What's holding the airline sector back, in addition to high jet fuel prices, and keeping the likes of AMR's (NYSE: AMR) American, Delta (NYSE: DAL), UAL's (NYSE: UAUA) United, Southwest (NYSE: LUV), and Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) from realizing their potential?
Many economists and analysts would agree that, along with other infrastructure and related investments, the nation's air traffic control system must be upgraded, if the United States seeks an air transportation system capable of maintaining a high level of safety -- and better service -- in the 21st century's more-crowded skies.
Further, that the United States has not already replaced an essentially generation-old air traffic control technology with a modern system is a serious demerit, and one that has -- through delays, cancellations, and other problems -- taken a toll on the flying public and the major carriers.
With soaring fuel prices and declines in discretionary spending leading to bankruptcies and mergers among the airlines these days, one might forget that such things have often occurred in that industry since its early days. Take Eastern Air Lines, one of the first and longest-running of the so-called trunk carriers in the United States.
Eastern began as a mail carrier for the U.S. Postal Service in the mid-1920s but through acquisition and expansion came to dominate much of the domestic travel industry along the profitable East Coast corridor by the 1950s. Back then the company was widely known for its famous president, former World War I Ace, Eddie Rickenbacker.
The airline thrived into the 1970s, when it was one of the "big four" major U.S. airlines. In its time, Eastern pioneered the use of a worldwide computer reservation system and the all-jet mainline fleet. However, the carrier struggled after the Air Transportation Deregulation Act of 1978. Former astronaut turned CEO Frank Borman finally relented to corporate raider and union buster Frank Lorenzo's buyout offer in 1985. Valuable assets such as new aircraft, the East Coast shuttle service, lucrative fuel operations, and the worldwide travel agent computer system were sold off or shifted to Lorenzo's other carrier, Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL). Deteriorating labor relations forced Eastern into bankruptcy in 1989, at the time the largest airline bankruptcy in U.S. history. The carrier ceased operations the day after the start of Operation Desert Storm in 1991.
Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Chelsea Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CHTP) to Perform from Outperform after their survey suggested physicians believe currently available generic treatments are adequate in neurogenic orthostatic hypotension, which could impact the company's lead drug Droxidopa.
Clearwire (NASDAQ:CLWR) was cut to Sell from Hold at Citigroup on valuation, as they estimate fair value at $13.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Goldman downgraded Kellogg (NYSE:K) to Neutral from Buy and Hershey Foods (NYSE:HSY) to Sell from Neutral.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The airline sector, Siemens and Internap were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Lehman downgraded the airline sector to Neutral from Positive, citing higher fuel costs and the weakening economy. AirTran (NYSE: AAI) and U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) were downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight. UBS said it can no longer recommend airline stocks due to weakening economy, high fuel prices, and less likely industry consolidation. The firm downgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL), Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) and U.S. Airways to Neutral from Buy.
Goldman removed shares of Siemens (NYSE: SI) from their Conviction Buy List as they believe the company may book additional charges of $1.2B this year.
Jefferies cut Internap (NASDAQ: INAP) to Underperform from Buy as they believe the 10-K filing delay and revenue quality questions reduce visibility into the health of the business.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Wachovia lowered Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Market Perform from Outperform.
SI International (NASDAQ: SINT) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Cowen.
In the airline industry, it seems that any deal will do. Northwest Airlines Corp. (NYSE: NWA) is already fairly far along in discussions about merging with Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL). Now UAL Corp.'s (NASDAQ: UAUA) United Airlines is talking with Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL). But one set of negotiations in not enough for Continental. It is also talking to AMR Corp.'s (NYSE: AMR) American Airlines, according to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required). The paper reports "the talks were exploratory, and it isn't clear they will go further."
Airlines are seeking mergers under the premise that combining companies saves costs. While that is true to some extent, the marriages also hurt customer service -- badly. Putting together incompatible reservations and service operations can take years and be extremely complex, which can make it hell for consumers who just want to take an airplane ride from here to there. Bad customer service is a sure way to drive off fliers, and that is not good for revenue.
The savings in a merger also might not be as great as imagined. Fuel costs stay the same. The number of pilots and crews may drop some, but that can also cause labor disputes and strikes that interrupt service. The number of people needed to handle customer support and processing of reservations probably cannot be cut by much, especially if retaining revenue with unhappy fliers is important.
In an industry where mergers and Chapter 11 filings have been part of the landscape for decades, combining airlines may be no panacea. It is good to remember that the two most successful carriers in the United States, American and Southwest Airlines Corp. (NYSE: LUV) have never been much enamored of merging.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Citigroup upgraded US Steel Corporation (NYSE: X) to Buy from Hold and raised their target to $118 to reflect operating catalysts and their expectations for domestic steel markets to improve in Q4 and 2008.
Cooper Companies Inc (NYSE: COO) was also upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup despite the lowered guidance as they believe the company's products are improving and earnings upside is possible.
