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The Buyback Premium Portfolio has beat the S&P 500 by more than 72% since its inception (August 2, 2000)! It is up 54.87% since inception vs. a decline of 17.90% in the S&P 500. For the month of November, the portfolio gained 3.41% vs. a decline of 0.23% in the S&P 500.

Continue reading David Fried's Buyback Premium Portfolio: Mid-Month Update

David Fried's Buyback Premium Portfolio: Mid-Month Update originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 09 Dec 2010 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), a beverage entity that competes with Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), reported Q2 earnings on Wednesday. Adjusting for a gain related to tax issues, the company earned 78 cents per share.

According to Trey Thoelcke's earnings preview, Pepsi Bottling Group was only supposed to make about 73 cents per share. So, management managed to beat Wall Street's projections. Unfortunately, management made the same amount of per-share profit in the year-ago period, so there wasn't any growth on the bottom line.

Continue reading Pepsi Bottling Group beats earnings, but I'm not interested

Pepsi Bottling Group beats earnings, but I'm not interested originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 09 Jul 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) reported first-quarter earnings on Tuesday morning. By the end of the day, the main enemy of PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) was down 2.8% on better-than-average volume. Coke said that it earned 65 cents per share on an adjusted basis. According to Beth Gaston Moon's earnings preview, management met Wall Street's expectations.

So, right off the bat, you can see why the market wasn't so kind to Coke's shares. Meeting expectations isn't enough sometimes. But there are some other issues here, too.

Revenue was kind of soft, and a look at the statement of cash flows shows a decrease in money generated from operations. That number decreased over 20% to roughly $870 million.

Continue reading Coca-Cola's Q1 was only okay, but company is still a refreshing core holding

Coca-Cola's Q1 was only okay, but company is still a refreshing core holding originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Apr 2009 08:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), the arch rival of PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), is set to report Q4 numbers on Thursday, February 12. Coke is estimated to earn 61 cents per share, a growth of about 5%. Is it doable? More importantly, will Coke be able to beat projections? I'd say it might, considering that the two major bottlers out there, Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG) and Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), both beat on their respective bottom lines this week. Pepsi Bottling trounced expectations by 5 cents, and Coke's bottler did better by 3 cents.

Not that the quarter will have been a cake walk. There will be issues with currency translations and the global slowdown. Even though Coke sells products that are theoretically defensive against a recession, I imagine that guidance will be conservative, and I would bet that growth in case volume, a very important metric for beverage companies, will be down. I'll hope for the best, but I'm bracing myself for that outcome.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Coca-Cola's Q4 bubble to the top?

Earnings preview: Will Coca-Cola's Q4 bubble to the top? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Feb 2009 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Pepsi Bottling Group beats in Q4, is it a value?

Pepsi Bottling Group beats in Q4, is it a value? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 10 Feb 2009 15:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

When you think about it, corporations are no different than consumers. They see the economic writing on the wall, and they react to it accordingly. So it was no surprise when PepsiCo's (NYSE: PEP) CEO Indra Nooyi said she was down on beverage acquisitions in North America. Instead, she'd like to drive profits in an organic fashion. In my opinion, she's basically saying that she doesn't feel that the economy has hit a bottom yet and that she's got time to look around for prospects to add to her company's portfolio.

I think she's probably correct (if she actually is thinking along those lines), but I would add that, if a particularly compelling prospect came along, I wouldn't necessarily reject it in knee-jerk fashion just because the economy is one scary beast. Remember that PepsiCo, or any company for that matter, can buy other businesses for cheap valuations at the moment. Of course, those other businesses know that, and probably are holding off from putting themselves up on the block. So I do realize that being a value buyer in this climate is more complex than it appears to be at first glance.

She's also on the right track in terms of concentrating on growing internally. I don't think companies focus as much as they should on internal growth. As Nooyi pointed out, organic innovation can indeed be the more attractive economic alternative to pricey buyouts.

Continue reading PepsiCo, like the consumer, is cautious about buying things

PepsiCo, like the consumer, is cautious about buying things originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 16 Dec 2008 11:32:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), the big bottler for Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), and a competitor of both PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) and Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), is trying, like every company out there, to grapple with the recession. Sure, sodas and waters might seem like an attractive business to be in since people will still buy them in a down economy, but make no mistake about it -- Coca-Cola Enterprises needs to be on top of its game to protect those margins.

This leads me to this: According to Beverage World, Coca-Cola Enterprises wants a little more efficiency in its system. What corporate structure doesn't, right? So, management is taking a fresh look at the supply chain and the packaging it uses. Already, the company has shed 1,000 jobs and combined some units. Becoming leaner and working in a smarter fashion is key to keeping the bottom line steady and, hopefully, growing. It's only part of the picture, though. The logistics of distribution should be looked at, don't get me wrong. That obviously is the bottler's main function. Marketing, however, has to be stepped up as well. And that's Coca-Cola's job.

Continue reading Coca-Cola Enterprises needs efficiency -- and better marketing

Coca-Cola Enterprises needs efficiency -- and better marketing originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 13 Dec 2008 17:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), a competitive colleague of Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), reported earnings for the third quarter earlier in the week. I didn't find the release too exciting, to be honest. Revenues went up 2% to $3.8 billion. Earnings came in at $1.06 per share. In last year's quarter, Pepsi Bottling Group booked a bottom line equal to 98 cents per share, after adjustments. In terms of expectations, the company beat the analysts on Wall Street by two pennies better.

