Cable entity Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) had a kicking third quarter. A look through the press release shows a string of double-digit growth rates. Can't complain about that in a distressed economic period. Revenues, operating cash flow, and free cash flow really shined. Adjusted earnings per share increased 33% to $0.24.
According to this article, the bottom line beat expectations by two pennies. However, that article also contained a bit of a bearish take on Comcast's quarter from an analyst. I don't know, I thought Comcast did a decent job considering the recession. There's no question that the business will be affected by the slowdown and the bad housing market. I concede that. But, given that management is maintaining its outlook for revenue and operating cash flow growth, I just don't feel bearish on the stock from a longer-term perspective. And let's think about this. If digital content distribution is destined to be the wave of the future, won't Comcast be a major player in that wave? I would think it would be. Don't get me wrong, it has competition to contend with. You've got Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and its FiOS product, DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) and its satellite offerings, etc. Comcast and its Internet/phone services have had great success in terms of resonating with subscribers. The company is doing well, in my opinion, of building valuable brand equity for itself.
And keep in mind that content providers such as Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Viacom (NYSE: VIA), and Sony (NYSE: SNE) will always find it to their advantage to work with Comcast on hatching new distribution avenues for content, a fact that will provide further growth opportunities for the cable company. As an example, Comcast, with partners Lions Gate Entertainment (NYSE: LGF) and Sony, is involved with the Fearnet horror channel. Yes, I would definitely say that Comcast is going to increase its reputation as a player in Hollywood. And that should be good for the stock.
Disclosure: I own Disney; positions can change at any time.
This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.
Which stocks would benefit from a victory by either Senator John McCain or Senator Barack Obama? To help investors sort through the sectors and stocks best positioned to benefit in a post-election environment, we posed this question to some of the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Importantly, this is not a partisan report; each participating advisor has provided a favorite stock for both candidates, focused not on political preferences but unbiased stock analysis. Below we feature those stocks and ETFs that the advisors believe will be the winners depending on which candidate prevails.
It's cool fun sometimes to look at under-$10 stocks and see if there are any worth investing in. TiVo (NASDAQ: TIVO), famous maker of digital-video-recorder technology, is currently trading under $10 a share, and it reported its Q2 numbers on Wednesday. I can't say, though, that I'm ready to buy just yet, even though some of the stats presented in the release described a nice improvement in year-over-year comparisons.
The bottom line, in fact, improved substantially. Earnings per diluted share came in at 3 cents. Last year, TiVo saw a loss of 18 cents per diluted share. According to Earnings.com, analysts were looking for a loss of 2 cents per share during the quarter, so estimates were certainly beat.
Cash flow from operations also jumped in a very nice way. The company generated over $10 million over the last six months. During the similar time period in 2007, TiVo needed to use almost three times that amount to keep operations going. Cash flow is an important metric for investors to look at, so that was good to see.
Lions Gate Entertainment's (NYSE: LGF) stock rose nearly 5% in after-hours trading on Friday after the movie studio issued its Q1 report. In fact, the stock hit $11 per share. What drove this reaction? Well, Wall Street was figuring on a loss for the company, somewhere around $0.05 per share, according to the AP. However, management fooled everyone by delivering a $0.06 per-share profit. Last year's Q1 saw a net loss of $0.45 per share. The top line was also awesome, rising 50% to $298.5 million. This also went beyond expectations.
These numbers are impressive to a certain extent. Management reported a nice backlog of revenues derived from movie projects that should be recognized in later quarters. There was a lower amount of expensed-costs related to distribution, an element that helped things out a great deal.
Cash flow, however, was an entirely different matter altogether. Lions Gate reported a much wider use of the green stuff this quarter. In fact, the metric more than doubled to nearly $150 million. Changes in working capital affected the cash flow, including increased investments in content productions and a larger booking of participations and residuals. Negative free cash flow also expanded, coming in at roughly $110 million this quarter versus $82 million one year ago.
Remember oil? It rose almost $5.00 today after the inventories release and on reports that Olmert was resigning as Prime Minister in Israel in two months. Traders guessed that Israeli-Iran uncertainty could be back in play. Despite many negative earnings stories, investors decided to put their bull hats on.
Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) posted EPS a tad light, but many used EBITDA in their analysis. Shares rose throughout the day and were up over 5% at $20.20 in today's final minutes.
I can't say I had much personal experience with Adelphia, which was the fifth largest cable company in the country when it filed for bankruptcy in 2002. But I did follow the case of the Rigas' family with interest. Dad and founder John and son Timothy Rigas ended up going to jail after treating this huge public company like their own personal candy store.
Founded in 1952 in Coudersport, Penn., Adelphia's name came from the Greek word for brother. The company went public in 1986 and grew by acquisition -- buying up smaller cable providers.
The company went bankrupt in 2002 after disclosing $2.3 billion in debt that was kept off the balance sheet. Federal prosecutors charged the Rigases and other officers of looting the company of an estimated $100 million, much of it spent on ridiculous excess -- like spending $6,000 to have Christmas trees flown in to New York.
Both Rigas men were found guilty and in 2007 started serving time in a Federal prison in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) and Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) bought up Adelphia's cable business in 2006, splitting up the customers by region.
Let us know in the comments what you miss about Adelphia. And be sure to check out other Companies That Have Vanished.
Verizon (NYSE: VZ) had decided that customers do not have to be landline clients to get the company's new fiber broadband and TV service. In other words, it is willing to walk away from its core business to move into the future.