WestLB upgraded Continental AG (OTC: CTTAY) to Buy from Hold after the tire marker announced plans to reorganize its company structure into six divisions following the purchase of Siemens AG's (NYSE: SI) VDO automotive unit.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Commercial Metals (CMC), KKR Financial (KFN), Career Education (CECO), Ann Taylor (ANN) and Intel (INTC) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
CIBC upgraded Commercial Metals (NYSE: CMC) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer based on valuation.
KKR Financial (NYSE: KFN) was raised to Outperform from Market Perform at Friedman Billings, following managements detailed conference call and managements prudent and rapid actions to address the sale of its Rambus (RMBS) portfolio.
Bear Stearns upgraded Career Education (NASDAQ: CECO) to Outperform from Peer Perform based on valuation.
Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Piper Jaffray due to the upside at the company's LOFT division and the firm's belief that there is upside to their 2008/2009 estimates for Ann Taylor.
Credit Suisse upgraded shares of Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) to Outperform from Underperform based on expected margin expansion, a more benign competitive environment in the MPU sector, better positioning vs. AMD (AMD) at the high-end, and strong demand trends...
In another lap tray to the belly, customers of Milwaukee-based Midwest Air Group (NYSE: MEH), repeatedly named as one of the nation's best airlines for customer service and comfort, learned today that the airline will be purchased by a group led by TPG Capital. The investor group includes Midwest's competitor Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA), which is reviled by passengers for its cattle-car seating, lack of timeliness and failure to understand the concept of customer service
The acquisition offers little in the way of synergy to the two airlines. They duplicate many routes, and Midwest flies the Boing 717, while Northwest uses 747s and 757s. What the deal does accomplish is to block the expansion of a potential competitor in Northwest's upper midwest routes. While the deal secures the present management of Midwest, I suspect it's just a matter of time before the malaise reaches Milwaukee.
Midwest has been fighting off suitor Airtran Holdings' (NYSE: AAI) hostile takeover attempt, which reached $15.75 and $389 million before it folded its cards late last week. TPG, which grew out of the Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) takeover in 1993, is offering $16 per share, or over $400 million, to take the company private. The Midwest board voted Sunday to go forward with the TPG offer, and an agreement is expected by midweek.
As of today, there's a new airline in the skies: Virgin America. That's right folks: British Billionaire Richard Branson has expanded his Virgin Atlantic fleet across the pond. The new San Francisco-based start-up will use a fleet of Airbus A320's to fly two routes: San Francisco to J.F.K in New York and San Francisco to Los Angeles International.
While Virgin America will only open with those two routes, they plan on ramping its schedule fast. In the next three months, Virgin will add Las Vegas and Washington Dulles to the schedule and move up to a total 10 U.S. destinations a year from now. The fleet plans to service 30 destinations within the next five years.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Siemens AG (SI), Business Objects (BOBJ), Continental Airlines (CAL), Lawson Software (LWSN) and Trump Entertainment Resorts, Inc (TRMP) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Lehman upgraded shares of Siemens AG (NYSE: SI) to Overweight from Neutral reflect the potential major portfolio reorganization over the next few years as well as the strong momentum in the group.
UBS upgraded shares of Business Objects (NASDAQ: BOBJ) to Buy from Neutral to reflect easy compares in Q2 and signs of improving underlying European demand.
Soleil upgraded Continental (NYSE: CAL) to Buy from Hold as they believe better-than-expected June consolidated revenue growth suggests strong enough revenue momentum to offset above-average domestic capacity growth affecting its important Newark hub.
Matrix upgraded Lawson Software (NASDAQ: LWSN) to Sell from Strong Sell to reflect increasing revenues from software licenses.
Brean Murray upgraded shares of Trump Entertainment (NASDAQ: TRMP) to Buy from Hold citing recent share weakness, improving trends, potential monetization of excess real estate and the use of the Trump brand outside of Atlantic City...
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Continental Airlines, Inc (CAL), Molson Coors Brewing Co (TAP), Watsco, Inc (WSO), K-V Pharmaceutical Co (KV.A), Progressive Corp (PGR) and Color Kinetics (CLRK) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Goldman downgraded shares of Continental Airlines, Inc (NYSE: CAL) to Neutral from Buy on valuation, higher oil prices and a weak domestic market.
Goldman also downgraded Molson Coors Brewing Co (NYSE: TAP) to Neutral from Buy based on the increase in analyst estimates, valuation and the potential for margin pressure in the summer.
BB&T cut Watsco, Inc (NYSE: WSO) to Hold from Buy based on valuation and catalysts that are already reflected in the share price.
Roth Capital downgraded shares of K-V Pharmaceutical Co (NYSE: KV.A) to Hold from Buy, telling clients they have learned that Par Pharmaceuticals Cos (PRX) has launched generics of 50, 100 and 200mg Toprol-XL. The firm expects a material impact to KV's 100 and 200mg strength generics.
