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Consider CenturyLink, Because the Broadband Era Has Just Begun

The shares of telecom/broadband play CenturyLink Inc. (CTL), formerly known as CenturyTel, first discussed here on November 4, 2010 at a price of $43.05, retreated about 10% to $41.50 during the winter, but the pull-back looks like a healthy correction. Here's why:

Look for CenturyLink's 2011 revenue to rise about 5% on acquisition-based growth, with data services growth offsetting lower land-line and universal service revenue.

Louisiana-based CenturyLink is a rural telephone carrier that operates in small/mid-sized cities in 23 states. Its acquisition of Embarq increased its telephone access lines to about 7.3 million and 2.4 million DSL/broadband subscribers. Further, if an announced deal to buy Qwest Communications (Q) is approved by mid-2011, as expected, the deal would add 8.9 million access lines and 2.9 million DSL customers.

Continue reading Consider CenturyLink, Because the Broadband Era Has Just Begun

CenturyLink: Broadband Services Growth Play

Telecom/broadband play CenturyLink Inc. (CTL), formerly known as CenturyTel, first discussed here on November 4, 2010, at a price of $43.05, has exhibited sideways action for the past three months or so, but I still like the shares. Here's why:

CenturyLink's 2011 revenue to rise about 5% on acquisition-based growth,

Louisiana-based CenturyLink is a rural telephone carrier that operates in small and mid-sized cities in 23 states. Its acquisition of Embarq increased its telephone access lines to about 7.3 million and 2.4 million DSL/broadband subscribers.

Continue reading CenturyLink: Broadband Services Growth Play

Consider CenturyLink: Because the Future Belongs to Cheaper Broadband

Telecom/broadband play CenturyLink Inc. (CTL), formerly known as CenturyTel, appears to be well-positioned for a promising 2011 and beyond, and is worth a review.

Louisiana-based CenturyLink is a rural telephone carrier that operates in small/mid-sized cities in 23 states. Its acquisition of Embarq increased its telephone access lines to about 6.9 million.

CenturyLink also has 2.3 million broadband subscribers and is involved in a partnership to provide wholesale satellite service to about 600,000 customers.

CTL's 2010 revenue breakdown: 44% voice, 26% network access, 24% data, 10% fiber transport/other.

Continue reading Consider CenturyLink: Because the Future Belongs to Cheaper Broadband

Analyst Calls: CTL, HTS, ISRG, MCD, MLM, OSK, RUTH, WMS, YUM ...

Analyst Upgrades
  • Baird upgraded Oshkosh (OSK) to outperform from neutral, citing valuation as it believes post-Iraq U.S. military spending concerns are overdone. The firm keeps a $42 price target for shares.
  • Goldman transferred coverage on CenturyTel (CTL) with a buy from a neutral and has a $42 price target on the stock. The firm believes CenturyTel could increase buybacks and or increase its dividend given free cash generation and low payout ratio.
  • Lazard Capital upgraded Hatteras Financial (HTS) to buy from hold to reflect increased dividend projections. The firm has a $30 price target for shares.
  • EOG Resources (EOG) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Credit Suisse.
  • Donaldson (DCI) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: CTL, HTS, ISRG, MCD, MLM, OSK, RUTH, WMS, YUM ...

Analyst Calls: WDC, Q, HSY, BWLD, NOK, COP, KFT, VZ ...

Analyst upgrades

  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Sonoco Products (SON) to buy from hold after the company reported Q1 results and raised guidance. The firm upped its target for shares to $38 from $32.
  • Baird upgraded Western Digital (WDC) to outperform from neutral following the solid Q3 report and guidance. The firm raised its target to $50 from $48.
  • Goldman upgraded Qwest (Q) to neutral from sell. Qwest is being acquired by CenturyLink (CTL).
  • Hershey (HSY) was upgraded to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan.
  • Principal Financial (PFG) was upgraded to neutral from sell at UBS.
  • Monster Worldwide (MWW) was upgraded to market perform from underperform at Wells Fargo.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: WDC, Q, HSY, BWLD, NOK, COP, KFT, VZ ...