While an earnings beat is certainly a nice thing, let's take a look at what is perhaps one of the more important metrics when it comes to beverage manufacturers: case volume. I'm afraid there's nothing to write home about as far as this statistic is concerned. Case volume took a dive around the globe by a disappointing 6%. Management cited hard economic times as a contributing factor. Imagine that. You'd think that products found in the portfolios of Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) would be pretty defensive in a tough economic period. Apparently, Pepsi Bottling Group found it difficult to distribute more of its drinks this past quarter.

Long term, I think Pepsi Bottling Group will be okay. But I think both PepsiCo and Coke need to find better ways of convincing people to continue to drink their flagship carbonated beverages. They've been on the decline over the past several years. As a stock, Pepsi Bottling Group isn't on my watch list. I already own shares of Coke, but even with that bias, I can honestly say that I wouldn't want to enter the bottler at this time. I'm not impressed with either the growth or the year-to-date stock performance.

Disclosure: I own Coke; positions can change at any time.

Pepsi Bottling Group's Q3 doesn't make me a buyer originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Oct 2008 11:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Coca Cola Co

Continue reading Coca-Cola tanks after earnings fail to wow Wall Street

Coca-Cola tanks after earnings fail to wow Wall Street originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 17 Jul 2008 11:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG) issued its Q2 earnings numbers today, and the market apparently wasn't impressed. As of 2:45, the shares are off well over 4%.

The numbers weren't bad in some respects, but a couple areas weren't encouraging. Sales increased about 5%, and earnings per diluted share expanded by 12% to $0.78. That was more than enough to beat the analysts, who were looking for about $0.75 per share, according to Briefing.com. However, worldwide case volume declined 3%. Case volume is one of the most important metrics for a beverage company, so this is very disheartening. Also, cash from operations dropped to $89 million for the six-month period from a year-ago level of $158 million. There was no free cash flow, but management does expect positive free cash flow for the fiscal year.

Considering the bottler's forward guidance and dividend yield, the shares are somewhat cheap. But they are basically at a 52-week low in a bad market, so I wouldn't bother with them. When it comes to investing in the beverage sector, I prefer owning a PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) or a Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO). In fact, I own the latter. Avoiding bottlers like Pepsi Bottling Group and Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE) makes sense for the long-term since the bottlers will always have greater exposure to capital-expenditure requirements.

Disclosure: I own Coke; positions can change at any time.

Pepsi Bottling Group's shares hit by Wall Street after earnings report originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 08 Jul 2008 15:16:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Following the acquisition by Tenaris SA ADS (NYSE: TS), Hydril Corp (HASDAQ: HYDL) was downgraded by Lehman Brothers to Underweight from Overweight, to Peer Perform from Outperform at Bear Stearns and to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.

• Circuit City Stores (NYSE: CC) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy on valuation at Goldman Sachs.

• Merrill Lynch downgraded Ford Motor Corp (NYSE: F) to Sell from Neutral citing the recent strength of its shares.

• Alcoa Inc (NYSE: AA) was taken down to Hold from Buy on valuation.

• Multi-Fineline Electronix Inc (NASDAQ: MFLX) was downgraded to Strong Sell from Strong Buy at Matrix USA, as the firm believes strong competition is eroding sales growth.

• Hansen Natural Corp (NASDAQ: HANS) was downgraded by both Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan to Neutral from Buy on valuation.

• Citigroup cut Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc (NYSE: CCE) to Hold from Buy citing the difficult CSD environment, especially relative to Buy-rated Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG). The firm considers Pepsi Bottling to be better-positioned than Coca-Cola Enterprises.

• Freidman Billings downgraded Onyx Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ONXX) to Underperform from Market Perform on valuation.

Analyst downgrades 2-13-07: Ford, Circuit City and Alcoa downgraded today originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 Feb 2007 11:14:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: SanDisk (SNDK), Business Objects (BOBJ) and the Beverage Sector top today's list of downgrades.

• SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ:SNDK) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS, citing expectations for an oversupply of flash memory in 2006 and 2007.
• Business Objects (NASDAQ:BOBJ) was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Pacific Crest, citing valuation concerns and increasing competition from Oracle (ORCL), Microsoft (MSFT) and open source competitors.
• The Beverage Sector was downgraded to Cautious from Neutral at Goldman Sachs. The firm cited declining demand in core categories, raw material inflation and valuation.
  • Goldman downgraded PepsiAmericas, Inc. (NYSE:PAS) and Coca-Cola Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:CCE) to Sell from Neutral
  • while COTT Corp (NYSE:COT) was added to their Conviction Sell List.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Kevin Dann & Partners downgraded shares of Pep Boys (NYSE:PBY) to Hold from Buy on valuation and the lack of near-term catalysts.
• Thomas Weisel downgraded Ikanos Comm (NASDAQ:IKAN) to Peer Perform from Outperform citing a slowdown of VDSL deployments in Japan due to persisting inventory build at NTT.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 11-13-06: UBS downgrades SanDisk to Neutral originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Nov 2006 12:18:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.