The earnings crunch is on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this week are such so-called bellwether stocks as Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO), DuPont (NYSE: DD), and United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS), all of which analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect to report lower earnings for the recent quarter. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO), McDonald's Corp. (NYSE: MCD), and Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN), on the other hand, are expected to post marginal earnings growth.
CNX posts
FeedThe week in preview: Eye on financial, tech, health care earnings
Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on financial, tech, health care earnings
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CNX, MA, CAT, MHS ...
Analyst upgrades:- Citigroup upgraded shares of Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) to Buy from Hold following the company's lowered guidance as 2009 is fully contracted with a 26% price increase. The firm raised its target to $40 from $38.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) to Buy from Hold on valuation as it thinks the sell-off on the company's Q4 miss and cautious guidance is overdone.
- Wachovia upgraded Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) to Outperform from Market Perform because the firm thinks the outlook of the company's two main markets is improving. The firm believes the company's valuation is attractive. Thomas Weisel upgraded Boston Scientific to Overweight from Market Weight citing valuation and improving fundamentals.
- Goldman added MasterCard (NYSE: MA) to the Conviction Buy List.
- Accuray (NASDAQ: ARAY) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Piper Jaffray.
- KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CNX, MA, CAT, MHS ...
Options Update: Coal producers volatility flat; shares at low end of range
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) closed at $18.50 Friday. ACI January and February option implied volatility of 87 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE), a coal miner, closed at $16.19 Friday. MEE is scheduled to report Q4 EPS in the February option cycle. MEE February option implied volatility of 108 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price fluctuations.
Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) closed at $32.15 Friday. CNX has two principle business units: coal and gas. CNX February option implied volatility of 90 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Alpha Natural (NYSE: ANR), an Appalachian coal producer, closed at $18.38 Friday. ANR February option implied volatility of 107 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), a coal company, closed at $25.06 Friday. BTU is expected to report Q4 EPS in late January. January and February option implied volatility of 97 is above its 26-week average of 89, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Commodity ETF investing: Own 42 coal mining companies with KOL
Whether it's a recession or an economic boom, one thing doesn't change, the need for energy. And until technology leaps ahead, coal is the largest producer of fuel for the generation of electricity in the world. It's also the most abundant fossil fuel in the United States. Coal is obviously not recession immune as people tighten the reigns on their lives and cut back on electricity consumption, but the shear necessity of electricity makes the coal industry fairly resistant. An investment in an exchange traded fund (ETF) that is centered on the coal industry is a great way to hedge your bets by investing in a pool of successful companies in the coal field.
Market Vectors Coal ETF (NYSE: KOL) seeks to replicate the price and yield performance of the Stowe Coal index, which provides exposure to publicly traded companies worldwide that derive greater than 50% of their revenues from the coal industry. With KOL you'll own shares of some of the most noted coal companies in the world, including Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE: ACI), which specializes in steam and metallurgical coal; CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE: CNX), a large provider of fuel for electricity in the United States; Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: ANR), another leader in steam and metallurgical coal; and Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU), an exploration miner and coal producer worldwide, as well as several other highly rated coal companies across the globe.
Market Vector charges only a 0.65% fee, a fraction what a professional money manager would charge you to analyze research and pick coal mining stocks with this level of global reach. Recently KOL has gone through a typical correction for this commodity sector, but then suffered a greater hit as Asia saw a 20% decline in spot prices for thermal coal. The result? A better deal for those currently willing to dive into coal as an investment. KOL is up 14%, so maybe there's some light at the end of the mine.
Continue reading Commodity ETF investing: Own 42 coal mining companies with KOL
Some of today's biggest losers: BAC, AXP, BK, FITB, NCC, FHN, MT, FCX, AAPL, CC
Here are a few big losers from today:
Financials - obviously, financials depended on the bailout plan more than others, at least in the immediate future:
Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) declined 17.6%, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) slumped 15%. Citigroup (NYSE: C) declined nearly 12%, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) sank 12.5% and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) plunged over 15%.
American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) was the Dow's biggest loser today with a 17.5% drop thanks to Citigroup cutting profit estimates of the credit card company.
