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Investing in China telecoms: A trio of wireless plays

"China is the world's biggest market for telecom services," notes Geoffrey Seiler, in an in-depth review of the leading Chinese telecom and wireless phone companies.

In his BullMarket.com, he looks at "China Mobile (NYSE: CHL), China Unicom (NYSE: CHU), and China Telecom (NYSE: CHA) noting,"There is still a lot of wireless growth potential in the world's most populated country. As such, we would expect all three to continue to grow for the foreseeable future."

Seiler explains, "China Mobile is the undisputed king of mobile from a subscriber base standpoint. Through the end of June, the company boasted 493 million subscribers. The company boasts 70% of the Chinese market.

Continue reading Investing in China telecoms: A trio of wireless plays

China Unicom (CHU) will sell iPhone

CHU logoChina Unicom (NYSE: CHU - option chain) stock is trading lower Monday even though the company announced Sunday night that it had reached a deal with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to sell the iPhone in China. The news was not enough to carry CHU against the tide of falling Asian markets as an Apple spokeswomen confirmed that CHU will not be the exclusive carrier of the iPhone in China. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CHU.

This morning, CHU opened at $14.00. So far today the stock has hit a low of $13.85 and a high of $14.02. As of 11:30, CHU is trading at $13.99, down 44 cents (-3.0%). The chart for CHU looks bearish and S&P gives CHU a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell ranking.

Continue reading China Unicom (CHU) will sell iPhone

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Smartphone? Smart play

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says if the company you're looking at is a player in the mobile Internet space, it's probably a good bet.

Does it have smartphone exposure, or doesn't it? That is the question. When I look at what's moving in tech and what's become sullen and gloomy, there's only one compass: smartphones. Think about what's moved this week: Cree (NASDAQ: CREE) (Cramer's Take), Tellabs (NASDAQ: TLAB) (Cramer's Take) and ADC Telecom (NASDAQ: ADCT) (Cramer's Take). These are terrific plays in the smartphone food chain and are included in the "Mad Money" Mobile Internet Index.

ADC Telecom is Chinese Internet infrastructure, and we know that China's spending $40 billion to build out infrastructure that can allow aggressive adoption of smartphones. Tellabs has been waiting for next-generation telecom orders -- smartphones. I think the fact that it announced a giant buyback -- it matters when the stock is this small -- is the signal needed to suggest they are getting orders.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Smartphone? Smart play

China Unicom (CHU): Set to soar?

"China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) could be one of the best ways to play China's astounding economic growth," says Brandon Clay in Invest with an Edge. Here's the growth advisor's review.

"With the world's largest population as its market, the mobile phone industry in China is set to soar. This makes China Unicom a compelling play. The firm has 21% market share in China.

"China Unicom's vice president recently said the company is targeting subscriber growth of 20 million to 30 million within a year. To put that into context, Verizon Wireless, the largest mobile phone carrier in the U.S., had 72.1 million subscribers at the end of last year.

Continue reading China Unicom (CHU): Set to soar?

China expert calls on wireless

This post is part of a 12-article feature on the best bets for investing in China. To see all the other recommendations in this special report, click here.

"Holding both of China's largest wireless carriers -- China Mobile (NYSE: CHL) and China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) gives investors something of a hedge in the event that one company takes a large amount of business from the other," says China expert Jim Trippon.

In his The China Stock Alert, he adds, "Although this is a safety measure for investors, we don't expect massive erosion in either company's subscriber base as the telecom sector and 3G service continue to expand in China.

Continue reading China expert calls on wireless

Investing in China: 12 experts pick their best bets

Those surprised by the market's strength in recent weeks should be even more impressed with the rebound in China, where both their market and economy have proven among the most resilient in the world.

Global specialist Nicholas Vardy adds, "While the US markets are rising, Asian stocks are on fire." ETF expert Paul Tracy adds, "China funds have screamed to the top of the performance charts."

In large part, this strength is due to the country's stimulus program. Tracy points out, "To combat the sagging global economy, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao orchestrated a massive 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus package.

Continue reading Investing in China: 12 experts pick their best bets

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: VMW, VOD, BP, BHP, RTN, FDX ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded CNOOC Ltd (NYSE: CEO) to Equal Weight from Underweight to reflect higher crude oil price estimates.
  • Goldman upgraded VMware (NYSE: VMW) to Conviction Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $29 from $27 following positive checks that indicate strong business actively. The analyst expects VMW's revenue growth to be up 9% in 2009 vs. expectations for overall IT spending to be down.
  • UBS upgraded ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ONNN) to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $5 from $3.80 based on positive Asia checks that indicate an improving demand outlook and that the company could beat near-term expectations.
  • Vodafone (NYSE: VOD) was lifted to Buy from Neutral at Goldman and to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Ashland (NYSE: ASH) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: VMW, VOD, BP, BHP, RTN, FDX ...

