It's no secret that Talk Radio host extraordinaire Rush Limbaugh has revolutionized the alternative media. With his new contract, it appears that Rush is once again on the cutting edge of societal evolution, and has once again laid down the gauntlet that he is light years ahead of his competition. What's so amazing is that in an era when traditional media is having all kinds of problems, whether it's declining newspaper sales, or declining ratings for the nightly news, the man who sits behind the golden EIB microphone is forging ahead as if nothing is happening.
According to a press release, Limbaugh has signed a long-term contract extension:
Advertiser and affiliate demand is at an all-time high for Mr. Limbaugh. President of Premiere Radio Networks Charlie Rahilly stated, "The Rush Limbaugh Show enjoys an unprecedented platform of radio affiliates. Plus, advertisers harness the intensity of listener engagement -- no one's 'word of mouth' about a product or service delivers more impact than Mr. Limbaugh does. The Premiere team is proud to partner with Mr. Limbaugh deep into the next decade."
Just a few weeks ago, it looked like the $19.4 billion buyout of Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) was dead. But in the deal market, things can change quickly.
Just today, the New York Supreme Court said there will be a stay on the litigation on the deal. According to CNBC, it looks like the parties are engaged in heavy settlement talk.
No doubt, a trial could be problematic for the banks that are on the hook for $22 billion in debt financing. These banks include: Citigroup (NYSE: C), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Bank AG and Wachovia (NYSE: WB).
Now, they may be willing to fund the deal.
Why? Well, it looks like the debt markets are improving and the major banks have worked hard to boost their balance sheets.
In other words, the US credit crunch may be thawing. If so, we may see some more dealmaking – which would be a relief for Wall Street banks eager to get some juicy fees.
So far in today's trading, Clear Channel's shares are up 9.5%.
Wendy's International Inc (NYSE: WEN), struggling since the 2002 death of founder Dave Thomas, and pressed by investor Nelson Peltz to improve results, will today announce a deal with Peltz, the Wall Street Journal reported.
The Wall Street Journal also reported that the House Financial Services Committee voted to approve $15B in loans and grants so that local governments can buy foreclosed homes throughout the U.S. Committee chairman Barney Frank said the bill will avoid abuse, including requiring that purchased homes be a minimum 60 days into the process.
Adding to evidence of a rally in corporate credit markets, the Financial Times reported that Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE: DB) is preparing another big sell-off of its leveraged loans in Europe.
OTHER PAPERS:
Several e-mails that have been obtained by the New York Post sent between Wall Street banks may prove a serious setback in the fight over the takeover Clear Channel Communications Inc (NYSE: CCU). The e-mails reportedly show the banks, led by Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) and Deutsche Bank, looking to get out of financing the buyout by Bain Capital and THL Partners by offering terms "they know the [firms] won't be able to accept."
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Energy companies, Regulated and Diversified Utilities and Tailsman Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Bernstein raised its 2008 oil forecast to $92.30/bbl, up 27%, and 2008 natural gas forecast to $8.30/mcf, up 7%. By 2012, the firm expects oil prices to be around $86/bbl and for gas to be $9.2/mcf. The firm upgraded Apache Corp (NYSE: APA) and XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO) to Outperform from Market Perform and EnCana (NYSE: ECA) to Market Perform from Underperform.
Goldman upgraded the Regulated and Diversified Utilities sub-sectors to Attractive from Neutral citing expected economic weakness, positive commodity exposure, and earnings growth. The firm upgraded American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) to Buy from Neutral.
Citigroup upgraded shares of Tailsman Energy (NYSE: TLM) to Buy from Hold ahead of the company's annual meeting as they believe it will announce a new strategy of low risk resource development on existing acreage and that shares will react positively.
The Wall Street Journal said the $19B privatization of Clear Channel Communications Inc (NYSE: CCU) was near collapse as the private-equity firms behind the deal and the banks financing it failed to resolve their differences over terms of the credit agreement, people familiar with the matter said.