Stifel expects investor enthusiasm regarding Progressive's Corp (NYSE: PGR) recapitalization plan to fade as underwriting fundamentals deteriorate and cut shares to Sell from Hold.
Color Kinetics (NASDAQ: CLRK) was downgraded to Hold from Sell at Needham on valuation...
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Brocade Communications Systems, Inc (BRCD), AT&T Inc (T), DaimlerChrysler (DCX), AMR Corp (AMR) and Continental Airlines, Inc (CAL) were today's more noteworthy upgrades:
JP Morgan upgrade shares of Brocade Communications Systems, Inc (NASDAQ: BRCD) to Overweight from Neutral, citing positive trends in networked storage; shares were also added to the firm's Focus List.
Matrix believes improving product mix and demand for new products is driving strong fundamental trends in AT&T (NYSE: T). Matrix upgraded T shares to Strong Buy from Buy and sees upside to their intrinsic value of $56.
Bernstein believes the divestiture of Chrysler from DaimlerChrysler AG (NYSE: DCX) is a positive for the company and upgraded shares to Outperform from Market Perform.
Soleil upgraded shares of AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR) to Buy from Hold on valuation and Continental Air Lines Inc (NYSE: CAL) to Hold from Sell based on a more constructive industry outlook...
OTHER UPGRADES:
Morgan Stanley upgraded NTT DoCoMo, Inc (NYSE: DCM) to Overweight from Equal-Weight.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Circuit City Stores (CC), select airline stocks and General Electric (GE) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded shares of Circuit City Stores NYSE: CC) to Hold from Buy and lowered their target to $17 from $26 following management's second guidance cut in one month; the firm thinks there is more bad news to come. The electronics-retailer was also downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James and to Neutral from Buy at Robinson Humphries. Circuit City was cut to Sell from Hold at Soleil.
UBS downgraded six airline stocks on fuel price concerns and their belief that demand may fall as economic growth slows in the domestic market. Downgrades are as follows: AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) and U.S. Airways Group (NASDAQ: LCC) were downgraded to Reduce from Buy; Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE: LUV) and Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) were downgraded to Neutral from Buy; JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ: JBLU) was downgraded to Reduce from Neutral.
General Electric (NYSE: GE) was removed from Goldman Sachs' Americas Conviction Buy list on valuation.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Prudential expects Sprint Nextel Corp's (NYSE: S) company-specific problems to continue and weigh on shares and downgraded the phone-giant to Underweight from Neutral.
Banc of America downgraded shares of LSI Corp (NYSE: LSI) to Neutral from Buy.
Buckingham cut Best Buy Co (NYSE: BBY) to Neutral from Strong Buy.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nortel Networks Corp (NT), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY) and the select airliners were today's most noteworthy downgrades:
Goldman cut Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Sell from Neutral as the firm believes shares fully discount a successful execution on the cost restructuring.
Keefe Bruyette downgraded Countrywide Financial Corp (NYSE: CFC) to Underperform from Market Perform, citing the impact of tighter credit standards for the move.
OfficeMax Inc (NYSE: OMX) was cut to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns.
Matrix USA downgraded PepsiCo, Inc (NYSE: PEP) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
Merrill Lynch downgraded Dean Foods Co (NYSE: DF) to Sell from Neutral.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: BHP Billiton (BHP), Applied Materials, Inc (AMAT), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Oracle Corp (ORCL) were some of today's noteworthy upgrades:
Prudential upgraded shares of BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) to Neutral from Underweight with a $50 target to reflect capacity expansion in uranium mining and increasing demand for iron ore from China.
Bank of America upgraded Applied Materials Inc (NASDAQ: AMAT) to Buy from Neutral with a $25 target as the firm believes the company's solar power equipment market is accelerating faster than estimates and guidance.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NYSE: AMD) was upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at UBS citing limited downside to the shares.
Oracle Corp (NASDAQ: ORCL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs, where its coverage was transferred to another analyst.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Credit Suisse added Rite Aid Corp (NYSE: RAD) to its U.S. Focus List.
Morgan Stanley upgraded O2Micro International Ltd (NADAQ: OIIM) to Overweight from Equal-Weight based on the company's announcement of a settlement with Samsung.
Wachovia added Lehman Brothers Holdings (NYSE: LEH) to its Focus List. Due to Lehman's record banking fee backlog of $1.03 billion in Q1, the firm believes their banking estimate is "quite conservative."
Continental Airlines, Inc (NYSE: CAL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at FTN Midwest citing the surprisingly strong March unit revenue growth for the upgrade.
Bear Stearns upgraded Vodafone PLC (NYSE: VOD) to Peer Perform from Underperform.
What's holding the airline sector back, in addition to high jet fuel prices, and keeping the likes of AMR's (NYSE: AMR) American, Delta (NYSE: DAL), UAL's (NYSE: UAUA) United, Southwest (NYSE: LUV), and Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) from realizing their potential?
This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable 
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In another lap tray to the belly, customers of Milwaukee-based 
As of today, there's a new airline in the skies: 
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