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Is China's Economy Really Solid?

Here is a very important statistic concerning China's economy: domestic consumption accounts for only one third of GDP.

You are probably wondering where does the other two thirds of China's GDP go? The answer is investment. China has been lending $1.3 trillion in new loans. These loans have gone to industrial development projects. These projects have kept economic growth strong. The downside of this program is excess capacity in at least six industrial sectors.

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World Bank lowers China's growth forecast

Late in Tuesday's session, the World Bank cut its growth forecast for China to 6.5% from 7.5%. The bank cited dropping exports as a reason for the lowered forecast, but it did note that it is confident in China's ability to expand its economy in the current environment. The bank's quarterly report say that the drop in trade is going to negatively impact China's investment and job creation. Nevertheless, China should grow faster than other countries thanks to its stimulus package coupled with its strong banks, which have escaped the financial crisis unscathed.

A week ago, China's Premier Wen Jiabao announced that the country should meet its official 8% growth target (which some believe must be met for the country to create enough jobs for its influx of new workers) although exports fell 25.7% in February. Economists expect China's growth to come in between 5% and 8%, which is sharply lower than 2007's 13% expansion, but better than any other major country.

Continue reading World Bank lowers China's growth forecast

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Last updated: May 26, 2012: 10:32 AM

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