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Option Update: Pier 1 Imports volatility elevated into withdrawal of proposal for Cost Plus

Pier 1 Imports (NYSE: PIR) withdrew its proposal to acquire Cost Plus (NASDAQ: CPWM).

Deutsche Bank has a Buy rating with a $7.25 price target on PIR.

PIR overall option implied volatility of 93 is above its 26-week average of 84 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Volatility Index NASDAQ 100-VXN at 28.13; 10-day moving average is 26.27.

Pier 1 (PIR) wants to import Cost Plus (CPWM)

Things are getting hostile in the furniture business. That is, Pier 1 Imports (NYSE: PIR) has announced a $4 unsolicited bid for rival Cost Plus (NASDAQ: CPWM). That comes to about $88 million. On news of the deal, Cost Plus' shares rose 13% to $3.47.

Although, the folks at Cost Plus are skeptical, calling the deal "highly conditional." Of course, the board will meet to discuss the proposal.

With the recession and real estate bust, it's a good bet we'll see more consolidation in the furniture business. Simply put, it will be a way to cut capacity as well as reduce cost structures.

No doubt, Cost Plus will want to get a higher price, but in light of the challenging environment, that's probably going to be tough. Besides, Cost Plus and Pier 1 have many common shareholders, who may pressure for a transaction. What's more, Cost Plus's "poison pill" will expire on June 30th.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Analyst upgrades 6-27-07: FIRE, JBHT, KSS and TM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Toyota Motor Corp (TM), J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT), SourceFire (FIRE), Kohl's Corp (KSS) and Millennium Pharmaceuticals (MLNM) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded shares of Toyota Motor Corp (NYSE: TM) to Buy from Neutral to reflect expectations for greater operating profits and margin expansion in 2007.
  • Keybanc upgraded shares of J.B. Hunt Transport (NASDAQ: JBHT) to Buy from Hold based on increased conviction in JBHT's ability to increase intermodal volumes, easier 2H and 2008 comps, buybacks and valuation.
  • Jefferies upgraded SourceFire Inc (NASDAQ: FIRE) to Buy from Hold after their checks indicated better Federal IT spending and solid sales activity.
  • Kohl's Corp (NYSE: KSS) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Baird on valuation.
  • Millennium Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MLNM) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Friedman Billings, citing recent monthly Velcade prescription trends for the move higher...
OTHER UPGRADES:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-37.1910,741.98
NASDAQ-16.872,374.41
S&P 500-5.921,159.90

Last updated: March 20, 2010: 04:39 PM

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