As each day passes, estimates for how bad Q2 earnings will be grows. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "analysts estimate S&P 500 operating earnings -- income excluding one-time items -- fell 11.5% in the second quarter."
While the paper points out that earnings often come in a bit worse than expected, this quarter could be a bit different. Everyone expected the numbers to be bad in sectors including banking, brokerage, insurance, autos, and airlines. But the real question is whether business and consumer spending have been hit harder than predicted.
If spending is down, even companies which are expected to do fairly well such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) could face rough earnings reports as big business and the little consumers defer purchases which they feel they cannot afford. That means that tech earnings, which were expected to be OK, could take a big hit.
If tech falters, what is left? Energy and commodities companies? Perhaps, but that is thin ground on which to build an earnings season.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Darren Shafae operates Paper-Check.Com, which is a proofreading business. Without web-based technologies, his business would probably be far smaller.
"I have taken the best of ideas I have seen, and refined them to meet our needs and improve work flow and customer and employee satisfaction," said Shafae.
So, what kinds of applications does Shafae use to improve his business? Well, let's take a look:
GotVMail: Basically, this is a virtual PBX system. In other words, there is no need to manage hardware or pay for consultants. Instead, Shafae pays for the service on a subscription basis.
Some of the features include custom greetings, multiple extensions, music-on-hold, toll-free numbers, Dial-By-Name Directory and so on. According to Shafae: "GotVMail offers professional voice talent that gives the impression that there are thousands of operators standing by to address client needs and concerns."
Online video has already exploded between video sharing sites like YouTube and all the premium content that media companies are putting online. Cisco (NADSAQ: CSCO) says it will explode again. According toThe Wall Street Journal, the firm "is projecting a sixfold jump in Internet traffic between 2007 and 2012."
Not likely. YouTube and its peers are still growing, but not as fast as they were over a year ago when video online was more of a novelty. Media companies have not figured out a way to make a lot of money from putting their programming online. That may mean that they will do less and less of it.
Perhaps the most important reason the use of online video will slow is that carriers, both phone companies and cable firms, want to cut back the amount of bandwidth their customers can use or charge the heavy users. The operations claim services like file sharing are clogging their "pipes" with too much traffic. They need to either cut that down, or make a profit on it.
Cisco may want to check its numbers.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Many of us would be happy to benefit from a quiet retirement without facing concerns of losing all of our hard earned money. Fortune 40 gives us a helping hand by suggesting some big names to invest in that could offer us the results that we are looking for.
One such company is Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT), whose earnings surged 35% during its last quarter, helped by its famous anti-inflammatory drug Humira and HIV treatment Kaletra. Looking ahead to the company's performance, CEO Miles White is planing to keep his main attention on its medical devices unit which is seen as a key element against strong competition.
Fortune 40 also looks at beverage maker The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO), which benefits from strong international gains able to beat recent weakness in U.S. In addition, it looks like the company's acquisition of Glacéau and its VitaminWater brand offer it a good support to outperform on the market.
For the first time Monday I heard John McCain comparing Barack Obama to Jimmy Carter. I had heard this before in other arenas, but not from McCain. I guess that despite these two presidential candidates pledging to the American people to bring change and resist politics as usual, they are both, as usual as one could get.
Obama is being shaped by the pressures of running for office and to believe otherwise is delusional. I suppose one has to have hope but the effects of the campaign are becoming clear. Obama has been painting McCain as an extension of Bush, which is nonsense, and now in a typical tit-for-tat response, McCain is filling the air with Carter references.
Both McCain and Obama are wrong in their assessments of their opponents and they are becoming commoners to resort to the bottom of the barrel campaign techniques used in every campaign for most of our nation's proud history. Obama gave up the high ground too easily and McCain has decided he can sling mud with the best of them.
The Pediatric Ethics Subcommittee of the Pediatric Advisory Committee will meet at 8:30 am to discuss the application of 21 CFR 50.52 (Clinical investigations involving greater than minimal risk but presenting the prospect of direct benefit to individual subjects) to FDA-regulated research. The discussion will be illustrated with hypothetical case examples of research involving HIV vaccines in adolescents and controlled trials of inhaled corticosteroids in children with asthma.
The Pediatric Ethics Subcommittee will meet at 8:00 am to discuss the application of 21 CFR 50.52 to FDA-regulated research illustrated with a hypothetical case example of research using stem cells for treating periventricular white matter injury in children.
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) to hold conference call at 11:00 am to discuss business video innovation.
As you saw in a Market tankola note earlier, today can be blamed on oil or many other things. But the charts are likely the real culprit as old resistance levels didn't hold as the new support levels. The bears may have gotten an upper hand for a while if today's sentiment holds.
To top it off, worker productivity data came out strong enough today that it might even allow companies to make more layoffs. Below are the unofficial closing bell prices today:
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) beat Street estimates for earnings Tuesday with $1.77 billion in net income, or $0.29 EPS, a 5.4% drop from first quarter 2007. Sales of $9.79 billion beat estimates of $9.75 million. Cisco gave 2008 guidance that met expectations as demand for Cisco's costly networking systems may still be slow during the economic slowdown. Shares fell 2% to $25.78 despite being positive earlier this morning.
