Cash For Clunkers posts
FeedPosted Nov 7th 2009 11:20AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Costco Wholesale (COST), Gap Inc (GPS), Federal Reserve, Recession
Consumer borrowing fell for the eighth straight month in September. This record-setting streak is due largely to tightening by lenders, unemployment and the conservative preference to pay down debt rather than spend. This widespread fit of fiscal responsibility, economists fret, could prevent a recovery from taking root, since consumer spending is responsible for 70% of the U.S. economy. This conventional thinking, of course, overlooks the fact that an eventual increase in spending that isn't fueled by consumer spending will yield a recovery that's more likely to last.
According to the Federal Reserve, borrowing fell at an annual rate of $14.8 billion in September -- it's biggest drop since July and much larger than the $10 billion predicted by economists. The behavior is exactly what you'd find in people worried about losing their jobs or focused on rebuilding safety funds and investment portfolios. Those who want to borrow are finding banks won't be complicit this time, as they clamp down on lending practices.
Continue reading Consumer spending falls victim to debt repayment
Posted Nov 7th 2009 9:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Starbucks (SBUX), Ford Motor (F), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Activision Inc (ATVI), Polo Ralph Lauren'A' (RL)
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Cisco, Ford, Humana, MasterCard, Starbucks, Toyota ...
Posted Oct 31st 2009 11:40AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Kellogg Co (K), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Procter and Gamble (PG), Economic Data
Consumer spending had its largest fall this year, thanks to the end of the "Cash for Clunkers" program. And, incomes were flat. No change to the money coming in and a drop in the cash going out translates to an impediment to economic recovery.
In September, consumer spending fell 0.5%, the first decline in five months and the worst in nine. Wages and salaries dropped 0.2%, effectively offsetting the 0.2% up-tick in August. The economy did grow in the third quarter of 2009, hinting that the worst recession in 70 years may be coming to a close, but the tough September suggests we still have some work in front of us.
Continue reading Bad September, good Q3 for consumer spending, what's next?
Posted Oct 13th 2009 9:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Economic Data, Recession
It's going to get worse before it gets better, according to Stone & McCarthy Research. Early 2010 has "the more troublesome outlook," as the economy will have to walk on its own, the research firm says. This year, it's had a pair of crutches: tax credits for first-time home buyers and the cash-for-clunkers program. So, if the stimulus hasn't taken hold by the end of the year, the first quarter could be a bruiser.
The firm adds that "continued growth in aggregate demand" is needed, bringing the discussion back to consumer spending . . . which is where it will always land. We're likely to see the 3.2% growth rate from July through September drop to 2.4% at the end of the year because the crutches will have been gone. And, let's not forget that unemployment is expected to break the 10% level next year.
Continue reading Stone & McCarthy suggest: Make it to March
Posted Oct 3rd 2009 10:00AM by Jim Woods (RSS feed)
Filed under: AutoZone Inc (AZO), Stocks to Buy
AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) is a specialty retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Its stores offer the do-it-yourself car tech tremendous value on parts and accessories. The company stocks all kinds of parts and has a great sales staff. In my experience, their parts personnel have always been very knowledgeable and extremely helpful.
On Sept. 23, the company reported a 3% decline in its fiscal fourth-quarter profit. This decline in earnings could have been the result of the government's "cash for clunkers" plan, which saw many older vehicle owners turn in their cars for a credit toward the purchase of a new vehicle.
Continue reading Real bargain stock #1: AutoZone (AZO)
Posted Sep 22nd 2009 11:50AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports
CarMax Inc. (NYSE: KMX) rallied to a new 52-week high Tuesday after topping analysts' second-quarter earnings expectations. The used-car retailer reported a quarterly profit of $103 million, or 46 cents per share, while net sales jumped 13% to $2.1 billion. By contrast, analysts were expecting net income of just 18 cents per share on $1.77 billion in revenue.
"The government's CARS, or 'cash for clunkers,' program resulted in a spike in traffic in late July and August," explained CEO Tom Folliard. Same-store used-unit sales for the quarter climbed 8%, bouncing back from a 17% drop in the first quarter.
Continue reading CarMax taps 16-month high after solid 2Q earnings
Posted Sep 21st 2009 5:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Good news, Products and Services, Management, Competitive Strategy, Marketing and Advertising, Recession, Financial Crisis

The past couple of months there has been a lot of news over the government's recent "cash for clunkers" program, which was wildly more successful than anyone could have imagined, but left dealer lots short on inventory. General Motors dealers are still dealing with low inventory and have
requested more cars to meet recent demand.
According to the Detroit News, General Motors dealers have requested that the company ship as much as
four times as many cars as the company had planned to build in October.
Continue reading GM dealers want more cars
Posted Sep 11th 2009 12:00PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data
John Crudele over at The New York Post writes about yet another hidden consequence of the Cash For Clunkers program: "... the folks at the US Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed to me that the subsidy received by those 800,000 car buyers will be handled in the CPI next week as if the price of a car fell by $4,500."
Let's be very clear: This is one of the dumbest things in the history of the United States.
How the hell can you possibly count a taxpayer-funded subsidy as free money and use it to show that the cost of cars fell?
Continue reading How Cash for Clunkers will screw up the CPI
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