Before the Bell: Futures Lower on Earnings, Mixed Economic Data

U.S. stock market futures fell Thursday on renewed concerns over Greece's debt problems. Several earnings report, particularly in the telecom sector, disappointed, while a big merger in the sector is also in focus. Investor are also digesting mixed economic data reported today.

Global markets declined Thursday after Eurostat, the EU's statistics office, said Greece's budget deficit would be wider than first estimated. This drove Greek bond yields higher, widening their spread over benchmark euro zone bonds. The cost of insuring Greek debt against default also rose. The euro also fell following the news.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Lower on Earnings, Mixed Economic Data

World Series trade #1: CenturyTel (CTL)

World Series Trade #1 - CenturyTel (CTL)Unfortunately, most of us can't attend the World Series in person. What some of us do, though, is get our scores in real time over the phone. The World Series is becoming more data centric, real time, and wireless, like almost all other aspects of our modern lives, and telecommunications company CenturyTel Inc. (NYSE: CTL) is an enabler of this trend. CenturyTel, which provides voice and data services operating in 22 states, is benefiting from long-term secular trends, and has yet to be fully recognized by the market.

Continue reading World Series trade #1: CenturyTel (CTL)

Six home run World Series trades

6 World Series tradesBaseball fans worldwide continue to warm themselves around the glow of the television to watch the Phillies and Yankees battle it out in the World Series.

Well, sports fans, I know you're psyched, but I have something just as exciting for you: six home run trades.

Peter Lynch had his "take a walk down Main Street" style of investing, so let's call this the "take me out to the ball game" approach to trading. I'm going to give you six trades that I think will knock it out of the park.

Continue reading Six home run World Series trades

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMZN, BLK, BNI, CCL, JPM, PNC, UTX ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Blackrock (NYSE: BLK) to Buy from Hold as it believes the BGI acquisition is becoming more accretive with the market rally and that the company's core trends are healthy. The firm raised its target on shares to $230 from $180.
  • Citigroup upgraded Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) to Hold from Sell as it believes the risk/reward on shares is balanced based on 2010 estimates. Citi raised its target on shares to $89 from $75.
  • Auriga upgraded Eclipsys (NASDAQ: ECLP) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company's margin expansion initiatives will drive benefits in 2010 and 2011. The firm raised its target on shares to $24 from $16.
  • Seagate (NASDAQ: STX) was upgraded to Overweight from Market Weight at Thomas Weisel and to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Web.com (NASDAQ: WWWW) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital.
  • CenturyTel (NYSE: CTL) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMZN, BLK, BNI, CCL, JPM, PNC, UTX ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: SNDK, POT, BK, ASIA ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Thomas Weisel upgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Overweight from Market Weight due to accelerating manufacturing cost declines, potential NAND flash sourcing upside at Toshiba (OTC: TOSBF) and Samsung and an increase in 2H09 demand.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) to Perform from Underperform to reflect potential benefits from the stimulus package and channel checks that indicated IT budgets are stabilizing. The firm raised its target price on shares to $54 from $40.
  • RBC Capital upgraded OSI Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: OSIP) to Outperform from Sector Perform following positive Tarceva survey results and cites valuation.
  • Marriott (NYSE: MAR) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities.
  • Grainger (NYSE: GWW) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Duncan Energy Partners (NASDAQ: DEP) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: SNDK, POT, BK, ASIA ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ACI, HOT, LUV, QCOM, RTP, SAP ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Jefferies upgraded SAP (NYSE: SAP) to Buy from Hold on expectations license declines will trough in Q2 and margins will expand going forward due to cost control and price increases. The firm has a $46 price target on shares.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM) to Buy from Underperform on expectations the company will benefit from improving industry fundamentals in 2010.
  • Citigroup upgraded Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) to Buy from Hold to reflect the firm's positive copper outlook, as well as valuation following the recent pullback in shares. The firm has a $58 price target on the stock.
  • Phototronics (NASDAQ: PLAB) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Anglo American (NASDAQ: AAUK) was raised to Hold from Sell at RBS.
  • Peabody Energy (NASDAQ: BTU) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ACI, HOT, LUV, QCOM, RTP, SAP ...

