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Union Pacific Down Following Quarterly Report

Union Pacific Corp. (UNP), a railway concern whose colleagues include CSX Corp. (CSX) and Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC), was down 2.6% to $94.78 at one point during today's afternoon session. Why is the market unhappy with the stock? The catalyst was an earnings report. Were the numbers so bad?

After reading a summary of the company's fourth quarter by the Associated Press, I came away thinking that the stats were actually quite attractive. Net income jumped 44% to $1.56 per share. This figure was eight pennies ahead of the overall projection.

Continue reading Union Pacific Down Following Quarterly Report

CSX Is Strengthening with the U.S. Economy

Rare is the day you should ignore a railway. CSX Corporation (CSX), which I first wrote about on May 1, 2009, at a price of $30.56, fits that bill. Here's why:

Look for CSX's revenue to increase 8% to 10% in 2010. Volumes should rise 3% to 4%, and overall prices for transport services should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories, as the U.S./global economic recoveries gain momentum in the second half of the year.

Basic materials transport, including coal and scrap, should also experience healthy business gains in 2010, and the company's increased efficiency adds to the positive story.

Continue reading CSX Is Strengthening with the U.S. Economy

CSX Corp. Railroad Rolls On

I've liked the railroad sector for a while, and CSX Corp. (CSX), which I first wrote about on May 1, 2009, at a price of $30.56, looks likely to continue to move higher. Here's why:

CSX's volumes should increase and overall prices for transport services should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories, as the U.S./global economic recoveries gain momentum in 2010. Basic materials transport, including coal and scrap, should also experience healthy business gains in 2010, and the company's increased efficiency adds to the positive story.

Continue reading CSX Corp. Railroad Rolls On

CSX's train is headed north

Now that Warren Buffett likes the railroads, maybe you should consider shares in one, too, and that's one reason I'm reiterating my Buy rating for eastern U.S. railroad CSX Corporation (CSX), first recommended on May 1, 2009 at a price of $30.56. If you bought CSX in May, you're up about 56%.

Since the May Buy rating, institutional investors (IIs) have been incrementally adding to their CSX positions, on the company's likely 5-7% increase in revenue for FY2010. Volumes should increase and overall prices should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories.

Continue reading CSX's train is headed north

As expected, CSX is leaving the station

What a difference four months make. Institutional investors have rediscovered the railroads, including CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX).

Wall Street has noticed that CSX's carloads will experience a gradual improvement in the quarters ahead, on the U.S./global recoveries. If you bought CSX when originally recommended on May 1, 2009 at $30.56, you're up about 40% - not bad, for a 'down-and-out' sector.

Continue reading As expected, CSX is leaving the station

CSX: Another railroad at a bargain price

Readers of this space know that one of the preferred sectors is the railroad sector. Time was -- just a short time ago -- the railroads were the darlings of Wall Street. Extraordinary demand for commodities from emerging markets and strong international trade increased demand for rail transport.

But then came the winds of September/October 2008: a financial crisis and the ensuing global recession stopped both commodity demand and trade nearly cold, and Wall Street soon soured on the railroads, including CSX Corporation (NYSE: CSX). In the panic and fear that occurred, the Street drove CSX's shares down to about $20 per share from over $70 in less than eight months. Talk about irrational behavior.

Continue reading CSX: Another railroad at a bargain price

Fab Five: 5 promising stocks for patient investors

In a challenging market amid an uncertain U.S. economic landscape, identifying long-term, promising investment opportunities becomes a difficult task. Further, to make the investment equation even more challenging, there's election risk, as well, with the 2008 U.S. Presidential election five months away.

Still, risk-adjusted investment opportunities exist. Accordingly, here's a 'Fab Five' that should rank with the best the equity markets have to offer, 3-5 years out.

(Note: Don't buy these stocks if you're interested in a short-term trade of six months or less. These are longer-term investments where the goal is a double-digit, average, annual, total return on equity over 3-5 years.)

Potash (NYSE: POT). Current Price: $212, p/e 47. Revised Stop Loss: $170. Potash remains the best of a very good fertilizer bunch, due to its 20% global market share in the namesake fertilizer. Consider buying POT on a pull-back to $202-203, but keep in mind Potash may not retreat to that level.

Mosaic (NYSE: MOS). Current Price: $132, p/e 40. Revised Stop Loss: $97. Mosaic also is well-positioned in phosphate and crop nutrients. Further, the fact that 66% of its revenue is internationally based is especially appealing, given the U.S. economic slowdown.