Second-tier banks declined much more:
Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) slipped over 27%, CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) lost 25.5%, Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) fell 43.6%, FirstFed Financial Corp. (NYSE: FED) tumbled over 25%, First Horizon National Corp. (NYSE: FHN) slipped 35.7% and National City Corp. (NYSE: NCC) tumbled 63.3%.
Continue reading Some of today's biggest losers: BAC, AXP, BK, FITB, NCC, FHN, MT, FCX, AAPL, CC
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AIZ, RIMM, ING, URBN ...
Analyst upgrades:
- Merrill believes Assurant (NYSE: AIZ) is well-positioned to weather the turmoil in the capital markets environment and cites the company's defensive characteristics for the upgrade. The firm upgraded shares to Buy from Neutral.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded R.H. Donnelly (NYSE: RHD) to Hold from Sell to reflect the company's cost cuts and its ability to buy back bonds at discounted prices.
- Citigroup raised Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they are seeing no fundamental deterioration in coal.
- Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.
Raymond James raised shares to Outperform from Market Perform. - Penske Automotive (NYSE: PAG) was upgraded to Add from Neutral at Calyon.
- ICF International (NASDAQ: ICFI) was lifted to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens.
- Deutsche Bank downgraded Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) to Sell from Hold after the company reported Q2 results to reflect a deceleration in growth and margin pressures. RIMM's target was lowered to $70 from $120. RBC Capital downgraded Research in Motion to Sector Perform from Outperform citing reduced margin visibility and the slowing macroeconomic environment.
- Stephens downgraded Vitran (NASDAQ: VTNC) and Saia (NASDAQ: SAIA) to Equal Weight from Overweight to reflect the companies' deteriorating demand and pricing environment. Vitran's target was cut to $15 from $22 and Saia's was lowered to $16 from $24.
- Mentor (NYSE: MNT) was downgraded to hold from Buy at Jefferies to reflect continued weakness in the breast implant market and the potential for lowered guidance. Mentor's target was lowered to $31 from $36.
- Merrill cut ING Group (NYSE: ING) to Underperform from Neutral.
- CF Industries (NYSE: CF) was downgraded at Citigroup to Hold from Buy.
- Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ: LINTA) was lowered to Sell from Hold at Natixis.
- Suntrust initiated Idexx Laboratories (NASDAQ: IDXX) with a Neutral rating, citing slowing organic revenue growth, valuation and a slowing lab business.
- Jefferies initiated Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) with a Hold rating and $33 target. The firm prefers to stay on sidelines due to valuation and macro risks.
- Hersha Hospitality (NYSE: HT) was assumed with a Market Perform rating and $7.50 target at Keefe Bruyette. The firm believes near-term demand trends in New York City could slow.
- Ecolab (NYSE: ECL) was initiated at Baird with a Neutral rating and $54 target.
- KeyBanc assumed ENGlobal (NASDAQ: ENG) with a Hold rating.
- Piper initiated Pentair (NYSE: PNR) with a Neutral rating and $39 target.
Analyst upgrades: WB, COP, ACS, AEP and CNX
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wachovia, American Electric Power and Consol Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Deutsche Bank upgraded Wachovia (NYSE: WB), citing valuation and recent capital actions.
- Bank of America upgraded American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP), citing the new Ohio rate structure which will provide steady growth.
- Merrill upgraded Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) based on higher coal prices.
- Goldman upgraded the Integrated Oils sector based on risk/reward relative to oil prices. ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is the firm's favorite pick.
- Affiliated Computer Services (NYSE: ACS) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral. Goldman expects Affiliated to do well in the current slower macro backdrop and views shares as relatively insulated to government cutbacks.
Consol Energy (CNX): Top play in coal
"Green investing and clean energy may be the politically correct topic at cocktail parties, but coal is the economically correct vehicle for investors," says Ronald Rowland and Brandon Clay.
The editors of All Star Investor explain, "Coal has been an energy source for millennia -- and is still the number #1 source of energy for electric power plants in the world." And, they add, "One of the best places to invest in coal is Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX).