Robert Baird says: "Good execution in challenging environment after the market close tonight. CSCO is recently down 2 cents to $26.32.
CSCO call option volume of 59,006 contracts compares to put volume of 88,669 contracts. CSCO May 25 straddle is priced at $1.11, below a level of $1.97 just prior to last night's EPS. CSCO June option implied volatility of 28 is below a level of 35 from yesterday and below its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
U.S. stock futures were lower early Wednesday as investors, worried about inflation, await data on pending home sales and labor costs. Earnings news in focus this morning comes from tech bellwether Cisco Systems, which gave a cautious outlook, and from Walt Disney, which reported good results.
Despite starting the day on a down note, as oil futures remained high, U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday, mostly due to some reassuring comments made on a Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) conference call. The Dow industrials ended up 51 points, or 0.40%, the S&P 500 rose 10 points, or 0.77%, and the Nasdaq Composite finished 19 points, or 0.78%, higher.
Today investors will finally have some data to sink in their teeth. First quarter labor productivity and unit costs is out at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Economists expect productivity to rise 1.5% in the first quarter, but for unit labor costs to climb as well.
Also on the docket today are March pending home sales data to be released at 10:00 a.m. and which probably fell another 1%.
After that, weekly crude inventories are scheduled to be reported. Crude futures have held up near $122 a barrel despite the dollar advancing against the yen and the euro.
Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) did just fine in its last period. For the fiscal second quarter, the company reported a 7.2% increase in net and a 16.5% increase in revenue. Both numbers hit or bested forecasts.
But, it was Cisco's look into the future which troubled Wall St. Some sectors did unusually well. Emerging markets revenue moved up 44%.
The company did not post a robust forecast John Chambers, Cisco's CEO "Cisco had experienced an increase in caution among U.S. and European customers, with orders dropping off in January after a strong December," according to The Wall Street Journal
The Cisco predictions say a great deal about what is likely to be going on in telecom and cable spending. Its switches and routers run much of the broadband internet. Wall St. had assumed that large US companies in the sectors would accelerate spending to meet customer demand for faster internet service. Instead, they are tapping the breaks. This is an indication that corporations in the sector are willing to use their old "plants" for awhile longer and give consumers a bit less than they want, of, worse, that consumer spending is trailing off.
If the consumer is pinched when it comes to telephone and TV service, then the overall economic downturn has a ways to go.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.
Stock futures were lower early Tuesday morning as oil prices remained high offsetting any recent optimism about the economy in light of Monday's surprise expansion in the service sector. Several companies are also reporting earnings today and will be in focus.
U.S. stocks dropped on Monday after Microsoft withdrew its takeover bid for Yahoo and as commodity prices once again spiked. The Dow industrials lost 88 points, or 0.68%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 12 points, or 0.52%, and the S&P 500 lost 6 points, or 0.45%.
Without much economic news today, no doubt investors will have no choice but to focus on the high oil prices. After setting a record close Monday and hitting a new trading high of $120.93 a barrel Tuesday, crude retreated to $119.88, down 9 cents from Monday's close. It is interesting that just as hopes were growing the slowdown of the US economy may not be as deep and long as originally thought, crude prices surge again, concerning investors about inflation and profits once again.
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) shares are falling after an analyst at Barron's expressed concern over CSCO's Q3 earnings (subscription required). In a column in Barron's, the analyst said that after considering disappointing earnings from competitor Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA), he is worried that CSCO will not meet revenue growth expectations. CSCO reports Tuesday after market close. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CSCO.
After hitting a one-year high of $34.24 in November, the stock hit a one-year low of $21.77 in February. This morning, CSCO opened at $26.46. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.15 and a high of $26.71. As of 12:35, CSCO is trading at $26.32, down $0.43 (-1.6%). The chart for CSCO looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $30 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.6% return in eleven weeks as long as CSCO is below $30 at July expiration. Cisco would have to rise by more than 14% before we would start to lose money.
CSCO hasn't been above $30 since November and has shown resistance around $27 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out tomorrow after the close) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance CSCO might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $28 and falling.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CSCO or JAVA.
Darren Shafae operates 
Many of us would be happy to benefit from a quiet retirement without facing concerns of losing all of our hard earned money. Fortune 40 gives us a helping hand by 
For the first time Monday I heard John McCain comparing Barack Obama to Jimmy Carter. I had heard this before in other arenas, but not from McCain. I guess that despite these two presidential candidates pledging to the American people to bring change and resist politics as usual, they are both, as usual as one could get..gif){kind=logo}
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Cisco
U.S. stock futures were lower early Wednesday as investors, worried about inflation, await data on pending home sales and labor costs. Earnings news in focus this morning comes from tech bellwether Cisco Systems, which gave a cautious outlook, and from Walt Disney, which reported good results.
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