The market tried to hit a new two-plus-year high again today. Anything cautious for the markets is being discounted and valuation concerns are out the door. It seems the bulls are in charge -- regardless of what comes down the pipe in the Middle East, Japan, the PIIGS and elsewhere. Even a goal of only aiming to cut foreign energy dependence by one-third did not rattle markets. The TARP even made money. Maybe we can just convince Bernanke to go ahead and raise rates to get the pain over with, once and for all.
Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow Jones: 12,350.61 +71.60 (0.58%)
S&P500: 1,328.26 +8.82 (0.67%)
Nasdaq: 2,776,78 +19.90 (0.72%)
Top Analyst Calls
Cat posts
FeedClosing Bell: When No Bears Can Be Found (AAPL, CCJ, CAT, CEPH, CVX, CLNE, DELL, UTA)
Caterpillar Mulls Relocating: How Do You Move a Bulldozer Company?
In a recent letter to the governor of Illinois, Doug Oberhelman, CEO of heavy machinery maker Caterpillar (CAT), outlined his concerns about new state taxes that could force the Illinois-based company to move operations to another state. Reportedly, Wisconsin, Indiana and New Jersey are all courting the company.
With 23,000 Caterpillar employees in Illinois, the stakes are high. Hopefully, Governor Pat Quinn and Oberhelman will be able to work something out.
Continue reading Caterpillar Mulls Relocating: How Do You Move a Bulldozer Company?
Comfort Zone Investing: Libya and Japan -- What They Mean for Investors
With several major developments occurring around the world, many investors may wonder how they could affect their portfolios or their lives. Here are two of the current, newsworthy events and how investors may interpret them.
Libya
The oil from Libya totaled about 2 million barrels a day before the revolution, half of which was exported. About 1 million barrels a day are no longer available to the world. That isn't enough to really affect the price of oil for a long period of time. Plenty of other countries can supply that amount without straining their capacity. But they're unlikely to step in to fill the gap when oil prices are above $100 a barrel. That price should recede once the conflict finishes and a more stable government is in place.
Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Libya and Japan -- What They Mean for Investors
Double Values: 6 Stocks That Meet Buffett and Graham Criteria
"Benjamin Graham has been recognized for decades as the father of value investing; Warren Buffett was a student of Ben Graham at Columbia University and later worked for Mr. Graham for several years," notes J. Royden Ward.
The editor of the Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter explains, "We've combined Warren Buffett's and Ben Graham's investing criteria for choosing stocks and and found six high-quality companies.
"We believe that the six stocks that passed our screen each sell at sensible prices, offer reasonable appreciation potential, and provide solid dividends.
Continue reading Double Values: 6 Stocks That Meet Buffett and Graham Criteria
Comfort Zone Investing: Aftershocks of the Disaster in Japan
The Japanese devastation is almost incomprehensible. First there was the earthquake, followed by the tsunami, followed by radiation. It seems the disaster has no end. The people are suffering beyond imagination. It will be a long time for the country to heal. In the north, it will take decades.
Investors are trying to understand what the economic aftershocks will be. Which industries will be hurt and which ones will benefit? Because the crises change from day to day, it's extremely difficult to ascertain. But there are a few themes that seem to be emerging. Some of these will be short lived, such as the closing of the Japanese auto manufacturers. While they will lose days of production, the long-term effect will be minor, unless supplies are interrupted, causing further delays.
Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Aftershocks of the Disaster in Japan
Analyst Calls: ADBE, AOL, CAT, CSTR, FITB, GG, GPS, MDAS, RIG, WFC ...
- Wells Fargo (WFC) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
- Adobe (ADBE) to buy from neutral at UBS.
- Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
- Vail Resorts (MTN) and Goldcorp (GG) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
- OmniVision (OVTI) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
- Penn Virginia (PVA) to hold from sell at Canaccord.
- Hub Group (HUBG) to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADBE, AOL, CAT, CSTR, FITB, GG, GPS, MDAS, RIG, WFC ...
Buy Caterpillar on Weakness?
With less than two hours to go before the market bell, Caterpillar (CAT) is off by 1.2% to $95.47. Volume is above average. How should investors look upon a dip in the stock? Does weakness offer an opportunity?
According to Briefing.com, net income for the fourth quarter came in at $1.47 per share. This was much better than the projection of $1.27 per share. In addition, the forecast for the new fiscal year is higher than what Wall Street was expecting. One negative note: there isn't any plan for share repurchases because of acquisition activities.
U.S. Stock Futures Slightly Higher Ahead of Jobless Claims, Earnings
U.S. stock futures are slightly higher this morning, as investors await earnings reports from many companies and economic data on weekly jobless claims. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 9 points to 11,945, while those for the S&P 500 rose 0.90 point to 1,295. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 rose 4.50 points to 2,323.Abroad, positive sentiment ruled the European markets today. While STOXX Europe 600 Index has gained 0.25%, London's FTSE 100 Index moved up 0.22%.
Asian markets ended mostly higher, with Japan's Nikkei Stock Average adding 0.74%, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 moving down 0.04% and China's Shanghai Composite gaining 1.49%.
