analyst initiations:
  • Jefferies believes Core Laboratories (NYSE: CLB) is well positioned to benefit from the increasing need for reservoir optimization services. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $70 target.
  • Deutsche Bank initiated Capital One (NYSE: COF) with a Sell rating and $24 target, citing the difficult economic environment and the potential for higher credit losses.
  • Soleil started Hexcel (NYSE: HXL) with a Buy rating and $10 target and expects the company's military business to remain strong through 2010.
  • On Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ONNN) was assumed with a Neutral rating and $3.80 target at UBS.
  • Cbeyond (NASDAQ: CBEY) was initiated at Oppenheimer with a Perform rating.
  • Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD) was started with a Neutral rating at Piper Jaffray.

The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.

Bentonville, Ark.-based America's Car Mart is expected to post net income of 38 cents per share (up 52.6% from the same period a year ago) on revenue of $73.8 million (up 25.8%). The used car dealer chain has tended in recent quarters toward positive surprises -- by 21 cents per share, or 73.5%, in the previous quarter. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 15%, about the same as the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts is to buy CRMT.

Campell is tentatively scheduled to report this week, and the world's biggest soup maker is expected to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.5%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past three quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.5%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.

Other anticipated double-digit earnings gainers scheduled to report this week include brand name apparel maker Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES), mining equipment maker Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG), and chip maker National Semiconductor (NYSE: NSM). And Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) is expected to swing to a profit.

Continue reading The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

Casey's General Stores (CASY): Price defines bullish 'flag' consolidation

Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) operates, or franchises, more than 1,450 mid-western convenience stores, mostly in Illinois, Iowa, and Missouri. The outlets sell beverages, gasoline, groceries and prepared foods. Casey's also carries tobacco, health and beauty aids, automotive products, ammunition, housewares and photo supplies.

The firm had good news for investors earlier in the month, when it announced fiscal Q4 EPS of 28 cents and revenues of $1.2 billion. Analysts were expecting 25 cents and $1.19 billion. Management also presented an aggressive series of operating and financial goals for the new fiscal year and the board approved a 15% increase in the quarterly dividend.

Continue reading Casey's General Stores (CASY): Price defines bullish 'flag' consolidation

Earnings highlights: Toll Bros., National Semiconductor, Dr Pepper, Guess and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

See also: Earnings highlights: Wal-Mart, Lehman Bros., Take-Two, Ciena, Trina Solar and others

Also, continued real estate losses are expected to hurt the quarterly reports of banks such as like Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and National City (NYSE: NCC). And Steven Mallas wonders why Playboy (NYSE: PLA) shares have tanked since its last earnings report.

Upcoming results to watch for include Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), Pall Corp. (NYSE: PLL), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Korn Ferry (NYSE: KFY), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Earnings highlights: Wal-Mart, Lehman Bros., Take-Two, Ciena, Trina Solar and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

See also: Earnings highlights: Toll Bros., National Semiconductor, Dr Pepper, Guess and others

Also, continued real estate losses are expected to hurt the quarterly reports of banks such as like Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and National City (NYSE: NCC). And Steven Mallas wonders why Playboy (NYSE: PLA) shares have tanked since its last earnings report.

Upcoming results to watch for include Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), Pall Corp. (NYSE: PLL), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Korn Ferry (NYSE: KFY), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Analyst downgrades: EMC, ACGY, CASY, WGOV, SEE and COCO

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Acergy, Casey's General and Corinthian Colleges were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of Acergy (NASDAQ: ACGY) to Sell from Hold as they see risk to the company's backlog and believes the recent share rally is not supported by business operations.
  • Casey's General (NASDAQ: CASY) was downgraded at Friedman Billings to Underperform from Market Perform citing headwinds that include weak gas comps.
  • Banc of America downgraded shares of Corinthian Colleges (NASDAQ: COCO) to Neutral from Buy as they believe the post-legislation lending overhang will limit further share upside until COCO can show its students can access federal funds with minimal disruption.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Bernstein cut EMC Corp (NYSE: EMC) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Baird lowered Woodward Governor (NASDAQ: WGOV) to Neutral from Outperform.
  • Merrill downgraded Sealed Air (NYSE: SEE) and Bemis (BMS) to Sell from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades: SRP, ISIL, FNM and FRE

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Sierra Pacific (SRP), Intersil (ISIL), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Sierra Pacific (NYSE: SRP) to Hold from Buy on valuation and uncertainty over the company's Integrated Resource Plan investment program.
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Intersil (NASDAQ: ISIL) to Hold from Buy and lowered their target to $30 from $38 after their Asia channel checks indicated the first wave of cancellations for PWM ICs from the leading Taiwan Motherboard manufacturers.
  • Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) were lowered to Neutral from Buy at UBS, citing credit pressures that will likely require increased reserves.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • First Marblehead (NYSE: FMD) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Friedman Billings.
  • The firm also downgraded Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Public Storage (NYSE: PSA) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.

Casey's General Stores (CASY) posts record revenue

If you took a driving trip through the Midwest during the summer, chances are you, and several hundred thousand others, stopped at one of almost 1400 Casey's General Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: CASY) to refuel both car and driver. On Sept. 5 Casey's reported record earnings for 1Q FY 2008, which ended on 31 July, and did it through real growth in both sales and income. Casey's, despite having a goal of acquiring 50 new locations by the end of the year, actually acquired none during the quarter. Casey's has its priorities in the right order in terms of cost control. Senior management does not let operating expenses increase by any percentage amount greater than the percentage increase in gross profits.

Total sales of both gasoline and food were up 17% to $1.3 billion. Most of this amount came from increases in food and beverage sales, which were up 15% to $260 million for packaged food items and cigarettes and $75 million for fresh pizza and sodas.

Oddly, gasoline sales were up imperceptibly, not even half a percent, in terms of volume. But as many of us have suspected, the profit margin on gasoline has increased, in this case to 15.8 cents per gallon, compared to 9.8 cents per gallon in the summer of 2006. Casey's is still expanding its presence throughout the nine state Midwest region. Casey's continued to show strong sales during August as well, with gasoline sales up 1% but food, groceries and general merchandise up almost 12% in same store sales. Clearly, Casey's has the right product mix at the right prices for tis customers. Casey's recently announced a quarterly dividend of $0.065 per share. The stock currently trades just under $29.00, and seems a good bet to appreciate in price without much downside risk.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 05:27 PM

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