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ETF expert bets on Brazil

"Brazil has long been our favorite of the BRIC countries," says Carl Delfeld. In his Chartwell Global Wealth Letter, the advisor looks at two favored Brazilian equity ETFs.

"Brazil seems to have confounded its critics, who view it as a boom and bust economy; the country has been upgraded to investment grade status by Moody's.

"The US ratings agency cited the resilience of the Brazilian economy to the financial crisis for the upgrade of its sovereign debt ratings one notch to Baa3, its lowest investment grade rating.

"This elevation of quality is well earned after years of reform in the country that led to lower inflation and a stronger currency as well as lower levels of government debt.

Continue reading ETF expert bets on Brazil

Aussie dollars: High yields from down under

This post is part of a 12-article feature that can be read here: Today's best income ideas.

"A contrarian play, CurrencyShares Australian Dollar ETF (NYSE: FXA) should benefit from any rebound in commodity and energy prices," says Carl Delfeld in The Chartwell ETF Advisor.

"The Australian dollar should also benefit from any intervention to weaken the Japanese yen, as well as from the perception that the currency is oversold.

Continue reading Aussie dollars: High yields from down under

Top Stock Picks '09: WisdomTree Emerging Market Small Cap (DGS)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"If emerging markets at 6-8 times earnings are not cheap I don't know what is," says Carl Delfeld of Chartwell Advisors, who eyes WisdomTree Emerging Market Small Cap (NYSE: DGS) as a top pick for 2009.

"Using the best historic measures, normalized earnings, book value, and free cash flow, stocks around the world are very cheap (although not as cheap in absolute terms or versus interest rates as they were in the 1930s or at the 1974 bottom).

"Nevertheless, the 4% dividend return on the S&P 500 exceeds the yield on the ten and thirty year Treasury bonds for the first time in fifty years. If emerging market equities, where the growth is, at six to eight times earnings are not cheap I don't know what is.

"Our reasons for this selection:

1) Relative to emerging-markets large caps, this fund has far less exposure to commodities producers or telecoms while concentrating instead in local consumer and business services, which should hold up relatively well as growth in emerging economies slows.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: WisdomTree Emerging Market Small Cap (DGS)

New Ireland (IRL): A 'Templeton value'

"Ireland is attracting global value hunters," says fund expert Carl Delfeld, of Chartwell ETF Advisors, who takes a contrarian look at the closed-end New Ireland Fund (NYSE: IRL).

"My ETF pick for the week is in honor of John Templeton not just because of his meeting his final summons this week at age 95 but because it highlights one of the key tenets of his legendary investment career. Templeton's first maxim was to buy at the point of 'maximum pessimism'. IRL trades at a 15% discount to net asset value.

"Ireland has gone from darling to outcast in less than a year in the eyes of the global investment community. Rather than look for markets that were performing well, Sir John built a career looking for troubled or ignored markets that traded at attractive valuations.

"Due to vastly overvalued property markets and loose banking and fiscal policy, the market is done close to 70% since last fall. It's growth rate has averaged 7-8% during the past decade but growth prospects have been officially lowered to zero for 2009 and its economy actually shrank in the first quarter of this year.

"To make matters worse, property prices in the posh retail areas of Dublin have already dropped 50% and home prices have fallen 20%. Ireland's stock market is now the cheapest market in the world based on forward price earnings and price to book."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Best Stocks for 2008: Dial abroad with iShares S&P Global Telecom (IXP)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative idea for 2008 is an exchange-traded fund, iShares S&P Global Telecommunications Sector (ASE: IXP)," says Carl Delfeld, president of global investment advisory firm Chartwell Partners.

The advisor explains, "iShares S&P Global Telecom is an overweight position in our Chartwell's Global Sector Rotation Portfolio.

"Telecoms are presently out of favor but have great strengths and nice yields. This basket of the larger, more liquid companies has 32% exposure to American companies with the balance in Europe and Asia.