The Wall Street Journal also reported federal regulators are handing out warnings to banks due to their exposure to development loans and commercial real-estate construction. Sources believe Corus Bankshares Incorporated (NASDAQ: CORS) is facing trouble in the near future due to increasing scrutiny by regulators and the fact that much of the fallout in the condo sector has yet to be felt by banks.
Some banks in the government-sponsored Federal Home Loan Banking system want to guarantee municipal infrastructure projects, the Financial Times reported, thus fulfilling the role traditionally taken by monoline insurance groups such as MBIA Inc(NYSE: MBI).
According to a report in the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it looks like the proposed $19 billion buyout deal for Clear Channel Communications, Inc. (NYSE: CCU) is virtually dead (the private equity sponsors include Thomas H. Lee and Bain Capital Partners LLC).
This shouldn't really be a shock. Even though the credit markets have seemed to stabilize, it's incredibly difficult to justify a mega deal. In other words, why would a bank want to further risk its balance sheet – especially for a company that is showing weakness? After all, with the US economy slowing down, this will mean tougher times for ad-based businesses.
It's certainly ugly in after-hours trading; that is, Clear Channel's stock is down 19% to $26.20. Yes, investors have given up on this deal. What's more, it's really a symbol of the state of the private equity market. It's going to be a long time until we see major deals hit the markets.
Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital have had an outstanding $39.20 cash bid for CCU. CCU's debt placement is expected to be fulfilled this week. CCU call option volume of 36,200 contracts compared to put volume of 162,529 contracts. CCU April option implied volatility of 130 was above its 26-week average of 49 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
As an American Idol host, American Top 40 radio DJ, and anointed successor to talk show god Larry King, Ryan Seacrest is the 76th best-paid celebrity in America, earning $14 million a year, according to Forbes.
Now, he's looking to up his income astronomically. Mr. Seacrest has signed a new contract for his five-hour radio show with Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU), and it comes with an interesting twist. According to the Wall Street Journal(subscription required), "Mr. Seacrest will own and control a portion of the advertising time on the show. The goal: bringing in some of the sponsors he already has a relationship with on television, with the potential fringe benefit of getting them more interested in radio. He will also sell some of his own advertising on the "American Top 40" radio countdown."
Mr. Seacrest's ad selling duties will apply to ads integrated into the show -- for instance, saying that a coming song is "brought to you by" a brand. The more ubiquitous between song commercial breaks will still be handled by the networks.
Reading the Journal article, you get a feel for what a savvy entrepreneur Mr. Seacrest is -- he's more than the smirky metrosexual that he comes across as on American Idol.
With traditional radio outlets struggling to say relevant in the face of what are seen as more viable advertising outlets like the internet, the networks are on the lookout for new ways to sell ads. If this works, we could see a lot more of it in the future.
Clear Channel (NYSE: CCU) has settled its problems with selling its TV operations to Providence Equity. Now one of the banks backing the deal, Wachovia (NYSE: WB), wants out.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Wachovia has argued that even though the sale price is lower and the new agreement contains a larger equity component, it is a separate transaction from the one it originally agreed to fund." If banks keep walking away from their private equity clients, they won't have any left.
Wachovia was going to put $500 million into the deal. Without the cash, the deal may fail. It is possible that Wachovia would have to pay a break-up fee but the bank would argue that, because the deal had changed, it does not even owe that.
Banks are willing to risk the one-time payout of a break-up instead of taking LBO debt onto their balance sheets and then having to write it off if they cannot resell it.
The new banking practice of backing out on contracts with customers who have paid huge fees in the past is not likely to endear them to the buyout industry in the future.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
The U.S. Department of Justice announced it would require CCU to sell radio stations in four cities in order to win approval for its sale to Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital. Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital announced a $39.20 cash bid for CCU in early 2008.
CCU closed at $29.49 Wednesday.
CCU said: "The merger continues on track for a first quarter close." The Federal Communications Commission approved the deal in January.
