You might think that since consumer prices have tumbled by near record percentages that this might lead to lower food prices. But much of that consumer price decline is attributable to lower energy prices -- after all oil peaked at $147 a barrel in July only to fall 63.5% to $53.63 yesterday.

Why won't food prices follow oil down? Many food producers panicked as corn and wheat prices peaked this summer -- locking in long term supply contracts at top prices. For instance, corn, which usually trades at $2 or $3 a bushel, pealed at $8 a bushel in June.

Although prices have since dropped to $3.50 a bushel, some food manufacturers locked in prices for corn and other commodities in the spring and summer, fearing that prices could go even higher. The result is that producers will pass on those higher costs in the form of food prices going up 7% to 9% in 2009.

This morning, better-than-expected earnings results at Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) eased investors' fears about the weak U.S. economy. Shares of food maker General Mills Inc. (NYSE: GIS) have been also rallying in early trading after posting a surge of 61% for its third quarter profit.

The company said its quarterly profit climbed to $430.1 million, or $1.23 per share due to higher demand for its products. Excluding one-time items, the company's earnings figures came in at 87 cents a share, exceeding analysts' forecast for a profit of 79 cents a share.

General Mills posted 12% growth for its third-quarter revenue, which surged to $3.41 billion from $3.05 billion a year ago. This was above analysts' predictions for revenue of $3.24 billion in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial.

Shares of food processor Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) are slightly lower this morning after the company posted a rise of 7% in its second-quarter profit, but missed analysts' earnings estimates.

The company said its profit increased during the second quarter as the company benefited from higher volumes and selling prices. Strong earnings from oilseed processing and higher feed grains demand helped ADM offset lower ethanol business margins.

Archer's profit climbed to $473 million, or 73 cents per share. These numbers are up from $441 million, or 67 cents per share, in the same period a year ago. Analysts, on average, expected the food processor show earnings of 74 cents per share.

The world's largest producer of corn-based ethanol also announced a respectable jump of 50% in revenue to $16.5 billion, up from $10.98 billion a year earlier. Sales during the period were helped by higher commodity prices, such as feed grains, wheat and corn. Analysts had forecast $12.75 billion in revenue, according to Thomson Financial.

Let me introduce my Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio, a compilation of red, white and blue stocks for investors to consider as they celebrate our nation's independence.

Regardless of your views on the Iraq war, there's no denying that defense stocks including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman Co. (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) and General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) are reasonably valued. This is especially noteworthy considering that defense spending will need to be maintained at pretty high levels for years to come in order to replace equipment that's been worn out from combat. President Bush is proposing to spend a record $439 billion in fiscal 2007 on defense and another $42.7 billion on homeland security.

Lockheed, the maker of the F-16, seems especially cheap, trading at a forward multiple of 14.6. Its shares have only gained 4.6% this year even though the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised earnings guidance. Missile and defense electronics company Raytheon, up less than 3%, is in the same situation.

Investors often overlook the huge businesses that Lockheed and Raytheon have in areas outside of defense, including computer systems and air-traffic control. The managements of both companies also have vastly improved over the past few years. Northrop and General Dynamics have always been pretty well run.

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA), notably the second-largest defense contractor, also looks worth snapping up. Its stock is up less than 3% this year, which is surprising considering how well it's rebounded against European rival Airbus. The company trades at a forward multiple of 17.7.

Ben Berkowitz is the business news editor at AOL. This is a new column that will run weekly, highlighting business stories with significant implications that were overlooked at first glance.

This week's story that no one read and everyone should have is about tortilla riots in Mexico. Yes, tortilla riots. In Mexico. Some 75,000 people protesting the rising price of tortillas.

Not to be overly blunt, but who cares, right? It's just a single grocery item in some other country. But the reason the people are up in arms is more important than anyone realizes.

Poor Mexicans rely on tortillas for their diet. And a lot of other poor people in a lot of other places rely on other foodstuffs made from corn.

The problem is ethanol. Ethanol, that fuel additive that reduces pollution and helps us wean our dependency on foreign oil and makes farmers rich and politicians look silly when they stump in Iowa. As the U.S. adds more ethanol to its gasoline, the price of corn is surging dramatically, leading to extreme market volatility.

President Bush wants to use a variety of sources to make ethanol as the government pushes increased use of the additive, but for now most U.S. producers seem to be eschewing sugar and other products in favor of corn. If that remains the case, corn prices will only go higher and the poor of Mexico and elsewhere will be further pinched.

Of course, publicly-traded corn companies like Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE: ADM), Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) and Corn Products International Inc. (NYSE: CPO) can't and don't mind that much - their profits are soaring. Big multinationals like Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) must be happy too -- higher prices on big-selling staples are always a happy thing.