According to the AP, "Surveys point to about one in seven U.S. households now lacking landlines." More people are using their cellphones instead of the traditional home phone connection.
The announcement points to the lengths to which Verizon will go to get customers away from cable companies like Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA). Cable does not require that people use its voice system, VoIP, to get cable television or broadband connections. If Verizon wants to match cable packages, it has to do the same.
To a large extent, the news is an indication that Verizon is not really a traditional "phone company" any more. The revenue from that part of its operations is shrinking. Its growth comes from cellular customers, home fiber subscribers, and DSL.
Alexander Graham Bell is turning in his grave.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
In a move to help turnaround its troubled business, General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) will sell or divest its appliance division, and could expect to receive between $5B and $8B for the unit, according to the Wall Street Journal. Potential buyers appliance makers BSH Bosch & Siemens Hausger of Germany and Haier Group of China, as well as private equity firms and Controladora Mabe, GE's partner in Mexico.
The Wall Street Journal also reported that Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA) will acquire Plaxo, a networking Web site, in an effort to increase its range of services. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
To help improve its Ask.com search engine, the Wall Street Journal reported that IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI) will buy the Lexico Publishing Group, which owns Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com.
WEB SITES:
Citing the New England Journal of Medicine, Bloomberg reported that migraine headache medicines, including Merck & Co Inc's (NYSE: MRK) Maxalt and GlaxoSmithKline Plc's (NYSE: GSK) Imitrex caused potentially fatal reactions in at least 11 people. The Journal said people using "triptans," an older class of migraine drugs, could develop serotonin syndrome, which may cause fever, shock, vomiting and rapid heartbeat.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Comcast, Time Warner Cable, YRC Worldwide and Syniverse were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Soleil upgraded shares of Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) and Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) to Buy from Hold on improving fundamentals, as they believe the economic stimulus package should drive consumer demand in 2H08.
Stephens upgraded shares of YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) to Overweight from Underweight as they believe management is making meaningful changes.
Syniverse (NYSE: SVR) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan. The firm upgraded shares based on accelerating organic growth from consumer wireless data usage.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Deutsche Bank upgraded NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) to Buy from Hold.
According to people familiar with the matter, Robert Verrone, one of the most zealous commercial real-estate lenders during the industry's boom, will leave Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) within the next week, the Wall Street Journal reported.
WEB SITES:
Bloomberg reported that the Department of Justice is probing whether UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) helped clients evade American taxes. In an e-mailed statement, the firm said one senior bank employee was "briefly detained" by authorities.
Bloomberg also reported that Vallejo, California's city council voted to go into bankruptcy. Officials said that after talks with labor unions failed to win salary concessions from police and fire fighters, the city does not have enough money to pay its bills.
According to a rumor, TechCrunch reported that the Yahoo Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) board of directors yesterday authorized Yahoo chairman Roy Bostock, rather than CEO Jerry Yang, to call Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer about re-starting negotiations.
Cable operator Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA), a competitor of DirecTV (NYSE: DTV) and DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH), issued its first-quarter earnings report on Thursday, and overall it was a satisfying set of data. Revenues grew 14% to $8.4 billion. Adjusted earnings per share increased 12% to $0.19 (on a reported basis, however, they did decline by 8%). One of my favorite things to look at is free cash flow -- Comcast scored here, as free cash jumped 59% to over $700 million.
I've never owned Comcast stock, and I'm on record as preferring content companies over distribution platforms. That being said, I do have to say that Comcast is a pretty good name in its industry, and that it seems to be doing quite well with its various offerings. Looking through the earnings release, I see that Comcast added close to half-a-million digital cable customers. The high-speed internet service and digital-phone service also seem to be performing (on an anecdotal level, it does feel like more and more people are taking up the triple-play suite that Comcast is constantly promoting). The programming segment, which includes channels such as E! and The Golf Channel, saw revenues increase 20% and it delivered a nice stream of cash flow. The company bought back almost 2% of its outstanding shares, and management plans to buy more under its repurchase initiative.
If you're looking to get in on the stock, I'd wait for a pullback after Thursday's 8% pop in share price. Like I say, I do like content companies, but Comcast might be an interesting long-term idea, since it will probably be the beneficiary of a desire on the part of media conglomerates such as Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), and Viacom (NYSE: VIA) to engage more digital distribution via video-on-demand and to, in fact, experiment with day-and-date release (which I talked about in a recent piece). If this paradigm ever hits a critical mass, then Comcast should do well with it.
Disclosure: I own shares in Disney; positions can change at any time.
Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) stock is falling on reports that the company is in talks with Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) to fund a new wireless Internet program. CMCSA would invest up to $1 billion in the project, a nationwide network using WiMax technology that would be operated by Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) and Clearwire Corp. (NASDAQ: CLWR). Judging by this morning's action, investors do not seem very enthusiastic about the plan. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CMCSA.
After hitting a one-year high of $29.41 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $16.11 in January. This morning, CMCSA opened at $20.07. So far today the stock has hit a low of $19.30 and a high of $20.14. As of 12:15, CMCSA is trading at $19.59, down 0.95 (-4.6%). The chart for CMCSA looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $22.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in 4 months as long as CMCSA is below $22.50 at July expiration. Comcast would have to rise by more than 15% before we would start to lose money.
Cable entity 
It's cool fun sometimes to look at under-$10 stocks and see if there are any worth investing in. 
Lions Gate Entertainment
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable 
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Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Cable operator 
Before the bell: Wall Street headed higher; automakers, retailers in focus
Waiting for the other shoe to drop: The looming credit crisis
Bet on T&A with J&J (JNJ)
