Ford (NYSE: F) closed at $2.13 Monday. F is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 7. Deutsche Bank says: "there is no recent history of a decline of such ferocity makes us cautious about proclaiming a bottom." F overall option implied volatility of 155 is above its 26-week average of 100 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) closed at $5.65 Monday. GM is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 7. Deutsche Bank says: "There are relatively few near term catalysts that could help stimulate an auto demand recovery." GM November 5 straddle is priced at $2.05, December is at $3.25. GM December option implied volatility of 192 is above its 26-week average of 102 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) closed at $33.92 Monday. DAI December option implied volatility of 89 is above its 26-week average of 42 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst upgrades:

• Jefferies upgraded shares of Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG) to Buy from Hold and raised its target to $26.50 from $25 on valuation as they believe MidAmerican Energy will consummate the merger. The firm points out shares are trading at a 14% discount to the $26.50 offer.
  
• Merriman upgraded Denny's Corp. (NASDAQ: DENN) to Buy from Neutral as they believe the company's restructuring and successful menu and food cost management should stabilize operating margins.
  
• Daimler (NYSE: DAI) was upgraded at Merrill to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the stock is oversold at current levels.
• Taiwan Semi (NYSE: TSM) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at HSBC.
  
• Veolia Environnement (NYSE: VE) was lifted to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.
  
• Goldman raised PMC Sierra (NASDAQ: PMCS) to Buy from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades:

Analyst upgrades:

• Goldman upgraded Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) to Buy from Sell and added shares to its Conviction Buy List citing valuation. The firm also upgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment Sector to Attractive.
  
• Morgan Keegan believes Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) will emerge from the slowdown as a stronger company with greater market share and expansion into adjacent markets. Shares were upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform.
• Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
  
• Daimler (NYSE: DAI) was upgraded at UBS to Neutral from Sell.
• Friedman Billings upgraded Mariner Energy (NYSE: ME) to Market Perform from Underperform on valuation and the company's upcoming catalysts in the deepwater GOM.
• Swiss Reinsurance (OTC: SWCEY) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.

Analyst downgrades:

• Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
• Deutsche Bank cut Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) and Marathon Oil (NYSE: MRO) to Hold from Buy and Suncor (NYSE: SU) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) to Sell from Hold after cutting their oil price forecast for 2009 to $60/bbl and 2010 to $58/bbl.
  
• Merrill downgraded Akzo Nobel (OTC: AKZOY) to Neutral from Buy on expectations the company's coatings end markets will worsen and chemicals division will see pressure next year.
• Monster (NASDAQ: MNST) was lowered at Citigroup to Hold from Buy.

Though our attention has been on the hair-raising problems in the financial sector over the last few weeks, the important (and ultimately deeply related) story about job loss in the American industrial sector needs at least as much attention.

Today, another producer of actual things (rather than just inflationary paper) announced the elimination of thousands of jobs. Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) said that it will terminate Sterling Trucks, which accounts for 15% of Daimler's truck sales in North America. Daimler is the world's largest producer of heavy vehicles.

Sterling is a subsidiary of Freightliner, the largest heavy truck manufacturer in the U.S., which Daimler has owned since 1981. Originally Ford Motor's (NYSE: F) heavy truck division, Ford/Sterling was bought and re-branded as Sterling in 1997.

Daimler stated that Sterling had never met expectations, and that the ongoing recession made it clear that the division needed to be put out of its misery. Plants in Portland, Oregon and St. Thomas, Ontario will be closed, resulting in the loss of 3,500 manufacturing jobs. Daimler stated that it will proceed with the planned opening of new Freightliner plant in Mexico.

While there's no doubt that there is excess capacity in the truck-making industry and that the elimination of manufacturing plants is economically rational, Daimler's move raises once again the larger question of the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. As many critics have argued, the ongoing loss of high-paying manufacturing jobs -- a process that has been going on for years -- will make it that much harder for the American economy to recover.

U.S. stock futures were lower Wednesday morning after two volatile sessions that recorded a 777 point drop in the Dow, then a remarkable 485 point recovery. No doubt, investors are jittery ahead of the vote in the Senate today on the controversial $700 billion bailout package. Will it pass in the Senate after failing in the House? The two plans are slightly different. Some data might also affect the mood today with the Institute of Supply Management's manufacturing index for September and the September ADP employment estimate on tap. For now, the indication calls for a selloff in stocks at the start of trade today.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) - the Nasdaq Stock Market canceled a few trades in Google late Tuesday following an inexplicable slide in price the exchange blames on mistaken routing from other exchanges. Google shares, which were trading up about 8% for most of the session, fell between 10%-16% in the final minutes, bringing its closing price to $341.39. The Nasdaq also reset the stock's closing price at $400.52. Google shares are up in pre-market trading to about $409.

