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Miners Hedge Copper Inventories as Demand from China Slows

Copper was the darling of commodity traders. The price rallied from about $6,400 per ton to a record $10,190 in the past year, The Financial Times reports. Momentum was strong and it looked like there was no end in sight. But now, prices have dropped off a bit and miners are worried that the rally has hit a brick wall. The main concern is that what drove drove prices skyward -- China's demand -- may be slowing, according to the FT.

One indication of the slowdown is the amount of stocks held in exchange warehouses. At the LME Asia + Shanghai exchange warehouses, copper stocks have increased from below 150,000 to over 325,000 tons. That buildup has worried miners. The companies affected are Freeport MeMoRan (FCX), BHP Billiton (BHP), Xstrada (XSRAF), Anglo American and Brazil's Codelco, according to the Financial Times.

Continue reading Miners Hedge Copper Inventories as Demand from China Slows

Wynn Lifted by Surging Macau Revenue

WYNN logoWynn Resorts (WYNN - option chain) shares are rising today on news that casino revenue in the Chinese province of Macau rose 48% to $2.5 billion in March, according to government statistics. WYNN owns one of the six casinos operating on the island. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WYNN.

WYNN opened this morning at $130.00. So far today the stock has hit a low of $129.71 and a high of $135.59. As of 11:50, WYNN is trading at $135.29 up $8.13 (6.4%). The chart for WYNN looks bullish and S&P gives WYNN a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading Wynn Lifted by Surging Macau Revenue

Las Vegas Sands Drops on Securities Investigation in Hong Kong

LVS logoLas Vegas Sands (LVS - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company said its Hong Kong unit is under investigation by Chinese government officials for allegedly violating securities regulations. LVS did not comment further on the investigation, only saying it was asked to produce certain documents for regulators. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on LVS.

This morning, LVS opened at $41.45. So far today the stock has hit a high of $41.93 and a low of $40.70. As of 12:55, LVS is trading at $41.75, down $1.72 (-4.0%). The chart for LVS looks bullish and S&P gives LVS a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading Las Vegas Sands Drops on Securities Investigation in Hong Kong

Caterpillar Mulls Relocating: How Do You Move a Bulldozer Company?

In a recent letter to the governor of Illinois, Doug Oberhelman, CEO of heavy machinery maker Caterpillar (CAT), outlined his concerns about new state taxes that could force the Illinois-based company to move operations to another state. Reportedly, Wisconsin, Indiana and New Jersey are all courting the company.

With 23,000 Caterpillar employees in Illinois, the stakes are high. Hopefully, Governor Pat Quinn and Oberhelman will be able to work something out.

Continue reading Caterpillar Mulls Relocating: How Do You Move a Bulldozer Company?

U.S. Treasuries Hold Firm Against the Backdrop of the Japanese Crisis

Watch the tape. Ignore the chatter. Those two are old truisms. The U.S. treasury market held firm Monday, with the 10-year June futures contract closing at 120-06, up 16 ticks.

There was some chatter from naysayers that China or Japan, the biggest foreign holders of U.S. debt, might decide to sell. That piece of news can be discarded. Why would they sell and take huge losses?

Stocks markets, however, across the globe were down, prompting a scramble for safety. Which safety? Why, the U.S. treasury market.

Continue reading U.S. Treasuries Hold Firm Against the Backdrop of the Japanese Crisis

Trading China's $200 Billion Home Building Plan

China's decision to invest nearly $200 billion into the building and renovation of 10 million low-cost homes is the latest in a series of measures designed to cool down China's housing market.

Continue reading Trading China's $200 Billion Home Building Plan

Iron Ore Tops All Commodities

In the mining industry, iron ore is the biggest money maker. Profit reports from the world's largest miners indicate that iron ore brings in the most money, the Financial Times reported.
  • BHP Billiton (BHP), the world's number one miner, had earnings before interest and taxes of $14.82 billion. Of that amount, iron ore accounted for $5.8 billion, up 177%
  • Number three miner, Rio Tinto (RTPPF), had earnings of $26.6 billion. Iron ore unit accounted for 60%, or $16.6 billion, up 133% for the year.

Continue reading Iron Ore Tops All Commodities

Brent Crude at $104 per Barrel on Spreading Mideast Unrest

Middle East unrestWhen it comes to the biggest threat to world economies, oil scarcity is second only to nuclear war. What started in Tunisia, then spread to Egypt has now spreading to Bahrain and Iran, where protesters are clashing with police. In Iran, lawmakers are threatening death to protesters.