"Telecoms have the hard-line capacity to take advantage of convergence of mobile and landline services. Many of the companies in this ETF basket have dividend yields of 6% or better. Overall, I consider this a good, solid core holding."

Best Stocks for 2008: Try your luck with New Ireland Fund (IRL)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite aggressive idea for 2008 is an exchange-traded fund, the New Ireland Fund (NYSE: IRL)," says Carl Delfeld, president of global investment advisory firm Chartwell Partners.

The advisor explains, "New Ireland Fund is a position in Chartwell's Country Rotation Portfolio. It has been hit hard lately due to concerns about Ireland's real estate slowdown and banking concerns.

"During the last month it has lost 30% and is trading at $22 compared to a 52-week high of $38. The top two companies in the fund are CRH PLC at 16% and Irish Allied Bank at 15%.

"The other holdings are fairly evenly distributed. Markets have overreacted leading to very attractive entry point for more speculative investors."

Global gains: Two experts bet on Brazil

I've just returned from the World Money Show in Orlando where more than 10,000 investors gathered to learn about global investing. I had a chance to meet with many of the U.S. and foreign financial experts featured at the show, and over the next week I will share some of their top investment ideas. To view all of the stocks featured in this special global report, click here.

"In 2006, investing in BRIC countries -- Brazil, India, China -- was the rage," notes Carl Delfeld, a expert on exchange-traded funds. In his Chartwell Advisors he focuses on Brazil.

"While China and India received most of the attention last year, the iShares Brazil ETF (NYSE:EWZ) was up 45.4% -- not bad, not bad at all. But the lingering question is whether Brazil's economic recovery is sustainable or just another stage in the economic cycle.

"What is most interesting to me is that Brazil's stock market's performance during the past four years is not due to superior economic growth. It has had an annual average growth rate of only 2.6%, about half of world economic growth during the same period. My view is that Brazil has been primarily a balance sheet story supported somewhat by the commodity boom.

"Inflation is muted and was only 3% during 2006. Brazil is almost energy independent, and foreign exchange reserves are now almost $100 billion after paying off its nettlesome IMF debt. In 2006, it recorded a trade surplus of $46 billion, and while interest rates are high, they are beginning to fall.

Continue reading Global gains: Two experts bet on Brazil

Top Picks 2007: Chartwell charts ETF path to China

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

ishares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (NYSE: FXI ), an exchange-traded fund, is the top speculative pick for 2007 from ETF expert Carl Delfeld, editor of the Chartwell ETF Advisor.

"The FTSE/Xinhua China 25 index was launched in October 2004 and has risen 55.7% year to date. The biggest sector weightings are financial services 35%, telecom 22%, energy 20%, and industrial materials 12%. China Mobile is the biggest holding at around 11% of assets; PetroChina and China Life Insurance are other strong contributors.

"While no fan of state-owned companies, I do see the argument that the Chinese government is likely to protect its 'crown jewels' and that, with the 2008 Olympics approaching, attention on China will increase commensurately. My advice for speculative investors is to buy this exchange-traded fund and maintain a 10% trailing stop loss."

To see Carl's favorite conservative idea for 2007, click here.

Top Picks 2007: Delfeld looks north of the border

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

iShares MSCI Canada (ASE: EWC), an exchange-traded fund, is the top conservative investment idea for 2007 from ETF expert Carl Delfeld, editor of the Chartwell ETF Advisor.

Delfeld explains, "For a conservative pick, I like Canada. The overall Canadian market, as reflected in the iShares Canada index is trading at just 14 times earnings with strong currency, fiscal discipline, and great play on long-term commodity upswing.

"The perception that Canada is nothing but a commodity play is wrongheaded. In fact, the Canadian economy is well diversified, with only 5% of of its GDP attributed to mining. About 15% of GDP comes from tourism and 60% from services. It also represents a sizable and liquid stock market, and a healthy and vibrant financial center."

To see Carl's favorite speculative idea for 2007 click here.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 10:02 AM

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