Automakers also are due to report monthly auto sales for September. Sales for GM (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) are expected to be weak, perhaps the worst in several years. Shares of Ford decline over 5% in after-hours Tuesday.

Daimler (NYSE: DAI) shares declined nearly 8% in pre-market trade after some rumors, denied by the company by now, suggested DAI would issue a profit warning.

I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with Christoph Scherbaum, editor of the German edition of Personal Finance, who says German investors are cautious, but optimistic about their market.

Q. Christoph, some experts predict the beginning of a prolonged slowdown that will push consumer price inflation in Germany to as low as 2% next June. What do you think?

A. Consumer prices are not really a problem. August inflation was less than 4% and is estimated at 3% until year-end. The delayed effects of rising commodity prices will have a steeper decline. In addition, second-round effects through higher wage developments are now more visible. Therefore, the European Central Bank-despite poor economic data-will wait for a reassessment of its inflation target for 2010 until the second half of 2009

Q. To what extent do you think the US's financial worries are extending to German financial institutions?

A. It's a difficult question, but we have no big problem with our banks. German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck recently stated: "Although this financial crisis undoubtedly is the biggest economic risk for the German economy, I think the potential impact on us-after inquiries and interviews with the Bundesbank president-to be limited". He also reaffirmed the intent of a balanced federal budget in 2011.

Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) closed at $59.55 Monday. DAI overall option implied volatility of 35 is near its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Ford (NYSE: F) closed at $4.89 Monday. F overall option implied volatility of 78 is above its 26-week average of 69 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) closed at $10.36 Monday. GM September call option implied volatility is at 87, puts are at 103; above its 26-week average of 72, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Honda (NYSE: HMC) closed at $33.42 Monday. HMC over all option implied volatility of 33 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional risk.

Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM) closed at $90.75 Monday. TM overall option implied volatility of 29 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Goldman Sachs downgraded Daimler (NYSE: DAI) to Neutral from Buy, according to MarketWatch.

Citigroup downgraded Genentech (NYSE: DNA) to Hold from Buy, according to Briefing.com. The news service also writes that UBS downgraded Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) to Hold from Buy.

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) was raised to Buy at Citigroup, according to Briefing.com. The financial site also reports that Harman (NYSE: HAR) was cut to Neutral at Baird.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says KKR will join the list of buyout firms that fleece the small investor by going public.

Just what we need, a private-equity firm to go public. That worked just great with Fortress Investment (NYSE: FIG) (Cramer's Take), and it was terrific with Blackstone (NYSE: BX) (Cramer's Take). At least this one is some sort of reverse merger that might not inflict too much pain on the public.

Of course, folks in this business are displaying their usual lack of shame. It would be an excellent time for them to have a good reason beyond employee retention; I mean if you are making all of that money, what's the issue with retention? It would also be terrific if they were doing well, but there hasn't been a deal in so long that it would be a bit of an oddity if they were doing anything other than making a lot of fees.

But Kohlberg Kravis Roberts is a storied lot, so I figure the public will lap it up and all will be well until the losses start.

Or maybe this will be the one that's in the blue moon and the public will not be pants'd by the really smart bankers.

Analyst upgrades:

• Jefferies upgraded shares of Ensco International (NYSE: ESV) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they find the company's long-term EPS growth and potential upside from the GOM/Mexico jack-up market compelling.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Outperform from Market Perform following the better-than-expected Q2 report. The firm raised Juniper's target to $29 from $27.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded shares of Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation following the recent weakness. Southwestern's target was raised to $43 from $40.
• Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill.
  
• Merrill also upgraded Delta (NYSE: DAL) to Buy from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades:

• Baird downgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) to Neutral from Outperform following the company's weak Q2 report and guidance.
• Merriman cut Nautilus Group (NYSE: NLS) to Sell from Neutral to reflect the company's dependence on the consumer home fitness market at a time when consumer spending trends are weakening. The firm believes shares are overvalued and could potentially decline to the $4.00-$4.50 level.
• E.W. Scripps (NYSE: SSP) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
  
• HSBC lowered Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) to Neutral from Overweight.
  
• Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at KeyBanc.

Stock futures were mixed Thursday morning, indicating a similar start to U.S. stocks. While the S&P 500 showed weakness ahead of housing data to be released at 10:00 a.m. EDT, the Nasdaq composite was slightly positive after Amazon.com reported strong earnings Wednesday. Investors also braced for Ford's earnings, which indeed posted double the estimated loss. The earnings wave continues. Meanwhile, oil prices edged a little higher, but remained around $124 a barrel.

Starting with Ford (NYSE: F) then, the world's third largest automaker posted (after items) a loss of $1.38 billion, or 62 cents. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expected Ford to report a loss of 28 cents a share. The headlines scream of a loss of $8.7 billion though, which includes $8 billion in pretax writedowns of North American plants and assets of Ford Motor Credit Co. Ford also said it will convert three truck factories to produce small cars as rising gasoline prices sap U.S. truck sales.

