CDL posts
FeedPosted Aug 14th 2007 8:00PM by Jonathan Berr (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Marketing and Advertising, Walt Disney (DIS), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), Media World
Citadel Broadcasting Corp. (NYSE: CDL) may be struggling even more than its potential new employee Don Imus.
Shares of the Las Vegas-based company have tanked more than 55% this year because the company is in the radio business which continues to suck wind. Excluding the acquisition of ABC Radio from Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS), the company's revenue fell 2 percent in the second quarter. Net income was a tiny $3.8 million, or 3 cents per share. The acquisition made Citadel the proud owners of New York's WABC, Imus' possible new home.
Imus seems to be a good fit with the rest of WABC's lineup which includes Sean Hanity and Rush Limbaugh, both of whom can be at least as offensive if not more so. The I-Man's legion of fans, many of whom responded to my posts on their hero, will no doubt flock to his new show. He will be hailed as someone who got beaten down by the forces of political correctness and lived. Advertisers will be attracted to the program like moths to a flame.
The question is will this new Imus be much different than the old one. If he's too nice, people won't listen. If he's too much like his old self, people won't think he's learned his lesson and advertisers will be turned off.
Interestingly, Craig Carton who is replacing him at CBS Corp.'s (NYSE: CBS) WFAN is no slouch in the controversy department himself. As the more talkative and funny half of the "Jersey Guys" radio show, Carton grabbed huge ratings and controversy for offending politicians and members of minority groups.
Back in April, I suggested that he would make a good replacement for Imus. Someone emailed Carton the post which he read on the air. I called into the "Jersey Guys" and spoke with him briefly. He promised to send me token of appreciation. I'm still waiting.
And Craig, you're welcome.
Posted Aug 3rd 2007 10:45AM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Good news, eBay (EBAY), Nokia Corp. (NOK), Expedia Inc (EXPE), YRC Worldwide (YRCW), Stocks to Buy
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Expedia (EXPE), YRC Worldwide (YRCW), Fiserv (FISV), and select radio stocks were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- JP Morgan upgraded Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) to Overweight from Neutral on expectations for U.S. bookings growth and margin stabilization.
- YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) was raised to Neutral from Underperform based on valuation.
- Fiserv (NASDAQ: FISV) was upgraded to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC following the CheckFree (CKFR) acquisition.
- Banc of America upgraded Citadel Broadcasting (NYSE: CDL), Cox Radio (NYSE: CXR) and Entercom Comm (NYSE: ETM) to Neutral from Sell as they believe it is time to cover short positions with the expected Q3 weakness likely priced into shares. They caution that this upgrade is not a buy signal as downside risk remains...
OTHER UPGRADES:
- Baird raised Lear (NYSE: LEA) To Outperform from Neutral.
- Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
- Pacific Crest upgraded shares of eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).Posted Jun 13th 2007 2:15PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Walt Disney (DIS), Options, Technical Analysis
Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:
DIS) opened at $33.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $33 and a high of $33.55. As of 12:30, DIS is trading at 33.09, down 0.02 (-0.1%).
After hitting a one year high of 36.79 in May, the stock has dropped sharply over the past three weeks. News yesterday evening confirmed that
Disney has completed its sale of its ABC Radio Holdings Inc. unit to
Citadel Broadcasting Corp. (NYSE:
CDL) for approximately $1.35 billion. Recent technical indicators for DIS have been bearish and steady, while
S&P rates the stock as a 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October
bear-call credit spread above the $37.50 range. DIS has not been above $37.50 since the technology boom and bust and has shown resistance around $36 recently. This trade could be risky if the weaker dollar spurs more international tourists to Disney's theme parks, but even if that happens DIS would have to rise by 13.1% and break through its previous highs before this position would be in trouble.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
Do you have any deadwood in your portfolio? Check out the 18 Warning Signs That Tell You When To Dump A Stock.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, he neither owns nor controls a position in DIS or CDL.Posted Apr 26th 2007 2:52PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL), Private Equity,

Today,
Clear Channel Communications (NYSE:
CCU)
reported its Q1 results. Revenues increased from $1.49 billion to $1.61 billion, while net income rose from $96.8 million or $0.19 per share to $102.2 million, or $0.21 per share.
But the stock barely moved. Then again, Clear Channel is in the process of a leveraged buyout and the deal is looking iffy.
Recently, Clear Channel's
private equity buyers --
Bain Capital Partners and
Thomas H. Lee Partners -- upped their bid from $37.60 to $39. But it may not be enough to satisfy major investors like Fidelity Investments and Highfields Capital Management.
Looking at the five-year stock chart of Clear Channel is depressing. The stock price is off about a third. The largest radio operator can't seem to find growth opportunities, and then there are the threats from Internet radio,
Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL) iPods, satellite radios, and other digital alternatives.
So if things are so bleak, why would Bain and Thomas H. Lee want to buy the company? Aren't these folks smart and have a history of posting strong returns?
I think the answer is fairly obvious. These investors see a value play.
Continue reading More deal static for Clear Channel
Posted Apr 15th 2007 1:10PM by Barry Summerlin (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Marketing and Advertising, CBS Corp 'B' (CBS),
To the tune of just $12.5 million, the Federal Communications Commission on Friday wagged a white-gloved finger at four top radio broadcasters --
Clear Channel Communications Inc. (NYSE:
CCU),
CBS Radio (NYSE:
CBS) (
not CBS's best week),
Entercom Communications Corp. (NYSE:
ETM) and
Citadel Broadcasting Corp. (NYSE:
CDL) -- resolving a two-year payola investigation. "A breakthrough and a milestone" in the war on payola, FCC Commissioner Jonathan Adelstein called the settlement.
The FCC's longstanding regulations don't actually prohibit the pay-for-play system, they merely require its disclosure at the time of broadcast. Said Adelstein, "These rules are based on the basic principle that listeners and viewers are entitled to know who is seeking to persuade them so they can make up their own minds about the content."
Such a principle is hardly "basic," and ignorance of sponsorship gives no pass to indiscriminating radio listeners. Marketing pays our fare at every turn; we've become resigned to the notion that behind every song we hear, every TV image we view, every word we read (including these), a dollar sign usually lies quietly. The trick to Adelstein's basic principle is not in knowing who's paying the piper -- or who the piper's paying, in this case -- but in quieting one's cynicism enough to hear the music.
Continue reading FCC settles payola probe for a song
Posted Jan 19th 2007 2:49PM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rumors, Industry, Competitive Strategy, , Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Columns,

Although the FCC said current rules prohibit a merger between Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:
SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio Holdings (NASDAQ:
XMSR), FCC chairman Kevin Martin said the rules barring a merger could be altered, if requested. "The commission looks at anything that is presented to it (and) all of the commission's rules are open to be changed," Martin said, according to a Reuters report
While many believe a possible merger between the two companies would be difficult, including the Wall Street Journal, Bank of America, Janco Partners and CRT Capital Group, they all stop at the same two obstacles: the FCC's regulations and the potential for a monopoly.
If you consider XM and Sirius to be in the same group of broadcasting radio companies as Cumulus Media (NASDAQ:
CMLS), Citadel Broadcasting (NYSE:
CDL), Clear Channel Communications (NYSE:
CCU), and others, then the potential for a monopoly does not exist.
And what if the FCC changed the rules?
Continue reading Could Sirius & XM's technology handle a merger?