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Cramer on BloggingStocks: When the bottom comes, you'll know it

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it'll be a huge, bizarre investment that sticks -- not a bid for Wachovia.

Why is there so much chatter about Wachovia (NYSE: WB) (Cramer's Take) getting a bid? Why do people think that its deposit base is worth the heartache of dealing with its mortgage portfolio?

We have all heard the chatter about a potential bid for Wachovia, and it sure would be sweet, because the stock has been one of the worst of the group. It doesn't have a CEO, so that fits the scenario of a company that could be for sale. The franchise was always a solid one until now. And I will admit that the secret to the bulls' case for a better second half is a bid for Wachovia, a premium bid that takes everyone's breath away and causes a short panic.

My problem is that if you wanted to buy Wachovia, why not wait? What's the hurry? Is it that you might miss a chance at a bottom? Is there someone else out there who might want it? Do you perceive a bidding war, for instance, between JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take) for WB? How about USB (NYSE: USB) (Cramer's Take)?

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: When the bottom comes, you'll know it

Option update 9-17-07; Oracle option prices Elevated into 9/20 EPS & Outlook

Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) is expected to release 1st quarter EPS of .21 after the close on 9/20. Goldman Sachs says "ORCL currently trades at a significant discount to the group on an EPS basis at 16X our CY08 EPS estimate (ex-ESOs) vs. the group median of 20X." GSCO has a $24 price target on ORCL. ORCL September 20 straddle is priced at .95 cents. ORCL October option volatility of 32 is above its 26-week average of 28 according to Track Data, suggesting larger near term fluctuations.

Business Objects (NASDAQ: BOBJ), a global provider of business intelligence software solutions, is recently up $2.52 to $44.90. BOBJ has a market cap of $4.2 billion. Bank America says "French newspaper Le Figaro has reported that BOBJ has put itself up for sale and citing interest by several companies, including SAP. BOBJ & SAP have declined to comment on the speculation." BOBJ September 45 straddle is priced at $2.65. BOBJ October option implied volatility of 48 is above its 26-week average of 34 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

This week's rumor round-up: New Century to go bankrupt?

What is up is the theme of this week's merger talk, because there is lots of chatter, but no bold moves. Yet.


NEW CENTURY FINANCIAL CORPORATION (NYSE: NEW)


Down the tubes, and then what? With bankruptcy imminent, what next happens to the nation's second largest sub prime mortgage banker? Shares continue to fall today, recently at $3.18, a 69 cent fall, equal to almost 18%. Just two months ago the share price was over $30. The real estate investment trust isn't getting any help from lenders. Maybe reorganization is just what they need.

PALM INC (NASDAQ: PALM), DELL INC (NASDAQ: DELL)


Or should it be Dell, Palm? Either way, Palm is looking to sell, and Dell is looking to buy. Palm knows Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone can really hit them with a number of body blows, hence, get out while the getting's good, or at least okay, seems to be the Palm plan. For Dell, they're looking at smart phones as a part of their consumer products future. And lord knows they have the cash to buy a Palm. It's a brand with international contacts and a retail distribution network. Let the bidding begin, say at $2B?

NOBLE DRILLING CORP (NYSE: NE)

A noble "no" to an LBO was sent out from high atop the corporate structure several weeks ago, but rumors keep a coming. Yes, they said they'd use their extra dough to buy their own stock, just like they did before, in 2006. And that's what they've been doing. Who knows, maybe there's nothing to it.


CLAIRE'S STORES INC (NYSE: CLE)


Private equity firm Apax seems to be in the lead to take the 3,000 stores-strong Claire's. Get this: Apax is said to be so anxious to get going that it's said they have new management "in waiting." Wow. Claire's has said it's exploring "strategic alternatives", including a sale. Goldman Sachs is helping. Must be serious stuff. By the way, same store sales were up but down recently. Up 1%, but 2.3% was expected. What do you think Apax feeds that management team in waiting, anyway?

ALLTEL CORPORATION (NYSE: AT)


Buy me, please. That's what the nation's fifth largest wireless operator (subscribers) has been saying. AT&T is kicking the tires, but because of antitrust and other issues, it may only be doing just that. Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE: VZ) may have a look-see, as well as private equity firms. Tepid seems to have been the response so far, but that can change quickly. Management says the rumors are nothing new. Is that a bad thing?

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 08:41 AM

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