"Prehistoric Chinese are said to have used coal for heating. According to Roman historians, Britain burned coal in the first century. Throughout history, coal has been the primary source of heat in homes.
"Rapidly industrializing nations like China are still dependent upon coal for energy. Overall global consumption has not diminished either. Coal fuels 48% of electricity plant generators. And the trend is heading upward – probably for the next 30 years. Despite the deafening rhetoric, coal is not going away anytime soon. Investors should take notice.
Analyst downgrades: Coal sector, independent refiners and ALXN
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The coal sector, independent refiners and Alexion Pharmaceuticals were today's noteworthy downgrades:- Goldman downgraded the coal sector to Cautious from Neutral, citing valuations and expectations for lower coal prices. The firm downgraded CONSOL Energy (NYSE: CNX) Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) to Neutral from Buy and Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) to Sell from Neutral.
- Lehman downgraded independent refiners, including Alon USA Energy (NYSE: ALJ), to Negative from Neutral and continues to believe that 2H07 marked an inflection point for U.S. refiners, which are transitioning from a multiyear up-cycle into a new downtrend.
- Alexion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALXN) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia following the company's Q4 results, as they believe management's revenue guidance represents a best-case scenario.
- Lehman lowered Bayer (OTC: BAYRY) to Equal Weight from Overweight and Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Early analyst calls: WFMI, BTU, CNX, BRCD
Goldman Sachs cut Consolidated Energy (NYSE: CNX) and Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) to "neutral," according to MarketWatch. The financial website also reports that UBS upgraded Senior Housing (NYSE: SNH) to "buy."
Lehman Brothers has downgraded Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) from "equal weight" to "underweight" and lowered its price target to $32 from $35, according to Briefing.com. The news service also writes that Citigroup has added Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD) to its "Top Picks" list.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an edtor at 247wallst.com.
Option update 11-30-07: Coal stocks rally with elevated volatility
Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) has two principle business units: Coal mining & methane gas. Energy legislation has been moving through Capitol Hill committees and is expected to be on the House Floor before year's end. CNX overall option implied volatility of 47 is above its 26-week average of 40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE), the fourth-largest coal company in the U.S. based on produced coal revenue, closed at $34.32. Bear Stearns says, "MEE signs deal with Essar of India – Reaffirm Outperform rating." MEE overall option implied volatility of 51 is above its 26-week average of 47 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Cramer's coal picks in the energy sector
The sad thing is that coal is something we are stuck with. I know coal is filthy and it contributes to global warming or whatever the powers that be want us to call it now. Yet I also know that it is perhaps the cheapest form of energy and that even if the U.S. went 100% to clean coal, China, India, and many other nations have very little chance of getting around the use of coal. The buildouts for power plants and for power-generating facilities in so many parts of the world will just take too long to build and there are too many very new "clean" or "cleaner" coal power plants in the US that will be operating for many years into the future. The gasification of coal is also something that can theoretically be done as an alternative energy as well, so like it or not it's probably a safe bet that we are stuck with coal for a long time to come.
Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.
Option update 4-5-07: Oakley, Genentech
The Volatility Index for S&P 500 Options (VIX) is up .14 to 13.10.
Oakley (NYSE: OO) -- implied volatility suggests flat risk as OO trades towards record high. OO, a designer, developer, manufacturer, and distributor of eye wear & accessories, has rallied sharply over the last four days. OO is recently up $1.59 to $23.16. OO has a market cap of $1.53 billion with zero long-term debt. OO reported 2006 annual revenue of $761 million. OO April option implied volatility is at 33, May at 31; near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price fluctuations.
Genentech (NASDAQ: DNA) -- option implied volatility suggests decreasing risk into 4/11 EPS. DNA is expected to report EPS of .67 cents on 4/11/07 according to Thomson Financial Network. Robert Bard says "despite DNA's tepid Q107 overall revenue guidance, we do think Avastin upside potential is strong, and may continue to drive the stock. Reiterate Outperform rating." DNA April option implied volatility of 21 below its 26-week of average of 25 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price fluctuations.
Option volume leaders today are: Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX), Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Amgen Inc. (NYSE: AMGN).
Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.