Western Digital (WDC) added to S&P 500

WDC logoWestern Digital (NYSE: WDC - option chain) shares are rising today after Standard & Poor's announced yesterday that WDC will be added to the S&P 500 to replace Embarq (NYSE: EQ), which is being acquired by CenturyTel Inc. (NYSE: CTL). When this happens, mutual funds and other services that track the S&P 500 will have to buy WDC, which usually gives the stock a boost higher or at least a floor. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WDC.

WDC opened this morning at $24.95. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.35 and a high of $25.25. As of 11:30, WDC is trading at $24.68 up 0.32 (1.3%). The chart for WDC looks bearish and S&P gives WDC a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell ranking.

Continue reading Western Digital (WDC) added to S&P 500

Analyst calls: AMR, DAL, UAUA, RYAAY, BIIB, SHW, EQ, INTU, NYT, GOOG, YHOO ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Calyon upgraded major network carriers based on falling oil prices and capacity cuts. The analyst is positive over the next 12 months but cautious short-term given the uncertain economy, and volatile markets and oil prices. AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR) and Delta Air (NYSE: DAL) were upgraded to Add from Neutral and UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) was raised to Neutral from Reduce.
  • Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) was upgraded at Citigroup to Buy from Hold.
  • Boardwalk Pipeline (NYSE: BWP) was raised to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Cowen lifted Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) to Outperform from Neutral.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH) to Neutral from Underweight following the better-than-expected Q3 report.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Integra LifeSciences (NASDAQ: IART) to Outperform from Perform on valuation, the company's minimal exposure to economic conditions, and expectations for margin improvement and a rebound in organic growth.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: AMR, DAL, UAUA, RYAAY, BIIB, SHW, EQ, INTU, NYT, GOOG, YHOO ...

McCain stock: Pro-growth strategy for CenturyTel (CTL)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"A President McCain will be pro-growth but should be more aggressive in oversight as it pertains to mergers and acquisitions; with that being said, we like CenturyTel Inc. (NYSE: CTL)," says Kelley Wright, editor of Investment Quality Trends.

"CTL provides a variety of communications services to 25 states in primarily rural area and small to mid-size cities.

"The company offers local and long distance services, as well as enhanced voice services, as well as high-speed and dial-up Internet.

"In June the company increased its annual dividend to $2.80 from $0.27, reflecting its confidence in their growth model and as a deterrent to possible suitors.

"The blue-chip stocks that we recommend, including CTL, show exemplary long-term dividend growth, a P/E ratio of 15 or less, a payout ratio of 50% or less, debt of 50% or less, and technical characteristics on the daily and weekly charts that suggests the potential for imminent capital appreciation.

"Currently yielding almost 7.0%, CTL offers tremendous value in both dividend yield and the potential for long-term capital appreciation."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: What an awful moment

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we're destroying huge amounts of capital, and investors are sick of it.

No big mergers and acquisitions (although my fingers are crossed about Altria (NYSE: MO) (Cramer's Take), because MO needs growth and UST's (NYSE: UST) (Cramer's Take) really good). No initial public offerings of any consequence since Visa (NYSE: V) (Cramer's Take) despite a huge queue of private-to-go-public deals. No private-equity deals despite incredibly low valuations, valuations so minuscule that deals would have been done at gigantic premiums from here and still be much less expensive than they were. No threatening stakes by swashbuckling hedge funds. No new huge buybacks or dividend boosts, save CenturyTel (NYSE: CTL) (Cramer's Take), not that anyone cared about that one.

No nothin'.

It is an amazing time. It is the first week of an admittedly almost always bad month, but that's almost always because we are up going into September and funds want to lock in good gains.

Nothing to lock in now.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: What an awful moment

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 08:19 PM

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