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) couldn't manage to offset higher costs of energy and raw materials with the recent price increases it announced, and posted a 27% decrease in profit for the period. Net income was $762 million, or 81 cents a share. Revenue is up 23% to $16.38 billion. Earnings were below analyst expectation according to Thomson Financial of 85 cents per share, but better than the sales estimates of $14.9 billion. DOW shares are dropping some 9.5% in premarket trading as the company said it expects the economy to weaken.

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) posted strong earnings Wednesday after the close, proving its growth days aren't over in this weakened economy hurt by high gas prices. Not only did it beat estimates -- with a 41% climb in revenue to $4.06 billion compared to $3.96 expected, and EPS of 37 cents compared to expectations of 26 cents -- but it also raised its full-year revenue projections. AMZN shares are climbing about 6.5% in premarket trading.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Monogram Biosciences, Interpublic Group and Blue Coat Systems were today's noteworthy initiations:

• JMP Securities said Monogram Biosciences (NASDAQ: MGRM) has a broad platform enabling it to develop multiple personalized medicine product offerings and has significant growth prospects from its HIV diagnostic business and its diagnostic test in oncology. Shares were initiated with an Outperform rating and $3.50 target.
  
• Jefferies assumed Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) with a Buy rating and $11 target. The firm believes the current valuation does not reflect the company's turnaround, which they believe is gaining traction.
  
• Friedman Billings initiated Blue Coat Systems (NASDAQ: BCSI) with a Market Perform rating and $18 target. The firm prefers to wait on the sidelines given the near-term headwinds from a difficult spending environment in North America and integration risks from the Packeteer acquisition.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• American Capital (NASDAQ: AGNC) was initiated at Merrill with a Buy rating and at RBC Capital with an Outperform rating and $32 target.
  
• UBS assumed Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) with a Buy rating and $39 target.
• HSBC initiated Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) with an Overweight rating.

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) Chief Executive Alan Mullaly has a friend in cantankerous billionaire Kirk Kerkorian.

Kerkorian, who was Chrysler's largest shareholder before the company was acquired by Daimler, is snapping up shares in the automaker, which recently posted an unexpected $100 million first quarter profit. Kerkorian's Tracinda Corp. owns a 4.7% position in Ford and plans to offer to buy as much as 20 million shares at a 13% premium to Friday's close, according to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required).

"Tracinda has been following Ford closely since the company released its fourth quarter 2007 results which indicated that Ford's management was starting to achieve highly meaningful traction in its turnaround efforts," the company said in a statement. "Last week this was reinforced by Ford's first quarter 2008 results, achieved despite the difficult U.S. economic environment. Tracinda believes that Ford management under the leadership of Chief Executive Officer Alan Mulally will continue to show significant improvements in its results going forward."

At least that's how Kerkorian feels now.

Reports that Britney Spears was in a minor accident over the weekend with her Mercedes is another in a long line of mishaps for the pop star. Why this qualifies as news is beyond me, and it's my feeling that Britney should just be left alone. The media have succeeded in driving her into a virtual nervous breakdown, for what? To sell a few more papers, or attract a few more viewers. Should the media be in the business of ruining people?

According to the AP report: "Spears was in stop-and-go traffic when her car struck a 2006 Nissan in front of her that had stopped. The Nissan then pushed forward into another vehicle. No damage was noted to any of the vehicles."

The one winner in this latest Spears' episode may be Daimler AG (NYSE:DAI), maker of the famed Mercedes. As with most automakers the company has been struggling, and sales have been sagging. There is no question that they could use the free PR. After all, Britney drives the car, and it escaped the crash without a dent.

Despite recent troubles, investors looking for a contrarian play may want to take a look at Daimler. Their new strategy of trying to gain market share in Russia and in China to help offset US weakness, seems to be a smart move. With a growing upper middle class in both of these countries, the need to own a Mercedes will be strong, as it will be perceived as a status symbol.

Maybe the media can start focusing on global wealth creation, and leave Britney alone.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 4/14/08.

DaimlerChrysler AG(NYSE: DAI) shares are doing well today after Goldman Sachs lifted the European auto sector from neutral to attractive today. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months after this news, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on DAI.

After hitting a previous one-year high of $96.12 in July, the stock dipped in August, but is making its way back toward previous highs, topping its 52-week best today. DAI opened this morning at $95.93. So far today the stock has hit a low of $95.72 and a high of $96.27. As of 10:45, DAI is trading at $95.94, up $2.11 (2.2%). The chart for DAI looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $75 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in just 4 months as long as DAI is above $75 at January expiration. XM would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money.

DAI hasn't been below $75 since March and has shown support around $90 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out 10/25) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the strong support the stock formed around $80 over the past five months..

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.