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Best Trades of 2008: #1 Shorting 'Chindia' the day after New Year's

With all the media buildup leading up to the Olympic Games in Beijing this past summer, just about everyone and their brother was bullish on the China/India emerging market theme.

"Chindia," as it was coined, was supposed to be the next great economic wonder.

The belief that these markets did not need American demand swept international investment circles. Forecasts of double-digit GDP growth continuing for the next several years became the mantra of emerging market funds, and Wall Street analysts got caught up in the commodity bubble, which burst a month before the Olympic torch was lit.

The widely held belief of global economists was that these two sleeping giant economies would lap America in a matter of a few years, as per all the economic extrapolations and white papers published leading up to the Summer Games.

Stocks like Baidu.com (NASDAQ: BIDU), China Mobil (NYSE: CHL), China Life (NYSE: LFC), Huaneng Power (NYSE: HNP), PetroChina (NYSE: PTR), Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY) and Reliance Industries (not listed) seemed bulletproof given the revenue and earnings models being floated by the Chindia bulls.

Continue reading Best Trades of 2008: #1 Shorting 'Chindia' the day after New Year's

Option update 8-27-07: Chinese stocks rally to record on elevated volatility

iShares Trust FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Fund (NYSE: FXI) volatility up:

FXI rallied 6% to a record. FXI is an index fund that seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index. FXI was recently up $10.29 to $153.94. FXI September option implied volatility was at 53 above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

China Mobile LTD (ADR) (NYSE: CHL) volatility elevated as CHL rallies 5% to record High.

CHL, a global wireless carrier with 301 million subscribers, was recently up $3.77 to $67.65. CHL September option implied volatility of 47 was above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+73.0010,270.47
NASDAQ+18.862,167.88
S&P 500+6.241,093.48

Last updated: November 14, 2009: 02:21 PM

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