CCU overall option implied volatility of 88 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
This near-lifelong private equity buyout of Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) may finally be coming to an end. Today the Department of justice issued a statement after the close of the market. This merger is being cleared with some conditions. Assuming this closes at the stated price of $39.20, this would be indicative of a 32% merger-arb gain. Not bad at all for a near-$20 Billion private equity deal at a time when it seems like all super-deals in private equity are dead.
Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee can acquire the radio conglomerate if it divests radio stations in Houston, Las Vegas, Cincinnati, and San Francisco. This will prevent higher advertising prices in those markets. The Antitrust Division of the DOJ filed a suit today blocking the deal, but it filed a proposed settlement that would resolve competitive concerns.
This does allow any person to submit written comments during a 60-day comment period. Just in the last couple weeks the merger-arb spread was indicating that this deal was looking at-risk.
So, in this environment, it's understandable that Wall Street is jittery with buyout deals. Just look at the pending buyout of Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU).
As it looks forward to the shareholder vote on the tumultuous $19.5 billion, $39.20 a share takeover offer from Bain Capital Partners LLC and Thomas H. Lee Partners LP, Clear Channel Communications Inc. (NYSE: CCU) reported strong second-quarter earnings from its roadside billboard business. Overall revenue rose to $1.8 billion, up 5% from 2006, and net income climbed from $48 million to $68.6 million. Diluted EPS before discontinued operations was $.42, up from $.34 from 2006 but below the $.44 projected by analysts surveyed by Thompson.
Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings (NYSE: CCO), of which CCU owns 90%, continued to drive the corporate earnings with net income up 45% to $68 million and EPS of $.19 vs $.14. The radio segment, which CCO is in the process of selling off, was up only 1%.
The company's stock has followed the general market trend in the past few days, off $1.35 from its $38.20 month high, but on the rebound today.
The expanding credit spreads between corporate bonds and treasuries, and in particular between junk bonds and treasuries, have also led arbitrage spreads to widen. Deals that will be financed and closed have spreads that warrant investors' attention. There may be some easy money to be made as a result.
Deals worth looking at, according to Barron's , include:
Alltel Corporation (NYSE: AT) trading for $67.80 with take-out price of $71.50-12% annualized rate of return.
First Data Corporation (NYSE: FDC) is selling for $32.65 and has a take-out price of $34-for an 18% annualized return.
Harrah's Entertainment Inc (NYSE: HET) is selling for $85.25 and has a take offer of $90-14% annualized rate of return.
Tribune Company (NYSE: TRB) is trading at $29.50 with a take-price at $34-30% annualized return.
The most attractive arb play from a return perspective is Tribune but that deal also carries the most risk. Tribune already has a considerable amount of debt and is attempting to add more debt and use the company's ESOP plan to close the deal. In addition, the fundamentals of the newspaper industry continue to remain not very good.
Use the widening arb spreads to make some nice money. Cash available to finance these deals is still aplenty. Lending terms are simply coming back to the planet earth, as sensible lending covenants are re-introduced.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: ValueClick, Inc (VCLK), aQuantive, Inc (AQNT), Cigna Corp (CI), Warner Music Group (WMG), Clear Channel Communications, Inc (CCU) and Medtronic, Inc (MDT) were today's more notable downgrades:
Baird cut ValueClick Inc (NASDAQ: VCLK) to Neutral from Outperform, citing the FTC inquiry.
aQuantive (NASDAQ: AQNT) was downgraded to Sell from Buy after the company was acquired by Microsoft (MSFT) and because aQuantive no longer trades on fundamentals. Kaufman and Gabelli also cut aQuantive to Hold from Buy.
Cigna (NYSE: CI) was downgraded at Prudential to Neutral from Overweight on valuation.
Warner Music Group's (NYSE: WMG) downgrade to Sell from Neutral at Pali Research was based on the lower industry outlook, which Pali believes revenues are likely to fall at least 10% for the industry in 2007, along with the company's release schedule.
Bear Stearns downgraded Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) to Peer Perform from Outperform on the acceptance of the higher bid.
Medtronic Inc (NYSE: MDT) was downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley...