A housing sector that remains in correction mode, to put it diplomatically; a contracting manufacturing sector; declining auto sales; a pull-back in consumer spending; anemic job growth -- historically, these would signal a no-doubt-about-it easing monetary policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy.

But hold on, the nation's economic landscape is not that simple, as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke would no doubt tell you.

Inflation, at both the consumer and producer levels, is rearing its ugly head. Fanned higher by the near-record price of crude oil, inflation is already above the Federal Reserve's target zone (also called the Fed's "comfort zone"), and is likely to move higher later this year if +$80 per barrel oil persists. (Oil fell $1.90 to $97.28 Friday afternoon on fears of a U.S. recession.)

Jonathan Laing of Barron's did an interview (subscription required) with GaveKal, a global adviser to financial services firms. GaveKal gave some great stats:

• Research & development now dwarfs capital spending -- Danaher Corp.'s research spending has jumped from 150% of capital outlays to 300% during this decade. And Analog Devices has also seen a big jump in its R&D-to-capex ratio, increasing from 1.5-to-1 to 6-to-1 this year. Big increases in R&D and the shift of manufacturing to Asia will continue to translate into a more productive U.S. corporation.
• Concerns about consumer debt levels -- mortgage, credit card and auto debt has plunged from 6% of totals outstanding at the beginning of the 1990s to 1.5% to 2.5% the past few years.
• Corporate profits remain very strong -- after-tax profits and cash flow as a percentage of GDP exceed 8.5% and 15%, respectively -- very high by historical standards.
• Trade Deficit at 7% of GDP -- not a concern when measured against U.S. total household net worth which grows about $2.5 trillion per year. A traded deficit of $800 billion is more than offset by growth in U.S. net household wealth.
• Net foreign debt as a percentage of national net worth is only 4.6%.
• The earning-yield and dividends for stocks earn investors 9% versus 6% for private equity to borrow money. That is what is fueling the private equity boom. Stocks should do well as long as this disparity exists.
  

Laing titled his piece Sizzle Inc, referring to GaveKal's optimistic outlook. The premise behind the positive outlook is that the global economy is "on a cusp of a decades-long" deflationary boom. It is a very compelling argument to invest in U.S. stocks.

In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Apple reported that it plans to spend $700 million this fiscal year on such things as new stores, real estate, and technology infrastructure. Only two months ago it reported that it planned to spend $420 million. Last year it spent $260 million on capital expenditures.

That's a serious increase, but it seems investors aren't too worried about it. The stock recently reached $72, up 87 cents (1.2%) on a banner day for stocks.

Much of the increase -- $265 million -- has to do with Apple's plans to build a second campus in Cupertino and also add a new data center.