Piper Jaffray is raising its price target on shares of Informatica (INFA) to $40 from $37 and has a neutral rating on its shares. Shares of INFA gained $1.39 yesterday to close at $43.79, a gain of 3.28%.
Continue reading U.S. Stock Futures Slightly Higher Ahead of Jobless Claims, Earnings
Week in Preview: GDP, FOMC Meeting, Housing Data and Lots of Earnings
With earnings season in full swing, the FOMC meeting on interest rates, the GDP estimate, and housing numbers due out, the coming week is shaping up to be a busy one. So here's a peek at what's on the economic calendar.
Monday
Quarterly reports from American Express (AXP) and McDonald's (MCD) will highlight Monday. Amgen (AMGN), CSX (CSX), Halliburton (HAL) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are also expected to report strong earnings results.
Continue reading Week in Preview: GDP, FOMC Meeting, Housing Data and Lots of Earnings
Bucyrus's Deal Rounds Out Good 2010 for Shareholders
It looks like my call to reconsider mining machine provider Bucyrus International (BUCY) on October 18, 2010, at a price of $74.44 proved to be the right one.
Bucyrus, which I originally discussed on June 22, 2009 at a price of $25.27, was stopped out, in a good way, for a roughly 80% gain at $46 last spring. At that time, BUCY was in the category of one of those trades where the sell/stop loss was just a tad too high.
Continue reading Bucyrus's Deal Rounds Out Good 2010 for Shareholders
Caterpillar: Too High to Buy?
Monday was a good day for Caterpillar (CAT). The maker of agricultural equipment closed up nearly 1.9% to $91.63. That might not sound like the biggest gain ever, but here's some context: During the intraday session, the stock hit a new 52-week high of $92.37. Not bad.Of course, we all know about the significant headline catalyst: China didn't raise interest rates. That sent stocks higher. How should investors view an equity like Caterpillar in light of all the excitement?
Sign of the Times: 'Strong International Sales Offset Modest U.S. Sales'
Investors should get used to the refrain, at least for the short-term: "The company generated strong international sales, which offset a modest sales increase in the U.S."
Tuesday's high-profile case study is retail giant Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT), whose strong international performance in the third quarter compensated for a 0.1% sales decline in the United States, but the macro trend is the point here. Namely -- a high U.S. unemployment rate and a "frugal consumer" habit in which adults are watching every dollar is likely to weigh on domestic sales.
Continue reading Sign of the Times: 'Strong International Sales Offset Modest U.S. Sales'
Chasing Value: Caterpillar Is Not Dirt Cheap
Companies on a shopping spree either feel their growth is confined or they are feeling flush. In the case of Caterpiller (CAT), which reported that it is going to buy Bucyrus for $8.6 billion, it is the latter. The company has had a terrific year in which it has seen a 76% increase in it's growth. This rapid increase in business has pushed the PEG ratio down to a low 0.86 with the stock trading near its 52- week high.From what I can gather, the deal between CAT and Bucyrus has merit. Does that mean this is a good time to buy Caterpillar stock? I don't think so. More often than not, stocks trading near their highs will present better entry points with greater value to the more patient investor.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Caterpillar Is Not Dirt Cheap
Closing Bell: A Round Trip to a Plus Day (AMZN, AXP, MCD, EBAY, NFLX)
The market started well enough as McDonald's Corporation (MCD), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), eBay, Inc. (EBAY), and several other companies posted strong earnings. Weekly jobless claims, notoriously fickle, fell 23,000 to 452,000. The total is still within the troubling range that indicates job creation is nil.The market lost all of its morning momentum when the Philly Fed index came in slightly below expectations which was viewed as a sign by traders that better earnings are not necessarily tied to better economic fundamentals. Companies which do business in the emerging world markets like McDonald's and Caterpillar may buck US headwinds, but many firms do not enjoy that geographic diversity.
The numbers:
Dow Jones 11,146.79 +38.82 (0.35%)
S&P 500 1,180.23 +2.06 (0.17%)
Nasdaq 2,459.67 +2.28 (0.09%)
Continue reading Closing Bell: A Round Trip to a Plus Day (AMZN, AXP, MCD, EBAY, NFLX)
Analyst Calls: ACN, ADM, BRCM, CAT, DE, FMER, GOOG, MI, NFLX, UAL, WAG ...
- Wells Fargo upgraded Accenture (ACN) to outperform from market perform following the company's Q4 results, citing improved tone and increased visibility. The firm raised its target range for shares to $51 to $53 from $41 to $44.
- Macquarie upgraded FirstMerit (FMER) to outperform from neutral and has a $21 price target on the stock. The firm cites FirstMerit's strong fundamentals and competitive advantage for the upgrade.
- Macquarie transferred coverage on Marshall & Ilsley (MI) with a neutral from an underperform based on improved risk/reward.
- Eaton (ETN) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
- HSBC (HBC) was upgraded to conviction buy from buy at Goldman.
- Walgreen (WAG) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ACN, ADM, BRCM, CAT, DE, FMER, GOOG, MI, NFLX, UAL, WAG ...
Savings Experiment: Snow Removal
Bonds Are a 'Safe' Investment: A Big Lie Gets Even Bigger