The fear of chaos spreading across the Middle East has sent the oil market into overdrive. Brent crude traded at $104 per barrel Tuesday.

Continue reading Brent Crude at $104 per Barrel on Spreading Mideast Unrest

Commodities Even Better Than Emerging Markets Stocks?

cottonFor investors, the emerging markets have been a great place to find profits. No doubt, there are certainly risks, such as seen recently with the market turmoil in Egypt, but a diversified portfolio should solve these problems. Of course, it also helps to have lots of exposure to markets like China and Brazil.

According to Societe Generale, emerging markets may pale in comparison to the growth in commodities. Interestingly enough, it is rising commodities prices that is putting inflationary pressure on these countries. In other words, it is getting tougher for companies to pass along higher raw materials costs. As a result, there has been a rash of interest rate increases.

Continue reading Commodities Even Better Than Emerging Markets Stocks?

Baidu Q4 Earnings: Time to Buy or Sell?

Baidu (BIDU), China's search engine giant, has seen its American depositary shares (ADSs) rise very nicely over the last 12 months. Yesterday, the ADSs closed up almost 2% to $108.63, not too far from the 52-week high of $115.04; the price movement was achieved on high volume. The 52-week low is $40.67, so those who bought in near the latter price are pretty happy campers.

That 2% rise, while quite respectable, wasn't the big story; rather, it was what happened during the after-hours session. The ADSs went up 7.7% to $116.99. Considering that we're in another earnings season, I don't think it's a particular challenge for anyone to guess what propelled the company to such lofty heights.

Continue reading Baidu Q4 Earnings: Time to Buy or Sell?

China Signs a Deal to Buy Soybeans from U.S. Companies

soybeansChinese Vice Minister of Commerce, Wang Chao, led a business delegation that signed agreements with grain companies to buy just over 3 million tons of soybeans from the U.S., Reuters reported. The U.S. trading companies involved in the $1.8 billion deal are Cargill, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) and Bunge (BG). No details about price and delivery were given.

When dealing with state-run companies, there is a protocol that must be followed. In this case, a government official, Chao, was present to sign off the deal with the two state-run grain companies allowed to import agricultural products into China.

Continue reading China Signs a Deal to Buy Soybeans from U.S. Companies

China's Rare Metals Exports Curb Is Raising Gasoline Prices

We have another crisis, this time in rare earth metals. China produces 95% of these metals and has said it would reduce exports by 35% in 2011. These moves are causing the prices of these metals to skyrocket, as reported in the The Wall Street Journal (subscription required).

Chemical refiners of gasoline use rare earth metals. The increased cost of the metals is being passed on to consumer and amounts to about a penny a gallon.

Continue reading China's Rare Metals Exports Curb Is Raising Gasoline Prices

Options Update: Molycorp Put Volatility Elevated

Molycorp (MCP) closed up 6% after China announced last week the lowering of its rare earth export quotas for early 2011. January 60, 65 calls and January 55 puts were active with total option volume of approximately 54K contracts. January call option implied volatility is at 80, puts are at 103; above its five-month average of 67 according to Track Data. Elevated put volatility suggests shares are difficult to borrow.

Atheros (ATHR) rallied 19% after CNBC reported that Atheros is close to being bought by Qualcomm (QCOM) for approximately $45 per share. Options were active according to Track Data.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Rare Earth Metals: Which Companies to Watch in 2011?

rare earth metalsThere is a big brouhaha in the rare earth metals sector. China, which produces 97% of these metals, has reportedly limited exports for 2011. Rare earth metals are necessary for everything from high powered wind turbines to iPhones.

As companies are scrambling to fill the gap, many have soared on the news. Here are some worldwide leaders, as reported by CNBC.com:

  • U.S. Molycorp (MCP), which went public over the summer, is up 200%, and now trading at $49.90. Both Sumitomo (SMTOY) and Hitachi (HIT) have recently made deals with Molycorp. Molycorp plans to break ground on a new $500 million facility and expects to be extracting ore in late 2011.

Continue reading Rare Earth Metals: Which Companies to Watch in 2011?

Skype Could Face Charges in China

Skype logoAccording to the Financial Times, the Chinese Ministry of Information and Industry Technology called for a crackdown "on illegal VoIP (voice over Internet protocol) telephone services" and is collecting evidence for legal cases against them.

China is a big player in most markets; however, when it comes to technology, powerful local companies hold sway. Last year Google (GOOG) fought a battle to keep its website in China. A couple of years ago, China set rules whereby all Internet content had to pass through censors before being approved.

Continue reading Skype Could Face Charges in China

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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 03:55 PM

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