Transocean (NYSE: RIG). Current Price: $144, p/e 10. Revised Stop Loss: $110. RIG offers deepwater oil drilling services in all regions of the world, and it's an oil-thirsty world.

Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX). Current Price: $114, p/e 14. Revised Stop Loss: $69. Copper / gold / molybdenum miner Freeport is one of a handful of companies that have the economies of scale to compete in the global mining sector of the early 21st century, and it boasts impressive clients, to boot. Consider buying FCX on a pull-back to $111-113, but keep in mind Freeport may not retreat to that level.

CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX). Current Price: $66, p/e 23. Revised Stop Loss: $48. Ride the railroad resurgence with this superior trade / commodity / freight transport company. The rails are in the transportation sweet spot: truck transport costs are rising with fuel costs, and the U.S. highway system is inadequate, with increased congestion likely, pending future investment.

Top Pick: Potash.

Safest Pick: CSX Corp.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.

CSX Corp.: Still time to catch this train as it leaves the station

Readers of this space know that one of my preferred sectors is the railroad sector. The growth in international trade, the importance of commodity transport, and record-high oil prices mean the rails will play a central role in the nation's economy. And a railroad stock worth owning is CSX Corp.

CSX Corp (NYSE: CSX) operates the largest rail network in the eastern United States, with a 22,000-mile rail network in 23 states and two Canadian provinces.

In general, analysts see 9-12% revenue growth for both 2008 and 2009, with continued pricing power (including expired contract re-pricings) and improved asset utilization.

Further, coal traffic should rebound in 2008, while intermodal traffic is expect to remain solid, even with a slowdown in the building materials and automotive businesses.

Also, several infrastructure improvements and capacity increases should improve CSX's delivery times and reduce dwell times. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for CSX are $3.60/$4.23.

Currently trading around $68 with a p/e of 226, CSX is not cheap. But the view here is that the 3-5 year outlook is promising for this major rail line; moreover, the likelihood of persistently-high oil prices means more businesses will switch to rail transport for goods.

Continue reading CSX Corp.: Still time to catch this train as it leaves the station

As wider audience discovers U.S. railroads, perhaps you should, too

When a major, metropolitan U.S. newspaper discovers a investment trend or a hot sector, count on increased share demand for companies in the sector. When that paper is one of the top three dailies, in this case The Washington Post, count on even more demand.

On Monday, The Washington Post examined the resurgence of the United States' railroad sector, touching on many of the themes discussed here during the past six months, and described why the rails' services are likely to be in demand for many years.

Continue reading As wider audience discovers U.S. railroads, perhaps you should, too

Always lost at Monopoly? Re-coop with a railroad stock

Readers of this space know that the preference here is for large cap companies, with demonstrated business models, and favorable long-term factors, that have the resources to ride-out short-term economic downturns, including recessions.

And in this category a railroad stock represent a prudent addition to a portfolio, for investors who can tolerate moderate risk.

Pick a railroad. Virtually any railroad. Odds are, you will do fine, long-term, as the nation continues to re-discover the valuable asset - - the national treasury, really - - of its railroads. (More on that latter topic, in a future blog.)

Here are the railroad plays, ranked by risk, with the top stock, BNI, being the lowest risk. A stop/loss, if one were to buy the stock, is also listed:

Continue reading Always lost at Monopoly? Re-coop with a railroad stock

Ride the rails with CSX

Way back in the 20th century, rails were hardly considered a growth play. But with consistent demand for commodities and raw materials, along with the (seemingly) continual rise in truck transport costs, the rails are becoming a primary shipment mode, which means good things -- long-term -- for rail companies.

Among the rails, CSX Corp (NYSE: CSX) is a company worth a review. CSX operates the largest rail network in the eastern United States, with a 22,000-mile network in 23 states and two Canadian provinces.

In general, analysts see CSX's revenue growth slowing somewhat in 2007, offset by better margins, pricing power (including expired contracts repricing) and improved asset utilization.

Further, coal traffic may slow heading into 2008, but intermodal traffic is expected to remain solid. Numerous infrastructure improvements and capacity increases should improve CSX's delivery times and reduce dwell times. In addition, trading around $42 with a p/e of 16, CSX currently is somewhat of a bargain, as Wall Street has discounted CSX's share for a U.S. economic slowdown, taking the stock down about 20% from a $52-high reached this summer.

Continue reading Ride the rails with CSX

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 10:52 AM

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