Top Stock Picks '09: China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd. (CHU)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd. (NYSE: CHU) is our top investment pick for 2009," says Jim Trippon, China expert and editor of The China Stock Digest.

The advisor explains, "China Unicom is involved in the cellular telephone business in 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. The company is also a major provider of data and Internet services in the People's Republic of China.

"We like the fact that this company is dependant on local Chinese customers and is fairly well insulated from the global economic downturn.

"We have selected China Unicom as our top pick for 2009 based on valuation. The China Stock Digest uses a Warren Buffet/Benjamin Graham style of stock picking.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd. (CHU)

Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was upgraded at Citigroup to Hold from Sell.
  • Prudential (NYSE: PUK) was lifted to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform and added shares to their Best Ideas List on valuation as they see an attractive risk/reward at current levels.
  • UBS upgraded ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the company remains a market leader.
  • Oppenheimer raised Seattle Genetics (NASDAQ: SGEN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation following the recent weakness as they expect positive clinical news flow beginning in December.
Analyst downgrades:
  • UBS downgraded U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to Sell from Buy and lowered its target to $30 from $60 citing deteriorating U.S. conditions and concerns about the company's high fixed costs in a falling steel price environment.
  • Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Overseas markets falter, banks down over 3% (LFC) (SNE) (BCS)

Markets in Asia and Europe have sold off sharply overnight due to rising concern that the credit markets will get much worse.

The Nikkei was off 2.5% to 13,033. Sony (NYSE:SNE) was down 4.1% to 4420 yen.

The Hang Seng was down 3% to 21,255. China Life (NYSE:LFC) was down 3.9% to 25.90 yuan. China Unicom (NYSE:CHU) was off 3.9% to 14.34

The FTSE opened down 2.6% to 5,368. Barclays (NYSE:BCS) was down 3.5% to 272.25 pence. Many other European banks stocks traded down over 4%.

Data from Reuters.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Analyst upgrades: BP, THC and BEN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BP Plc, Tenet Healthcare Franklin Resources were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Lehman upgraded shares of BP Plc (NYSE:BP) to Equal Weight from Underweight on valuation and positive benefits from the company's TNK joint venture in Russia.
  • Lehman also upgraded Tenet Healthcare (NYSE:THC) to Overweight from Equal Weight, citing increased confidence the company can meet guidance following the company's analyst day.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe flow trends have improved.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: ANF, CHU, TD, LFUS, LLTC, ABMD

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Abercrombie & Fitch, China Unicom and Toronto Dominion were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Friedman Billings downgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Market Perform from Outperform citing soft comps which could impact EPS expectations in 2H08 and SG&A investing.
  • China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse and to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley as the company's phone asset sales garnered a lower-than-expected price.
  • RBC Capital downgraded Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing expense initiatives in domestic retail banking which are hurting operating leverage, loan losses in U.S. banking, and muted capital markets revenues.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • William Blair cut Littelfuse (NASDAQ: LFUS) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Linear Tech (NASDAQ: LLTC) was downgraded at UBS to Neutral from Buy.
  • Abiomed (NASDAQ: ABMD) was lowered to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna.

Early analyst calls (CSX) (CHU)

Morgan Stanley downgraded China Unicom (NYSE:CHU) from "outperform" to "neutral", according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that UBS downgraded CSX (NYSE:CSX) from "buy" to "neutral"

Abercrombie (NYSE:ANF) cut to Market Perform at FBR, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that Blue Nile (NASDAQ:NILE) Started as Underweight at Thomas Weisel.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Newspaper wrap-up: Barclays and RBS raided by Office of Fair Trading

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
WEB SITES:

China Mobile drops as China restructures telecom industry

As China continues its massive economic expansion, the country is in a continuous state of flux. According to the New York Times, China has requested its six telecommunication firms to consolidate their assets, effectively paving the way for fixed-line operators to get into the mobile arena.

According to the same Times article, "the parent of China Telecom will buy a mobile phone network from the parent of China Unicom (NYSE: CHU), which in turn will merge with the company that controls the China Netcom Group (NYSE: CN) ... China will issue three third-generation wireless licenses after the overhaul is completed."

The big short-term loser of this directive appears to be China Mobile (NYSE: CHL). The stock was down about 7% Monday off the news. The firm's stronghold on the mobile telecom market in China is now effectively weakened as China Telecom and Netcom can gear up to compete against China Mobile.

Why should this interest investors? Again, according to the Times, China had almost 600 million mobile phone users at the end of April, exceeding the combined populations of the United States and Japan. In the world's largest mobile market in terms of users, the $100 billion market is poised to ramp up given that just over half of all Chinese own mobile phones and a lot less than that have Internet connections.

Zack Miller is the lead equity analyst for America Israel Investment Associates, LLC., the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com an d a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 06:31 AM

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