Christmas shopping posts
FeedPosted Jan 3rd 2010 1:20PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Costco Wholesale (COST), Gap Inc (GPS), Kohl's Corp (KSS), Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Urban Outfitters (URBN)
This week, the world's top retailers will tell investors how the much-discussed holiday season went. Analysts expect a year-over-year gain of 1.3% for stores open at least a year, which of course uses a dismal 2008 as a benchmark.
The holiday shopping season is the last chance retailers get to pump up their financial statements before the close of their fiscal year, which usually comes at the end of January. For some retailers, up to 40% of their revenue comes in the weeks heading into Christmas.
Continue reading Retail Results to Come this Week, but Spring Is the Test
Posted Dec 29th 2009 9:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Good news, Economic Data

According to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs, the week before Christmas was a
solid one for retail sales. Compared to a year earlier, retail sales increased 2.3% as last-minute shoppers flocked to chain stores. This increase is impressive, but it starts to look a bit weaker when taken in a week-over-week context. Sales increased 0.4% when compared to a week earlier.
When looking at the week-over-week increase, which some call less than impressive, it's important to take into account the massive winter storm that battered the East Coast. This storm had to have an impact on the amount of shoppers trudging out to retail outlets. Despite that, the percentage of sales increased still.
Continue reading Retail Sales Increased Last Week
Posted Dec 28th 2009 12:30PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Best Buy (BBY), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Gap Inc (GPS), Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Recession
The first estimates for the holiday shopping season have come in. MasterCard (MA) Advisors unit SpendingPulse, which tracks retail spending, puts the result at a year-over-year increase of 3.6%. This includes all form of payment and does not factor in gas and auto sales. The increase comes relative to the 2008 holiday season, which was the worst season in decades for retailers thanks to the global financial crisis.
Says Kamalesh Rao, director of economic research at SpendingPulse, "Last year the economy and consumer spending were in free fall. This year we're talking about an environment that has stabilized, that has seen a leveling off." But, that doesn't mean it's turned the corner yet. Holiday spending isn't enough to cure what ails us.
Continue reading Early Estimates for Retail Sales Favor Online
Posted Dec 28th 2009 11:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Black Friday, Nintendo (NTDOY)
The holidays have ended, and the real sales have begun. Those choosing to sacrifice sentimentality for savings found retailers only too willing to help, as prices were slashed in the wake of the Christmas rush. Recipients of gift cards stand to see their purchasing power extended, as well, now that redemption time has arrived, and retailers are looking to squeeze in any extra sales they can to pump up their top lines before the books close on the fiscal year, which, for many, comes at the end of January.
Toys "R" Us has offered a deal on Nintendo (NTDOY) Wii games, with the second coming at half price, and Target (TGT) is nearly halving the price of wine glasses and dropping the tag on an argyle women's sweater by nearly a third. Walmart (WMT), which kicked off its cuts at the end of September, is throwing a $50 gift card on top of any Microsoft (MSFT) Xbox 360 buy.
Continue reading After Christmas, Retailers Pick Up the Pieces
Posted Dec 23rd 2009 11:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT)
Anxious to grab every last dollar they can out of holiday shoppers, retailers are pulling out all the stops. Especially given the snowstorm on the East Coast last week, they have to make up some ground, and time is running out. They lost the Saturday before Christmas, one of the busiest shopping days of the year -- and a favorite of people like me who wait until the last minute.
"Super Saturday," as it's called, was off close to 13% compared to last year, says research firm ShopperTrak. Only $6.9 billion came in, off $1 billion-year-over-year. And, let's not forget that 2008 was a drag. Its $7.9 billion performance was down from $8.7 billion in 2007.
Continue reading With Christmas Looming, Retailers Make Up for Lost Time
Posted Dec 21st 2009 9:40AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Amazon.com (AMZN), Target Corp. (TGT)

Here, in Cincinnati, we have about an inch of snow on the ground this morning. However, the East Coast is getting hammered and officials have advised residents to stay inside. With 20 inches of snow falling from the sky and piling up, not only are residents of the East Coast feeling the pinch, but it is possible retailers do as well. If denizens of the coast pay attention to the warnings, it could put a major crimp in last-minute Christmas shopping.
Retailer Target (
TGT) has announced that it will
open an hour earlier and remain open until midnight in Virginia, Maryland, D.C., New Jersey, Delaware, and Connecticut (along with some stores in Pennsylvania, New York, and Massachusetts) beginning today through Wednesday. The retailer announced this plan in order to give its patrons "more opportunity to make all their holiday purchases."
Continue reading Snowstorm Bad for Retailers; Online Retailers to Benefit?
Posted Dec 18th 2009 8:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Amazon.com (AMZN), Sony Corp ADR (SNE)
It wouldn't reveal the number, but Amazon (AMZN) did announce that it realized record sales for its Kindle e-reader this month. And, there's still the rest of the month to go, including the run-up to Christmas. Just as the battle for e-reader market share began to flare up, it already seems to be over.
This year, Sony (SNE) released a new e-reader, and Barnes & Noble (BKS) entered the market with its Nook device. Both posted early successes, which quickly became problems. The two companies sold out of inventory and won't be able to ship new orders until the new year.
Continue reading Amazon Kindle Sets Record, E-Reader Race Is Over
Posted Nov 30th 2009 10:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Black Friday

Everybody's back at their desks today, but a majority will be skirting as much work as possible and doing a little stealth shopping when the boss isn't looking. I know that I was deluged with myriad emails from various retailers extolling the virtues of their own "Cyber Monday" sales.
Cyber Monday is the day that you can get free shipping, amazing percentages off, or extra goodies simply for shopping from the comfort of your computer. Remember, many analysts believe that Cyber Monday is nothing more than hype and
not a real phenomenon (see Colin Sebastian's comments in the seventh paragraph). That said, which retailers could cash in today?
Continue reading What retailers can benefit from Cyber Monday?
Posted Nov 26th 2009 11:10AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Walgreen Co (WAG), Gap Inc (GPS), RadioShack Corp (RSH), Recession
If consumers try a little harder this year, the holiday season has a shot of hiding memories of last year's nightmare for retailers. The retailers are doing their part, with Walmart (WMT), Gap (GPS), RadioShack (RSH), Walgreens (WAG) and many others opening their doors Thanksgiving Day, giving shoppers the opportunity to start their spending early. There's a chance that consumers will spend a bit more this year to thank each other for keeping their belts so tight for so long.
Forecasts of the season's ultimate result remain difficult to pin down. Some expect a year-over-year decline of 3%, and predictions range to an increase of 2%. Credit is harder to come by, and unemployment remains over 10% and at a 26-year high. But, the pressures on spending are offset by pent-up emotion and a stabilizing financial environment -- even if it isn't getting better yet, it doesn't seem to be getting worse.
Continue reading Consumers sick of recession, may spend extra on holidays
Posted Nov 21st 2009 12:40PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Amazon.com (AMZN), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Media World, Technology
Take the Nook off your Christmas list. The new e-reader from Barnes & Noble (BKS) has already sold out, and more won't be available until after the holiday has passed. The next batch will be available, at best, by January 4, 2010.
In a statement, the company said, "While we increased production based on the high consumer interest, we've sold out of our initial Nook allotment available for delivery before the holidays." If you still want to give the device as a holiday gift, Barnes & Noble will give you a gift certificate to tide the recipient over until the device itself comes around.
Continue reading No more Nookie 'til next year, says Barnes & Noble
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